Presentation of the MIRACLE on the BONUS workshop in Brussels - 2015.12.09 - by prof. Karin Tonderski

1. BONUS-MIRACLE has received funding from BONUS (Art. 185) funded jointly from the European Union’s Seventh
Programme for research, technological development and demonstration, and from Baltic Sea national funding institutions
BONUS MIRACLE
Mediating integrated actions for sustainable
ecosystems services in a changing climate
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2. BONUS MIRACLE Objective
Identify new governance
configurations aiming at
reducing nutrient
enrichment and flood risks in
the Baltic Sea Region based
on the ecosystem services
concept.
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3. Project Aims
• Analyse if a research supported Social Learning
Process with stakeholders can identify win-win
solutions to meet goals of diverse interests;
• Analyse how current governance structures
depend on institutional arrangements;
• Identify opportunities for greater coordination
between agricultural, environmental and flood
risk management policy actions in a changing
climate – e.g. payment for ecosystem services
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4. Workshops in four case study areas
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Selke, Germany
Flooding in urban and rural areas
Biodiversity conservation
Nutrient enrichment
Legacies from previous mining
Reda, Poland
Water quality for aquaculture
Flooding of urban areas attractive for housing
Tourism in river
Sensitive coastal water, tourism
Biodiversity
Flooding of urban and rural areas
Urban stormwater control
Poor ecological quality (nutrients)
Berze, Latvia
Browning of water
Acidification and mercury
Flooding in rural and urban areas
Biosphere reserve in lower part
Helge å, Sweden

5. MIRACLE Approach
 Involve stakeholders with different interests in land and
water use, e.g. biodiversity conservation, urban
development, hydropower, human health;
 Conduct a series of five workshops where researchers and
stakeholders work to identify win-win solutions for diverse
goals – so called Social Learning Process;
 Give scientific support through scenario modelling of
impacts on water flow and quality, cost-efficiency and
benefit assessments, and policy analyses;
 Use an innovative visualisation platform to present results
and facilitate scenario comparisons for stakeholders.
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6. WP2. Interactive Environmental
Modelling
• Model baseline conditions
(to 2020) using the HYPE
model and assess flood risks,
• Model impact scenarios for
suggested measures,
• Include effect of climate
change and socioeconomic
development scenarios for
the BSR.
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Soils2Sea (Processes in HYPE), BaltApp (scenarios of socio-economic and climate
change), COCOA (nutrient loads, response in coastal ecosystems)

7. WP3. Socio-economic assessments
• Assess cost structures for the
agreed scenarios,
• Assess private and social be-
nefits based on existing data,
• Estimate cost efficiency and
cost-benefits of selected new
governance scenarios, and
upscale to BSR.
Slide 7
Go4Baltic (policies => cost-effectiveness of abatement measures), BalticAPP
(scenarios of socio-economic and climate change)

8. WP6. Innovative Governance
• Develop conceptual framework
for ecosystem services approach,
• Review existing experiences with
innovative governance for
multiple ecosystem benefits,
• Assess how to adapt institutional
settings for innovative
governance in case areas,
• Roadmap for governance and
policy innovations in the BSR.
Slide 8
http://www.aecr.eu/thinking-governance-before-policy/
Go4Baltic (efficacy of national/international policies, policy scenarios)

9. WP4. Visualisation for integrated
analyses and communication
• Develop a web-based
visualisation platform,
• Integrate results from WPs in
the platform and use inter-
actively in workshops, and
• Develop a methodological
framework for using visualisa-
tion support in stakeholder
dialogues
Slide 9
BalticAPP (end-user application, ”citizen science”)

10. WP5. Social Learning
• Define stakeholders’ issues,
knowledge and prioritized
measures,
• Identify opportunities and
barriers to combat defined
issues – win-win solutions,
• Cross case and BSR level
analysis for governance
innovations,
Slide 10
Go4Baltic (how to achieve policy coherence?), BalticAPP (biogeochemical flows
=> ecosystem services for stakeholders)

11. BONUS-MIRACLE has received funding from BONUS (Art. 185) funded jointly from the European Union’s Seventh
Programme for research, technological development and demonstration, and from Baltic Sea national funding institutions
Thank´s for your attention!
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