Your SlideShare is downloading. ×
2030 vision
Upcoming SlideShare
Loading in...5

Thanks for flagging this SlideShare!

Oops! An error has occurred.


Introducing the official SlideShare app

Stunning, full-screen experience for iPhone and Android

Text the download link to your phone

Standard text messaging rates apply

2030 vision


Published on

Published in: Education, News & Politics

  • Be the first to comment

  • Be the first to like this

No Downloads
Total Views
On Slideshare
From Embeds
Number of Embeds
Embeds 0
No embeds

Report content
Flagged as inappropriate Flag as inappropriate
Flag as inappropriate

Select your reason for flagging this presentation as inappropriate.

No notes for slide


  • 1. Vision 2030 for Blackburn with Darwen Policy Council 3 December 2009
  • 2. “a place is more than a mere slogan or campaign; rather, it represents the totality of thoughts, feelings, associations and expectations that come to mind”
  • 3. Vision 2030 Programme September October November December January FebruaryActivity 7 14 21 28 5 12 19 26 2 9 16 23 30 7 14 21 28 4 11 18 25 1 8 15 22Steering GroupDesignLaunchWebsiteSurvey of ResidentsNorth West SurveyFocus GroupChildren and YoungPeopleNeighbourhood BoardWorkshopsCommunity andVoluntary GroupsBusinessLSP & Future CitiesGameLSP Thematic GroupsVision StrategyDevelopmentVision 2030Conference
  • 4. EconomicMore than £150 million of investment since 2002Wages grew faster than North West and UK - but remain 2%lower than North West and 8% than UKKey businesses leading the way in specialist technologies with arange and depth of manufacturing specialismsMajor public and private sector capital investment underway inthe Town Centres, Building Schools and Collegelowest employment rate in Pennine Lancashire and a significantshortfall of both entry level and higher level skillsSelf employment rates 7.3%,North West - 8.1% UK - 9.3%6,000 manufacturing jobs lost - 1995-2006, and 14,000 jobsmanufacturing jobs vulnerable to recessionTransport connectivity is a significant barrier to economicgrowth and prosperity
  • 5. EnvironmentalUrban cores surrounded by high density terraced housing, partsin poor conditionSignificant rural fringes with villages supporting basic servicessuch as a primary school and shop - landscape shaped byfarming and small-scale mining and quarryingproperty prices have increased faster than the regional andnational averages but remain 25% lower than Lancashiresignificant concentrations of low value properties and a fewhigher end executive houses£48 million investment in Housing Market Renewal with morethan 500 refurbishments and 600 unfit homes clearedwaste per head is reducing against national trends - from 499.7kg per head in 2004/05 to 475.9 kg per head in 2006/07net population outflow of people - low-level job opportunitiesand a “quality of place” does not attract new people or retainexisting
  • 6. SocialSignificant poverty and deprivation - 17th most deprivedBorough in the country – half children live in areas amongst the10% most deprived in the countryyoungest population in the North West with one in threeresidents aged 0–19Culturally diverse population, with more than one in fiveresidents coming from Asian Heritage ethnic groupsHigh levels of separation between communitiesThere has been a 5% reduction in crime, but crime per residentmore than 10% higher than national rates58% of our young people are now achieving 5 or more GCSEsgrades A*-C, compared with 36% in 1999life expectancy at birth for men was 74.2 years (76.6 England)and 79.2 for women years
  • 7. Culturalrefresh jointly funded - £6 million investment toprovide free sport and leisure activities for allBlackburn Museum and Art Gallery - nationallyimportant collections - Lewis collectionSustainable future for Turton TowerWhalley Range - regional draw for textiles/foodBlackburn Rovers Sports Arena officially opened inJanuary 2008Libraries - valued and well used - 1 million annualvisitsCelebrate – a month festival of music, arts, foodsports and fashion
  • 8. Present - Local TrendsUnemployment –JSA claimants increased January to June 2009 from 3,573 to4,211 (+18%) - rate of increase has since slowed short term claimants increased from 2,885 to 3,050 (+6%) core working age group (25-49) claimants increased from 1,895 to 2,235 (+18%).Redundancies –declared redundancies running at 130 per month in 2009compared with an average of 73 per month in 2008.Job Losses –estimated 1,300 job losses over the next year with Manufacturing(-860), Hotel and Catering (-157) and Financial Intermediation (-150) sectorsmost affected.Businesses – estimated 220 fewer businesses (-4%) in April 2009 comparedwith April 2008.Housing Market – average house prices peaked at £98,000 in September2007 and fell by 13% to £85,290. Sales volumes - fallen from 350 in September2006 to 125 sales in June 2009.Crime – no evidence of changes to expected trendsHealth – no evidence of specific local impacts – general research indicatesthere may be long term impacts on mortality rates and short term impacts onhealthy eating and mental health with a positive impact on smoking cessation.
  • 9. Population Projections to 2030 Blackburn with Darwen Population Projections 2009-2030 Working Age and Older People •Overall increase of 20,000 (13%) 120.0 from 143,600 to 162,200 100.0 •15% more aged 5-14 •Almost 50% more aged 65+ 80.0 85+ •Almost 75% more aged 85+ 60.0 65-84 50-64 (1,700 people) 40.0 20-49 20.0 0.0 2009 2010 2011 2015 2020 2025 2030 Blackburn with Darwen Population Projections 2009-2030 Young People60.050.040.0 15-1930.0 5-14 0-420.010.0 0.0 2009 2010 2011 2015 2020 2025 2030 Source: ONS
  • 10. Economic ProjectionsGDP decline of 4.3% in 2009, modestgrowth for 2010 (+1.2%)Little economic growth for next 5-7years and almost no employmentgrowthLarge variation in housing marketforecasts; + or – 11% in 2010!!
  • 11. Key Drivers of Global ChangePopulation explosionClimate changeLooming energy crisisExpanding globalisationAccelerating, exponential technologydevelopmentDisease prevention and longevity
  • 12. Structured ResearchSurvey of Residents 1,231 10 minute interviews with randomly selected residents Quotas achieved for gender, ward and ethnic group Data weighted by age and ward population to make it representative borough residentsFocus Groups 20 focus groups by neighbourhood and age group Total of 100 people involved, low attendance for 16-24 year olds
  • 13. Aspiration for the Place In twenty years time.....I would like to see some of the most famous buildings and sculpture in the North West in Blackburn with Darwen the schools in Blackburn with Darwen will be some of the best in the North West. I would like Blackburn with Darwen to be pretty much the same as it is now I would like to see fast public transport that allows me to easily travel from Blackburn and Darwen to other neighbouring towns. shopping in the borough will rival that of Preston or Bolton there should be a University in the borough compared to neighbouring towns, Blackburn with Darwen borough will be a place to get some of the best jobs 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Strongly agree Generally agree Generally disagree Strongly disagree Don’t know Not applicable Source: Citizen’s Panel weighted
  • 14. Aspiration for Residents In twenty years time..... I would like to use the internet for shopping and to talk to friends rather than travelling into town to shop or socialiseI would like to see the people of Blackburn with Darwen have a new identity, developed from the cultures of all the people who live in the borough the borough will be a friendly place where people from different backgrounds get on I would be proud to say that I come from Blackburn with Darwen I would hope to see my family still living in Blackburn with Darwen, and to also be here for generations to come. I would like to have moved out of the borough and be living elsewhere I want to be working or enjoying my retirement in Blackburn with Darwen 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Strongly agree Generally agree Generally disagree Strongly disagree Don’t know Not applicable Source: Citizen’s Panel weighted
  • 15. Future Aspiration of ResidentsFast public transport to neighbouring towns 86%Proud to live here 71%Friendly and people get on 70%A new identity from the culture of people that live here 70%Shopping on a par with Bolton/Preston 69%Want famous buildings and sculptures 68%Need a University 64%Want to be working or retired here 62%Best schools in the North West 59%See my family living here 57%A place for the best jobs 36%Want to have moved out 33%Use internet rather than shop and meet people 31%Much the same as now 19%Source: Citizen’s Panel weighted
  • 16. Future Priorities Crime and disorder Economy and jobs Communities getting on together Schools and further educationImproving transport (roads and public transport) Leisure and things to do Health and well-being The way the borough looks Environment, greens spaces and woodland Housing and new homes Other 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 Percentage Source: Citizen’s Panel weighted
  • 17. Blackburn with Darwen 2030 Number PercentageClose Community / family/ more cohesive 152 12%Cant think 152 12%Better 147 12%Clean / tidy 143 12%Less crime / feeling safer 91 7%More prosperous /thriving / busy 78 6%Livelier / cosmopolitan 76 6%Friendly 74 6%More work/hub for industry/economy 65 5%Improving / ahead of the times/ modern/inspirational 61 5% Source: Citizen’s Panel weighted
  • 18. 2030 Aspiration Cohesion – Connected Communities, Towns (Blackburn with Darwen) Stop racist attitudes Transport – Prices, Road Systems, Improved Buses/Trains Economy/Regeneration – Job opportunities increased, Renewal of old buildings, More quality shopping Education – University town, High standards in schools, Better education opportunities for young people Leisure –More facilities for young people, More facilities for older people, More nightlife Environment –Cleaner Streets, Safer town centre, Using solar energy People – Sense of hope, Sense of pride about where people live, No drugsSource: Focus Groups
  • 19. From the Outside External Perception of Blackburn with Darwen 427 Responses POSITIVE 29% NEGATIVE 36% INDIFFERENT 20% DON’T KNOW 15%Source: Surrounding Boroughs Citizen’s Panel weighted
  • 20. Draft Vision Outline•safe neighbourhoods and town centres where communities and cultures feelconnected and feel proud of the developing identity of Blackburn with Darwen•prosperous towns where residents aspire to achieve their dreams for education,learning and employment, with thriving businesses creating innovative productsfor local and world markets•clean and tidy neighbourhoods that make the best use of the worlds resources,with really good parks, sporting and public facilities that are used by all thecommunity•healthy places for communities, where residents of all ages live safe andhealthy lives at home and outdoors•the completion of major projects (to be identified through the Future CitiesGame) which will transform the national and international reputation ofBlackburn with Darwen, attracting investment and visitors and developing stronginternational trade and cultural links•local people involved in decisions about their neighbourhood
  • 21. Website: RESEARCH ENGAGEMENT •Citizens Panel •Neighbourhoods Borough Council •Focus Groups •CVS Policy Council •Baselines •Business Vision Draft 2030 Vision 2030 Development Vision 2030 Conf. January 2010 LSP LSPThematic Forums Future Cities Game8 Workshops January workshop Blackburn with Darwen Strategic Partnership