When                               Machine                                     Think                               Peter C...
The majority of human knowledge has been derived from collaborating with machines                             ✦   Details ...
That knowledge is now being shared by way  of new mechanisms on a vast scale...       Această cunoaştere este acum       î...
Social networking                             Other people:Thursday, 10 November 2011
Social networking                             Other people:                                          * Read               ...
Machines now manufacture more products  and control more things than we do                             ✦   Integrated circ...
We are creating a society of networked  people and things...                             ✦   Cars                         ...
And we have started to understand the       depth of something deep & fundamental                             ✦   The univ...
What does this really mean?         Ce înseamnă aceasta cu adevărat?Thursday, 10 November 2011
We may never fully understand....                                   ✦   Tsunamis                                   ✦   Eco...
Responding in time saves lives, resources,    time, money....and perhaps the planet...Thursday, 10 November 2011
We only have one prospective solution - a       partnership with our machines...                             ✦   They stor...
What we know for sure !                             Ceea ce ştim sigur!Thursday, 10 November 2011
Continuing to increase computing power &   memory/storage will not lead to intelligenceThursday, 10 November 2011
How do we know ?                             Cum ştim?Thursday, 10 November 2011
We have a model for intelligence that       says that sensors & actuators are vital...                             Ic ~ k ...
The primary reason that my laptop is       dumb is that it has no sensory system....Thursday, 10 November 2011
But we are building extensive networks of       sensors and that is the first step....Thursday, 10 November 2011
But we are building extensive networks of       sensors and that is the first step....                                     ...
However, our biggest network of sensors      numbers in the 1,000,000,000s....Thursday, 10 November 2011
However, our biggest network of sensors      numbers in the 1,000,000,000s....               Smart phones could be the ult...
Deci, ce zici de faptul că meta-date?Thursday, 10 November 2011
So, how about that Meta-Data ?           Deci, ce zici de faptul că meta-date?Thursday, 10 November 2011
What does it        know      about you?Thursday, 10 November 2011
Where you are ?                             Where you have been ?      What does it           Where you are likely to be g...
Soon to be         enhanced         with more          sensors!Thursday, 10 November 2011
Soon to be         enhanced                             Enhance 2D/3D Camera         with more           Enhanced micropho...
Incramentalism ?                  This really isn’t the next step - it really isn’t !!Thursday, 10 November 2011
Incramentalism ?          The banks/card companies are gearing up to do this !!Thursday, 10 November 2011
But the real consumer problem is far bigger!                ID              Pass            Debit            Credit       ...
But the real consumer problem is far bigger!                ID              Pass            Debit            Credit       ...
But the real consumer problem is far bigger!                             Just manage my life for me!Thursday, 10 November ...
But the real consumer problem is far bigger!                                                           iCards             ...
But the real consumer problem is far bigger!                                                           iCards             ...
Much of this technology will be extended to  other vehicles...Thursday, 10 November 2011
At a lower technology level wewill also see tagging for lifeThursday, 10 November 2011
At a lower technology level wewill also see tagging for life                                                Cradle        ...
So, what’s the big deal ?             Deci, ce-i mare scofală?Thursday, 10 November 2011
Our logistic systems waste a significant % of  the global GDP...Thursday, 10 November 2011
Data, admin, dosage, treatment errors kill  1000’s or sees serious disablement !Thursday, 10 November 2011
Modern farming sees tagged crops and  animals + vehicles and supplies !Thursday, 10 November 2011
Industrial and personal recycling and reuse  could be vastly improved to reduce waste !Thursday, 10 November 2011
But it all requires even more attention to data...      Dar aceasta necesită o atenţie tot mai      mult la datele ...    ...
But it all requires even more attention to data...      Dar aceasta necesită o atenţie tot mai      mult la datele ...    ...
Ultimately this is all about sustainability and  survivability!                             ✦   Not more for the few      ...
Other implications ?                             Alte implicaţii?Thursday, 10 November 2011
We understand a lot about the sociology of people, but nothing about the sociology of machines !Thursday, 10 November 2011
But as everything                             is more and more                             networked...then               ...
An early arrival - the 3D printer, replication      at a distance, and machines designing      machines...Thursday, 10 Nov...
What can we do with AI & AL now?Thursday, 10 November 2011
This was not designed by man.....Thursday, 10 November 2011
Atomic manipulation has been a reality for some        time…Thursday, 10 November 2011
We have decoded the genome and have made a          start on proteins…we can manipulate both...Thursday, 10 November 2011
A new ability to program materials to form 3D    objects of a predefined shape and function...Thursday, 10 November 2011
A new ability to program materials to form 3D    objects of a predefined shape and function...Thursday, 10 November 2011
Still at an infantile stage - part magic - part reality...Thursday, 10 November 2011
And then there are sensors !Thursday, 10 November 2011
Creativity is moving                             to the edge.... out of                             control, open, and    ...
We will then see new:                             ✦   ways of thinking                             ✦   discoveries        ...
Final Word           The £ $ € is in the ʻMeta Dataʼ   $ £ € este în zona "Date Meta"Thursday, 10 November 2011
ca-global.org             cochrane.org.uk           Thank You     mulţumesc               COCHRANE                 a s s o...
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When machines think

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In society and our companies we are facing a future of complexity and challenges that require the analytic capabilities of computers to help us make wise decisions. They already do a better job of medical diagnosis and treatment prognosis in areas like breast cancer screening, and without them we would be blind to the vast storehouse of information and knowledge we enjoy via the internet. But if they are to become truly intelligent they will need more than bigger storage capacity and faster processing speeds. The will need a network of sensors and a much greater facility to output their data. That network of sensors is most likely going to be provided by our mobile devices, and the output? Virtual and augmented reality, haptic 3D, robotic presence, and more - in addition to sound and vision of today.

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When machines think

  1. 1. When Machine Think Peter Cochrane cochrane.org.uk ca-global.org COCHRANE a s s o c i a t e sThursday, 10 November 2011
  2. 2. The majority of human knowledge has been derived from collaborating with machines ✦ Details of the cosmos ✦ Details of the atom ✦ Decoding the genome ✦ Decoding proteins ✦ Evolutionary science ✦ Weather prediction ✦ The spread of disease ✦ Biological operations ✦ Network traffic flows ✦ The physics of flight ✦ Power generation ✦ +++++Thursday, 10 November 2011
  3. 3. That knowledge is now being shared by way of new mechanisms on a vast scale... Această cunoaştere este acum împărtăşită prin intermediul unor mecanisme noi pe scară largă ...Thursday, 10 November 2011
  4. 4. Social networking Other people:Thursday, 10 November 2011
  5. 5. Social networking Other people: * Read * Watch * Listen * Search * Think * Work * Solve problems * Try products * Find good services * Organise group purchases So I don’t have to !Thursday, 10 November 2011
  6. 6. Machines now manufacture more products and control more things than we do ✦ Integrated circuits ✦ Hard drives ✦ Displays ✦ Computers ✦ Mobile phones ✦ ++++ ✦ Food ✦ Clothing ✦ ++++ ✦ Production lines ✦ Traffic flows ✦ Aircraft ✦ +++++Thursday, 10 November 2011
  7. 7. We are creating a society of networked people and things... ✦ Cars ✦ Trains ✦ Planes ✦ Homes ✦ Offices ✦ Devices ✦ Television ✦ Services ✦ Support ✦ Supply ✦ Sales ✦ +++++Thursday, 10 November 2011
  8. 8. And we have started to understand the depth of something deep & fundamental ✦ The universe is unstable ✦ It is not well behaved ✦ It is not linear ✦ It is chaotic & non-linear ✦ It may be beyond our understandingThursday, 10 November 2011
  9. 9. What does this really mean? Ce înseamnă aceasta cu adevărat?Thursday, 10 November 2011
  10. 10. We may never fully understand.... ✦ Tsunamis ✦ Ecologies ✦ Earthquakes ✦ Heart attacks ✦ Power outages ✦ Market collapses ✦ Weather systems ✦ Network instabilities ✦ Socio-political problems ✦ Genome - Protein interaction ✦ +++Thursday, 10 November 2011
  11. 11. Responding in time saves lives, resources, time, money....and perhaps the planet...Thursday, 10 November 2011
  12. 12. We only have one prospective solution - a partnership with our machines... ✦ They store all our data ✦ They control our infrastructure ✦ They communicate with our sensors ✦ We totally depend on them ✦ They are slowly getting smarter ✦ But will they ever be intelligent ? ✦ Will they ever be more than super adding machines & data repositories ?Thursday, 10 November 2011
  13. 13. What we know for sure ! Ceea ce ştim sigur!Thursday, 10 November 2011
  14. 14. Continuing to increase computing power & memory/storage will not lead to intelligenceThursday, 10 November 2011
  15. 15. How do we know ? Cum ştim?Thursday, 10 November 2011
  16. 16. We have a model for intelligence that says that sensors & actuators are vital... Ic ~ k log2[1 + KAS ( 1 + PM )] S = Sensor, A = Actuator, P = Processor, M = Memory ✦ No input = no intelligence ✦ No output = no intelligence ✦ Memory stores facts and experiences ✦ Processing power defines the time to solveThursday, 10 November 2011
  17. 17. The primary reason that my laptop is dumb is that it has no sensory system....Thursday, 10 November 2011
  18. 18. But we are building extensive networks of sensors and that is the first step....Thursday, 10 November 2011
  19. 19. But we are building extensive networks of sensors and that is the first step.... 00 0’s e 1 in th b er um lyn on he se TThursday, 10 November 2011
  20. 20. However, our biggest network of sensors numbers in the 1,000,000,000s....Thursday, 10 November 2011
  21. 21. However, our biggest network of sensors numbers in the 1,000,000,000s.... Smart phones could be the ultimate sensor networkThursday, 10 November 2011
  22. 22. Deci, ce zici de faptul că meta-date?Thursday, 10 November 2011
  23. 23. So, how about that Meta-Data ? Deci, ce zici de faptul că meta-date?Thursday, 10 November 2011
  24. 24. What does it know about you?Thursday, 10 November 2011
  25. 25. Where you are ? Where you have been ? What does it Where you are likely to be going to ? Who you have met ? know Who you are going to meet ? Who you call ? about you? Who calls you ? Who you TXT - IM - Link ? All your contacts All your urls All you passwords What you are doing now ? What have you done in the past ? What games you play ? What apps you use ? What music you listen to...? What you watch...? What you read...? ++++++++++Thursday, 10 November 2011
  26. 26. Soon to be enhanced with more sensors!Thursday, 10 November 2011
  27. 27. Soon to be enhanced Enhance 2D/3D Camera with more Enhanced microphone Enhanced GPS sensors! Air pressure Humidity Pollutant detection WiFi triangulation Medical/Care extensions RFID ++++++++++Thursday, 10 November 2011
  28. 28. Incramentalism ? This really isn’t the next step - it really isn’t !!Thursday, 10 November 2011
  29. 29. Incramentalism ? The banks/card companies are gearing up to do this !!Thursday, 10 November 2011
  30. 30. But the real consumer problem is far bigger! ID Pass Debit Credit Guides Loyalty Medical Licences Insurances Institutions Quick Notes Memberships ++++++++++ How many more can you cope with?Thursday, 10 November 2011
  31. 31. But the real consumer problem is far bigger! ID Pass Debit Credit Guides Loyalty Medical Licences Insurances Institutions Quick Notes Memberships ++++++++++ Just manage my life for me!Thursday, 10 November 2011
  32. 32. But the real consumer problem is far bigger! Just manage my life for me!Thursday, 10 November 2011
  33. 33. But the real consumer problem is far bigger! iCards Just manage my life for me!Thursday, 10 November 2011
  34. 34. But the real consumer problem is far bigger! iCards Just manage my life for me!Thursday, 10 November 2011
  35. 35. Much of this technology will be extended to other vehicles...Thursday, 10 November 2011
  36. 36. At a lower technology level wewill also see tagging for lifeThursday, 10 November 2011
  37. 37. At a lower technology level wewill also see tagging for life Cradle Chunky Limited to Pretty Grave information technology Data Jewellery Chips and tags on and in everything including goods, animals & peopleThursday, 10 November 2011
  38. 38. So, what’s the big deal ? Deci, ce-i mare scofală?Thursday, 10 November 2011
  39. 39. Our logistic systems waste a significant % of the global GDP...Thursday, 10 November 2011
  40. 40. Data, admin, dosage, treatment errors kill 1000’s or sees serious disablement !Thursday, 10 November 2011
  41. 41. Modern farming sees tagged crops and animals + vehicles and supplies !Thursday, 10 November 2011
  42. 42. Industrial and personal recycling and reuse could be vastly improved to reduce waste !Thursday, 10 November 2011
  43. 43. But it all requires even more attention to data... Dar aceasta necesită o atenţie tot mai mult la datele ... • There is $$ in data • Even more $$ in meta data • Există $ $ în date • Chiar mai mult $ $ în meta-dateThursday, 10 November 2011
  44. 44. But it all requires even more attention to data... Dar aceasta necesită o atenţie tot mai mult la datele ... • There is $$ in data • Even more $$ in meta data • Există $ $ în date • Chiar mai mult $ $ în meta-dateThursday, 10 November 2011
  45. 45. Ultimately this is all about sustainability and survivability! ✦ Not more for the few ✦ But sufficient for all ✦ Using what is plentiful ✦ Not fighting over the scarce ✦ Creating less waste ✦ Helping nature not fighting her ✦ Living in a way the planet can supportThursday, 10 November 2011
  46. 46. Other implications ? Alte implicaţii?Thursday, 10 November 2011
  47. 47. We understand a lot about the sociology of people, but nothing about the sociology of machines !Thursday, 10 November 2011
  48. 48. But as everything is more and more networked...then we can assume that new levels of intelligence will also emerge...Thursday, 10 November 2011
  49. 49. An early arrival - the 3D printer, replication at a distance, and machines designing machines...Thursday, 10 November 2011
  50. 50. What can we do with AI & AL now?Thursday, 10 November 2011
  51. 51. This was not designed by man.....Thursday, 10 November 2011
  52. 52. Atomic manipulation has been a reality for some time…Thursday, 10 November 2011
  53. 53. We have decoded the genome and have made a start on proteins…we can manipulate both...Thursday, 10 November 2011
  54. 54. A new ability to program materials to form 3D objects of a predefined shape and function...Thursday, 10 November 2011
  55. 55. A new ability to program materials to form 3D objects of a predefined shape and function...Thursday, 10 November 2011
  56. 56. Still at an infantile stage - part magic - part reality...Thursday, 10 November 2011
  57. 57. And then there are sensors !Thursday, 10 November 2011
  58. 58. Creativity is moving to the edge.... out of control, open, and distributed...Thursday, 10 November 2011
  59. 59. We will then see new: ✦ ways of thinking ✦ discoveries ✦ perceptions ✦ understanding ✦ capabilities Society and companies will be changed...Thursday, 10 November 2011
  60. 60. Final Word The £ $ € is in the ʻMeta Dataʼ $ £ € este în zona "Date Meta"Thursday, 10 November 2011
  61. 61. ca-global.org cochrane.org.uk Thank You mulţumesc COCHRANE a s s o c i a t e s 1995Thursday, 10 November 2011
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