0
Largely Unseen...                       ...but on the radar !            Peter Cochrane                          ca-global...
Context, context! My                         kingdom for Context!                            With apologies to William Sha...
Sustainability cannot   be realised with old   technologies and old   industry models...Tuesday, 7 February 12
Changing all the light     bulbs and tinkering at     the edges won’t cure     this problem..Tuesday, 7 February 12
We have to stop   doing things like this   and find planet (and   people) friendly   alternatives...Tuesday, 7 February 12
Underused video    conference is a sign of    the lack of network    bandwidth and    connectivity...    ...it does not si...
Home, remote, and    working on the move    are obvious winners    too...    ...but only if you can get    the bandwidth a...
But there is widespread frustration at the extremely low bandwidth and poor connectivity available today ...Tuesday, 7 Feb...
It undermines and    prevents          the    widespread use of the    latest technologies...Tuesday, 7 February 12
< 7 % of internet ready  TV sets can gain access  at sufficient speed to be  useable...Tuesday, 7 February 12
d !!    I collected these                                  o rl                                                      w    ...
Bandwidth & connectivity  present the ultimate road  block to our progress...Tuesday, 7 February 12
Our future and that       of the planet lies in       the hands of new       technologies and new       models for industr...
I only have time to  illustrate this with a few  samples of some of the  biggest changes on the  horizon....Tuesday, 7 Feb...
It all hinges on the the next tech hot spot....                                        ...and the next industrial revoluti...
Moving on from bulk  materials and the  destruction of  resources...  ...3D printing is going  mainstream in industry... a...
It is revolutionising   the way we think of   design & production...   ...enabling new ways to realize   c o m p l e x s t...
Hardware                                        ig n                                    D es                 t            ...
Bridging the organic  and the biological to  create new materials  and capabilities...Tuesday, 7 February 12
Programming materials  to form 3D objects of  predefined shape &  function...Tuesday, 7 February 12
Back to the plot !Tuesday, 7 February 12
Nothing is static for long:                         technology, networks and                         people...Tuesday, 7 F...
Everything now tends                         toward the complex, is                         inter-connected, making       ...
Technological change is                         a l w ay s a o n e w ay                         process...                ...
Unequals                                    Worlds apart - a completely                                    new paradigm!Tu...
Mobile technology has                         enabled new ways of                         wo r k i n g , p l ay a n d     ...
So, what happens  next ?Tuesday, 7 February 12
Social media leads to  social selling...Tuesday, 7 February 12
es                                                         se ..                                                       es ...
Where you are ?     Your mobile device will   Where you have been ?                               Where you are likely to ...
Incramentalism ?                         This really isn’t the next step - it really isn’t !!Tuesday, 7 February 12
The wider problem - cards galore!                   ID                 Pass               Debit               Credit      ...
If cards go from swipe to contactless...and that         is all, then there will be another...                         ......
Tagging for life                                                     Cradle                               Chunky          ...
Everything & everyone                         will be connected and                         communicating...              ...
MetaData will be the      future focus of      business, care and      government ...      ...and it is where the £,      ...
B U T a g ro w i n g                         complexity will                         demand more                         s...
The technologies of the                         p a s t c a n ’t c u t t h e                         mustard...they really...
And we won’t find                         the solution in the                         museum...Tuesday, 7 February 12
The biggest challenges facing any industry ?       • History       • Old mindsets       • Old models       • Existing oper...
It is time to be                         thinking different...Tuesday, 7 February 12
A existence theorem... a    company with a vision    and a plan...    ...FTTH @ an initial    1Gbit/s both ways open to   ...
FTTH + 3G + WiFi                         open access in the                         customers box...Tuesday, 7 February 12
Mountain View                           & GoogleNet   … a different model   and new threat to the   Mobile Industry???Tues...
What would all this                         mean for the UK ?Tuesday, 7 February 12
22M of these...                            Or                         55k of these...Tuesday, 7 February 12
Thin bandwidth                         over 1 - 10km                           Big bandwidth                             o...
FM           WiFi                                             Opportunity                              TV                 ...
Number Tx   MW                                             of devices                                                     ...
The spectrum myth…                       …it is in short supply!                                        !                 ...
We now have the technology to deliver an infinity      of wireless bandwidth to almost any location...all      the old limi...
2.5/3G         mobile                                                 HiFi                             FreeView           ...
mobile                                       PC                         Hub/                         Switch               ...
Mobile migration            “Hardwear”                            Chunky              Pretty                            te...
Mobile migration...Tuesday, 7 February 12
Gen Y = most connected, networked, participative            and technically engaged generation ever…Tuesday, 7 February 12
Or as the older generation might see them...Tuesday, 7 February 12
>20 years of living on line       - Any platform       - Any device       - Any OS       - Any Application       - An enti...
And IT Dept’s will not       be able to do this any       more…Tuesday, 7 February 12
Creativity is now at the                         edge, out of control,                         open, & distributed...     ...
ca-global.org              cochrane.org.uk                Thank You                  COCHRANE                    a s s o c...
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Technology largely unseen - but on the radar

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Forecasting what technology will arrive when turns out to be relatively straightforward. However, the human, commercial and political elements are far more tricky! Here we look at where IT is going and what is available, and possible, today as opposed to predicting what is actually going to happen.

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Transcript of "Technology largely unseen - but on the radar"

  1. 1. Largely Unseen... ...but on the radar ! Peter Cochrane ca-global.org cochrane.org.uk COCHRANE a s s o c i a t e sTuesday, 7 February 12
  2. 2. Context, context! My kingdom for Context! With apologies to William Shakespear Richard The Third Act 5, scene 4, 7–10Tuesday, 7 February 12
  3. 3. Sustainability cannot be realised with old technologies and old industry models...Tuesday, 7 February 12
  4. 4. Changing all the light bulbs and tinkering at the edges won’t cure this problem..Tuesday, 7 February 12
  5. 5. We have to stop doing things like this and find planet (and people) friendly alternatives...Tuesday, 7 February 12
  6. 6. Underused video conference is a sign of the lack of network bandwidth and connectivity... ...it does not signify a lack of need, demand, or suitable technology !Tuesday, 7 February 12
  7. 7. Home, remote, and working on the move are obvious winners too... ...but only if you can get the bandwidth and connectivity you need...Tuesday, 7 February 12
  8. 8. But there is widespread frustration at the extremely low bandwidth and poor connectivity available today ...Tuesday, 7 February 12
  9. 9. It undermines and prevents the widespread use of the latest technologies...Tuesday, 7 February 12
  10. 10. < 7 % of internet ready TV sets can gain access at sufficient speed to be useable...Tuesday, 7 February 12
  11. 11. d !! I collected these o rl w ic Global average test results over e tr m the past year as I sy m a travelled the an planet... n ot is t IT B u Global averageTuesday, 7 February 12
  12. 12. Bandwidth & connectivity present the ultimate road block to our progress...Tuesday, 7 February 12
  13. 13. Our future and that of the planet lies in the hands of new technologies and new models for industry and society...Tuesday, 7 February 12
  14. 14. I only have time to illustrate this with a few samples of some of the biggest changes on the horizon....Tuesday, 7 February 12
  15. 15. It all hinges on the the next tech hot spot.... ...and the next industrial revolution Nano Bio IT + AI This is where all the real action is going to beTuesday, 7 February 12
  16. 16. Moving on from bulk materials and the destruction of resources... ...3D printing is going mainstream in industry... and soon it will be in every office and homeTuesday, 7 February 12
  17. 17. It is revolutionising the way we think of design & production... ...enabling new ways to realize c o m p l e x s t r u c t u re s , a n d integrated components...Tuesday, 7 February 12
  18. 18. Hardware ig n D es t Access en lo pm D e ve OPEN on bu ti Networks i st ri on D a ti n ov In SoftwareTuesday, 7 February 12
  19. 19. Bridging the organic and the biological to create new materials and capabilities...Tuesday, 7 February 12
  20. 20. Programming materials to form 3D objects of predefined shape & function...Tuesday, 7 February 12
  21. 21. Back to the plot !Tuesday, 7 February 12
  22. 22. Nothing is static for long: technology, networks and people...Tuesday, 7 February 12
  23. 23. Everything now tends toward the complex, is inter-connected, making causality difficult to establish - and is mostly impossible... ...what drives what is no longer simple or clearTuesday, 7 February 12
  24. 24. Technological change is a l w ay s a o n e w ay process... ...there is never any going back without huge penalties !Tuesday, 7 February 12
  25. 25. Unequals Worlds apart - a completely new paradigm!Tuesday, 7 February 12
  26. 26. Mobile technology has enabled new ways of wo r k i n g , p l ay a n d industries...Tuesday, 7 February 12
  27. 27. So, what happens next ?Tuesday, 7 February 12
  28. 28. Social media leads to social selling...Tuesday, 7 February 12
  29. 29. es se .. es e’. ic os e rv cl S ly ed eal Bas ‘r e on com ti be ca s o d L n + rie S lf P a G u vi rtTuesday, 7 February 12
  30. 30. Where you are ? Your mobile device will Where you have been ? Where you are likely to be going to ? know more and more Who you have met ? Who you are going to meet ? about you day by day ! Who you call ? Who calls you ? Who you TXT - IM - Link ? All your contacts All your urls All you passwords What you are doing now ? What have you done in the past ? What games you play ? What apps you use ? What music you listen to...? What you watch...? What you read...? ++++++++++Tuesday, 7 February 12
  31. 31. Incramentalism ? This really isn’t the next step - it really isn’t !!Tuesday, 7 February 12
  32. 32. The wider problem - cards galore! ID Pass Debit Credit Guides Loyalty Medical Licences Insurances Institutions Quick Notes Memberships iCards ++++++++++ How many more my life for me!with? Just manage can you copeTuesday, 7 February 12
  33. 33. If cards go from swipe to contactless...and that is all, then there will be another... ...only this time it will really hurt!Tuesday, 7 February 12
  34. 34. Tagging for life Cradle Chunky Limited to Pretty Grave technology information Jewelry Data Chips and tags on and in everything including goods, animals & peopleTuesday, 7 February 12
  35. 35. Everything & everyone will be connected and communicating... ...and increasingly mobile...Tuesday, 7 February 12
  36. 36. MetaData will be the future focus of business, care and government ... ...and it is where the £, $, € will migrate !Tuesday, 7 February 12
  37. 37. B U T a g ro w i n g complexity will demand more speed and more connectivity...Tuesday, 7 February 12
  38. 38. The technologies of the p a s t c a n ’t c u t t h e mustard...they really can’t... ...the future demands something radically different...a new approach that can deliver...Tuesday, 7 February 12
  39. 39. And we won’t find the solution in the museum...Tuesday, 7 February 12
  40. 40. The biggest challenges facing any industry ? • History • Old mindsets • Old models • Existing operations • Vested interests • ChangeTuesday, 7 February 12
  41. 41. It is time to be thinking different...Tuesday, 7 February 12
  42. 42. A existence theorem... a company with a vision and a plan... ...FTTH @ an initial 1Gbit/s both ways open to all users and all networks...Tuesday, 7 February 12
  43. 43. FTTH + 3G + WiFi open access in the customers box...Tuesday, 7 February 12
  44. 44. Mountain View & GoogleNet … a different model and new threat to the Mobile Industry???Tuesday, 7 February 12
  45. 45. What would all this mean for the UK ?Tuesday, 7 February 12
  46. 46. 22M of these... Or 55k of these...Tuesday, 7 February 12
  47. 47. Thin bandwidth over 1 - 10km Big bandwidth over 10mTuesday, 7 February 12
  48. 48. FM WiFi Opportunity TV Optical Mobile We have devices & processing power to do & access more than ever beforeTuesday, 7 February 12
  49. 49. Number Tx MW of devices Tns Sensors RFID Bns 100% The need for regulation and control ~ 0% Ms Mobiles Distance 3/4/5G & Power 100ks WiFi/Max ks mWTuesday, 7 February 12
  50. 50. The spectrum myth… …it is in short supply! ! ed u s n u s t ly City of Chicagoostudy <17% m of commercial spectrum used is it a lly ctu ATuesday, 7 February 12
  51. 51. We now have the technology to deliver an infinity of wireless bandwidth to almost any location...all the old limiters have gone!Tuesday, 7 February 12
  52. 52. 2.5/3G mobile HiFi FreeView SatTV DVD ~60GHz WiFi FTTH Entertainment & IT connected & configured using 60GHz. Broadband Server + back up store + CD & DVD + movie store + Integral 60GHz + WiFi + BlueTooth + 3 + 4GTuesday, 7 February 12
  53. 53. mobile PC Hub/ Switch Server A cloud of connectivity Router Old wires and boxes view New access cloud perceptionTuesday, 7 February 12
  54. 54. Mobile migration “Hardwear” Chunky Pretty technology JewelryIt hurts when I sit down!Tuesday, 7 February 12
  55. 55. Mobile migration...Tuesday, 7 February 12
  56. 56. Gen Y = most connected, networked, participative and technically engaged generation ever…Tuesday, 7 February 12
  57. 57. Or as the older generation might see them...Tuesday, 7 February 12
  58. 58. >20 years of living on line - Any platform - Any device - Any OS - Any Application - An entirely different expectation! - Socially aware and connected - Unwilling to tow the IT Dept line - Provide and own their own IT and appsTuesday, 7 February 12
  59. 59. And IT Dept’s will not be able to do this any more…Tuesday, 7 February 12
  60. 60. Creativity is now at the edge, out of control, open, & distributed... ...and it is connectivity and bandwidth hungryTuesday, 7 February 12
  61. 61. ca-global.org cochrane.org.uk Thank You COCHRANE a s s o c i a t e sTuesday, 7 February 12
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