Future health care

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Health systems worldwide are struggling to satisfy a growing demand and a rising tide of customer expectation. But new technologies are pushing knowledge access, self test and diagnosis toward the users. With developments in nan and bio-tech this is about to accelerate with a new range of sensors and treatment/repair options.

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Future health care

  1. 1. Future Health Care ...largely unseen, but on the radar ! Peter Cochrane ca-global.org cochrane.org.uk COCHRANE a s s o c i a t e sWednesday, 14 March 12
  2. 2. Context, context! My kingdom for Context! With apologies to William Shakespear Richard The Third Act 5, scene 4, 7–10Wednesday, 14 March 12
  3. 3. The rules of the game have changed...Wednesday, 14 March 12
  4. 4. Healthcare worldwide is struggling to cope...in the future it will be much worse...Wednesday, 14 March 12
  5. 5. Solutions will be technology driven and come from the home and local facilitues... ...only the timing is the issue...Wednesday, 14 March 12
  6. 6. A recent example...a family member is now suffering this and can’t speak...Wednesday, 14 March 12
  7. 7. The NHS supplied this... But I thought we could do a lot better with an iPad and a Free App...and I was right!Wednesday, 14 March 12
  8. 8. We will be the last generation to know so little about our health and the state of our bodies...Wednesday, 14 March 12
  9. 9. Home testing, diagnosis and treatment will (have to ?) grow...Wednesday, 14 March 12
  10. 10. Much of it will be built in...subliminal...and those who elect to opt out or ignore the data, and warning signs / fail to take action will die early...Wednesday, 14 March 12
  11. 11. Technology has moved the centre of gravity...and it won’t stop...it will only accelerate...and we have to do much better than just hanging on...Wednesday, 14 March 12
  12. 12. And there is no going back...Wednesday, 14 March 12
  13. 13. This is the new norm, the new stability...Wednesday, 14 March 12
  14. 14. “It takes all the running you can do, to keep in the same place” The Red Queen hypothesis, Alice in Wonderland: Lewis CarrollWednesday, 14 March 12
  15. 15. Networks of people and things have changed the way we see our world, think and act...with social nets and distributed working now centre stage...Wednesday, 14 March 12
  16. 16. Users now call the shots, with creativity, problem solving and innovation moving to the edge...Wednesday, 14 March 12
  17. 17. Old people, systems, lawyers,managers, companies, societies, governments...are finding it hard to cope, and even harder to change...Wednesday, 14 March 12
  18. 18. The only human that likes change... ...and even they cry and scream thoughout the process !Wednesday, 14 March 12
  19. 19. Changing an established company ! “…can be almost impossible, and it is generally far easier to build a new one”Niccolò Machiavelli 1469 - 1527Wednesday, 14 March 12
  20. 20. Changing an established company ! “…can be almost impossible, and it is generally far easier to build a new one” This is what you haveNiccolò Machiavelli 1469 - 1527Wednesday, 14 March 12
  21. 21. Changing an established company ! “…can be almost impossible, and it is generally far easier to build a new one” This is what you need haveNiccolò Machiavelli 1469 - 1527Wednesday, 14 March 12
  22. 22. But giant leaps are risky! Exciting - and very definitely dangerous !!Wednesday, 14 March 12
  23. 23. And yet some companies seem to get it right !Wednesday, 14 March 12
  24. 24. How do they do it?Wednesday, 14 March 12
  25. 25. By understanding... What is available What it can do now What it will do in futureWednesday, 14 March 12
  26. 26. By understanding and satisfying markets Make it easy Make it simple Make it obvious Make it convenient Solve a problem Satisfy a need Deliver valueWednesday, 14 March 12
  27. 27. By understanding & s a t i s f y i n g customers... ...which is now quite a span !!Wednesday, 14 March 12
  28. 28. Timing ! Has to be spot onWednesday, 14 March 12
  29. 29. During the reformation eve r y t h i n g b e c a m e stove-piped...initially t h i s b ro u g h t h u g e benefit, but it is now a major inhibitor... ...there is only science...Wednesday, 14 March 12
  30. 30. We really do have to start taking a much wider perspective to see what must be done, when and by what mechanisms...nothing is disconnected anymore; the ecology, economy, technology and all of life on this planet shares a mutual dependency...Wednesday, 14 March 12
  31. 31. So what is the big future opportunity ! The world of atoms and bits is coming together...Wednesday, 14 March 12
  32. 32. Sustainability cannot be realised with old technologies and old industry models...Wednesday, 14 March 12
  33. 33. Changing all the light bulbs and tinkering at the edges won’t cure this problem..Wednesday, 14 March 12
  34. 34. We have to stop doing things like this and find planet (and people) friendly alternatives...Wednesday, 14 March 12
  35. 35. Underused video conference is a sign of the lack of network bandwidth and connectivity... ...it does not signify a lack of need, demand, or suitable technology !Wednesday, 14 March 12
  36. 36. Tele-operations in t h e N H S c i rc a 1992...Wednesday, 14 March 12
  37. 37. And 20 years on it is still seen as on the leading edge...Wednesday, 14 March 12
  38. 38. People are always the ultimate road block to our progress... the biggest risk to success...and now we are far slower to change than our technology...Wednesday, 14 March 12
  39. 39. Our future and that of the planet lies in the hands of new technologies and new models for industry and society...Wednesday, 14 March 12
  40. 40. So, whats on, and just over the horizon ?Wednesday, 14 March 12
  41. 41. It all hinges on the the next tech hot spot.... ...and the next industrial revolution Nano Bio IT + AIWednesday, 14 March 12
  42. 42. It all hinges on the the next tech hot spot.... ...and the next industrial revolution Nano Bio IT + AI This is where all the real action is going to beWednesday, 14 March 12
  43. 43. Moving on from bulk materials and the destruction of resources... ...3D printing is going mainstream in industry... and soon it will be in every office and homeWednesday, 14 March 12
  44. 44. It is revolutionising the way we think of design & production... ...enabling new ways to realize c o m p l e x s t r u c t u re s , a n d integrated components...Wednesday, 14 March 12
  45. 45. In the extreme it will change everything... ...and we have to think in terms of shipping designs and not goods...Wednesday, 14 March 12
  46. 46. For those who don’t see how 3D printers will change the way we live... ...how about a printed jaw and other body parts...scaffolding for bone growth and repair where cure is impossibleWednesday, 14 March 12
  47. 47. Vertrebal Disc 2002 Tissue Injection Molding.. Trachea 2002Wednesday, 14 March 12
  48. 48. Cranofacial Implants 2003Wednesday, 14 March 12
  49. 49. Bridging the organic and the biological to create new materials and capabilities...Wednesday, 14 March 12
  50. 50. Programming materials to form 3D objects of predefined shape & function...Wednesday, 14 March 12
  51. 51. We can afford to have a gene decode @ $600 & 0.5day... ...and within 5 years it will be $10 and 10min...Wednesday, 14 March 12
  52. 52. Nano-sensors and decoding the genome will change medicine and care... ...whilst the decoding the protein will lead to a new chapter for the human race...Wednesday, 14 March 12
  53. 53. All the science we need to make a tri- corder is now available... ...all that is left is the engineering of a product...Wednesday, 14 March 12
  54. 54. Scanadu - NASA Research Park Moffett Field CAWednesday, 14 March 12
  55. 55. Total Body Scan - bio samples to storage Continual This all leads to an Monitoring expectation of technology assisted Injury or Ill personal survival... Health Repair and RegenerationWednesday, 14 March 12
  56. 56. And perhaps a little fine tuning!Wednesday, 14 March 12
  57. 57. But there is much much more rapidly approaching!Wednesday, 14 March 12
  58. 58. We can now manipulateindividual atoms andprogram cell by cell...Wednesday, 14 March 12
  59. 59. And our machines aredesigning machines...Wednesday, 14 March 12
  60. 60. Still at an infantile stage - part magic - part reality...mutating matter....Wednesday, 14 March 12
  61. 61. Really interesting exper iences this year so far!Wednesday, 14 March 12
  62. 62. A new breed, and a new model operating at the edge...Wednesday, 14 March 12
  63. 63. A global network of home bio-labs is now producing useful results and contributing to the professional world... ...the happened before in the 1940 - 2010 with electronics, hi-fi, radio, computer s , software , apps...Wednesday, 14 March 12
  64. 64. And what of the connected world and mainstream ?Wednesday, 14 March 12
  65. 65. For most professionals the amount of data and info is doubling in less than 2 years !Wednesday, 14 March 12
  66. 66. They can’t cope, but the patients can...Wednesday, 14 March 12
  67. 67. A solution is coming from the direction of a game show out of the USA - Jeopardy...Wednesday, 14 March 12
  68. 68. This application of AI is really powerful and will soon be available via The Cloud...Wednesday, 14 March 12
  69. 69. Life and death decisions are a fact of life...Wednesday, 14 March 12
  70. 70. To say the least this poses some ver y serious issues...Wednesday, 14 March 12
  71. 71. And this is only the beginning of a whole new line of self generating technology...Wednesday, 14 March 12
  72. 72. The world is no longer simple, linear and well behaved....it never has been...but now it really shows...Wednesday, 14 March 12
  73. 73. The complexities of Mother Nature have now been compounded by those we have engineered!Wednesday, 14 March 12
  74. 74. Outcomes are very often counterintuitive and small things can often have very big consequences...Wednesday, 14 March 12
  75. 75. Stress and mental illness amongst the professional classes is becoming an epidemic!Wednesday, 14 March 12
  76. 76. We are not going to get any smarter and the situation can only get worse !Wednesday, 14 March 12
  77. 77. We need help and there is only one direction to look !Wednesday, 14 March 12
  78. 78. We need a different perspective and new ways of thinking...Wednesday, 14 March 12
  79. 79. Computer modelling, scenario testing, risk assessment, decision support...Wednesday, 14 March 12
  80. 80. And there is so much more... • Social nets use GPS to go real • Machine to machine + robotics • Telepresence for maintenance • Logistics and RFID + tracking • Vehicle and people tracking • Appliance and device tracking • Dynamic energy management • Interactive books & newspapers • Interactive media • The death of radio,TV, print +++Wednesday, 14 March 12
  81. 81. New economies fuelled by data and meta-dataWednesday, 14 March 12
  82. 82. Where you are ? New economies Where you have been ? Where you are likely to be going to ? fuelled by data and Who you have met ? Who you are going to meet ? meta-data Who you call ? Who calls you ? Who you TXT - IM - Link ? All your contacts All your urls All you passwords What you are doing now ? What have you done in the past ? What games you play ? What apps you use ? What music you listen to...? What you watch...? What you read...? ++++++++++Wednesday, 14 March 12
  83. 83. Big government & big companies ‘think big centralized solutions’... ...and the almost always fail...complexity kills !Wednesday, 14 March 12
  84. 84. But local small scale system almost always do a far better job...Wednesday, 14 March 12
  85. 85. Tagging for lifeWednesday, 14 March 12
  86. 86. Tagging for life Cradle Chunky Limited to Pretty Grave technology information Jewelry Data Chips and tags on and in everything including goods, animals & peopleWednesday, 14 March 12
  87. 87. Challenges - My Big 3 !Wednesday, 14 March 12
  88. 88. Artificial Intelligence Bio/Nano Sensors Manufactured PartsWednesday, 14 March 12
  89. 89. Life will be governed by our data, but our survival will be decided by our MetaData...Wednesday, 14 March 12
  90. 90. ca-global.org cochrane.org.uk Thank You COCHRANE a s s o c i a t e sWednesday, 14 March 12

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