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Penn Praxis has a plan for adding
                                                                                500 acres of open green space to
                                                                                Philadelphia in the next four years.
                                                                                Their approach, informed by novel
                                                                                research by Penn scholars in areas
                                                                                ranging from real-estate economics
                                                                                to criminology, is a new way of
                                                                                imagining urban parkland.



48   J U LY | A U G U S T 2 0 1 1   T H E P E N N S Y LVA N I A G A Z E T T E
THE
              PARK PIECES                                         OF A THOUSAND


BY TREY POPP


T here are plenty of reasons to like city
  parks. They give joggers a place to run,
seniors a place to walk, kids a place to cart-
                                                 responses. Replacing impervious asphalt
                                                 with rain-absorbing green space has
                                                 already saved the city water department
                                                                                               backed by the administration of Mayor
                                                                                               Michael Nutter W’79—are based in no
                                                                                               small part on evidence being developed by
wheel into their elders’ paths. For down-        $35 million in hard infrastructure costs      an eclectic constellation of Penn scholars.
town dog owners and penned-up parents, a         since 2006—gains that could be multi-         The analysis of urban open spaces, once
nearby patch of grass may be the difference      plied. The same goes for the output of        the exclusive preserve of landscape archi-
between a lasting interior paint job and         community gardens, which produced an          tects and city planners, has been taken up
claw marks on the walls. For a townhouse         estimated 2 million pounds of fresh pro-      by real-estate economists, criminologists,
dweller making do with a hundred square          duce in Philadelphia in the summer of         and experts in public health. Here is a
feet of sun-blasted roof deck, the shade of a    2008 alone, valued at almost $5 million.      survey of some of their research, and how
sugar maple might be enough to make                Then there are benefits that are harder     it may inform a new take on city parkland
August a month worth living.                     to quantify directly, but may yield even      in Philadelphia.
  Penn Praxis, the student-faculty clin-         bigger returns. Turning abandoned build-
ical consulting practice in the School           ings into park-like amenities reduces         The most noticeable aspect of Penn
of Design, makes the case for parkland           crime, the Penn Praxis report claims.         Praxis’s Green 2015 plan is that, to a sub-
in rather stronger terms. In a recent            Adding 500 acres of green space could         stantial degree, the new green spaces it
report outlining a rationale for creat-          help prevent 20 asthma attacks a year as      envisions are not very noticeable at all.
ing 500 acres of new public green space          a result of improved air quality. The         On a map of the whole city, they barely
in Philadelphia over the next four               authors also cite a 2010 study that cred-     show up—certainly not the way Fairmount
years, the group credits urban green-            ited Philadelphia’s existing open space       Park does, or the 843 acres of Central
ing projects with providing a seeming-           with generating health-related cost sav-      Park do on a map of New York. Instead,
ly miraculous range of benefits.                 ings in excess of $400 million.               the plan envisions a sort of archipelago
  For starters, there’s cold, hard cash.           “Simply put,” the Penn Praxis plan          of revitalized green spaces—mixing pub-
Converting vacant properties into tidy           declares, “city parks save lives.”            lic and private development—that range
lawns or community gardens, the report             That is a lofty claim, and so are many of   in size from the 24-acre Penn Park down
argues, can raise local property values,         the others. But the declarations in Green     to parcels as modest as the new one-
swell city tax revenues, and save the fire       2015: An Action Plan for the First 500        third-acre Julian Abele Park in southwest
and police departments literally millions        Acres—commissioned by Philadelphia’s          Center City [“Window,” Jan|Feb 2011], or
of dollars a year in averted emergency-call      Department of Parks and Recreation and        even as small as single vacant lots.
                                                  ILLUSTRATION BY CAROLINE HWANG               T H E P E N N S Y LVA N I A G A Z E T T E   J U LY | A U G U S T 2 0 1 1   49
“In an era of constrained times,” says                                        GIS (Geographic Information Systems) Lab     as 30 percent,” she wrote. “New tree
Penn Praxis director Harris Steinberg                                           and culling data from the city tax board     plantings increase surrounding hous-
C’78 GAr’82, “and difficult political ten-                                      and the Pennsylvania Horticultural Society   ing values by approximately 10 percent.
sions between [City] Council and the                                            (PHS), Wachter and her colleagues have       In the New Kensington area this trans-
[mayoral] administration … we really                                            come up with some compelling answers.        lates into a $4 million gain in value
wanted to make this as easily digestible                                          In a 2005 paper, she investigated the      through tree plantings and a $12 million
as possible.” Accordingly, they laid out a                                      effects of a pilot program in which the      gain through lot improvements.”
plan they feel is capable of having a                                           New Kensington Community Develop-               In that light, it seems fitting that her
“transformative impact, but on a series                                         ment Corporation teamed up with PHS to       employer recently partnered with the city
of small scales”—rather than the sort of                                        implement a greening strategy in that        Department of Parks and Recreation to
grand vision a latter-day Robert Moses or                                       depressed section of Philadelphia            give away 300 free trees to faculty and staff
Frederick Law Olmsted might dream up.                                           [“Gazetteer,” July|Aug 2005]. The pro-       living within city limits in a pilot program
  The crux of the plan is to draw from an                                       gram focused on replacing abandoned          called “Creating Canopy with Penn.”
asset that Philadelphia has in abundance:                                       lots with tree-ringed landscapes of mowed    Another new University initiative, more
vacant and abandoned land. The report                                           grass, as well as planting sidewalk trees.   symbolic in nature but a sign of the zeit-
observes that Philadelphia contains more                                          GIS software enabled Wachter to mea-       geist nonetheless, is the planting of a dif-
than 4,000 acres of vacant lots and aban-                                       sure the precise distance of every home      ferent tree species every year—one speci-
doned buildings. About one-quarter of                                           from a stabilized lot or tree planting.      men on campus and a second designated at
that total belongs to the city.                                                 Coupled with sales data from 1980 to         the Morris Arboretum—to honor the gradu-
  “The city is paying $21 million a year                                        2003, this permitted her to draw some        ating class. The Class of 2011 was com-
to manage all of that, regardless of                                            striking conclusions about the impact        memorated with a sugar maple in April.
ownership,” says Steinberg, noting that                                         of the greening pilot program (which
it costs money to seal off condemned                                            had cleaned the trash from 18,800 lots
buildings, respond to arson, and fight                                          between 2000 and 2003, and improved
crime in row homes that have been                                               about 12,000 of them). “Vacant land
abandoned to drug dealers. “And if you                                          improvements result in surrounding
can start to redirect some of that to                                           housing values increasing by as much
actually productive landscapes that
can help increase property values,” he
adds, “you shift the whole paradigm.”
  As anyone who lives across the street
from Central Park can tell you, the idea
that open green space can enhance prop-
erty values isn’t exactly novel. Nor is this
the first time Philadelphia has tried to
clean up derelict properties; former Mayor
John Street’s Neighborhood Transforma-
tion Initiative tried with mixed success to
do just that in some parts of the city in the
first few years of the last decade [“Gazet-
teer,” Sept|Oct 2010]. But until recently,
the notion that public greening could
“shift the whole paradigm” of urban
decrepitude was supported more by intu-
ition than evidence—at least when it
comes to measuring the effects of brand
new parks, particularly those built on a
much more modest scale. In the last sev-
eral years, Wharton’s Susan Wachter has
gone a long way to filling in that gap.
  Wachter, who is the Richard B. Worley
Professor of Financial Management and a
specialist in real-estate economics, has
been asking questions like, How much
does cleaning up a vacant lot increase the
market value of the house next door? and
                                                                                                                             Green 2015 envisions a sort of archipelago
How much is a sidewalk tree worth?                                                                                           of revitalized green spaces totaling 500
Tapping into the expertise of Wharton’s                                                                                      acres by 2015.

50   J U LY | A U G U S T 2 0 1 1   T H E P E N N S Y LVA N I A G A Z E T T E
In a 2008 paper with assistant profes-
                                                                   sor of real estate Grace Wong Bucchianeri,
                                                                   Wachter argued that the property-value
                                                                   increase associated with tree plantings
                                                                   is largely attributable to “either social
                                                                   capital creation or a signaling mecha-
                                                                   nism.” In other words, tree plantings
                                                                   send a signal to prospective home buyers
                                                                   that the community is becoming more
                                                                   actively involved in improving the neigh-
                                                                   borhood. About a quarter of the increase,
                                                                   they contended, stemmed from the
                                                                   intrinsic value of the tree.
                                                                     This underscores a related point,
                                                                   which is that the payoff of public invest-
                                                                   ment in greening depends on where it’s
                                                                   carried out. ““It’s not just greening of
                                                                   the space that does it—it’s the fact that
                                                                   you’ve greened a space that previously
                                                                   was depressing property values,” says
                                                                   Kevin Gillen GrW’05, a research col-
                                                                   league of Wachter’s. (Wachter is cur-
                                                                   rently on leave.)
                                                                     “If you go out to Lower Merion and
                                                                   demolish someone’s home and convert
                                                                   it into a little park, will that increase                                                        Part of the program calls for renovating rec
                                                                   the value of the home next door?” he                                                             centers and schoolyards with things like
                                                                   asks rhetorically. “Yes? By that much?                                                           tree canopies and porous pavement.
                                                                   No. Because what was there before was
                                                                   pretty nice. But if you’ve got a blighted    neighbors that, hey, maybe something is             you have a community garden. It’s that the
                                                                   abandoned factory in Kensington,             happening here, it’s turning around,                crime is gone, you’ve got a better view out
                                                                   which is just all asphalt and soil that      you’ve got another amenity.”                        your kitchen window, the air is cleaner,
                                                                   has chemicals in it, and rusty hulking          The Penn Praxis report observes that             you’ve got a potential source for food.”
                                                                   buildings, and you convert that to a         even with Fairmount Park, the largest                 And unlike a lot of kitchen make-
                                                                   park, you have much bigger spillover         city-owned park system in the world,                overs, the cost-benefit ratio of turning
                                                                   effect on the nearby home values.”           Philadelphia still has a need for more              a vacant lot (or a cluster of them) into a
                                                                     Gillen, who has pressed this research      green spaces. “There are currently more             pocket park can be very favorable.
                                                                   forward as a vice president of Econsult,     than 200,000 Philadelphians, about 1 in               “Measured bang for buck, it’s quite
                                                                   a Philadelphia-based economic con-           8 residents, who do not live within a               positive,” says Gillen. “Because in gen-
                                                                   sulting firm, says that the best areas a     10-minute walk of a public green space,”            eral what we often found is that the
                                                                   city can target for greening are “neigh-     the report notes. “Leaving this many citi-          value created would often exceed the
                                                                   borhoods on the margins.”                    zens without access to park space is like           cost of doing it. If it costs you $10,000
                                                                     “That is, they’re not completely dis-      leaving the entire cities of Allentown and          to green a lot but it creates $15,000 in
GREEN 2015: AN ACTION PLAN FOR THE FIRST 500 ACRES / PENN PRAXIS




                                                                   tressed, abandoned neighborhoods. But        Erie combined without access to parks.”             additional property value, then that’s a
                                                                   they’re neighborhoods that are sort of          Among the variables that influence a             gain to taxpayers.”
                                                                   at the tipping point of turning around,”     house’s value—from the number of bed-                 The Penn Praxis report cites a study by
                                                                   he explains. “Where they do the least        rooms and bathrooms to the number of                Gillen and Todd Baylson GCP’04 which
                                                                   good are the neighborhoods that would        garage bays (Wachter took 50 such                   found that homes near newly converted
                                                                   be considered the most depressed in the      variables into account in her New                   green spaces appreciated in value at an
                                                                   city. They have the highest crime, the       Kensington study)—“in general we find               average rate of 13.3 percent per year dur-
                                                                   highest abandonment. Those neighbor-         that public amenities are somewhere                 ing a period when the average home
                                                                   hoods need more help than just putting       in the middle,” Gillen says.                        value appreciated at a 7.8 percent annual
                                                                   in a community garden. They need bet-           “Any new kitchen can increase the value          rate. Over a seven-year period, this trans-
                                                                   ter policing, fire, trash collection. They   of your home a lot,” he adds. “[But] if you’re      lated into a $22.2 million gain in incre-
                                                                   need a lot more help than just convert-      right next to an abandoned home being               mental property-tax revenue.
                                                                   ing a vacant lot. But in marginal neigh-     used for criminal activity, and the next day          Gillen is quick to emphasize that
                                                                   borhoods, replacing an abandoned home        it’s a community garden, you can expect             greening is not the end-all of urban
                                                                   with a community garden signals to the       the effect to be pretty large. It’s not just that   invigoration.
                                                                                                                                                                    T H E P E N N S Y LVA N I A G A Z E T T E   J U LY | A U G U S T 2 0 1 1   51
“There’s a reason that we’re looking                                             “There’s been so little done with green-      Branas is currently planning to embark
at this issue” in Philadelphia, he says.                                        ing and open green space and its impact,”      on an experiment in which a large group of
“And it’s because we’re not a growing                                           Branas says. “People have been debating        vacant lots will be randomly selected to be
city … These 40,000 vacant parcels                                              it for decades, but there’s been very little   greened, and the subsequent public-health
represent dead assets on the city’s bal-                                        actual empirical work done on this ...         and crime impact compared to another
ance sheet. If something can be done                                            We’re following on some of Susan               randomly selected group of similar lots
with them, [the priority] should be to                                          [Wachter]’s work and expanding on more         that were not greened. He also hopes to
add to the tax base” via residential or                                         than just the economic impact for spe-         install time-lapse cameras in some vacant
commercial development.                                                         cific property owners. We’re really think-     lots to gather finer-grained observations.
  “Of course the reason Philadelphia has                                        ing about the neighborhoods and the              “In our fieldwork, going and visiting the
so many vacant parcels and abandoned                                            health and safety impacts.”                    lots,” he explains, “at the middle of the
buildings, unlike, say San Francisco, is                                           Branas and several colleagues have          day, you will see a goat path beat into the
because we’ve basically been a depopu-                                          come at it from several angles, one of         middle of the lot if it’s very overgrown.
lating and contracting city,” he adds.                                          which involves ecological studies—popula-      There are a lot of places to hide. Clearly
“On top of that, our construction costs                                         tion-scale analyses of phenomena like the      people are entering and going through
are among the highest in the country,                                           impact of smoking on lung cancer rates.        them and using them in some capacity.
despite the fact that our home prices                                           While considered less robust than cohort       But it’s unclear how much and for what.
are among the lowest of large cities. So                                        or case-control studies, ecological studies    And it would be really neat to observe this
there’s economic incentive to system-                                           can produce insights that help epidemiol-      firsthand, if possible, before and after a
atically under-invest in maintaining or                                         ogists model the effects of certain behav-     greening intervention. So what happens?
developing real estate.                                                         iors or interventions on things like neigh-    What’s the foot traffic like when the lot’s
  “Insofar as the city is willing to take                                       borhood crime levels. That’s how vacant        overgrown and trash strewn, versus after
those steps to really turn it around and                                        land rose to Branas’ attention.                you green it? Does it really change? I don’t
make it a competitive city, it’s going to                                          “What was striking about these mod-         know. Maybe it doesn’t.”
have this problem with vacant and                                               els [that came out of our study] is that,        Depending on the results, Branas
abandoned parcels. So the question                                              in the laundry list of different things        points out, greening could turn out to
becomes: What’s the next best thing                                             that could have affected crime—eco-            be an unusually cost-effective crime-
you can do with them? And in that case,                                         nomic conditions, poverty, racial con-         reduction mechanism.
since you can’t develop them at market                                          ditions, segregation, all these things—          “Public health has really, over the past
rate and do so profitably, then you may                                         vacant properties rose to the top as the       40 years or so, concentrated more on deal-
as well use some public moneys to con-                                          strongest effect in terms of correlating       ing with individuals and a biomedical
vert them to some other use, to elimi-                                          with crime. And so that was really tell-       model or a bio-behavioral model, where
nate blight and enhance your tax base                                           ing. I was very surprised by it.”              you’re really seeking to either treat people
by improving local property values in                                              This line of inquiry is still in prog-      medically and try to get them more treat-
the neighborhood.”                                                              ress, but it has yielded some more spe-        ment, or you’re seeking to treat them one
  Penn Praxis’s Steinberg echoes that                                           cific observations.                            by one as individuals and try to change
sentiment. “I think that really helps                                              “What we’re finding in this is that there   their behavior with some psychological
shape the economic argument for                                                 are certain crimes that seem to have been      campaign,” he observes. “Those are won-
transforming vacant land,” he says.                                             highly affected by the greening,” Branas       derful. In fact, many of them have been
“Now that doesn’t mean it all has to be                                         says. “For instance, we think gun assault      shown to be incredibly successful. The
green space. We want people to move                                             is something that’s been highly affected.      problem is, scaling it up isn’t so easy and
into the city, we want the tax base to                                          And maybe gun robbery at some level.           is immensely costly. Millions of dollars to
rise, we want the school system to get                                             “We think that’s the case because           treat a handful of high-risk kids in one
better … All those things are important.                                        there’s been some early anthropologic          neighborhood is wonderful, because those
But we have found that there is a direct                                        ethnographic work in places like New           kids do reap the benefit of that. But it’s not
impact between quality green space                                              Haven and Detroit where they will fol-         sustainable because you can’t keep spend-
and property values, social cohesion,                                           low criminals with illegal firearms. And       ing millions of dollars year after year for a
and then we get into public health and                                          most of them don’t carry their weapons         handful of kids.
then all those other reasons.”                                                  with them. This is one theory, right.            “So in thinking about greening,” he
                                                                                Most of them don’t carry their weapons         goes on, “it’s sort of a long shot—or it was.

P ublic health and “all those other reasons”
  have a burgeoning champion in the
person of Charles Branas, an associate
                                                                                with them because it’s illegal to have
                                                                                them. You have other arrests, you’re a
                                                                                felon: you’re not going to carry your
                                                                                                                               But if it works, it’s incredibly inexpen-
                                                                                                                               sive, relative to an army of psychologists
                                                                                                                               or public health workers going into the
professor of epidemiology as well as emer-                                      weapon, but you need it because you’re         neighborhood. And everyone may get the
gency medicine at the Raymond and Ruth                                          part of this illegal drug trade, let’s say,    benefit of the greening: people who are
Perelman School of Medicine, whose aca-                                         for instance. You need that protection.        high-risk and coming through the area,
demic portfolio ranges from cartographic                                        So they will often, apparently, store the      and people who live there and so forth
modeling to criminology research.                                               weapons on vacant lots.”                       whether they’re high-risk or not.”
52   J U LY | A U G U S T 2 0 1 1   T H E P E N N S Y LVA N I A G A Z E T T E
Like much of the research it draws from,      garden and why we need urban agricul-         It’s good environmental policy. It’s the
the Green 2015 plan focuses broadly on        ture changed when Susan Wachter did           sort of thing that gets regular resi-
green space without delving too deeply        her studies of greening—which were not        dents—as opposed to city departments
into the finer details of what specific       very much about urban agriculture—in          spending tax dollars—to invest in clean-
functions it should serve. Community          the Fishtown area,” he says. “Then some       ing up cities and make them more won-
gardening and urban agriculture sur-          scholars at NYU knocked off Susan’s           derful in many ways. So it’s a very effi-
face here and there, but in such general      methodology, but just for community gar-      cient sort of investment.”
terms that they essentially come off as       dens in New York, and found some really
placeholders awaiting a more compre-
hensive treatment. They have a strong
advocate in another member of Penn’s
                                              interesting things: that they raise adja-
                                              cent property values. And it’s maybe unfair
                                              to say that’s all certain policymakers in
                                                                                            L  ike all of these sorts of plans, Green
                                                                                               2015 is more a vision than a shovel-
                                                                                            ready project, as they say. But there are
faculty, though.                              Philadelphia care about, but for the most     signs that it’s gaining traction. Since the
  Domenic Vitiello, an assistant professor    part, that’s what they care about.”           beginning of the Nutter administration,
of city and regional planning in the School     He worries that this perspective has        100 acres have already been greened or
of Design, has spent the last several sum-    pushed policymakers’ views about com-         are under way. Another 105 have been
mers investigating, with urban-studies        munity gardening in the wrong direction.      identified for future work. The Penn
lecturer Michael Nairn, Philadelphia and                                                    Praxis report is chock full of GIS maps
Camden’s community gardens in an up-                                                        designed to shed light on where new
close and personal way. (It becomes clear     “I believe that it’s a way                    parks might provide the most bang for
that there’s no other way to put it when he   out of the post-industrial                    the buck—highlighting areas where resi-
wakes up his desktop monitor to reveal a                                                    dents are under-served, where heat-relat-
wallpaper photo of the Camden Men’s            landscape that we have                       ed fatalities are highest, where tree cano-
Garden, and says, “That’s where Michael        —the literal landscape,                      pies are insufficient, and so on.
and I want to retire.”)                                                                       Meanwhile, the city’s Department of
  “It’s very well established,” says             which is blighted in                       Licenses and Inspections (L&I) has be-
Vitiello, that community gardens “are         many places, inequitable                      gun a pilot project to ramp up enforce-
very effective tools for stabilizing                                                        ment on 143 properties in the North-
neighborhoods, helping them be safer,             in many places.”                          east, taking a harder line on property
more attractive, helping to encourage                                                       owners who fail to bring their derelict
people to pick up trash more and invest         “[Some people have the idea] that           properties up to code. Other sections of
in them … But its economic returns are        urban farming could be a really won-          the city have also seen an uptick in the
very indirect. And that’s one of the rea-     derful interim use for land that the          ticketing of derelict buildings by L&I,
sons we went around and tried to count,       RDA [Philadelphia Redevelopment               sometimes instructing owners to either
and put some dollar signs on the pro-         Authority] holds, as a way to improve         rehab or demolish them. Perhaps that
duce of community gardens.”                   properties and sell them in three to          will be a first step toward reclaiming
  The Penn Praxis plan mentions one           five years,” he says. “That’s a great idea    Philadelphia’s vacant and abandoned
of their findings: that community and         for the RDA. But I don’t know any             land for something better and greener.
squatter gardens yielded an estimated         farmer or gardener in Philadelphia, or          “I believe that it’s a way out of the
2 million pounds of food, valued at           any other city, who would really want         post-industrial landscape that we
almost $5 million, in a single summer.        that. Because what farmers and gar-           have—the literal landscape, which is
For Vitiello, though, the dollar signs        deners build is not really visible—it’s       blighted in many places, inequitable in
don’t tell the whole story. Gardeners         soil, and relationships with one anoth-       many places,” says Harris Steinberg of
don’t just produce a lot of food; they        er and their neighbors.”                      the Green 2015 plan.
give a lot away. Sometimes nearly               For that reason, he hopes Philadelphia        “These small doses—in this case of
everything they grow, whether to neigh-       will think again about policies like the      green—I think can have a big effect in
bors or food banks. They also get exer-       city’s new lease agreement for garden-        the aggregate,” he adds. “Perhaps as
cise (a big benefit, since so many gar-       ers on public land, which would require       much as the creation of Fairmount
deners tend to be older), help nourish        gardeners to carry insurance on those         Park initially did. I wouldn’t go so far
cultural traditions (by growing hard-to-      currently vacant lots at the level of         as to say that ultimately it’s going to
buy crops like pigeon peas and creole         fully developed properties.                   have that kind of sweeping effect, but
corn), and in many cases provide oppor-         The capacity of community gardens           in the end, when we’ve pieced together
tunities for kids on summer break to          to raise property values and therefore        this kind of network of trails and green-
help with something productive.               the tax base is all well and good, he         ways and access routes, we can really
  So for Vitiello, the strongest case for     hastens to add. But that shouldn’t be         begin to think: Can we take these little
urban agriculture isn’t really the econom-    the only goal, or even the ultimate one.      archipelagos of parks, and really make
ic one. “The impacts go well beyond food.     “Urban agriculture—farming and gar-           them into one big system?”
They’re mostly social impacts,” he says.      dening—is great social policy,” Vitiello        A question, perhaps, to be posed when
  “The whole conversation about why we        says. “It’s great public health policy.       2020 appears on the horizon.◆
                                                                                            T H E P E N N S Y LVA N I A G A Z E T T E   J U LY | A U G U S T 2 0 1 1   53

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The Park of a Thousand Pieces

  • 1. Penn Praxis has a plan for adding 500 acres of open green space to Philadelphia in the next four years. Their approach, informed by novel research by Penn scholars in areas ranging from real-estate economics to criminology, is a new way of imagining urban parkland. 48 J U LY | A U G U S T 2 0 1 1 T H E P E N N S Y LVA N I A G A Z E T T E
  • 2. THE PARK PIECES OF A THOUSAND BY TREY POPP T here are plenty of reasons to like city parks. They give joggers a place to run, seniors a place to walk, kids a place to cart- responses. Replacing impervious asphalt with rain-absorbing green space has already saved the city water department backed by the administration of Mayor Michael Nutter W’79—are based in no small part on evidence being developed by wheel into their elders’ paths. For down- $35 million in hard infrastructure costs an eclectic constellation of Penn scholars. town dog owners and penned-up parents, a since 2006—gains that could be multi- The analysis of urban open spaces, once nearby patch of grass may be the difference plied. The same goes for the output of the exclusive preserve of landscape archi- between a lasting interior paint job and community gardens, which produced an tects and city planners, has been taken up claw marks on the walls. For a townhouse estimated 2 million pounds of fresh pro- by real-estate economists, criminologists, dweller making do with a hundred square duce in Philadelphia in the summer of and experts in public health. Here is a feet of sun-blasted roof deck, the shade of a 2008 alone, valued at almost $5 million. survey of some of their research, and how sugar maple might be enough to make Then there are benefits that are harder it may inform a new take on city parkland August a month worth living. to quantify directly, but may yield even in Philadelphia. Penn Praxis, the student-faculty clin- bigger returns. Turning abandoned build- ical consulting practice in the School ings into park-like amenities reduces The most noticeable aspect of Penn of Design, makes the case for parkland crime, the Penn Praxis report claims. Praxis’s Green 2015 plan is that, to a sub- in rather stronger terms. In a recent Adding 500 acres of green space could stantial degree, the new green spaces it report outlining a rationale for creat- help prevent 20 asthma attacks a year as envisions are not very noticeable at all. ing 500 acres of new public green space a result of improved air quality. The On a map of the whole city, they barely in Philadelphia over the next four authors also cite a 2010 study that cred- show up—certainly not the way Fairmount years, the group credits urban green- ited Philadelphia’s existing open space Park does, or the 843 acres of Central ing projects with providing a seeming- with generating health-related cost sav- Park do on a map of New York. Instead, ly miraculous range of benefits. ings in excess of $400 million. the plan envisions a sort of archipelago For starters, there’s cold, hard cash. “Simply put,” the Penn Praxis plan of revitalized green spaces—mixing pub- Converting vacant properties into tidy declares, “city parks save lives.” lic and private development—that range lawns or community gardens, the report That is a lofty claim, and so are many of in size from the 24-acre Penn Park down argues, can raise local property values, the others. But the declarations in Green to parcels as modest as the new one- swell city tax revenues, and save the fire 2015: An Action Plan for the First 500 third-acre Julian Abele Park in southwest and police departments literally millions Acres—commissioned by Philadelphia’s Center City [“Window,” Jan|Feb 2011], or of dollars a year in averted emergency-call Department of Parks and Recreation and even as small as single vacant lots. ILLUSTRATION BY CAROLINE HWANG T H E P E N N S Y LVA N I A G A Z E T T E J U LY | A U G U S T 2 0 1 1 49
  • 3. “In an era of constrained times,” says GIS (Geographic Information Systems) Lab as 30 percent,” she wrote. “New tree Penn Praxis director Harris Steinberg and culling data from the city tax board plantings increase surrounding hous- C’78 GAr’82, “and difficult political ten- and the Pennsylvania Horticultural Society ing values by approximately 10 percent. sions between [City] Council and the (PHS), Wachter and her colleagues have In the New Kensington area this trans- [mayoral] administration … we really come up with some compelling answers. lates into a $4 million gain in value wanted to make this as easily digestible In a 2005 paper, she investigated the through tree plantings and a $12 million as possible.” Accordingly, they laid out a effects of a pilot program in which the gain through lot improvements.” plan they feel is capable of having a New Kensington Community Develop- In that light, it seems fitting that her “transformative impact, but on a series ment Corporation teamed up with PHS to employer recently partnered with the city of small scales”—rather than the sort of implement a greening strategy in that Department of Parks and Recreation to grand vision a latter-day Robert Moses or depressed section of Philadelphia give away 300 free trees to faculty and staff Frederick Law Olmsted might dream up. [“Gazetteer,” July|Aug 2005]. The pro- living within city limits in a pilot program The crux of the plan is to draw from an gram focused on replacing abandoned called “Creating Canopy with Penn.” asset that Philadelphia has in abundance: lots with tree-ringed landscapes of mowed Another new University initiative, more vacant and abandoned land. The report grass, as well as planting sidewalk trees. symbolic in nature but a sign of the zeit- observes that Philadelphia contains more GIS software enabled Wachter to mea- geist nonetheless, is the planting of a dif- than 4,000 acres of vacant lots and aban- sure the precise distance of every home ferent tree species every year—one speci- doned buildings. About one-quarter of from a stabilized lot or tree planting. men on campus and a second designated at that total belongs to the city. Coupled with sales data from 1980 to the Morris Arboretum—to honor the gradu- “The city is paying $21 million a year 2003, this permitted her to draw some ating class. The Class of 2011 was com- to manage all of that, regardless of striking conclusions about the impact memorated with a sugar maple in April. ownership,” says Steinberg, noting that of the greening pilot program (which it costs money to seal off condemned had cleaned the trash from 18,800 lots buildings, respond to arson, and fight between 2000 and 2003, and improved crime in row homes that have been about 12,000 of them). “Vacant land abandoned to drug dealers. “And if you improvements result in surrounding can start to redirect some of that to housing values increasing by as much actually productive landscapes that can help increase property values,” he adds, “you shift the whole paradigm.” As anyone who lives across the street from Central Park can tell you, the idea that open green space can enhance prop- erty values isn’t exactly novel. Nor is this the first time Philadelphia has tried to clean up derelict properties; former Mayor John Street’s Neighborhood Transforma- tion Initiative tried with mixed success to do just that in some parts of the city in the first few years of the last decade [“Gazet- teer,” Sept|Oct 2010]. But until recently, the notion that public greening could “shift the whole paradigm” of urban decrepitude was supported more by intu- ition than evidence—at least when it comes to measuring the effects of brand new parks, particularly those built on a much more modest scale. In the last sev- eral years, Wharton’s Susan Wachter has gone a long way to filling in that gap. Wachter, who is the Richard B. Worley Professor of Financial Management and a specialist in real-estate economics, has been asking questions like, How much does cleaning up a vacant lot increase the market value of the house next door? and Green 2015 envisions a sort of archipelago How much is a sidewalk tree worth? of revitalized green spaces totaling 500 Tapping into the expertise of Wharton’s acres by 2015. 50 J U LY | A U G U S T 2 0 1 1 T H E P E N N S Y LVA N I A G A Z E T T E
  • 4. In a 2008 paper with assistant profes- sor of real estate Grace Wong Bucchianeri, Wachter argued that the property-value increase associated with tree plantings is largely attributable to “either social capital creation or a signaling mecha- nism.” In other words, tree plantings send a signal to prospective home buyers that the community is becoming more actively involved in improving the neigh- borhood. About a quarter of the increase, they contended, stemmed from the intrinsic value of the tree. This underscores a related point, which is that the payoff of public invest- ment in greening depends on where it’s carried out. ““It’s not just greening of the space that does it—it’s the fact that you’ve greened a space that previously was depressing property values,” says Kevin Gillen GrW’05, a research col- league of Wachter’s. (Wachter is cur- rently on leave.) “If you go out to Lower Merion and demolish someone’s home and convert it into a little park, will that increase Part of the program calls for renovating rec the value of the home next door?” he centers and schoolyards with things like asks rhetorically. “Yes? By that much? tree canopies and porous pavement. No. Because what was there before was pretty nice. But if you’ve got a blighted neighbors that, hey, maybe something is you have a community garden. It’s that the abandoned factory in Kensington, happening here, it’s turning around, crime is gone, you’ve got a better view out which is just all asphalt and soil that you’ve got another amenity.” your kitchen window, the air is cleaner, has chemicals in it, and rusty hulking The Penn Praxis report observes that you’ve got a potential source for food.” buildings, and you convert that to a even with Fairmount Park, the largest And unlike a lot of kitchen make- park, you have much bigger spillover city-owned park system in the world, overs, the cost-benefit ratio of turning effect on the nearby home values.” Philadelphia still has a need for more a vacant lot (or a cluster of them) into a Gillen, who has pressed this research green spaces. “There are currently more pocket park can be very favorable. forward as a vice president of Econsult, than 200,000 Philadelphians, about 1 in “Measured bang for buck, it’s quite a Philadelphia-based economic con- 8 residents, who do not live within a positive,” says Gillen. “Because in gen- sulting firm, says that the best areas a 10-minute walk of a public green space,” eral what we often found is that the city can target for greening are “neigh- the report notes. “Leaving this many citi- value created would often exceed the borhoods on the margins.” zens without access to park space is like cost of doing it. If it costs you $10,000 “That is, they’re not completely dis- leaving the entire cities of Allentown and to green a lot but it creates $15,000 in GREEN 2015: AN ACTION PLAN FOR THE FIRST 500 ACRES / PENN PRAXIS tressed, abandoned neighborhoods. But Erie combined without access to parks.” additional property value, then that’s a they’re neighborhoods that are sort of Among the variables that influence a gain to taxpayers.” at the tipping point of turning around,” house’s value—from the number of bed- The Penn Praxis report cites a study by he explains. “Where they do the least rooms and bathrooms to the number of Gillen and Todd Baylson GCP’04 which good are the neighborhoods that would garage bays (Wachter took 50 such found that homes near newly converted be considered the most depressed in the variables into account in her New green spaces appreciated in value at an city. They have the highest crime, the Kensington study)—“in general we find average rate of 13.3 percent per year dur- highest abandonment. Those neighbor- that public amenities are somewhere ing a period when the average home hoods need more help than just putting in the middle,” Gillen says. value appreciated at a 7.8 percent annual in a community garden. They need bet- “Any new kitchen can increase the value rate. Over a seven-year period, this trans- ter policing, fire, trash collection. They of your home a lot,” he adds. “[But] if you’re lated into a $22.2 million gain in incre- need a lot more help than just convert- right next to an abandoned home being mental property-tax revenue. ing a vacant lot. But in marginal neigh- used for criminal activity, and the next day Gillen is quick to emphasize that borhoods, replacing an abandoned home it’s a community garden, you can expect greening is not the end-all of urban with a community garden signals to the the effect to be pretty large. It’s not just that invigoration. T H E P E N N S Y LVA N I A G A Z E T T E J U LY | A U G U S T 2 0 1 1 51
  • 5. “There’s a reason that we’re looking “There’s been so little done with green- Branas is currently planning to embark at this issue” in Philadelphia, he says. ing and open green space and its impact,” on an experiment in which a large group of “And it’s because we’re not a growing Branas says. “People have been debating vacant lots will be randomly selected to be city … These 40,000 vacant parcels it for decades, but there’s been very little greened, and the subsequent public-health represent dead assets on the city’s bal- actual empirical work done on this ... and crime impact compared to another ance sheet. If something can be done We’re following on some of Susan randomly selected group of similar lots with them, [the priority] should be to [Wachter]’s work and expanding on more that were not greened. He also hopes to add to the tax base” via residential or than just the economic impact for spe- install time-lapse cameras in some vacant commercial development. cific property owners. We’re really think- lots to gather finer-grained observations. “Of course the reason Philadelphia has ing about the neighborhoods and the “In our fieldwork, going and visiting the so many vacant parcels and abandoned health and safety impacts.” lots,” he explains, “at the middle of the buildings, unlike, say San Francisco, is Branas and several colleagues have day, you will see a goat path beat into the because we’ve basically been a depopu- come at it from several angles, one of middle of the lot if it’s very overgrown. lating and contracting city,” he adds. which involves ecological studies—popula- There are a lot of places to hide. Clearly “On top of that, our construction costs tion-scale analyses of phenomena like the people are entering and going through are among the highest in the country, impact of smoking on lung cancer rates. them and using them in some capacity. despite the fact that our home prices While considered less robust than cohort But it’s unclear how much and for what. are among the lowest of large cities. So or case-control studies, ecological studies And it would be really neat to observe this there’s economic incentive to system- can produce insights that help epidemiol- firsthand, if possible, before and after a atically under-invest in maintaining or ogists model the effects of certain behav- greening intervention. So what happens? developing real estate. iors or interventions on things like neigh- What’s the foot traffic like when the lot’s “Insofar as the city is willing to take borhood crime levels. That’s how vacant overgrown and trash strewn, versus after those steps to really turn it around and land rose to Branas’ attention. you green it? Does it really change? I don’t make it a competitive city, it’s going to “What was striking about these mod- know. Maybe it doesn’t.” have this problem with vacant and els [that came out of our study] is that, Depending on the results, Branas abandoned parcels. So the question in the laundry list of different things points out, greening could turn out to becomes: What’s the next best thing that could have affected crime—eco- be an unusually cost-effective crime- you can do with them? And in that case, nomic conditions, poverty, racial con- reduction mechanism. since you can’t develop them at market ditions, segregation, all these things— “Public health has really, over the past rate and do so profitably, then you may vacant properties rose to the top as the 40 years or so, concentrated more on deal- as well use some public moneys to con- strongest effect in terms of correlating ing with individuals and a biomedical vert them to some other use, to elimi- with crime. And so that was really tell- model or a bio-behavioral model, where nate blight and enhance your tax base ing. I was very surprised by it.” you’re really seeking to either treat people by improving local property values in This line of inquiry is still in prog- medically and try to get them more treat- the neighborhood.” ress, but it has yielded some more spe- ment, or you’re seeking to treat them one Penn Praxis’s Steinberg echoes that cific observations. by one as individuals and try to change sentiment. “I think that really helps “What we’re finding in this is that there their behavior with some psychological shape the economic argument for are certain crimes that seem to have been campaign,” he observes. “Those are won- transforming vacant land,” he says. highly affected by the greening,” Branas derful. In fact, many of them have been “Now that doesn’t mean it all has to be says. “For instance, we think gun assault shown to be incredibly successful. The green space. We want people to move is something that’s been highly affected. problem is, scaling it up isn’t so easy and into the city, we want the tax base to And maybe gun robbery at some level. is immensely costly. Millions of dollars to rise, we want the school system to get “We think that’s the case because treat a handful of high-risk kids in one better … All those things are important. there’s been some early anthropologic neighborhood is wonderful, because those But we have found that there is a direct ethnographic work in places like New kids do reap the benefit of that. But it’s not impact between quality green space Haven and Detroit where they will fol- sustainable because you can’t keep spend- and property values, social cohesion, low criminals with illegal firearms. And ing millions of dollars year after year for a and then we get into public health and most of them don’t carry their weapons handful of kids. then all those other reasons.” with them. This is one theory, right. “So in thinking about greening,” he Most of them don’t carry their weapons goes on, “it’s sort of a long shot—or it was. P ublic health and “all those other reasons” have a burgeoning champion in the person of Charles Branas, an associate with them because it’s illegal to have them. You have other arrests, you’re a felon: you’re not going to carry your But if it works, it’s incredibly inexpen- sive, relative to an army of psychologists or public health workers going into the professor of epidemiology as well as emer- weapon, but you need it because you’re neighborhood. And everyone may get the gency medicine at the Raymond and Ruth part of this illegal drug trade, let’s say, benefit of the greening: people who are Perelman School of Medicine, whose aca- for instance. You need that protection. high-risk and coming through the area, demic portfolio ranges from cartographic So they will often, apparently, store the and people who live there and so forth modeling to criminology research. weapons on vacant lots.” whether they’re high-risk or not.” 52 J U LY | A U G U S T 2 0 1 1 T H E P E N N S Y LVA N I A G A Z E T T E
  • 6. Like much of the research it draws from, garden and why we need urban agricul- It’s good environmental policy. It’s the the Green 2015 plan focuses broadly on ture changed when Susan Wachter did sort of thing that gets regular resi- green space without delving too deeply her studies of greening—which were not dents—as opposed to city departments into the finer details of what specific very much about urban agriculture—in spending tax dollars—to invest in clean- functions it should serve. Community the Fishtown area,” he says. “Then some ing up cities and make them more won- gardening and urban agriculture sur- scholars at NYU knocked off Susan’s derful in many ways. So it’s a very effi- face here and there, but in such general methodology, but just for community gar- cient sort of investment.” terms that they essentially come off as dens in New York, and found some really placeholders awaiting a more compre- hensive treatment. They have a strong advocate in another member of Penn’s interesting things: that they raise adja- cent property values. And it’s maybe unfair to say that’s all certain policymakers in L ike all of these sorts of plans, Green 2015 is more a vision than a shovel- ready project, as they say. But there are faculty, though. Philadelphia care about, but for the most signs that it’s gaining traction. Since the Domenic Vitiello, an assistant professor part, that’s what they care about.” beginning of the Nutter administration, of city and regional planning in the School He worries that this perspective has 100 acres have already been greened or of Design, has spent the last several sum- pushed policymakers’ views about com- are under way. Another 105 have been mers investigating, with urban-studies munity gardening in the wrong direction. identified for future work. The Penn lecturer Michael Nairn, Philadelphia and Praxis report is chock full of GIS maps Camden’s community gardens in an up- designed to shed light on where new close and personal way. (It becomes clear “I believe that it’s a way parks might provide the most bang for that there’s no other way to put it when he out of the post-industrial the buck—highlighting areas where resi- wakes up his desktop monitor to reveal a dents are under-served, where heat-relat- wallpaper photo of the Camden Men’s landscape that we have ed fatalities are highest, where tree cano- Garden, and says, “That’s where Michael —the literal landscape, pies are insufficient, and so on. and I want to retire.”) Meanwhile, the city’s Department of “It’s very well established,” says which is blighted in Licenses and Inspections (L&I) has be- Vitiello, that community gardens “are many places, inequitable gun a pilot project to ramp up enforce- very effective tools for stabilizing ment on 143 properties in the North- neighborhoods, helping them be safer, in many places.” east, taking a harder line on property more attractive, helping to encourage owners who fail to bring their derelict people to pick up trash more and invest “[Some people have the idea] that properties up to code. Other sections of in them … But its economic returns are urban farming could be a really won- the city have also seen an uptick in the very indirect. And that’s one of the rea- derful interim use for land that the ticketing of derelict buildings by L&I, sons we went around and tried to count, RDA [Philadelphia Redevelopment sometimes instructing owners to either and put some dollar signs on the pro- Authority] holds, as a way to improve rehab or demolish them. Perhaps that duce of community gardens.” properties and sell them in three to will be a first step toward reclaiming The Penn Praxis plan mentions one five years,” he says. “That’s a great idea Philadelphia’s vacant and abandoned of their findings: that community and for the RDA. But I don’t know any land for something better and greener. squatter gardens yielded an estimated farmer or gardener in Philadelphia, or “I believe that it’s a way out of the 2 million pounds of food, valued at any other city, who would really want post-industrial landscape that we almost $5 million, in a single summer. that. Because what farmers and gar- have—the literal landscape, which is For Vitiello, though, the dollar signs deners build is not really visible—it’s blighted in many places, inequitable in don’t tell the whole story. Gardeners soil, and relationships with one anoth- many places,” says Harris Steinberg of don’t just produce a lot of food; they er and their neighbors.” the Green 2015 plan. give a lot away. Sometimes nearly For that reason, he hopes Philadelphia “These small doses—in this case of everything they grow, whether to neigh- will think again about policies like the green—I think can have a big effect in bors or food banks. They also get exer- city’s new lease agreement for garden- the aggregate,” he adds. “Perhaps as cise (a big benefit, since so many gar- ers on public land, which would require much as the creation of Fairmount deners tend to be older), help nourish gardeners to carry insurance on those Park initially did. I wouldn’t go so far cultural traditions (by growing hard-to- currently vacant lots at the level of as to say that ultimately it’s going to buy crops like pigeon peas and creole fully developed properties. have that kind of sweeping effect, but corn), and in many cases provide oppor- The capacity of community gardens in the end, when we’ve pieced together tunities for kids on summer break to to raise property values and therefore this kind of network of trails and green- help with something productive. the tax base is all well and good, he ways and access routes, we can really So for Vitiello, the strongest case for hastens to add. But that shouldn’t be begin to think: Can we take these little urban agriculture isn’t really the econom- the only goal, or even the ultimate one. archipelagos of parks, and really make ic one. “The impacts go well beyond food. “Urban agriculture—farming and gar- them into one big system?” They’re mostly social impacts,” he says. dening—is great social policy,” Vitiello A question, perhaps, to be posed when “The whole conversation about why we says. “It’s great public health policy. 2020 appears on the horizon.◆ T H E P E N N S Y LVA N I A G A Z E T T E J U LY | A U G U S T 2 0 1 1 53