Fiscal survey presentation
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Fiscal survey presentation Presentation Transcript

  • 1. RESEARCH FINDINGS Economic Leader Survey Findings PETER G. PETERSON FOUNDATION
  • 2. Methodology GSG conducted a survey among top economic leaders from the last eight administrations and Congress between April 5 and April 23, 2010. • Individuals who are currently serving public office were not solicited for participation in accordance with the research design. • Respondents completed the survey online and via the mail. The 58 respondents who completed the survey are comprised of former: – Secretaries of the Treasury – Federal Reserve Presidents and members of the Board of Governors – Directors of the Office of Management & Budget – Chairs of the Council of Economic Advisors – Directors of the Congressional Budget Office – Senate Budget Committee Chairmen/Ranking Members – House Budget Committee Chairmen/Ranking Members – House Ways and Means Committee Chairmen/Ranking Members For the purposes of analysis, respondents are assigned a party affiliation based on their personal affiliation (if an elected official) or by the administration that appointed them. 2
  • 3. There is bipartisan consensus that we are heading for another major economic crisis if action is not taken soon; unanimous agreement that the current fiscal path is unsustainable and long term structural deficits threaten our economic future. Do you agree or disagree that if we do not act soon to address the nation’s long term fiscal situation we are heading for another major economic crisis? STRONGLY SOMEWHAT AGREE AGREE DISAGREE Republicans 63% 34% 2% STRONGLY SOMEWHAT AGREE AGREE DISAGREE Democrats 71% 24% 6% •There is unanimous agreement (100% of both R’s and D’s strongly agree) that the federal government is currently on an unsustainable fiscal path •There is unanimous agreement that long-term structural deficits are more threatening to the country’s future than short term deficits. 3
  • 4. An overwhelming majority believes action is needed in the short term to avoid another major crisis. When should the U.S. government begin to take action to address the long term fiscal situation? 92% Within the next 1-2 years 82% 8% Within the next 3-5 years 12% 0% Within the next 6-10 0% years 6% Reps Dems 4
  • 5. Majorities foresee high likelihood of rapid growth in spending, rising interest rates and a lower standard of living in the U.S. without addressing current structural deficit challenges. If we fail to enact meaningful measures to address longer term structural deficit challenges within the next few years, how likely is it that we will encounter…? VERY LIKELY Rapid growth in fed spending 80% 71% 71% Rise in interest rates 65% 65% Decline in U.S. stnd of living 53% 44% Decline in value of dollar 47% Weakened U.S. standing as world leader 59% 41% 61% Slower economic growth 41% 41% Foreign lenders losing confidence in U.S. 29% Rise in inflation 22% 18% 15% Reps High unemployment 0% 0% Dems 3% Drop in housing prices 0% 0% 5% Increase in foreclosures 0% 0% 5
  • 6. Bipartisan agreement that solutions to longer term structural deficits include tax increases and spending cuts. As you think about approaches to solve the country’s longer term structural deficits, which one statement best represents your point of view? Republicans Democrats 12% No Tax Increases 32% No Tax Increases 68% Both spending cuts 88% Both and tax spending cuts increases and tax increases Zero Republicans and Democrats believe we can solve our problems without spending cuts 6
  • 7. Indeed, there is more bipartisan agreement than dissention on ways to address the country’s fiscal challenges. For each of the following ways to address our country's long term fiscal challenges, do you believe it should be seriously considered even if not politically popular or do you believe it should not even be considered? Should be seriously considered, Should not even if not politically popular be considered Reps 100% Overall spending cuts Dems 100% Entitlement reform – including Social Reps 97% 3% Security, Medicare and Medicaid Dems 100% Reps 100% Reform our federal tax code Dems 94% 6% Re-impose statutory budget controls such as Reps 92% 8% spending caps and stricter PAY-GO rules Dems 100% Significant decreases Reps 95% 5% in discretionary spending Dems 94% 6% Reps 72% 28% Tax increases Dems 88% 12% Reps 63% 37% Find a new source of revenues Dems 88% 12% Reps 56% 44% Significant decreases in defense spending Dems 56% 44% 7
  • 8. THANK YOU