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Third Quarter 2013

Mark McAllister, CEO
Tomas Hedström, CFO
Stockholm, 23 October 2013
Today’s topics
>> NEW CEO
Short introduction to Mark McAllister

>> OPERATIONAL UPDATE
Recent developments

Q3

>> FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS
Earnings, key ratios and one-offs

>> PA RESOURCES’ WAY FORWARD
Follow up on strategic review and outlook

2
Mark McAllister New CEO since 1 October
•
•

Joined the oil industry in 1979 with Conoco

•

Worked for Operators in the North Sea, FSU and
North Africa

•

Held senior management positions at Monument
Exploration and LASMO plc, two of the most
successful UK Independents

•

Founded and ran two new UK Independents,
Acorn Oil & Gas and Fairfield Energy

•

These companies have played a significant role in
the rationalisation of the mature North Sea

•

Was Chairman of OSPRAG, the joint industrygovernment body formed as a North Sea response
to the Macondo blow-out

•

3

Petroleum Engineer with Engineering MA from
Cambridge University

Awarded Honorary Doctorate from Robert Gordons
University in Aberdeen for services to the North
Sea oil industry
Q3 summary Strengthened balance sheet
Q3 HIGHLIGHTS
•
•

Main owner Gunvor Group now holds ~50%

•

Advanced 12/06 farm-out negotiations and
MPS farm-out discussions in progress

•

Maintenance and upgrade shut-in of Didon
field extended until early November

•

Alen production start, gas volumes slowly
increased

•

4

Strengthened balance sheet through
completed rights issue and bond issue

Diega appraisal programme underway
Operational update

Q1
West Africa: MPS farm-out and Azurite abandonment
Azurite field (35% interest)
• Early abandonment to commence in Q4 2013

• Final lifting expected in Q4 2013 to mainly cover
PA Resources’ share of regular abandonment cash
costs
• One-off decommissioning costs of SEK 469 million
reported in Q3, costs relating to the FDPSO vessel
and Murphy’s Congo office

Mer Profonde Sud (85% interest)
• Farm-out data room process attracted considerable
interest
• PA Resources in the process of finalising agreement
to divest majority stake and operatorship
• Farm-out subject to government approval, prior to
enter third and final renewal period in November
2013 incurring one firm well commitment
• If third period not entered, licence to be relinquished
giving rise to impairment of current book value
(approx. SEK 800 million)

6
EG Block I – Diega appraisal programme underway
PA Resources 5.7%
Block I Drilling program - targeting next developments
1. Carla North and South exploration/appraisal

•
•
•

2011 discovery in adjacent Block O (’Carla
North’) appraised in 2013 with additional oil
reservoir found
Carla South exploration well in Block I and
its sidetrack encountered oil in two different
good quality sandstone reservoirs
Implication of results being evaluated

Carla South

1
Diega

2

2. Diega appraisal

•
•
•

•

7

Pilot how drilled and logged in Q3 followed
by a horizontal sidetrack
Diega oil production test being performed
Possible further drilling in 2014 and nearterm submission of plan of development
Advanced discussion on initial allocation of
Diega field (between Block O and Block I)

Licence Group: Operator Noble Energy (38%), Atlas Petroleum
(27.55%), Glencore Xstrata (23.75%), PA Resources (5.7%),
GEPetrol (5%)
North Africa – Didon shut-in and farm-out process
Didon field (30% interest)
• Production shut in since 1 July
• FSO-vessel undergoing a comprehensive recertification and upgrade work programme conducted in
Palumbo Dry Dock in Malta
• Extensive shut down maintenance programme on
production platform and production riser change out
• Production restart is now re-scheduled to early
November
• Production shortfall expected to be partly compensated by higher production when field is back on
stream

• Vessel prepared for field life extension programme
Farm-out process
• Agreement to farm-out 70% and operatorship of
Tunisian offshore assets to EnQuest signed in May
2013
• Notification and approval process has commenced,
delayed due to political situation in Tunisia
• Transaction completion not expected before Q1 2014

8
North Sea – Advanced 12/06 negotiations
12/06 (64% interest)
• Rig discussions continue for 2014/2015 drilling, with
Lille John appraisal as priority
• Studies continue of development options for Broder
Tuck field, towards decision in H1 2014
• PA Resources currently finalising negotiations
regarding a farm-out of 40% interest in the licence,
reducing the interest from 64% to 24%
Gita evaluation (26.8% interest)
• Operator received regulatory approval for continued
evaluation of remaining prospectivity until Q2 2014,
Northern portion of licence to be relinquished
UKCS Block 22/19a (100% interest)
• PA Resources operator of the Bergman (formerly
Fiddich) gas/condensate discovery from 1984
• Initial discussion with potential candidate host
facilities to assess scope for tie-back to nearby
infrastructure

9
Gunvor Group and Lorito – New main owners
•

Gunvor Group is a leading global energy
commodities trader with a turnover of more than
USD 93 billion, book equity in excess of USD
2.2 billion and USD 5.6 billion in available
liquidity at year end 2012

•

Mainly owned by Mr Guennadi Timtchenko and
Mr Torbjörn Törnqvist

•

Year end 2012, Gunvor Group had USD 461
million in investments in associates and joint
ventures

•

10

Gunvor Group also has USD 84 million
outstanding to PA Resources through an RBL
(reserve based loan)

• Following the equity issue, Gunvor
owns 49.96% of PA Resources after
invested c. SEK 550 million in new
equity

• Lorito Holdings Ltd (Lundin familyowned trust) owns 9.69% after
investing c. SEK 120 million in the
rights issue

• Both Gunvor Group and Lorito
Holdings are financially strong owners
with significant experience from the oil
and gas industry and related
businesses
Largest shareholders and Nomination Committee
Largest shareholders per 30 Sep. 2013

Capital/
votes

NOMINATION COMMITTEE 2014

GUNVOR GROUP LTD

49.96%

• Dirk Jonker (Gunvor Group)

LORITO HOLDINGS LTD

9.69%

• Garrett Soden (Lorito Holdings)

CREDIT AGRICOLE (SUISSE) SA

3.84%

• Göran Ågerup (Ågerup Fastigheter)

AVANZA PENSION

2.59%

ÅGERUP FASTIGHETER AB

2.06%

ORIGINAT AB

1.70%

NORDNET PENSIONSFÖRSÄKRING AB

1.02%

HAJSKÄRET INVEST AB

0.91%

STIFTELSEN OLLE ENGKVIST

0.80%

AB TRACTION

0.76%

Total, 10 largest shareholders

73.33%

Other shareholders

26.67%

Total

11

100.00%

• Sven A Olsson, Chairman of the Board
The Nomination Committee’s proposal
regarding the Board of Directors, election of
auditors, remuneration and more will be
published ahead of the AGM on 16 April 2014
Financial highlights

Q1
Production and sales in Q3
bopd

Q3
2013

Sept.
2013

4,200

3,800

3,800

North Africa

PAR production

Ytd
2013

West Africa

Average production (bopd)

700

400

300

4,900

4,200

4,100

Before Tunisian farm-out

9 000
8 000
7 000
6 000

4 200

2 000

Group Total
5 700

6 800

3 000

7 100

7 700

4 000

8 000

8 700

5 000

1 000
0
Q1 2012 Q2 2012 Q3 2012 Q4 2012 Q1 2013 Q2 2013 Q3 2013

• AZURITE: Early field abandonment to commence
in Q4 2013, final lifting in Q4 2013

Average sales price (USD/bbl)
140
119
108

100

109

109

120

109

110

113

110
102

120
106

113
103

108

80

• TUNISIA: Shut-in of Didon since 1 July due to
maintenance work programme which has been
extended with expected completion early November
• PRICE: PA Resources realised price of USD 108 per
barrel compared to Brent average of USD 110

60
40
20
Q1 2012 Q2 2012 Q3 2012 Q4 2012 Q1 2013 Q2 2013 Q3 2013
PA Resources

13

• ASENG: Oil production declined slightly, consistent
with expectations and facility’s gas handling capacity

Brent
Earnings and key ratios
Q3 2013

Q2 2013

4,200

4,800

Oil price (USD/barrel)

108

103

Revenue (SEK million)

293

332

EBITDA (SEK million)**

64

140

Profit before tax
(SEK million)***

10

-2

Profit for the period
(SEK million)

-501

-350

Earnings per share (SEK)****

-8.53

-12.89

Production (bopd)*

* Subject to the necessary approvals, PA Resources´ working interest in the Didon field in Tunisia
has been reduced from 100% to 30% through the farm-out transaction with EnQuest.
** Figures for Q3 and Q2 exclude non-cash, one-off costs of SEK 469 million and SEK 462 million
respectively.
*** Figures for Q3 and Q2 exclude non-cash, one-off costs of SEK 469 million and SEK 647 million
respectively.
**** The rights issue in September 2013 gave rise to retrospective adjustments

14

KEY COMMENTS Q3 vs Q2
• Revenue negatively impacted by lower
production counteracted by higher oil
price

• Cost for Didon recertification and
upgrade programme of SEK 48 million
• Decommissioning costs from early
Azurite abandonment of SEK 469
million, presented as one-off costs
Q3 & Q2 comparison after one-offs
SEK million

Q3 2013

Q2 2013

-501

-350

469

0

9/06 (Gita)

0

88

2008/17 (Block 8)

0

97

Tunisian farm-out

0

117

-46

3

0

8

-78

-38

Profit for the period
One-off costs
Decommissioning costs

Net exchange gains/losses

KEY COMMENTS
• Adjusted profit for Q3 and Q2 amounted
to SEK -78 million and SEK -38 million
respectively

• Difference of SEK -40 million is mainly
explained by cost for Didon recertification
and upgrade programme.

Profit for the period
(Adjusted)

15

Q3 2013

Q2 2013

4,200

4,800

Oil price USD(barrel)

108

103

Currency (USDSEK)

Didon 70% net result impact

6.52

6.50

Production (bopd)
Cash flow
SEK million

Q3 2013

Q2 2013

Jan.-Sept.
2013

KEY COMMENTS

Cash flow from operations

-27

-110

• Q3 capex of SEK 74 million, mainly
related to drilling activities in Block I in
Equatorial Guinea

Capex

-74

-38

-171

Rights issues

810

0

1,413

• Full year capex forecast of SEK 250380 million, expected outcome in the
lower part of the range

Loans raised

0

38

38

Amortisation of debt

-27

-121

-392

Cash flow from financing

783

-83

1,059

Net cash flow

16

-13

696

-149

778

• Rights issue of SEK 810 million, net
after transaction costs
• Cash and cash equivalents at the end
of the period, SEK 835 million
Current equity and debt situation
Covenants and Net Debt development

KEY COMMENTS

Q3 2013

Q2 2013

Q1 2013

Covenants

Book Equity (SEK
million)

2,144

1,973

2,201

>1,000

Book Equity to
Capital Employed

49%

46%

48%

>40%

1,422

2,197

2,111

N/A

Net debt (SEK million)

Debt maturity per 23 Oct. 2013 (SEK million)
800

Bond Loan 900m NOK
700

Bond Loan 750m SEK
600

Convertible Bond

500
400

300
200
100
0
January 2014

17

April 2014

April 2015

March 2016

April 2016

• Equity amounted to SEK 2,144 million
• New bond loan of SEK 750 million issued
and previous SEK 850 million repaid in
October
Way forward and outlook

Q1
New strategic plan – basis for ongoing review
• Current producing assets in natural decline, but provide

Forecasted production profile (boepd)

important cash flow for several years to come

• Several appraisal and development assets expected to

25 000

come on stream within the next few years

• The scenario entails an average production of 15,000 –
20,000 boepd in 2018 net to PA Resources

• The new strategic plan focuses on the following assets
to be developed into production:

» Zarat (13.7 mmboe 2P and 6 mmboe in 2C),first oil 2017
» Elyssa (16 mmboe 2C), first gas 2016
» Block I (1.7 mmboe – Diega or Carla South), first oil 2017

20 000
15 000
10 000
5 000
0
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

» Denmark 12/06 (8 mmboe – Broder Tuck or Lille John),
first production 2018

• Relatively conservative scenario with only three
discovered fields brought to development

• Tangible upside in discovered hydrocarbons as well as
exploration potential

19

Currently producing

Fields to be developed
Asset portfolio – Strategic plan assumptions

Producing assets
today

Development
assets included in
new strategic plan

• Tunisia Offshore: Didon
• Tunisia Onshore: DST fields
• Equatorial Guinea: Aseng and Alen

• Tunisia: Zarat and Elyssa
• Equatorial Guinea: Carla South or Diega
• Denmark: Broder Tuck or Lille John

• Tunisia: Didon and DST investment cases,
Key Assets NOT
included in new
strategic plan

20

Take out Greenland

onshore exploration

• North Sea: Bergman, German exploration
• Equatorial Guinea: Block I gas development
• Congo: MPS exploration

Production
Exploration and development
Medium term CAPEX plan 2014-2017
• Capex required to reach production of 15,000 -20,000
boepd by 2018 estimated at $600 million

CAPEX plan 2014-2017 (USD million)

• Majority of capex is related to development costs

300

• Assets are located close to existing infrastructure
which reduces capex and enables cost efficient
development

250

• Impact of farm-out carries is to back-end loaded PA
capex requirement towards 2016-2017

150

• Majority of medium term capex is for Tunisian
offshore assets, Denmark and Equatorial Guinea
• Key requirement of farm-in Operators was a track
record of cost control and project delivery in similar
developments

21

200

100
50
0

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018
Strategic review Path to completion
•
•
•

Mid to long term asset development plan
presented with Q2 Report and Rights issue

•

First step was to realise asset values and reduce
exposure through farm-out campaign to
experienced and efficient Operators

•

Next phase is to provide a more rigorous
definition of the portfolio upside

•

Then a refinancing plan will be put in place to
allow these field developments to be completed

•

22

Strategic review initiated after AGM in May

Final outcome of this strategic review process is
expected in Q1 2014

Financial situation stabilised in Q3 through
completed rights issue and bond issue
Thank you!
Q4 Report on 6 February 2014

Q1

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Pa resources q3 2013 results 23 october 2013

  • 1. Third Quarter 2013 Mark McAllister, CEO Tomas Hedström, CFO Stockholm, 23 October 2013
  • 2. Today’s topics >> NEW CEO Short introduction to Mark McAllister >> OPERATIONAL UPDATE Recent developments Q3 >> FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS Earnings, key ratios and one-offs >> PA RESOURCES’ WAY FORWARD Follow up on strategic review and outlook 2
  • 3. Mark McAllister New CEO since 1 October • • Joined the oil industry in 1979 with Conoco • Worked for Operators in the North Sea, FSU and North Africa • Held senior management positions at Monument Exploration and LASMO plc, two of the most successful UK Independents • Founded and ran two new UK Independents, Acorn Oil & Gas and Fairfield Energy • These companies have played a significant role in the rationalisation of the mature North Sea • Was Chairman of OSPRAG, the joint industrygovernment body formed as a North Sea response to the Macondo blow-out • 3 Petroleum Engineer with Engineering MA from Cambridge University Awarded Honorary Doctorate from Robert Gordons University in Aberdeen for services to the North Sea oil industry
  • 4. Q3 summary Strengthened balance sheet Q3 HIGHLIGHTS • • Main owner Gunvor Group now holds ~50% • Advanced 12/06 farm-out negotiations and MPS farm-out discussions in progress • Maintenance and upgrade shut-in of Didon field extended until early November • Alen production start, gas volumes slowly increased • 4 Strengthened balance sheet through completed rights issue and bond issue Diega appraisal programme underway
  • 6. West Africa: MPS farm-out and Azurite abandonment Azurite field (35% interest) • Early abandonment to commence in Q4 2013 • Final lifting expected in Q4 2013 to mainly cover PA Resources’ share of regular abandonment cash costs • One-off decommissioning costs of SEK 469 million reported in Q3, costs relating to the FDPSO vessel and Murphy’s Congo office Mer Profonde Sud (85% interest) • Farm-out data room process attracted considerable interest • PA Resources in the process of finalising agreement to divest majority stake and operatorship • Farm-out subject to government approval, prior to enter third and final renewal period in November 2013 incurring one firm well commitment • If third period not entered, licence to be relinquished giving rise to impairment of current book value (approx. SEK 800 million) 6
  • 7. EG Block I – Diega appraisal programme underway PA Resources 5.7% Block I Drilling program - targeting next developments 1. Carla North and South exploration/appraisal • • • 2011 discovery in adjacent Block O (’Carla North’) appraised in 2013 with additional oil reservoir found Carla South exploration well in Block I and its sidetrack encountered oil in two different good quality sandstone reservoirs Implication of results being evaluated Carla South 1 Diega 2 2. Diega appraisal • • • • 7 Pilot how drilled and logged in Q3 followed by a horizontal sidetrack Diega oil production test being performed Possible further drilling in 2014 and nearterm submission of plan of development Advanced discussion on initial allocation of Diega field (between Block O and Block I) Licence Group: Operator Noble Energy (38%), Atlas Petroleum (27.55%), Glencore Xstrata (23.75%), PA Resources (5.7%), GEPetrol (5%)
  • 8. North Africa – Didon shut-in and farm-out process Didon field (30% interest) • Production shut in since 1 July • FSO-vessel undergoing a comprehensive recertification and upgrade work programme conducted in Palumbo Dry Dock in Malta • Extensive shut down maintenance programme on production platform and production riser change out • Production restart is now re-scheduled to early November • Production shortfall expected to be partly compensated by higher production when field is back on stream • Vessel prepared for field life extension programme Farm-out process • Agreement to farm-out 70% and operatorship of Tunisian offshore assets to EnQuest signed in May 2013 • Notification and approval process has commenced, delayed due to political situation in Tunisia • Transaction completion not expected before Q1 2014 8
  • 9. North Sea – Advanced 12/06 negotiations 12/06 (64% interest) • Rig discussions continue for 2014/2015 drilling, with Lille John appraisal as priority • Studies continue of development options for Broder Tuck field, towards decision in H1 2014 • PA Resources currently finalising negotiations regarding a farm-out of 40% interest in the licence, reducing the interest from 64% to 24% Gita evaluation (26.8% interest) • Operator received regulatory approval for continued evaluation of remaining prospectivity until Q2 2014, Northern portion of licence to be relinquished UKCS Block 22/19a (100% interest) • PA Resources operator of the Bergman (formerly Fiddich) gas/condensate discovery from 1984 • Initial discussion with potential candidate host facilities to assess scope for tie-back to nearby infrastructure 9
  • 10. Gunvor Group and Lorito – New main owners • Gunvor Group is a leading global energy commodities trader with a turnover of more than USD 93 billion, book equity in excess of USD 2.2 billion and USD 5.6 billion in available liquidity at year end 2012 • Mainly owned by Mr Guennadi Timtchenko and Mr Torbjörn Törnqvist • Year end 2012, Gunvor Group had USD 461 million in investments in associates and joint ventures • 10 Gunvor Group also has USD 84 million outstanding to PA Resources through an RBL (reserve based loan) • Following the equity issue, Gunvor owns 49.96% of PA Resources after invested c. SEK 550 million in new equity • Lorito Holdings Ltd (Lundin familyowned trust) owns 9.69% after investing c. SEK 120 million in the rights issue • Both Gunvor Group and Lorito Holdings are financially strong owners with significant experience from the oil and gas industry and related businesses
  • 11. Largest shareholders and Nomination Committee Largest shareholders per 30 Sep. 2013 Capital/ votes NOMINATION COMMITTEE 2014 GUNVOR GROUP LTD 49.96% • Dirk Jonker (Gunvor Group) LORITO HOLDINGS LTD 9.69% • Garrett Soden (Lorito Holdings) CREDIT AGRICOLE (SUISSE) SA 3.84% • Göran Ågerup (Ågerup Fastigheter) AVANZA PENSION 2.59% ÅGERUP FASTIGHETER AB 2.06% ORIGINAT AB 1.70% NORDNET PENSIONSFÖRSÄKRING AB 1.02% HAJSKÄRET INVEST AB 0.91% STIFTELSEN OLLE ENGKVIST 0.80% AB TRACTION 0.76% Total, 10 largest shareholders 73.33% Other shareholders 26.67% Total 11 100.00% • Sven A Olsson, Chairman of the Board The Nomination Committee’s proposal regarding the Board of Directors, election of auditors, remuneration and more will be published ahead of the AGM on 16 April 2014
  • 13. Production and sales in Q3 bopd Q3 2013 Sept. 2013 4,200 3,800 3,800 North Africa PAR production Ytd 2013 West Africa Average production (bopd) 700 400 300 4,900 4,200 4,100 Before Tunisian farm-out 9 000 8 000 7 000 6 000 4 200 2 000 Group Total 5 700 6 800 3 000 7 100 7 700 4 000 8 000 8 700 5 000 1 000 0 Q1 2012 Q2 2012 Q3 2012 Q4 2012 Q1 2013 Q2 2013 Q3 2013 • AZURITE: Early field abandonment to commence in Q4 2013, final lifting in Q4 2013 Average sales price (USD/bbl) 140 119 108 100 109 109 120 109 110 113 110 102 120 106 113 103 108 80 • TUNISIA: Shut-in of Didon since 1 July due to maintenance work programme which has been extended with expected completion early November • PRICE: PA Resources realised price of USD 108 per barrel compared to Brent average of USD 110 60 40 20 Q1 2012 Q2 2012 Q3 2012 Q4 2012 Q1 2013 Q2 2013 Q3 2013 PA Resources 13 • ASENG: Oil production declined slightly, consistent with expectations and facility’s gas handling capacity Brent
  • 14. Earnings and key ratios Q3 2013 Q2 2013 4,200 4,800 Oil price (USD/barrel) 108 103 Revenue (SEK million) 293 332 EBITDA (SEK million)** 64 140 Profit before tax (SEK million)*** 10 -2 Profit for the period (SEK million) -501 -350 Earnings per share (SEK)**** -8.53 -12.89 Production (bopd)* * Subject to the necessary approvals, PA Resources´ working interest in the Didon field in Tunisia has been reduced from 100% to 30% through the farm-out transaction with EnQuest. ** Figures for Q3 and Q2 exclude non-cash, one-off costs of SEK 469 million and SEK 462 million respectively. *** Figures for Q3 and Q2 exclude non-cash, one-off costs of SEK 469 million and SEK 647 million respectively. **** The rights issue in September 2013 gave rise to retrospective adjustments 14 KEY COMMENTS Q3 vs Q2 • Revenue negatively impacted by lower production counteracted by higher oil price • Cost for Didon recertification and upgrade programme of SEK 48 million • Decommissioning costs from early Azurite abandonment of SEK 469 million, presented as one-off costs
  • 15. Q3 & Q2 comparison after one-offs SEK million Q3 2013 Q2 2013 -501 -350 469 0 9/06 (Gita) 0 88 2008/17 (Block 8) 0 97 Tunisian farm-out 0 117 -46 3 0 8 -78 -38 Profit for the period One-off costs Decommissioning costs Net exchange gains/losses KEY COMMENTS • Adjusted profit for Q3 and Q2 amounted to SEK -78 million and SEK -38 million respectively • Difference of SEK -40 million is mainly explained by cost for Didon recertification and upgrade programme. Profit for the period (Adjusted) 15 Q3 2013 Q2 2013 4,200 4,800 Oil price USD(barrel) 108 103 Currency (USDSEK) Didon 70% net result impact 6.52 6.50 Production (bopd)
  • 16. Cash flow SEK million Q3 2013 Q2 2013 Jan.-Sept. 2013 KEY COMMENTS Cash flow from operations -27 -110 • Q3 capex of SEK 74 million, mainly related to drilling activities in Block I in Equatorial Guinea Capex -74 -38 -171 Rights issues 810 0 1,413 • Full year capex forecast of SEK 250380 million, expected outcome in the lower part of the range Loans raised 0 38 38 Amortisation of debt -27 -121 -392 Cash flow from financing 783 -83 1,059 Net cash flow 16 -13 696 -149 778 • Rights issue of SEK 810 million, net after transaction costs • Cash and cash equivalents at the end of the period, SEK 835 million
  • 17. Current equity and debt situation Covenants and Net Debt development KEY COMMENTS Q3 2013 Q2 2013 Q1 2013 Covenants Book Equity (SEK million) 2,144 1,973 2,201 >1,000 Book Equity to Capital Employed 49% 46% 48% >40% 1,422 2,197 2,111 N/A Net debt (SEK million) Debt maturity per 23 Oct. 2013 (SEK million) 800 Bond Loan 900m NOK 700 Bond Loan 750m SEK 600 Convertible Bond 500 400 300 200 100 0 January 2014 17 April 2014 April 2015 March 2016 April 2016 • Equity amounted to SEK 2,144 million • New bond loan of SEK 750 million issued and previous SEK 850 million repaid in October
  • 18. Way forward and outlook Q1
  • 19. New strategic plan – basis for ongoing review • Current producing assets in natural decline, but provide Forecasted production profile (boepd) important cash flow for several years to come • Several appraisal and development assets expected to 25 000 come on stream within the next few years • The scenario entails an average production of 15,000 – 20,000 boepd in 2018 net to PA Resources • The new strategic plan focuses on the following assets to be developed into production: » Zarat (13.7 mmboe 2P and 6 mmboe in 2C),first oil 2017 » Elyssa (16 mmboe 2C), first gas 2016 » Block I (1.7 mmboe – Diega or Carla South), first oil 2017 20 000 15 000 10 000 5 000 0 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 » Denmark 12/06 (8 mmboe – Broder Tuck or Lille John), first production 2018 • Relatively conservative scenario with only three discovered fields brought to development • Tangible upside in discovered hydrocarbons as well as exploration potential 19 Currently producing Fields to be developed
  • 20. Asset portfolio – Strategic plan assumptions Producing assets today Development assets included in new strategic plan • Tunisia Offshore: Didon • Tunisia Onshore: DST fields • Equatorial Guinea: Aseng and Alen • Tunisia: Zarat and Elyssa • Equatorial Guinea: Carla South or Diega • Denmark: Broder Tuck or Lille John • Tunisia: Didon and DST investment cases, Key Assets NOT included in new strategic plan 20 Take out Greenland onshore exploration • North Sea: Bergman, German exploration • Equatorial Guinea: Block I gas development • Congo: MPS exploration Production Exploration and development
  • 21. Medium term CAPEX plan 2014-2017 • Capex required to reach production of 15,000 -20,000 boepd by 2018 estimated at $600 million CAPEX plan 2014-2017 (USD million) • Majority of capex is related to development costs 300 • Assets are located close to existing infrastructure which reduces capex and enables cost efficient development 250 • Impact of farm-out carries is to back-end loaded PA capex requirement towards 2016-2017 150 • Majority of medium term capex is for Tunisian offshore assets, Denmark and Equatorial Guinea • Key requirement of farm-in Operators was a track record of cost control and project delivery in similar developments 21 200 100 50 0 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
  • 22. Strategic review Path to completion • • • Mid to long term asset development plan presented with Q2 Report and Rights issue • First step was to realise asset values and reduce exposure through farm-out campaign to experienced and efficient Operators • Next phase is to provide a more rigorous definition of the portfolio upside • Then a refinancing plan will be put in place to allow these field developments to be completed • 22 Strategic review initiated after AGM in May Final outcome of this strategic review process is expected in Q1 2014 Financial situation stabilised in Q3 through completed rights issue and bond issue
  • 23. Thank you! Q4 Report on 6 February 2014 Q1