Consequence Management Planning


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Consequence Management Planning

  1. 1. Consequence Management Planning Meg Scott Phipps, Commissioner John T. Hoffman Director, Threat & Mitigation [email_address]
  2. 2. How To Reduce Exposure to Terrorism <ul><li>Assess threat and vulnerabilities </li></ul><ul><li>Implement Threat Reduction steps </li></ul><ul><li>Develop Crisis Management Plan </li></ul><ul><li>Develop Consequence Management Plan </li></ul><ul><li>Train your team & Exercise the plans </li></ul>
  3. 3. Continuum Emergency Response Consequence Management <ul><li>Recovery </li></ul><ul><li>Long Term </li></ul><ul><li>Sustainment </li></ul><ul><li>Follow-up </li></ul>Preparations Crisis Response <ul><li>Plan </li></ul><ul><li>Equip </li></ul><ul><li>Train </li></ul><ul><li>Coordinate </li></ul><ul><li>Test </li></ul><ul><li>Respond </li></ul><ul><li>Rescue </li></ul><ul><li>Secure </li></ul><ul><li>Support </li></ul><ul><li>Support to local/State agencies </li></ul><ul><li>Troops on street </li></ul><ul><li>Immediate Response </li></ul><ul><li>Rescue </li></ul><ul><li>Immediate sustainment </li></ul>Crisis Response <ul><li>Identify </li></ul><ul><li>Prevent </li></ul><ul><li>Apprehend </li></ul><ul><li>Follow-up </li></ul>Event Sustainment Consequence Management
  4. 4. Response Capability Plans & Training Posture Organization’s Staff Available Infrastructure & Resources Available Information & Communications
  5. 5. <ul><li>Your plan must address how you will operate without key external support? </li></ul><ul><li>You must understand the threat and its potential effect on your activity: </li></ul><ul><ul><li>threat scenarios provide focus </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Assess capabilities to respond and recover </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>analysis uncovers gaps and shortfalls </li></ul></ul><ul><li>Your plan must identify how you will return to normalcy </li></ul><ul><li>The goal is to minimize loss of life, capability, and property </li></ul>Crisis & Consequence Management Planning
  6. 6. Scenario Analysis Casualties Property Damage Economic Impact Scenario Outcome Process/production Impact Analysis Approach <ul><li>Start with Threat Scenarios </li></ul><ul><li>Enlist domain experts </li></ul><ul><li>Use simulation tools to assess impact on target </li></ul><ul><ul><li>physical models </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>GIS databases (demo- graphics, emergency assets, street maps, …) </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Process/production schematics </li></ul></ul>Scenario Evolution Predict Impact Analyze appropriate threat scenarios; overlay on conventional response capabilities Objective
  7. 7. Federal Government Response Assessment Scenario Overall Capabilities Command Comm Equipment Information Resources Plans Overall Radiological Threat (Strontium) Biological Agent Threat (Foot & Mouth) Biological Agent Threat (Anthrax) Product Adulteration Threat (Ricin) Chemical Agent Threat (Nerve Agent – from Pesticide) Summary: Terrorists place a beta emitter in tank of raw product. Summary: Dairy cattle discovered to have FMD. Summary: 100 grams of anthrax released into the production process. Summary: Ricin put into raw product Summary: Organo-phosphate put into raw product Technology Organizational Response Assessment
  8. 8. Emergency Infrastructure <ul><li>What facility can serve as your EOC? </li></ul><ul><li>Where is your off-site/alternate management or operations office? </li></ul><ul><li>What team within your organization provides ongoing planning and coordination? </li></ul><ul><li>Who can provide contracting, procurement, equipment loan/lease support to restore or sustain critical operations? </li></ul><ul><li>Is there a COOP plan to sustain production or preserve capability at some level? </li></ul><ul><li>Do you maintain pre-packaged response or continuity of operations emergency supplies? </li></ul>
  9. 9. <ul><li>Establish inter-agency Planning Team </li></ul><ul><li>Assess Threat and Vulnerabilities </li></ul><ul><li>Coordinate with local Emergency Response </li></ul><ul><li>Determine Required Tasks to Restore Normalcy </li></ul><ul><li>Determine Required Resources to Restore Normalcy </li></ul><ul><li>Determine tasks required to restore critical functions </li></ul><ul><li>Develop Command Structure and Staff functions </li></ul><ul><li>Assess current capabilities to execute the plan </li></ul><ul><li>Identify shortfalls and needs, then remedy them </li></ul><ul><li>Train your staff and then Exercise the plan! </li></ul>Developing Consequence Management Plans:
  10. 10. 4 Oct Complete Planning Task Objectives 20 Oct Conduct Detailed Assessments Use Planning Milestones 1 Jun Complete Consequence Management Plan 15 Feb Complete Staffing Plan & Resource Allocations 1 Dec Complete needs identification & Prioritize planning tasks to be accomplished Initial Assessment Report to CEO
  11. 11. Endstate Objective Sheriff NCDA&CS Police Local EM Suppliers Industry Org. EMS Media Resourced Coordinated Integrated Effective Plan
  12. 12. Consequence Management Planning John T. Hoffman Director, Threat & Mitigation [email_address] QUESTIONS?