Democracy 2020 Ahmed Abdelhamid (Al Jazeera Talk)

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Presentation Democracy 2020 Ahmed Abdelhamid (Al Jazeera Talk)

Presentation Democracy 2020 Ahmed Abdelhamid (Al Jazeera Talk)

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  • 2010On April 20, BP's Deepwater Horizon oil rig exploded in the Gulf of Mexico, killing 11 workers and commencing months of oil leaking unrestrained into the ocean. Efforts to manage the spill with controlled burning, dispersants and plugging the leak were unsuccessful until BP capped the well in mid-July, temporarily halting the flow of oil into the Gulf. The well was then successfully plugged and declared "effectively dead" on September 19.This oil spill has obtained the dubious distinction of being the worst oil spill in US history, surpassing the damage done by the Exxon Valdez tanker that spilled 11 million gallons of oil into the ecologically sensitive Prince William Sound in 1989. It is estimated that over 205 million gallons of oil were released into the Gulf.______________________June 2010 Dick cheney joins BP as VPhttp://blogontherun.wordpress.com/2010/05/04/how-many-katrinas-is-obama-responsible-for-one-fewer-than-dick-cheney/Here in the real world, Dick Cheney is only responsible for one, but it’s a doozy:Attorney Mike Papantonio: Here’s what people don’t know. BP didn’t want to spend the money for a system — it’s a fail-safe system, absolutely fail-safe.* It’s a device system that’s used all over the world, except in the United States, because we give ‘em a free pass in the United States.Talk-show host Ed Schultz: What system is that, Mike?MP: The system’s called — it’s called the acoustic switch system. It’s a relay system that blows out the bottom of the catastrophe. In other words, it stops the oil where — exactly from the source. Now, here’s what’s interesting. If BP has to do business in Norway, they have to use the switch. When they do it in the U.S., they don’t have to use it. It happened because of this. During the — during the Bush deregulation years, you had the Mineral Management Service that told companies like BP that, gee whiz, we have a new policy, it’s the closed-door, Dick Cheney policy, that Dick Cheney program allowed the industry to bypass safe systems like the acoustic switch, and there was no need to spend $500,000 with the –ES: OK –MP: — with the companies making $40 billion. It was a complete bypass of safety.ES: OK, Mike, so are you telling our audience tonight that they were too cheap to spend $500,000 on the heels of record profits to put in an acoustic switch, which would have triggered the blowout preventer which could have stopped all of this?MP: It’s the most unreported part of this story out there, Ed. I don’t know why the media’s not talking about this, but that’s what it came down to. Dick Cheney changed political policy with the energy industry. We all remember when he met behind closed doors with the industry –ES: Yeah.MP: This is one of the things that came out of there. So they did all this –ES: I, I, I mean, I’m taken by all of this. So they did all of this to save 500 grand, or was this just a wealth of paperwork and a paper trail and safety precautions that they just didn’t want to mess with? What is it?MP: When this story is told, it’s going to look just like the other deregulatory stories, where during the Bush years they deregulated this industry just like they did with the drug industry, just like they did all parts of the environment, the –  if you look at it, it’s all a deregulatory problem. Now what we’re stuck with is, we’re stuck with the problem that 20 million gallons of oil are spilling into the Gulf. There’s no way to clean it up. In a perfect world — Ed, think about this: In a perfect world, if everything goes perfectly, we’re going to be able to get 20% of the oil from the Gulf. And what’s happening is the rest of that crude becomes catastrophic for an entire ecosystem.*There’s a movie called “Fail-Safe.” Spoiler alert: It doesn’t end well.
  • More than 100 of music’s biggest stars got together at the very same recording studio to record a 2010 version of “We Are the World,” with all proceeds going to the earthquake relief in Haiti.--President Obama, meanwhile, held three press conferences about the earthquake within five daysLittle or no mention was made of the EU's immediate pledge of more than €400m (compared to the US's €70m),>>Limbaugh was right that the US gives financial aid to the poorest nation in its hemisphere, although the amount Haiti receives is very small compared to what is received by Israel, Egypt or Afghanistan. In the most recent three years for which data is available, each American gave only about 80 cents to Haiti (while Canada contributed the equivalent of $12.13 per person and Norway $8.44http://www.newstatesman.com/international-politics/2010/01/haiti-aid-american-afghanistan
  • Wiki leaks about it:http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ESE_vPi4ySw-Haiti to USAThank you Thank youhttp://www.swamppolitics.com/news/politics/blog/2010/01/haiti_to_usa_thank_you_thank_y.html-Wiki: US occupation to Haitihttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_occupation_of_Haiti- Chavez US is occupingHait for aidhttp://www.reuters.com/article/2010/01/17/us-quake-haiti-chavez-idUSTRE60G2DW20100117-Wikileaks on Haiti and UShttp://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/cifamerica/2011/jan/21/haiti-wikileaks-image source:http://ipsnews.net/news.asp?idnews=105631-Chavez: USA is occuping Haiti in the name of Aidhttp://www.reuters.com/article/2010/01/17/us-quake-haiti-chavez-idUSTRE60G2DW20100117-Othershttp://answers.yahoo.com/question/index?qid=20100114091444AAIWS7Ywonderful quotes!>> Kirsten Razz:  My boyfriend is a marine, and he is getting sent over there too. He told me yesterday that he will be in combat when over there. I don't understand it but if they hate us that much that they are going to fight us, why are we helping them? For people who wrote dick comments this is not a stupid question, no were not gonna go to war over it, but he said that they are going to be in combat.>> The third answer has many more tricks: Also, American treaties such as NAFTA, etc which were developed as "free trade agreements" devastated Haitian agriculture. Haitian farmers, who worked the land by hand, couldn't compete with the American food products that were developed by machine and genetically engineered to grow larger, faster and cheaper
  • http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/G7The G7 (also known as the G-7) is the meeting of the finance ministers from a group of seven industrialized nations. It was formed in 1975 as the Group of Six: France, West Germany, Italy, Japan, United Kingdom, and United States. The following year,Canada was invited to join.Collectively, the G7 nations comprise 50.4% of global nominal GDP and 39.3% of global GDP (PPP).the G-7 will be eclipsed in economic size by the world's largest emerging markets (E-7) within two decades, led by China. In 2000, the G-7's GDP was twice as large as the E-7 and in 2010 the gap has shrunk to 35 percent. The combined GDP of E-7 (China, India, Brazil, Russia, Mexico, Indonesia, and Turkey) is projected to match the G-7 around 2019. [2][dead link]As of January 2011, PriceWaterhouseCoopers says the G-7 will be overtaken by emerging economies in 2032. [3]
  • Graph Theory:In computer science, graphs are used to represent networks of communication, data organization, computational devices, the flow of computationGraph theory is also used to study molecules in chemistry and physics. In condensed matter physics, the three dimensional structure of complicated simulated atomic structures can be studied quantitatively by gathering statistics on graph-theoretic properties related to the topology of the atoms.-----Al-Khwārizmī's contributions to mathematics, geography, astronomy, and cartography established the basis for innovation in algebra and trigonometry. His systematic approach to solving  linear and quadratic equations led to algebra, a word derived from the title of his 830 book on the subject, "The Compendious Book on Calculation by Completion and Balancing" (al-Kitab al-mukhtasarfihisab al-jabrwa'l-muqabalaHe assisted a project to determine the circumference of the Earth and in making a world map for al-Ma'mun, the caliph, overseeing 70 geographers.[13]When, in the 12th century, his works spread to Europe through Latin translations, it had a profound impact on the advance of mathematics in Europe. He introduced Arabic numerals into the Latin West, based on a place-value decimal system developed from Indian sources.[14]
  • The network of global corporate controlAuthors: StefaniaVitali, James B. Glattfelder, Stefano BattistonThe network of global corporate controlAuthors: StefaniaVitali, James B. Glattfelder, Stefano Battiston(Submitted on 28 Jul 2011 (v1), last revised 19 Sep 2011 (this version, v2))36 pages.   Abstract: The structure of the control network of transnationalcorporations affects global market competition and financialstability. So far, only small national samples were studied and therewas no appropriate methodology to assess control globally. We presentthe first investigation of the architecture of the internationalownership network, along with the computation of the control held byeach global player. We find that transnational corporations form agiant bow-tie structure and that a large portion of control flows to asmall tightly-knit core of financial institutions. This core can beseen as an economic "super-entity" that raises new important issuesboth for researchers and policy makers.Comments:       Main Text (10 pages, 3 figures and 1 table) and SupportingInformation (26 pages, 7 figures and 4 tables), 2nd version (withminor comments, typos removed, detailed acknowledgement, betterreferencing of Supporting Information)Subjects:       General Finance (q-fin.GN); Social and Information Networks(cs.SI); Physics and Society (physics.soc-ph)Journal reference:      PLoS ONE 6(10), e25995 (2011)DOI:    10.1371/journal.pone.0025995Cite as:        arXiv:1107.5728v2 [q-fin.GN]Figure:Figure 2: Network topology. (A) A bow-tie consists of in-section (IN), out-section (OUT),strongly connected component or core (SCC), and tubes and tendrils (T&T). (B) Bow-tie structureof the largest connected component (LCC) and other connected components (OCC). Eachsection volume scales logarithmically with the share of its TNCs operating revenue. In parenthesis,percentage of operating revenue and number of TNCs, cfr. Table 1. (C) SCC layout ofthe SCC (1318 nodes and 12191 links). Node size scales logarithmically with operation revenue,node color with network control (from yellow to red). Link color scales with weight. (D) Zoomon some major TNCs in the financial sector. Some cycles are highlighted
  • لنأخذ مثلا قناة الحرة و راديو صوت أمريكا الموجهة للمنظقة و التي أريد لهما أن يكونا نافذة لترويجالسياسة الأمريكية، بات ينظر إليها العامة العرب على أنها قنوات دعائية فجة في خدمة الأجندة الأمريكية وذلك بالرغم من إنفاق أكثر من 700 مليون دولار على هذه الشبكات (الحرةوسوا) {1}.{1}.الولايات المتحدة الأمريكية  بين القوة الصلبة و القوة الناعمة, د. رفيق عبد السلام
  • Can we fore-tell the revolution??
  • More on Large Graphy Algorithms:http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PBLgUBGWcz8

Transcript

  • 1. The pursuit of democracy 2020 Ahmed AbdelHamid, AljazeeraTalk
  • 2. Get rid of 20%...
  • 3. 2010: We are the world?
  • 4. Haiti…• Who was the most generous donor?• 12K wikileaks cables, of 7 years• USA intervened in the elections toreverse the results of the 1st round ofresults• Michel Martelly: 2010 electionsresults falsification?• US embassy: showed displeasure toraise the min. wage for workers sincea “5$/day wage is not taking theeconomic reality into consideration, USA: 80 c pp CAD: 12.13 ppsuggesting 3$/day instead”, why? Norway: 8.44$ pp• History: Slaves revolution,occupation, hate… Assacinations, A demonstrator on Oct. 7 supporting Batay Ouvriyes unionisation campaign holds a signHugo Chavez: USA occupying Haiti in that says, "Respect the rights of workingthe name of aid (3ooo), …. people." Credit:Ansel Herz/IPS
  • 5. 2019 2032G7: Fr,It, uK, us, cAD, DE, JE7: China, India, Br, Russia,Turkey, Mexico, Indonesia "Political language is designed to make lies sound truthful and murder respectable, and to give an appearance of solidity to pure wind.“ -- George Orwell
  • 6. Couple of our Heroes today… Leonhard Euler 1707-1783Al-Khwārizmīs 780c-850c•Algorithsms•Algebra is named after his book “Al-Gabrwal Muqabalah”•contributions Map of Königsberg in Eulers time showing theto mathematics, geography, astronomy, actual layout of the seven bridges,trigonometry, … highlighting the river Pregel and the bridges.
  • 7. The network of Global Control •10 companies Authors: Stefania Vitali, James B. control 19.45% Glattfelder, Stefano Battiston. ETHZ- •50 companies Sep2011 control 39.78% of the global Source Data: Orbis 2007 DB, 30M financial network economic actor, reduced to 43K+
  • 8. iBlogArabs are more into Maktoob (Yahoo),Blogger(Google), WordpressEx: Wordpress: Research in china, source: http://rconversation.blogs.com/rconversation/2006/•18.9M Blogs (~0.5M arabic) 12/blogs_and_china.html•English 66% ,Spanish 8.7%, …,Dutch 0.8%, Arabic 0.3%
  • 9. Change is on going…• In Egypt: • 8M+ on facebook (~10%) • 4.5M are 18-22Y• In Tunisia • 2.2M on facebook (~20%) • 1.3M are 18-22Y•They speak A LOT about politics,they dream, & they Compare!• The real revolution is “inprogress”!! More than 900 million objects that people interact with (pages, groups, events and community pages)
  • 10. Effectiveness and communication Before Now Average Facebook user(800M) has 130 friends, and is connected to 80 community pages, groups and events
  • 11. Internet is down… 28th -2010, TV reportersdetained, Only the people can do it!
  • 12. Are we Happy? Facebook Gross National Happiness Index •Christmas, New Years Eve and Valentines Day are still among the happiest days for all of these nations, and Friday, Saturday and Sunday are happiest days of the week. •Canadians are happier the day before Canadian Thanksgiving (a Sunday) than on the actual Canadian Thanksgiving Day (a Monday). --2009 Source: http://www.facebook.com/blog.php?post=150162112130
  • 13. Swine Flue Hysteria Mississippi doesnt care about the swine flu! But, Can we predict a revolution? Well, Fischer Black and Myron Scholes knew it! Image Source: http://news.cnet.com/8301-13515_3-10229749-26.html
  • 14. Explosions… have no derivatives 18 December 2011
  • 15. AljazeeraTalk facebook insights Post views 51,332,519 18th DEC Tunisia 14th JAN BenAli escaped 25th JAN Egypt 11th Feb Military Council in …
  • 16. mneuropa-page (mainly Egyptians) Post views 10,570,888 18th DEC Tunisia 14th JAN BenAli escaped 25th JAN Egypt 11th Feb Military Council in …
  • 17. Prediction…• Monitor, Picture andBlog initiative• Started 24th of Jannight• 1M+ followers in fewdays
  • 18. Your Effectiveness in 2020Your Effectiveness= Reach * Affinity Source: http://www.blogging4jobs.com/business/relationship-recruiting-how-to-recruit-employees
  • 19. Who is/arein control?
  • 20. Can your behavior be predicted?Running Large Graph Algorithms,Lawerence Livermore National Laboratory- Andy Yoo PBLgUBGWcz8http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=
  • 21. This Man Could Rule the World popsci.com A Universe of Hubs: Mauro Martino, of Barabasis lab, Hubs act as an organizing principle within complex networks by plotting the 325,729 Web pages in the University of Notre Dame Web domain [green points]. He also mapped the 1,497,134 links that connect these pages. Q: Min starting nodes to cover the network? A: Cancer fighting, Neurology, Disease spread, … Q: If he can map them, can we predict a behavior? Case: @2006, 6M subscribers, 93%prediction… control?Albert-László Barabási Q: can we create a “human engine?”
  • 22. Freedom Engine?ForaTV interview
  • 23. Democracy/Corporatocracy 2020 is an ongoing soccer league between People/Governments/Conclusion…. Money-Media territories! Corporates on 3M 2
  • 24. www.aljazeeratalk.net Ahmed AbdelHamid @mneuropa a@ahmedabdelhamid.com Ahmedabdelhamid.com/main
  • 25. Identity re-defined