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Senaste klimatnytt - Johan Rockström
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Senaste klimatnytt - Johan Rockström

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Johan Rockström inledde seminariet Sverige kan! med att ge en bild av läget för klimatfrågan just nu.

Johan Rockström inledde seminariet Sverige kan! med att ge en bild av läget för klimatfrågan just nu.

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  • Mitigation KYOTO2; Finance GREEN CLIMATE FUND; Technology IPR; Adaptation FUND ACTION
  • Transcript

    • 1. Hagainitiativet 26 oktober 2011 Prof. Johan Rockström Stockholm Resilience Centre Stockholm Environment Institute Senaste Klimatnytt
    • 2.  
    • 3.
      • Humanity has reached a planetary saturation point
      • A resilient biosphere the basis for humen development
      • It is not only about climate change
      • A great transformation to global sustainability necessary, possible, and desirable
    • 4. ” When reality is changing faster than theory suggests it should, a certain amount of nervousness is a reasonable response” The Economist
    • 5. (Meinsheuzen et al., in prep)
    • 6.  
    • 7. Source: NASA GISS data, Jan 2011
    • 8.  
    • 9. Photo: CC Jason Auch / Azote
    • 10. Photo: S Zeff / Azote
    • 11. Reefs at risk revisited, 2011
      • About 75 % of coral reefs threatened by local and global pressures.
      • Climate change, ocean acidification, overfishing, destructive fishing, coastal development, and pollution.
      • Since first Reefs at Risk in 1997 threats have increased on 30 % of reefs.
      • Unless steps are taken threatened reefs will increase to more than 90 percent by 2030 and to nearly all reefs by 2050.
    • 12. Photo: B Christensen / Azote
    • 13. Photo: B Christensen / Azote
    • 14.  
    • 15. Total Forest Sink 2,4 ± 0,4 Pg C yr -1 Total Forest Source 1,3 ± 0,5 Pg C yr -1 Net Forest Sink 1,1 ± 0,8 Pg C yr -1
    • 16.  
    • 17. SEI Report BASIC Enters the stage
    • 18. - - + + Mitigation Finance Technology Adaptation
    • 19. Den mänskligt orsakade klimatförändringen fortsätter, med tidigare och allvarligare konsekvenser än förväntat. Biosfärens resiliens nu i centrum. Inte mycket att förvänta från Durban Annex 1 större bromskloss än Annex 2 Fortsättning på Kyoto viktigt för utvecklingsländer (BASIC, Africa Union); EU Ok med ”2nd commitment period”, dock nytt ”Kyoto2” med bindande åtagande för alla 2015 Många länder dock komfortabla med ”Accord” modellen, baserat på ”Pledge and Review” Risk, utan framsteg på Mitigation och Finance agendan blir det svårt att befästa framsteg på Technology och Adaptation Vart är vi på väg?

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