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Commercial Real Estate and Economic Outlook
 

Commercial Real Estate and Economic Outlook

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NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun, REALTORS® Midyear Meetings, Washington, DC, May 17, 2012

NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun, REALTORS® Midyear Meetings, Washington, DC, May 17, 2012

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  • Currently, deal flow remains significantly below the 2007 peak, but sizable transactions have been reported recently, and there has been a year-over-year improvement in transaction volume. In 2010, commercial real estate deal volume rose 124.3 percent year-over-year, to $122.7 billion, compared to $54.7 billion in 2009. Gains were higher for high-quality core assets, especially in the office segment, where sales volume rose 156.6 percent YoY to $41.1 billion in 2010, from $16.0 billion in 2009. The growth has continued so far in 2011, with CRE deal volume rising 69.5 percent YoY in 1Q11 to $30.5 billion. While this improvement is a positive development, it has yet to be sustained for a long enough to confirm 2009 as the bottom for transactions in this cycle. Transaction levels remain below peak, but private investors continue to account for the largest share of the total. The recent increase, however, has been driven by public investors (including REITs) and foreign investors, with both categories surpassing 2009 totals in 2010.

Commercial Real Estate and Economic Outlook Commercial Real Estate and Economic Outlook Presentation Transcript