The transportation system in 2050: Looking back at our achievement

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Shannon Page's presentation from the NERI Winter Lights Thought Leadership Forum held on 16th June 2011 in Dunedin, New Zealand.

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The transportation system in 2050: Looking back at our achievement

  1. 1. The transportation system in 2050: looking back at our achievement<br />Dr. Shannon Page<br />Lecturer in Energy Management<br />Department of Environmental Management<br />NERI Winter Lights Forum 16th June, Otago Museum<br />
  2. 2. The 2050 system: what’s it like<br />Energy Required<br />Energy Required<br />Bus<br />2011<br />2050<br />Car<br />Air<br />Coastal<br />Passenger Rail<br />Fossil <br />Fuel<br />Freight Rail<br />Freight Road<br />
  3. 3. The 2050 system: what’s it like<br />Energy Required<br />Energy Required<br />Bio Fuel<br />Bus<br />2011<br />2050<br />Bio Mass<br />Other<br />Car<br />Trolley bus/tram people & freight<br />Renewable Electricity<br />Passenger rail<br />Freight rail<br />Air<br />Coastal<br />Passenger Rail<br />Fossil <br />Fuel<br />Freight Rail<br />Freight Road<br />
  4. 4. The 2050 system: what’s it like<br />Energy Required<br />Energy Required<br />Bio Fuel<br />Bus<br />2011<br />2050<br />Bio Mass<br />Other<br />Car<br />Trolley bus/tram people & freight<br />Renewable Electricity<br />Passenger rail<br />Freight rail<br />Air<br />Coastal<br />Passenger Rail<br />Energy required decreased but ...<br />Increased activity...quality of life improved <br />Fossil <br />Fuel<br />Freight Rail<br />Freight Road<br />
  5. 5. The 2050 system: what’s it like<br />Energy Required<br />Energy Required<br />Bio Fuel<br />Bus<br />2011<br />2050<br />Bio Mass<br />Other<br />Car<br />Trolley bus/tram people & freight<br />Renewable Electricity<br />Passenger rail<br />Freight rail<br />Air<br />Coastal<br />Passenger Rail<br />Energy required decreased but ...<br />Increased activity...quality of life improved <br />Fossil <br />Fuel<br />Freight Rail<br />Freight Road<br />
  6. 6. The 2050 system: what’s it like<br />Energy Required<br />Energy Required<br />Bio Fuel<br />Bus<br />2011<br />2050<br />Bio Mass<br />Other<br />Car<br />Trolley bus/tram people & freight<br />Renewable Electricity<br />Passenger rail<br />Freight rail<br />Air<br />Coastal<br />Passenger Rail<br />Energy required decreased but ...<br />Increased activity...quality of life improved <br />Because....<br />Electricity based systems more efficient<br />Fossil <br />Fuel<br />Freight Rail<br />Freight Road<br />
  7. 7. The 2050 system: what’s it like<br />Energy Required<br />Energy Required<br />Bio Fuel<br />Bus<br />2011<br />2050<br />Bio Mass<br />Other<br />Car<br />Trolley bus/tram people & freight<br />Renewable Electricity<br />Passenger rail<br />Freight rail<br />Air<br />Coastal<br />Passenger Rail<br />Energy required decreased but ...<br />Increased activity...quality of life improved <br />Because....<br />Electricity based systems more efficient<br />More efficient modes i.e. Car  train/bus<br />Fossil <br />Fuel<br />Freight Rail<br />Freight Road<br />
  8. 8. The 2050 system: what’s it like<br />Energy Required<br />Energy Required<br />Bio Fuel<br />Bus<br />2011<br />2050<br />Bio Mass<br />Other<br />Car<br />Trolley bus/tram people & freight<br />Renewable Electricity<br />Passenger rail<br />Freight rail<br />Air<br />Coastal<br />Passenger Rail<br />Energy required decreased but ...<br />Increased activity...quality of life improved <br />Because....<br />Electricity based systems more efficient<br />More efficient modes i.e. Car  train/bus<br />Urban from changed reduced travel distances <br />Fossil <br />Fuel<br />Freight Rail<br />Freight Road<br />
  9. 9. The 2050 system: what’s it like<br />2011 <br />Household <br />
  10. 10. The 2050 system: what’s it like<br />2011 <br />Household <br />2050 <br />Household <br />
  11. 11. The 2050 system: what’s it like<br />2011 <br />Freight <br />
  12. 12. The 2050 system: what’s it like<br />2011 <br />Freight <br />2050 <br />Freight <br />
  13. 13. The 2050 system: what’s it like<br />2011 <br />Urban form<br />2050 <br />Urban form<br />
  14. 14. The 2050 system: what’s it like<br />2011 <br />Urban form<br />2050 <br />Urban form<br />
  15. 15. The 2050 system: what’s it like<br />All still accessible by a vehicle<br />
  16. 16. The 2050 system: what’s it like<br />All still accessible by a vehicle<br />Not one size fits all – City dependant<br />
  17. 17. The 2050 system: what’s it like<br />All still accessible by a vehicle<br />Not one size fits all – City dependant<br />Location changes – residences & activities<br />
  18. 18. The 2050 system: what’s it like<br />All still accessible by a vehicle<br />Not one size fits all – City dependant<br />Location changes – residences & activities<br />Location changes – production & processing<br />
  19. 19. The 2050 system: what’s it like<br />All still accessible by a vehicle<br />Not one size fits all – City dependant<br />Location changes – residences & activities<br />Location changes – production & processing<br />2011 <br />
  20. 20. The 2050 system: what’s it like<br />All still accessible by a vehicle<br />Not one size fits all – City dependant<br />Location changes – residences & activities<br />Location changes – production & processing<br />2011 <br />2050 <br />
  21. 21. The 2050 system: how we got there<br />
  22. 22. The 2050 system: how we got there<br />Didn’t wait for “just around the corner” technology<br />
  23. 23. The 2050 system: how we got there<br />Used systems/technology that worked in 2011<br />
  24. 24. The 2050 system: how we got there<br />Instead of “fast follower” “technology-taker” mentality<br />
  25. 25. The 2050 system: how we got there<br />Instead of “fast follower” “technology-taker” mentality<br />We took control – lead the way<br />
  26. 26. The 2050 system: how we got there<br />Instead of “fast follower” “technology-taker” mentality<br />We took control – lead the way<br />Became an example to other countries on solving the problem <br />
  27. 27. The 2050 system: how we got there<br />It is not about mobility<br />It is not about transport<br />
  28. 28. The 2050 system: how we got there<br />It is not about mobility<br />It is not about transport<br />It was about us as Kiwis<br />
  29. 29. The 2050 system: how we got there<br />It is not about mobility<br />It is not about transport<br />It was about us as Kiwis<br />Being able to access the actives we want<br />
  30. 30. The 2050 system: how we got there<br />It is not about mobility<br />It is not about transport<br />It was about us as Kiwis<br />Being able to access the actives we want<br />Goods that we make/need getting to market<br />
  31. 31. The 2050 system: how we got there<br />It is not about mobility<br />It is not about transport<br />It was about us as Kiwis<br />Being able to access the actives we want<br />Goods that we make/need getting to market<br />
  32. 32. The 2050 system: how we got there<br />We stopped “encouraging” people to bike/walk and to take public transport<br />
  33. 33. The 2050 system: how we got there<br />We stopped “encouraging” people to bike/walk and to take public transport<br />Instead....<br />Aggressively pursued an infrastructure where low/zero energy access was the least cost option <br />
  34. 34. No more time spent contemplating the roll of fossil fuels in the future<br />Only steps towards a fossil free future were taken<br />The 2050 system: how we got there<br />CO2<br />“Transitional measure”<br />“Take full account of CO2“<br />Lignite Coal<br />Diesel<br />
  35. 35. The 2050 system: how we got there<br />No new roads<br />
  36. 36. The 2050 system: how we got there<br />No new roads<br />Drastic change in funding: <br />roads  redevelopment<br />
  37. 37. The 2050 system: how we got there<br />No new roads<br />Drastic change in funding: <br />roads  redevelopment<br />City streets progressively pedestrianised<br />
  38. 38. The 2050 system: how we got there<br />Although some felt that a more measured approach was necessary i.e. the wealth of fossil fuels should be considered....<br />
  39. 39. The 2050 system: how we got there<br />Although some felt that a more measured approach was necessary i.e. the wealth of fossil fuels should be considered....<br />Given the urgency of the situation, ALL efforts were put into reducing fossil fuel use<br />

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