Peter Bishop - Futurist
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Peter Bishop - Futurist

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  • Goals To highlight some of the attributes assigned to the Millennial generation To look at how the world has changed in the past three generations- so that we might understand the interaction between generations that we find in schools/work. To look at why this might be important to education Generations are characterized by groups of people born within the same time period– and have a strikingly similar values and view of the world based on shared early life experiences. It is about passing through life stages together… The theory is that b/c of our shared experiences- we might share beliefs towards science, technology, government, ‘progress’, national pride, gender, celebrity… Story isn’t that young people have changed- or parents have changed– but that some things in our world have changed– and others have stayed the same… We are all just responding and adapting as best we can…. It’s not about finding the best approach. Just recognizing how we might look at the world differently b/c we were born at a certain time– and passed thru the world changing at a different stage in life…
  • Symbol in the middle
  • Airplane, truck in lower left
  • Goals To highlight some of the attributes assigned to the Millennial generation To look at how the world has changed in the past three generations- so that we might understand the interaction between generations that we find in schools/work. To look at why this might be important to education Generations are characterized by groups of people born within the same time period– and have a strikingly similar values and view of the world based on shared early life experiences. It is about passing through life stages together… The theory is that b/c of our shared experiences- we might share beliefs towards science, technology, government, ‘progress’, national pride, gender, celebrity… Story isn’t that young people have changed- or parents have changed– but that some things in our world have changed– and others have stayed the same… We are all just responding and adapting as best we can…. It’s not about finding the best approach. Just recognizing how we might look at the world differently b/c we were born at a certain time– and passed thru the world changing at a different stage in life…
  • Our focus on achievement might be an overwhelming necessity… Succeeding in a Global Knowledge Economy is much more difficult than anything societies have experienced in the past. Agricultural life was uncertain, but with the right factors- anyone could participate in the economy. Manufacturing required physical strength- and often an ability to do repetitive work. Service Economy – required school- but most work was not inaccessible…. And for a few decades- there was little global competition. Knowledge/Collaborative Economy – requires us to constantly update our skills; Millennials are developing a skill set to compete in the global knowledge economy… For many professionals the 9 to 5 work day has been replaced by the 24/7 Multi-tasking is a natural juggling act for Millennials who can simultaneously write emails, chat on instant messaging, burn CDs, and talk on the cell phone… Moist Millennials will also work across teams in their future work environments– many of these teams might be across national borders. For Millennials- who have grown up in small groups (day care; classroom projects, et al)
  • --Note that world-wide discoveries of oil peaked during the 1960s, and have been in a bumpy decline ever since. The Optimists say there is a lot more oil to be discovered, and that it will be discovered once prices stay higher longer and once large proven reserves become less plentiful. Furthermore, they point to a factor called “reserves growth” within existing fields that undercuts the need to discover new fields. It will be interesting to follow this claim. So far, during this century’s high-price regime, the new discoveries fail to match the size and quality of the super-giant fields discovered from 1930-1970, during oil’s heyday. --This is just a scenario. Peak oil could land a couple of years later. We could, as we show here, have several mini-peaks on a modest plateau. It might play out quite differently; for example, if the US bombed Iran and they responded by attacking oil freighters passing through the Straits of Hormuz and terrorists (or Iran) attacked Saudi Arabia’s Ras Tanura refining and export facility, we could experience peak oil within a month after that event. Another scenario would show that we are already on a plateau of production and it won’t increase substantially for a number of years when it will slip into decline. Another scenario would show production increasing intermittently another 8%-10% before declining immediately after that peak. No one knows the exact “when” and “what happens then” answers—no one.
  • These are rough figures. Most are based on research over the years by Cutler Cleveland and Robert Kaufmann (Boston University) and Charlie Hall (State University of New York). Oil sands figures come from Canadian sources. Ethanol figures come an average of US sources (1.3 to 1.6); some sources (David Pimentel and Ted Padzek) state that the figure for ethanol for corn is less than 1 to 1.
  • Goals To highlight some of the attributes assigned to the Millennial generation To look at how the world has changed in the past three generations- so that we might understand the interaction between generations that we find in schools/work. To look at why this might be important to education Generations are characterized by groups of people born within the same time period– and have a strikingly similar values and view of the world based on shared early life experiences. It is about passing through life stages together… The theory is that b/c of our shared experiences- we might share beliefs towards science, technology, government, ‘progress’, national pride, gender, celebrity… Story isn’t that young people have changed- or parents have changed– but that some things in our world have changed– and others have stayed the same… We are all just responding and adapting as best we can…. It’s not about finding the best approach. Just recognizing how we might look at the world differently b/c we were born at a certain time– and passed thru the world changing at a different stage in life…
  • Org chart and Network picture
  • Org chart and Network picture

Peter Bishop - Futurist Presentation Transcript