Home Price Monitor
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Cutting Through the Noise: An in-depth look at the various housing price indices.

Cutting Through the Noise: An in-depth look at the various housing price indices.

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Home Price Monitor Presentation Transcript

  • 1. RESEARCH
    Home Price Monitor
    Cutting Through the Noise
    January 26, 2011
    Next Release: February 26, 2011
  • 2. Highlights and Outlook
    Home prices were relatively stable in November and December, a seasonally weak time for home sales. Most data series showed slight or modest declines for the month and year, but a few measures showed slight increases in prices and new home prices rose robustly.
    Rising home sales and smaller inventories will contribute to price stability going forward, perhaps especially among newer homes where low levels of construction have inventories of new homes for sale near all-time lows.
    Job growth, a relatively stable level of hires and an increase in job openings bode well for consumer demand and increased sales in the months ahead.
    RESEARCH
  • 3. Home Prices
    RESEARCH
    Sources: NAR, Case-Shiller, CoreLogic, FHFA, Census, HAVER
  • 4. Home Price Data – Year over Year Change
    RESEARCH
    Sources: NAR, Case-Shiller, CoreLogic, FHFA, Census, HAVER
  • 5. Home Price Changes
    RESEARCH
    *All data are not seasonally adjusted. Monthly changes should typically be computed only for Seasonally Adjusted (SA) data. Because these change rates are often covered in the media regardless of their suitability for analysis, they are presented here but should be used with caution. Annual (yr-over-yr) changes computed for Not Seasonally Adjusted (NSA) data give a measure that is not affected by seasonal fluctuations.
    Sources: NAR, Case-Shiller, CoreLogic, FHFA, Census, HAVER
  • 6. Spread of Existing Home Price ChangesYear over Year
    RESEARCH
    Sources: NAR, Case-Shiller, CoreLogic, FHFA, HAVER
  • 7. Supply and Demand Factors – Inventory
    RESEARCH
    Sources: NAR
  • 8. Supply – New Housing Starts and Permits
    RESEARCH
    Sources: Census
  • 9. Underlying Demand – Job Growth and Hires
    RESEARCH
    Sources: BLS
  • 10. Potential Job Growth – Openings
    RESEARCH
    Sources: BLS
  • 11. Housing Affordability
    RESEARCH
    Sources: NAR
  • 12. About the Price Data Series
    RESEARCH
    For more information, visit NAR Research
    Sources: NAR, Case-Shiller, CoreLogic, FHFA, Census, HAVER