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Provinces	
  must	
  fulfill	
  the	
  following	
  criteria	
  to	
  receive	
  the	
  Canada	
  Health	
  
Transfer	
  (CHT):	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
n	
  
	
  
The	
  shi<	
  to	
  an	
  equal	
  per	
  capita	
  basis	
  funding	
  formula	
  for	
  the	
  CHT	
  in	
  2014	
  
may	
  affect	
  the	
  universality	
  of	
  health	
  care	
  due	
  to	
  the	
  different	
  health	
  care	
  
spending	
  needs	
  of	
  each	
  province.	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
   	
  	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  	
  	
  
PER	
  CAPITA	
  HEALTH	
  CARE	
  COST	
  DRIVERS,	
  2011	
  
Alberta	
  (highest)	
   Quebec	
  (lowest)	
  
2010	
  health	
  spending	
   $67,009	
   $51,798	
  
Rural	
  populaOon	
   16.9%	
   19.4%	
  
Median	
  personal	
  income	
   $37,350	
   $28,690	
  
Cost	
  of	
  physicians’	
  
salaries	
  per	
  capita	
  
$1012	
   $692	
  
PopulaOon	
  <	
  1	
  and	
  >	
  65	
   12.5%	
   17.0%	
  
Female	
  populaOon	
   51.0%	
   49.9%	
  
Aboriginal	
  populaOon	
   6.1%	
   1.8%	
  
2011	
  health	
  spending	
   $67,698	
   $53,050	
  
TOWARD	
  A	
  NEEDS-­‐BASED	
  CANADA	
  HEALTH	
  TRANSFER	
  
IdenOfying	
  the	
  need	
  for	
  a	
  provincial	
  populaOon	
  needs-­‐based	
  funding	
  formula	
  
Presented	
  by	
  Colten	
  Goertz	
  and	
  Miranda	
  Gouchie	
  
Supported	
  by	
  Dr.	
  Haizhen	
  Mou	
  
RECOMMENDATIONS	
  
THE	
  CANADA	
  HEALTH	
  TRANSFER	
  
ANALYSIS	
  
A	
  regression	
  of	
  staOsOcs	
  from	
  the	
  2011	
  NaOonal	
  Household	
  Survey	
  (NHS),	
  
the	
   2006	
   Census	
   of	
   PopulaOon,	
   and	
   the	
   Canadian	
   InsOtute	
   for	
   Health	
  
InformaOon	
  (CIHI)	
  found	
  the	
  following	
  factors	
  to	
  be	
  cost	
  drivers:	
  	
  
	
  
 rural	
  populaOon	
  size	
  	
  
 median	
  personal	
  income	
  
	
  
The	
  model	
  also	
  considered	
  the	
  significance	
  of	
  gender	
  and	
  self-­‐idenOfying	
  
Aboriginal	
  peoples	
  in	
  each	
  province.	
  
IMPLICATIONS	
  
References:	
   Birch,	
   Stephen	
   and	
   John	
   Eyles.	
   “Needs-­‐Based	
   Planning	
   of	
   Health	
   Care:	
   A	
   CriOcal	
   Appraisal	
   of	
   the	
   Literature.”	
   CHEPA	
   Working	
   Paper	
   Series	
   91-­‐5.	
   1991.	
   Canadian	
   InsOtute	
   of	
   Health	
   InformaOon.	
   “QuickStats:	
   Public	
   and	
   Private	
   Sector	
   Health	
   Expenditures	
   by	
   Use	
   of	
   Funds.”	
   hip://apps.cihi.ca/mstrapp/asp/Main.aspx?Server=apmstrextprd_i&project=Quick
+Stats&uid=pce_pub_en&pwd=&evt=2048001&visualizaOonMode=0&documentID=9D0E83BC4BACDADE9D4938B338C6B6D5.	
  Dwyer,	
  JusOn	
  and	
  Kathy	
  Eager.	
  “OpOons	
  for	
  reform	
  of	
  Commonwealth	
  and	
  State	
  governance	
  responsibiliOes	
  for	
  the	
  Australian	
  health	
  system.”	
  Na8onal	
  Health	
  and	
  Hospitals	
  Reform	
  Commission.	
  2008.	
  	
  Government	
  of	
  Canada.	
  “2006	
  Census	
  of	
  PopulaOon.”	
  StaOsOcs	
  Canada.	
  hips://www12.statcan.gc.ca/census-­‐
recensement/2006/rt-­‐td/index-­‐eng.cfm#tab5.	
  Government	
  of	
  Canada.	
  “2011	
  NaOonal	
  Household	
  Survey:	
  Data	
  tables.”	
  StaOsOcs	
  Canada.	
  hip://www12.statcan.gc.ca/nhs-­‐enm/2011/dp-­‐pd/dt-­‐td/index-­‐eng.cfm.	
  Marchildon,	
  Gregory	
  and	
  Haizhen	
  Mou.	
  “A	
  Needs-­‐Based	
  AllocaOon	
  for	
  the	
  Canada	
  Health	
  Transfer.	
  Canadian	
  Public	
  Policy	
  40,	
  no.	
  3	
  (2014):	
  209-­‐223.	
  	
  Penno,	
  Erin,	
  Robin	
  Gauld	
  and	
  Rick	
  Audas.	
  “How	
  are	
  populaOon-­‐based	
  funding	
  
formulae	
  for	
  healthcare	
  composed?	
  A	
  comparaOve	
  analysis	
  of	
  seven	
  models.”	
  BMC	
  Health	
  Services	
  Research	
  13	
  (2013):	
  470.	
  
  Prince	
   Edward	
   Island	
   has	
   the	
  
country’s	
   largest	
   share	
   of	
   rural	
  
populaOon	
  (53.3%).	
  
  Nova	
   ScoYa	
   has	
   the	
   highest	
  
number	
  of	
  people	
  below	
  one	
  year	
  
old	
   and	
   above	
   65	
   years	
   old	
  
(17.7%).	
  
  New	
   Brunswick	
   has	
   the	
   lowest	
  
m e d i a n	
   p e r s o n a l	
   i n c o m e	
  
($27,330).	
  
	
  
THE	
  3	
  DIMENSIONS	
  OF	
  PER	
  CAPITA	
  HEALTH	
  CARE	
  COSTS	
  
Although	
   physician	
   salary	
   is	
   a	
   major	
   health	
   care	
   cost	
   driver,	
   it	
   is	
   not	
   an	
  
indicator	
  of	
  need.	
  The	
  establishment	
  of	
  a	
  needs-­‐based	
  allocaOon	
  formula	
  
for	
  the	
  CHT	
  based	
  on	
  the	
  following	
  criteria:	
  
	
  
  Percentage	
  of	
  rural	
  ciOzens	
  
  Percentage	
  of	
  ciOzens	
  below	
  the	
  age	
  of	
  one	
  and	
  above	
  the	
  age	
  of	
  65	
  
  Percentage	
  of	
  those	
  earning	
  low	
  personal	
  income	
  
Public	
  
AdministraOon	
  
Compre-­‐
hensiveness	
  
Universality	
   Portability	
   Accessibility	
  
The	
   current	
   CHT	
   funding	
   formula	
   does	
   not	
   account	
   for	
   the	
   provinces’	
  	
  
unique	
  demographic,	
  income,	
  and	
  geographic	
  differences.	
  
	
  
Variable	
   Coefficient	
  	
   P	
  value	
  
Previous	
  year’s	
  spending	
   0.58	
   0.000	
  
PopulaOon	
  <	
  1	
  and	
  >	
  65	
   84.71	
   0.095	
  
Rural	
  populaOon	
   12.85	
   0.002	
  
Median	
  personal	
  income	
   0.0008	
   0.010	
  
Cost	
  of	
  physicians’	
  salaries	
   0.012	
   0.058	
  
Female	
  populaOon	
   -­‐4.77	
   0.900	
  
Aboriginal	
  populaOon	
   -­‐34.22	
   0.520	
  
Income	
  
Geography	
   Demographics	
  
$	
  
  cost	
  of	
  full-­‐Ome	
  physicians’	
  salaries	
  
  previous	
  year’s	
  health	
  care	
  spending	
  
	
  	
  
	
  
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Canada health transfer

  • 1. Provinces  must  fulfill  the  following  criteria  to  receive  the  Canada  Health   Transfer  (CHT):         n     The  shi<  to  an  equal  per  capita  basis  funding  formula  for  the  CHT  in  2014   may  affect  the  universality  of  health  care  due  to  the  different  health  care   spending  needs  of  each  province.                               PER  CAPITA  HEALTH  CARE  COST  DRIVERS,  2011   Alberta  (highest)   Quebec  (lowest)   2010  health  spending   $67,009   $51,798   Rural  populaOon   16.9%   19.4%   Median  personal  income   $37,350   $28,690   Cost  of  physicians’   salaries  per  capita   $1012   $692   PopulaOon  <  1  and  >  65   12.5%   17.0%   Female  populaOon   51.0%   49.9%   Aboriginal  populaOon   6.1%   1.8%   2011  health  spending   $67,698   $53,050   TOWARD  A  NEEDS-­‐BASED  CANADA  HEALTH  TRANSFER   IdenOfying  the  need  for  a  provincial  populaOon  needs-­‐based  funding  formula   Presented  by  Colten  Goertz  and  Miranda  Gouchie   Supported  by  Dr.  Haizhen  Mou   RECOMMENDATIONS   THE  CANADA  HEALTH  TRANSFER   ANALYSIS   A  regression  of  staOsOcs  from  the  2011  NaOonal  Household  Survey  (NHS),   the   2006   Census   of   PopulaOon,   and   the   Canadian   InsOtute   for   Health   InformaOon  (CIHI)  found  the  following  factors  to  be  cost  drivers:        rural  populaOon  size      median  personal  income     The  model  also  considered  the  significance  of  gender  and  self-­‐idenOfying   Aboriginal  peoples  in  each  province.   IMPLICATIONS   References:   Birch,   Stephen   and   John   Eyles.   “Needs-­‐Based   Planning   of   Health   Care:   A   CriOcal   Appraisal   of   the   Literature.”   CHEPA   Working   Paper   Series   91-­‐5.   1991.   Canadian   InsOtute   of   Health   InformaOon.   “QuickStats:   Public   and   Private   Sector   Health   Expenditures   by   Use   of   Funds.”   hip://apps.cihi.ca/mstrapp/asp/Main.aspx?Server=apmstrextprd_i&project=Quick +Stats&uid=pce_pub_en&pwd=&evt=2048001&visualizaOonMode=0&documentID=9D0E83BC4BACDADE9D4938B338C6B6D5.  Dwyer,  JusOn  and  Kathy  Eager.  “OpOons  for  reform  of  Commonwealth  and  State  governance  responsibiliOes  for  the  Australian  health  system.”  Na8onal  Health  and  Hospitals  Reform  Commission.  2008.    Government  of  Canada.  “2006  Census  of  PopulaOon.”  StaOsOcs  Canada.  hips://www12.statcan.gc.ca/census-­‐ recensement/2006/rt-­‐td/index-­‐eng.cfm#tab5.  Government  of  Canada.  “2011  NaOonal  Household  Survey:  Data  tables.”  StaOsOcs  Canada.  hip://www12.statcan.gc.ca/nhs-­‐enm/2011/dp-­‐pd/dt-­‐td/index-­‐eng.cfm.  Marchildon,  Gregory  and  Haizhen  Mou.  “A  Needs-­‐Based  AllocaOon  for  the  Canada  Health  Transfer.  Canadian  Public  Policy  40,  no.  3  (2014):  209-­‐223.    Penno,  Erin,  Robin  Gauld  and  Rick  Audas.  “How  are  populaOon-­‐based  funding   formulae  for  healthcare  composed?  A  comparaOve  analysis  of  seven  models.”  BMC  Health  Services  Research  13  (2013):  470.     Prince   Edward   Island   has   the   country’s   largest   share   of   rural   populaOon  (53.3%).     Nova   ScoYa   has   the   highest   number  of  people  below  one  year   old   and   above   65   years   old   (17.7%).     New   Brunswick   has   the   lowest   m e d i a n   p e r s o n a l   i n c o m e   ($27,330).     THE  3  DIMENSIONS  OF  PER  CAPITA  HEALTH  CARE  COSTS   Although   physician   salary   is   a   major   health   care   cost   driver,   it   is   not   an   indicator  of  need.  The  establishment  of  a  needs-­‐based  allocaOon  formula   for  the  CHT  based  on  the  following  criteria:       Percentage  of  rural  ciOzens     Percentage  of  ciOzens  below  the  age  of  one  and  above  the  age  of  65     Percentage  of  those  earning  low  personal  income   Public   AdministraOon   Compre-­‐ hensiveness   Universality   Portability   Accessibility   The   current   CHT   funding   formula   does   not   account   for   the   provinces’     unique  demographic,  income,  and  geographic  differences.     Variable   Coefficient     P  value   Previous  year’s  spending   0.58   0.000   PopulaOon  <  1  and  >  65   84.71   0.095   Rural  populaOon   12.85   0.002   Median  personal  income   0.0008   0.010   Cost  of  physicians’  salaries   0.012   0.058   Female  populaOon   -­‐4.77   0.900   Aboriginal  populaOon   -­‐34.22   0.520   Income   Geography   Demographics   $     cost  of  full-­‐Ome  physicians’  salaries     previous  year’s  health  care  spending         Poster Competition sponsored by: