Keynote Address-Innovating from a Legacy Platform

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Join us as we kick-off this year’s future-facing and content-rich Micro Focus Developer Conference, with an exciting, special guest and THE business technology futurist - Jack Shaw. Jack’s rich and visionary background in business technology strategy will inform, educate, and energize you as we consider the impact and application of future technology trends on today’s business. With industry recognition in a variety of technology areas ranging from Decision Management, to Intelligent Systems, to Virtualization and Cloud Computing; Jack delivers the strategic, thought leadership needed for organizations to prepare and compete in today’s economy. As a well renowned author, editor, and business leader, Jack’s experiential insights will deliver valuable knowledge, allowing you to identify where today’s technology trends can impact tomorrow’s success. Join us for this very exciting start to a great conference and journey into the Future of Enterprise Application Development!

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  • http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=a6cNdhOKwi0
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  • Keynote Address-Innovating from a Legacy Platform

    1. 1. Innovating from a Legacy PlatformJack Shaw (@jackshaw) April 17, 2012
    2. 2. A View of the Future© 2012, Confidential and Proprietary Information of Breakthrough Business Technologies, LLC, All Rights Reserved
    3. 3. The Queen Elizabeth© 2012, Confidential and Proprietary Information of Breakthrough Business Technologies, LLC, All Rights Reserved
    4. 4. Boeing 707© 2012, Confidential and Proprietary Information of Breakthrough Business Technologies, LLC, All Rights Reserved
    5. 5. A Valuable Legacy, but…© 2012, Confidential and Proprietary Information of Breakthrough Business Technologies, LLC, All Rights Reserved
    6. 6. The First Four Waves of Business TechnologyMainframe PC Client/Server Internet 2000s60s – 70s 80s 90s© 2012, Confidential and Proprietary Information of Breakthrough Business Technologies, LLC, All Rights Reserved
    7. 7. Each Wave of Business Technology • Requires deployment of a critical mass of its predecessor wave to achieve rapid growth and broad acceptance. • Has an exponentially greater impact on business and society than its predecessor.© 2012, Confidential and Proprietary Information of Breakthrough Business Technologies, LLC, All Rights Reserved
    8. 8. 20th Century Computing© 2012, Confidential and Proprietary Information of Breakthrough Business Technologies, LLC, All Rights Reserved
    9. 9. Emerging Technologies Mobile Cloud Internet WWWe-Commerce Past Present Immediate Future Intermediate Future 2000 2010 – 2011 2012 – 2013 2015© 2012, Confidential and Proprietary Information of Breakthrough Business Technologies, LLC, All Rights Reserved
    10. 10. Something Remarkable in 2011© 2012, Confidential and Proprietary Information of Breakthrough Business Technologies, LLC, All Rights Reserved
    11. 11. No Need for Phones "The Americans have need of the telephone, but we do not. We have plenty of messenger boys." --Sir William Preece, chief engineer, British Post Office, 1876© 2012, Confidential and Proprietary Information of Breakthrough Business Technologies, LLC, All Rights Reserved
    12. 12. Global Internet Users will Double – and most will be Mobile© 2012, Confidential and Proprietary Information of Breakthrough Business Technologies, LLC, All Rights Reserved
    13. 13. Explosive Growth of Tablets • 2011 Worldwide tablet sales were about 63.6 million units, a • 261.4% increase from 2010 sales of 17.6 million units, according to Gartner, Inc. • Tablet sales will experience strong growth through 2015 when sales are forecast to reach 326.3 million units. • 2015 PC market will be only just ahead at 535 million units. • Tablets alone are going to have effective parity with PCs within 4 – 5© 2012, Confidential and Proprietary Information of Breakthrough Business Technologies, LLC, All Rights Reserved
    14. 14. Consumerization of IT - 1© 2012, Confidential and Proprietary Information of Breakthrough Business Technologies, LLC, All Rights Reserved
    15. 15. Ubiquitous Computing ―Ubiquitous computing is inevitable.‖ Within the next few years, you wont be anywhere that you wont have access to any data plus massive computational capabilities.‖ — Bill Wulf, President US National Academy of Engineering, 2002© 2012, Confidential and Proprietary Information of Breakthrough Business Technologies, LLC, All Rights Reserved
    16. 16. Cloud Computing© 2012, Confidential and Proprietary Information of Breakthrough Business Technologies, LLC, All Rights Reserved
    17. 17. © 2012, Confidential and Proprietary Information of Breakthrough Business Technologies, LLC, All Rights Reserved
    18. 18. $11B  $30B in 5 Years! • Market research firm IDC • Market for public cloud IT service • Expected to grow at an average rate of 21.6% between 2009 and 2014 • Reaching almost $30 billion. • That compares to revenue of about $11 billion in 2009.© 2012, Confidential and Proprietary Information of Breakthrough Business Technologies, LLC, All Rights Reserved
    19. 19. 6 Ways Cloud Computing Will Change Business • A new generation of • More tolerance for products and services. innovation and • The rise of new experimentation from industry leaders and IT businesses. vendors. • The slow-moving, • Reconciliation of SOA dinosaur firms will with the cloud and have trouble keeping other new IT models. up with more nimble • More self-service IT adopters and fast- from the business- followers.© 2012, Confidential and Proprietary Information of Breakthrough Business Technologies, LLC, All Rights Reserved
    20. 20. Fasten Your Seatbelts© 2012, Confidential and Proprietary Information of Breakthrough Business Technologies, LLC, All Rights Reserved
    21. 21. No Future In Television "Television wont be able to hold onto any market it captures after the first six months. People will soon get tired of staring at a plywood box every night." --Daryl Zanuck, film producer, co- founder of 20th Century Fox© 2012, Confidential and Proprietary Information of Breakthrough Business Technologies, LLC, All Rights Reserved
    22. 22. The Fifth WaveMainframe PC Client/Server Internet Intelligent Systems 70s 80s 90s Late 90s 21st Century© 2012, Confidential and Proprietary Information of Breakthrough Business Technologies, LLC, All Rights Reserved
    23. 23. Big data—a growing torrent • $600 to buy a disk drive that can store all of the world’s music • 5 billion mobile phones in use in 2010 • 30 billion pieces of content shared on Facebook every month • 40% projected growth in global data generated per year vs. • 5% growth in global IT spending • 235 terabytes data collected by the US Library of Congress by April 2011 • 15 out of 17 sectors in the United States have more data stored per company than the US Library of Congress Source: McKinsey Global Institute, “Big data: The next frontier for innovation, competition, and productivity”© 2012, Confidential and Proprietary Information of Breakthrough Business Technologies, LLC, All Rights Reserved
    24. 24. Big Data© 2012, Confidential and Proprietary Information of Breakthrough Business Technologies, LLC, All Rights Reserved
    25. 25. Business Decisions "Most discussions of decision making assume that only senior executives make decisions or that only senior executives decisions matter. This is a dangerous mistake." — Peter Drucker Peter Drucker, "What Makes an Effective Executive," Harvard Business Review, Vol. 82, No. 6, June 2004© 2012, Confidential and Proprietary Information of Breakthrough Business Technologies, LLC, All Rights Reserved
    26. 26. Decision Management Decision Management (DM) is a systematic approach to automate and improve decisions across the enterprise. It allows businesses to: Make more profitable In the same way, over While being able to and targeted and over again adapt ―on-the-fly‖ decisions PRECISION CONSISTENCY AGILITY FAST LOW COST© 2012, Confidential and Proprietary Information of Breakthrough Business Technologies, LLC, All Rights Reserved
    27. 27. Beyond BI & Data Warehousing • Business ―Intelligence‖ is retrospective. – Looking at historical data for trends – BI systems designed for: • Occasional • Low volume • Manual use • Trained experts • Decision Management is forward looking. – Continuous – Real-time – High Volume – Operational decisions© 2012, Confidential and Proprietary Information of Breakthrough Business Technologies, LLC, All Rights Reserved
    28. 28. Emerging Technologies “Big Data” Decision Management Cloud Mobile Internet WWWe-Commerce Past Present Immediate Future Intermediate Future 2000 2010 – 2011 2012 – 2013 2015© 2012, Confidential and Proprietary Information of Breakthrough Business Technologies, LLC, All Rights Reserved
    29. 29. The Limits Of PC Memory "No one will need more than 637KB of memory for a personal computer. 640KB ought to be enough for anybody." --Bill Gates, co-founder and chairman of Microsoft© 2012, Confidential and Proprietary Information of Breakthrough Business Technologies, LLC, All Rights Reserved
    30. 30. DM and Intelligent Systems • Implementing DM means automating (some) decisions, BUT • Gaining the full benefits of DM means automating many decisions. • While some decisions can be automated using just simple, ―If, Then, Else‖ program logic, • Many more decisions can be automated by using intelligent systems technologies.© 2012, Confidential and Proprietary Information of Breakthrough Business Technologies, LLC, All Rights Reserved
    31. 31. Intelligent Systems Technologies • Business Rules Management Systems • Constraint Programming • Optimization Algorithms • Pattern Recognition • Predictive Analytics • Bayesian Belief Networks • Case Based Reasoning • Cognitive Systems© 2012, Confidential and Proprietary Information of Breakthrough Business Technologies, LLC, All Rights Reserved
    32. 32. What Cognitive Systems Do • Capture the Knowledge of Human Experts in Knowledge Bases • Uses Knowledge in Knowledge Bases to – Reason about information flowing through the system – In the same ways that experts reason about similar information. • Works 24 X 7 • Never forgets anything relevant • Can ―think‖ 10,000 times faster than people.© 2012, Confidential and Proprietary Information of Breakthrough Business Technologies, LLC, All Rights Reserved
    33. 33. Autonomous Systems© 2012, Confidential and Proprietary Information of Breakthrough Business Technologies, LLC, All Rights Reserved
    34. 34. Watson – and the Jeopardy Challenge© 2012, Confidential and Proprietary Information of Breakthrough Business Technologies, LLC, All Rights Reserved
    35. 35. Value of Cognitive Systems in IT • Expert human analysts assessed the threat risks of certain individuals based a few dozen queries in an average of one hour • Government Cognitive System makes the same assessments based on over 10,000 queries in an average of one minute. • Productivity of Analysts increased 50 Times! With Higher Accuracy – Fewer False Positives or Negatives© 2012, Confidential and Proprietary Information of Breakthrough Business Technologies, LLC, All Rights Reserved
    36. 36. Inevitable Surprises© 2012, Confidential and Proprietary Information of Breakthrough Business Technologies, LLC, All Rights Reserved
    37. 37. Emerging Technologies Probabilistic Reasoning Cognitive Systems “Big Data” Intelligent Decision Management Cloud Mobile Internet WWWe-Commerce Past Present Immediate Future Intermediate Future 2000 2010 – 2011 2012 – 2013 2015© 2012, Confidential and Proprietary Information of Breakthrough Business Technologies, LLC, All Rights Reserved
    38. 38. Burj Khalifa – Dubai© 2012, Confidential and Proprietary Information of Breakthrough Business Technologies, LLC, All Rights Reserved
    39. 39. A Valuable Legacy – Modernized!© 2012, Confidential and Proprietary Information of Breakthrough Business Technologies, LLC, All Rights Reserved
    40. 40. Last Mainframe Unplugged? “The last mainframe will be unplugged by 1996." – 1991 Stewart Alsop Editor-in-Chief InfoWorld© 2012, Confidential and Proprietary Information of Breakthrough Business Technologies, LLC, All Rights Reserved
    41. 41. Homo COBOLProgrammerensis Homo COBOLProgrammerensis as spotted on a System 390 in© 2012, Confidential and Proprietary Information of Breakthrough Business Technologies, LLC, All Rights Reserved
    42. 42. The Natural Environment for H. Cobolprogrammerensis© 2012, Confidential and Proprietary Information of Breakthrough Business Technologies, LLC, All Rights Reserved
    43. 43. H. Cobolprogrammerensis to H. Generalprogrammerensis • COBOL programming roles tend to require business awareness skills as well as programming language expertise. • Integration is a major strength of COBOL – Composite Applications: Java, XML, SOA – MUST separate presentation logic (UI) and business code. • COBOL developers can no longer be ONLY COBOL developers© 2012, Confidential and Proprietary Information of Breakthrough Business Technologies, LLC, All Rights Reserved
    44. 44. New Pastures for Hunting Their Natural Prey* *The Bug© 2012, Confidential and Proprietary Information of Breakthrough Business Technologies, LLC, All Rights Reserved
    45. 45. Why Modernize? • Immediate access to real world data • To integrate with third parties web applications • To interface with Mobile apps • To interface with Cloud • To integrate with packages for Data Analytics, BI, and Decision Management • Significant reduction in mainframe costs • Soaring customer satisfaction levels© 2012, Confidential and Proprietary Information of Breakthrough Business Technologies, LLC, All Rights Reserved
    46. 46. Time for Change • It’s not enough to accept change • It’s not even enough to embrace change You’ve got to SEEK OUT change.© 2012, Confidential and Proprietary Information of Breakthrough Business Technologies, LLC, All Rights Reserved
    47. 47. Change & Progress “Change does not necessarily assure progress, but progress implacably requires change.”Historian Henry Steele Commager© 2012, Confidential and Proprietary Information of Breakthrough Business Technologies, LLC, All Rights Reserved
    48. 48. Follow Up • Jack Shaw, President Breakthrough Business Technologies • M: 770-910-5969 • Jack@e-com.com • www.e-com.com • www.gplus.to/JackShaw • www.Twitter.com/JackShaw • www.YouTube.com/user/JackShaw4728 • www.facebook.com/JackShawTechnology • www.LinkedIn.com/in/JackShawTechnology • www.BusinessTechnologyFuturist.WordPress .com© 2012, Confidential and Proprietary Information of Breakthrough Business Technologies, LLC, All Rights Reserved

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