Petro challengefinal 2010 ppt presentation


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  • The long and bumpy road for oil from the underground to your tank, is called the oil and gas industry value chain.The value chain is divided further into these parts:Upstream is about getting the hydrocarbons up from the ground, and comprises of activities related to exploration, field development, construction, production and abandonment. By its nature, the exploration phase is common for both oil and gas, but soon afterwards, the oil and gas value chain will segregate into two parallel value chains.Midstream is about transportation and storage, as well as oil refining and gas processing.Downstream is about distribution and retail sales of gas, fuels and lubricants, plastics and other hydrocarbon derivatives to industrial and consumer markets.OilSim Exploration is all about the exploration part of the oil and gas industry. Exploration is about finding the hydrocarbons and proving that they are in sufficient quantities to start producing. OilSim Field development and Production is about actually taking the oil or gas out of the subsurface.
  • So this is what it looks like when you are trying to find the midpoints for the 3 basin centres.
  • When you have found out where you think the basin centres are, you enter your centre coordinates into the form on the home page.When you press Submit, the simulation receives your guesses.If there is a green line across the right hand side of the page when you have submitted, the coordinates have been registered in the system.You can change your mind as long as the deadline has not passed and enter altered coordinates and press the Update button below the form.
  • In real life to assess the exploration risks and prospects on a bain scale, geologists use “Basin and Play Fairway Analysis” and is conducted using special GIS software and other specialist programmes. In OilSim this analysis has been simplified into one Common risk segment map to show the probability of hydrocarbons in an area. The geologists ask a number of questions to determine the probability of finding oil or gas, including:Is there a sedimentary basin and a migration route into the prospects in the area?Is there porous reservoir rock so that the oil or gas can be stored?Is there a sealing rock, so that the oil and gas can be trapped?The CRS map helps to answer these questions by combining a number of maps, surveys, charts and data analysis into one map and represents the probability of finding oil and gas in a particular geological layer or horizon.If the answers to all 3 questions mentioned are ”YES”, then the area is shown as green – a high likelihood of finding hydrocardonsIf one is negative, then the area is shown in orange – with a medium probabilty of hydrocardonsIf the answers to 2 or 3 questions are “NO”- then the area is red and has a low probability of containing oil or gas.Since the CRS show the probabilities of prospects in only one particular horizon or layer, it is necessary to purchase the CRS for all 3 layers so that you can determine which area within the licensing area contains the highest probability of containing oil and gas. So on the CRS maps shown here the area circled in black on the OilSim map and each of the CRS shows that the area in question is within the licensing area and is green on all three CRS layers, indicating high probability of oil and gas on all 3 layers within the same area or blocks. Potentially an area that requires further investigation for individual prospects.
  • Seismic surveys are made from sound waves that are sent into the subsurface, reflected, and measured when they get back to the surface.This slide shows an example of a real seismic line. It shows a cross-section of the subsurface with the blue and red lines indicating changes in velocity of the wave and therefore changes in geological structures in the subsurface.The black, red, and green lines are lines added as interpretation of the data by lines are so-called faults, which have happened for instance after earth quakes or other dramatic geological lines are where geologists think the reservoir rock beginsred lines are where the geologists think the sealing rock begins In this particular case there is a prospect indicated under the orange arrow, within the grey triangle.
  • Here the area between the reservoir and the sealant rock has been shaded in to show you whether you still have a seal at the fault or a gap where leakage could occur.
  • Your primary target is to find the limits of each prospects, not just plounge the drill string into the middle of each reservoir.Thus you shall drill into the periphery of each prospect, not in the middle.
  • When reviewing a farm-out offer you can either accept the amount or % the license owner requests, or amend the amounts to your own offer. Add a message to the seller explaining why they should choose your team and press “Send offer”
  • Financing – Is where a team is able to accept offers, and therefore receive money or “finance” for a % of their own blocks When a team receives a Farm-In offer it appears under financing on the right hand side of the homepage
  • All your farm-in offers to other teams are shown under “Investing” on the right-hand side of the homepage . This is where a team offers investments to other teams for a % of their blocksRemember you must have farmed-out 20% of your own block before you can drill.
  • Before you begin to drill you need to know the water depth so that you choose the right type of rig. You can find this information by clicking on your block and scrolling to the bottom of the screen where a map of the whole block’s water depths are shown. By scrolling over each cell you can see the water depth for each particular cell.
  • The next task is to choose which rig to use to drill the exploration well, but you will need to know how deep the water is in the area you wish to drill, so check out the water depths under your block information.There are three types of rigs: jack-up rigs for shallow waters, semi-submersible rigs for middle waters and drillships for the deepest waters. When choosing the rig ,, and.The rigs have different costs per day, and the drilling days depend on how deep you drill into the subsurface and which service providers you choose
  • In most cases there are fewer rigs than teams, so you need to be fast to get good and cheap rigs for your wells.When you order a rig you need to start using it within 20 minutes.If you do not use it within the 20 minutes, you will pay for 20 days of use.You can release a rig that you have ordered on the home page.The rig rates are dynamic, so that popular rigs tend to have increasing prices, while less popular rigs become cheaper.
  • To determine how long it will probably take to complete drilling, check out the “drilling Information” tab. The water depth is the distance from the water line to the seabed.Layer 3 is approximately 1500 meters below the seabed, layer 2 is 1000 meters further down, and layer 1 is 3500 meters below seabed.
  • Before you choose where to drill you should buy an Environmental Impact Assessment (EIA) survey to get more knowledge about the area. The benefit of an EIA survey is that you will be prepared for any environmental challenges you might encounter when drilling. With an EIA survey you will have lesser probability for drilling problems, and the extra costs will be less. Also, in the EIA survey you can see which drilling locations you should avoid. Some areas in your block are challenging to drill in. This can be because of strong currents, adverse conditions on the seabed or other local conditions. When you drill in those locations your costs go up 20%. You can see these locations in the EIA survey. You only have to buy one EIA survey for each license that you operate. You can find the EIA surveys under Surveys.
  • As this figure illustrates, you can drill through all three horizons in one well.You can even drill a deviated well, so that the position is not exactly the same in all horizons.The deviation can be 1 cell for each horizon.When we get to the drilling phase and we get to drill exploration wells, the wells can go through all three horizons.If you choose to drill to the bottom most horizon, whatever is in the horizons above will be discovered as well.Only one in five prospects actually contain oil or gas, so you will encounter a lot of dry prospects.Thus, it makes sense to look out for prospects that are on top of each other in the 2D seismic surveys, as this increases your chances in finding something.
  • Inputting estimated cost of drilling gives you knowledge points. You need to add all the costs of the rig and the service providers together and multiply this by the number of days you think it will take you to drill. The oil spill control is voluntary but costs 5% of the drilling amount per day but will earn you more knowledge points and cost you less to clear an oil spill if it happens.
  • When you have discovered a field the first decision you need to make is whether you want more information about that field right away and BEFORE you drill another exploration well.You can get more information by doing a production test, which is a process in which you try to produce oil or gas from the field.In OilSim production tests take 10 days per oil and gas field and you use the same providers as before.
  • However, if you can get the proven volume up, the block might become economically viable.This is done through production testing, and appraisal wellsWhen you have drilled the first well, you only have a small sample of the new-found oil or gas field. This is evident by the wide ranges of the area, thickness, quality, and volume variables. These wide ranges tell you that you actually do not know much about the field.After drilling and testing, your next step therefore is to drill another well – and test it. This is called an appraisal well.Normally it takes at least three or four wells into a field before the license block becomes economically viable.Sometimes it takes much more, and therefore you should not give up if the first wells into a field do not give any license value.However, you should give up if the upper boundaries of the field become so low that there is no chance that it becomes economically viable. This is often the case in deep-water blocks, where the CAPEX are very high.
  • Petro challengefinal 2010 ppt presentation

    1. 1. International PetroChallenge2010<br />
    2. 2. Purpose<br />You are an exploration team in charge of a new petroleum province. <br />Multidisciplinary challenge: Enhance your overall understanding of petroleum exploration and field development.<br />Create a Return on Investment <br />
    3. 3. Money/KP’s<br />You start with $200 million<br />Create valueNet value of the oil and gas discovered MINUS all costs involved<br /><ul><li>Knowledge points awarded</li></ul>Sensible decisions and correct answers<br />KPs are a measure of ability and credibility<br />Considered when bidding for blocks<br />Use when applying for funds <br />
    4. 4. You will learn<br />Where and how to find hydrocarbons <br />Licensing rounds <br />Farm-in and Partnerships - negotiations<br />Drilling rigs <br />Sub-contractors<br />Environmental issues<br />Economically viable volumes<br />Team work, Critical decision making, analytical skills<br />Multi-tasking<br />
    5. 5. Oil and Gas Value Chain<br />Gas<br />Oil<br />
    6. 6. Login<br /><br />
    7. 7. Login<br /><br />
    8. 8. Main screen<br />
    9. 9. Map<br />Columns e.g C1 to C112 <br />Rows e.g. R1 to R144<br />Block<br />Blocks are dividedinto 64 smaller cells<br />e g. R52C110<br />
    10. 10. First task<br />Challenge: Find three sedimentary basins <br />Procedure: <br />Buy and study magnetic and gravimetric surveys<br /> Submit the coordinates for each centre<br />Column and row number for each basin centre<br />
    11. 11. Gravimetric surveys<br /><ul><li>Gravimetric surveys indicate changes in the gravitational pull of the Earth in different areas of the sub-surface.
    12. 12. Lower gravitational fields indicates likelihood of low density rocks –Sedimentary rocks, porous and hopefully containing hydrocarbons</li></li></ul><li>Surveys in Oilsim<br />Survey shop<br />Gravimetric survey of North-west area<br />
    13. 13. Magnetic surveys<br />Magnetic surveys show anomalies in in the expected magnetic field of the Earth in particular areas. <br />Sedimentary rocks in the basins have a lower concentration of magnetic materials and lower magnetic field than the surrounding crystalline rocks. <br />
    14. 14. Survey in OilSim<br />Magnetic survey:North-west quadrant<br />
    15. 15. Survey in OilSim<br />All four quadrant surveys in map context<br />
    16. 16. Finding the Midpoint<br />
    17. 17. Survey analysis<br />Locate edges of the continous basin structure<br />Locate the diagonals and thus basin centre<br />
    18. 18. Centre may not be the same<br />Example:<br />Top basin on both maps <br />Calculate the midpoint between the gravimetric and magnetic centres found<br />= C55 and R105<br />C50<br />R100<br />C60<br />R110<br />
    19. 19. Centre Midpoint calculation<br />3 centres – one Centre midpoint for each basin<br />Example: C55, R105<br />Solve before deadline. All submissions are evaluated after the deadline (and not before).<br />You may get 0-100 KPs. All three centres must be located to get full knowledge points.<br />
    20. 20. Task 1 solved<br />Message in Inbox: <br />Shows results<br />Answers submitted<br />KPs awarded<br />
    21. 21. Task 2 license round<br />The government has decided to put the blocks in one of the basins on offer.<br />Challenge: Identify the 3 most promising blocks and offer an amount for each of them.<br />Licensing area<br />
    22. 22. Task 2 license round<br />Any restrictions involved?- Spawning grounds<br />What are we looking for? - Prospects<br />Where do we find prospects? <br />In basins, where hydrocarbons have been<br /> 1) are produced and 2) trapped<br />How do I find them? - Geoscientific analysis<br />2D seismic, Common Risk Segment maps<br />
    23. 23. Source and migration<br />2. MIGRATION ROCK<br />where hydrocarbons are driven through<br />3. CAP ROCK<br />Impermeable rock that stops migration of hydrocarbons<br />1. SOURCE ROCK<br />where organic material is put under sufficient pressure<br />4. PROSPECT<br />
    24. 24. Traps<br /><ul><li>Geological “pockets”, that might contain hydrocarbons.</li></ul>Anticline trap<br />(c) OLF<br />Stratigraphic<br /> trap<br />Salt dome trap<br />Fault trap<br />
    25. 25. Environmentally Sensitive areas<br />Red areas<br />You will not be awarded blocks that contain any red spots (spawning grounds)<br />Blue areas<br />Blocks in area may be awarded<br />
    26. 26. Common Risk Segment<br />CRS. Common Risk Segment surveys tell you about the probability of a structure in the block/cell containing oil or gas<br />Surface<br />Layer 3 Eocene<br />1500m below the seabed<br />Layer 2 Paleocene<br />2500m below the seabed<br />Layer 1 Cretaceous<br />3500m below the seabed<br />
    27. 27. 2D Seismic surveys<br />Traps can be found with seismic surveys and sound waves bouncing off structures <br />2D seismic survey is a vertical cross section of the geological layers along either a column or a row<br />
    28. 28. Real Seismic<br />                                                                                                                                                                       <br />
    29. 29. OilSim of 2DSeismic <br />Unprocessed<br />Processed<br />Red is top of the sealing rock<br />Green is top of the reservoir rock<br />Interpreted<br />
    30. 30. Order Seismic<br />What type of data do you want?<br /><ul><li>Columns or Rows
    31. 31. Unprocessed or processed data
    32. 32. Interpreted or not</li></ul>Only buy maximum of 1 block of data at a time to speed up processing<br />
    33. 33. Processing Seismic<br /><ul><li>It takes time to process your request
    34. 34. Created to order
    35. 35. Moves to surveys once processed</li></li></ul><li>View the Seismic<br /><ul><li>Red circles – navigate through the 2D seismic
    36. 36. Yellowsquare – Row 1 from Column 1-56</li></li></ul><li>Anticlinal traps<br />
    37. 37. Fault traps<br />Leakage?<br />
    38. 38. Leakage?<br />Leakage?<br />
    39. 39. Cross-sections<br />Column<br />Row<br />Prospect, Reservoir<br />Basin,Source<br />
    40. 40. Enter bids<br /><ul><li>Three blocks
    41. 41. Three amounts
    42. 42. Min: $1M
    43. 43. Max: $30M
    44. 44. You will only getawarded one block – and only pay for one
    45. 45. Highest bid wins
    46. 46. If equal, then team with highest KP wins</li></li></ul><li>Recap on Task 2<br />Environmentally sensitive areas – blocks to avoid <br />Common Risk Segment surveys – areas of higher probability of prospects <br />2D seismic – blocks with most structures <br />Final tip - Check water depth - shallow water blocks <br />
    47. 47. Task 2 solved<br />Message sent to all Results and KPs<br />One license per team<br />
    48. 48. Task 3 Exploration Drilling<br />The headquarters of your company has evaluated the license that you were awarded.<br />Although the possibility of finding oil is fair, the costs involved are large. Thus the headquarters want you to spread the risk. <br />Challenge: You shall farm-out minimum 20% from your license – and farm-in as much as you can in other good licenses.<br />
    49. 49. Task 3a Partnerships<br />Acquire 3D Seismic interpretations for the block you operate, and study the results from the licensing round<br />Farm-out: Get others to invest 20% or more in your license – you can send them surveys<br />Farm-in: Send offers to other teams to buy shares in their viable licenses. Submit an offer for each viable license, with amount offered and share wanted in whole %.<br />
    50. 50. Real 3D Seismic<br />Shows the subsurface structure in a cube.<br />
    51. 51. 3D Seismicin OilSim<br />Prospects <br />are no <br />guarantee of oil or gas<br />Layer 3 Eocene<br />Layer 2 Paleocene<br />Layer 1 Cretaceous<br />
    52. 52. Partnerships<br />Spread the risk: e.g Investing in other blocks divides the risks amongst all partners, much more preferable than keeping 100% of one field and all the risk.<br />Increase probability of profit: investment in only 1 field which could be a dry prospect is possible, whereas the likelihood of investing in 5 fields which are all dry is unlikely.<br />
    53. 53. Licences<br />
    54. 54. Farm-in<br /><ul><li>Either accept the amount or % the license owner requests, or amend the amounts to your own offer
    55. 55. Add a message to the seller
    56. 56. Press “Send offer”
    57. 57. Minimum of $100000 per %</li></li></ul><li>Farm-in<br />When a team receives a Farm-In offer to appears under Financing. This is where a team can receive finance or money for a % of their own blocks <br />
    58. 58. Farm-in<br />license OWNER decides whether to ACCEPT or REJECT the offer<br />Partnerships established every time a license owner accepts an offer.<br />Overview: On the main page, you can see all licenses. 1) licenses you operate, 2) licenses you have invested in, and other licenses.<br />
    59. 59. Farm-in<br />All your farm-in offers to other teams are shown under “Investing” on the right-hand side of the homepage . <br />This is where a team offers investments to other teams for a % of their blocks<br />
    60. 60. Partnerships<br />Partners pay a proportional share of all future costs incurred by the partnership<br />Partners receive a proportional share of the net proceedings from any oil or gas found on the license. <br />The operator team makes all decisions regarding acquiring 3D seismics, drilling of wells and testing of wells. <br />Information: partners in a block can access info about drilled wells and discovered oil and gas fields.<br />
    61. 61. Water depth<br /><ul><li>Before choosing a rig, you need to check your water depth </li></ul>Find this at the bottom of the BLOCK page<br />
    62. 62. Choose Rig<br />Choose the right rigs for your water depths<br />Jack-up rigs for shallow waters<br />Semi-submersible rigs for middle waters<br />Drillships for the deepest waters <br />Rig cost = drilling days * day rate<br />
    63. 63. Rigs<br />Few: limited number of rigs available.<br />If you get one: start using it within 20 minutes.<br />If you don’t: wait in a queue, if another team is using the rig.<br />Price can change: rig day rates are dynamic.<br />
    64. 64. Drilling Days<br />
    65. 65. Service Providers<br />Upto 9 Star quality-<br />Good: normally costs more<br />Bad: cheaper, <br /> but reliability is low, so you risk extra drilling time and extra costs<br />
    66. 66. Environmental Impact Assessment<br />EIA survey: more knowledge about the area.<br />Less probability for drilling problems.<br />Less severe consequences if you run into problems.<br />
    67. 67. Drill Position<br />EIA: enviromental impact analysis shows where not to drill.<br />Place your mouse where to drill<br />
    68. 68. Penalties & Fines<br />Certain problems can occur if Service Provider Selection is poor quality<br />Other penalties can occur if you drill in areas indicated as problematic in the Environmental Impact Assessment<br />As in real life, problems can occur randomly and these are also applied with fines levied accordingly.<br />
    69. 69. Drilling Position<br />Layer 3 Eocene<br />Layer 2 Paleocene<br />Layer 1 Cretaceous<br />
    70. 70. Estimated cost<br />
    71. 71. Drilling Result<br />
    72. 72. Drilling Result<br />Proven volume (MBOE) counts<br />Test may increase proven volume<br />Remember to tick the boxes!<br />
    73. 73. Testing<br />Only if you discover a field – find Oil or Gas<br />You decide whether you want more information about that field<br />More information by doing a production test (and other tests)<br />Tests costs: Tests take 10 days per field. Tests have the same day-rate as the drilling if you use the same providers.<br />
    74. 74. Value and ROI <br />
    75. 75. Discovered prospects<br />
    76. 76. Assumptions<br />
    77. 77. Value calcuation<br />25% of 8 MBOE @ $50<br />12% $39.9M<br />Expected costs if<br />you developed thefield (capex) andproducedthe oil (opex)<br />If total expenses arehigher than the salesvalue, the value of thelicense is zero<br />
    78. 78. Appraisal<br />From Probable volume to proven reserves<br />
    79. 79. Narrowing ranges<br />First well:<br />0 to 1572 MBOE (after drilling)<br />11 to 1266 MBOE (after testing)<br />Second well:<br />25 to 1033 MBOE (after drilling)<br />34 to 910 MBOE (after testing)<br />Only proven MBOE counts<br />
    80. 80. Apply For More Funds<br />Click on Apply for More Funds Tab. <br />1 KP for each $100,000 applied for.<br />Answer the questions: All correct gives cash and you can keep KPs. One wrong gives cash and you keep ½ of your KPs. Two wrong gives ½ cash and you lose all KPs. All wrong, you get no cash and lose all KPs.<br />Expensive money if less than 10 knowledge points: Apply for cash and be fined $5million for each $20million requested.<br />
    81. 81. Continue...<br />Narrow uncertainty: Drill appraisal wells to get proven volumes<br />Drill into other prospects to find more proven volumes.<br />Farm-in and -out: Get into other good blocks.<br />Two additional licensing rounds: Repeat the processes.<br />Money: Apply for more money, if you run out of cash.<br />