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California Congressional District 22 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies
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California Congressional District 22 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

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Magellan Strategies public releases of the results of a 687n autodial and cell phone survey of likely 2014 general election voters in California Congressional District 22 regarding the opinion of …

Magellan Strategies public releases of the results of a 687n autodial and cell phone survey of likely 2014 general election voters in California Congressional District 22 regarding the opinion of Immigration reform. Conducted on October 7th - 8th, 2013.

Published in: News & Politics

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  • 1. California CD22 Immigration Survey October 7th – 8th, 2013
  • 2. Magellan Strategies are pleased to present the results of a 687n autodial and cell phone survey of likely 2014 general election voters in California Congressional District 22. This survey was commissioned by America’s Voice. The interviewing was conducted October 7th - 8th, 2013. This survey has a margin of error of +/-3.73% at the 95 percent confidence interval.
  • 3. Democrats in Congress Image Rating
  • 4. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of the Democrats in Congress? 57% 49% 11% 37% 34% 36% MEN FAVORABLE 53% 58% 40% 38% FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE UNSURE 14% 9% 63% 52% 52% 45% 37% 32% 23% 21% 10% 18-34 WOMAN UNFAVORABLE UNSURE 35-44 16% 3% 45-54 55-64 11% 65+
  • 5. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of the Democrats in Congress? 76% 11% 70% 49% 36% 17% 17%13% 7% REPUBLICAN 53% DEMOCRAT FAVORABLE 26% 24% INDEPENDENT UNFAVORABLE UNSURE 62% 41% 31% FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE UNSURE 40% 19% 7% WHITE HISPANIC
  • 6. Republicans in Congress Image Rating
  • 7. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of the Republicans in Congress? 41% 11% 30% MEN WOMAN FAVORABLE 49% 34% UNFAVORABLE UNSURE 13% 9% 35% 54% FAVORABLE 57% 50% UNFAVORABLE 56% 65% 18-34 14% 35-44 51% 47% 43% 31% 16% UNSURE 31% 10% 45-54 4% 55-64 36% 13% 65+
  • 8. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of the Republicans in Congress? 82% 11% 60% 54% 35% 35% 28% 11% 8% REPUBLICAN 54% DEMOCRAT FAVORABLE 12% 11% INDEPENDENT UNFAVORABLE 52% UNSURE 53% 40% 31% FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE UNSURE 17% 8% WHITE HISPANIC
  • 9. Voter Opinion on Immigration Reform
  • 10. Thinking now about immigration reform…As you may know, the House of Representatives is beginning to consider different immigration reform proposals. One option is legislation that would significantly increase border security, block employers from hiring undocumented immigrants, and make sure that undocumented immigrants already in the U.S. with no criminal record register for legal status. If immigrants were to meet a list of requirements, they could eventually apply for citizenship. Knowing this information, would you support or oppose this legislation? 45% 45% 20% 32% 26% 6% 13%11% 7% 9% 8% 5% MEN 74% WOMAN STRONGLY SUPPORT SOMEWHAT SUPPORT STRONGLY OPPOSE SOMEWHAT OPPOSE UNSURE 48% 47% 34% 33% TOTAL SUPPORT UNSURE TOTAL OPPOSE 47% 41% 38% 28% 28% 21% 16% 13% 3% 18-34 14% 5% 9% 35-44 13% 8% 45-54 10% 8% 5% 5% 55-64 11% 8% 6% 65+
  • 11. Thinking now about immigration reform…As you may know, the House of Representatives is beginning to consider different immigration reform proposals. One option is legislation that would significantly increase border security, block employers from hiring undocumented immigrants, and make sure that undocumented immigrants already in the U.S. with no criminal record register for legal status. If immigrants were to meet a list of requirements, they could eventually apply for citizenship. Knowing this information, would you support or oppose this legislation? 53% 20% 41% 31% 6% 30% 12% 11% 5% 74% 42% REPUBLICAN 19% 17% 10% 12% 4% 6% 7% DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT STRONGLY SUPPORT SOMEWHAT SUPPORT SOMEWHAT OPPOSE STRONGLY OPPOSE UNSURE 50% 43% 36% TOTAL SUPPORT UNSURE TOTAL OPPOSE 7% 9% 6% WHITE 18% 14% 11% 7% HISPANIC
  • 12. Voter Opinion on Bi-Partisan Immigration Reform
  • 13. If Republicans and Democrats came together to pass a bipartisan immigration reform plan that would significantly increase border security, block employers from hiring undocumented immigrants, and make sure that undocumented immigrants already in the U.S. with no criminal record register for legal status, would you have a more favorable or less favorable opinion of the Republicans in Congress, or would it not make a difference in your opinion of the Republicans in Congress? 34% 24% 2% 17% 29% 25% 23% 25% 27% 8% 9% 8% 10% 57% MEN 3% WOMAN MUCH MORE FAVORABLE SOMEWHAT MORE FAVORABLE MUCH LESS FAVORABLE SOMEWHAT LESS FAVORABLE NO DIFFERENCE UNSURE 40% 41% TOTAL MORE FAVORABLE 26% 29% UNSURE 30% 29% 33% 32% 31% 25% TOTAL LESS FAVORABLE NO DIFFERENCE 29% 21% 18% 16% 12% 5% 18-34 13% 5% 1% 4% 35-44 6% 5% 1% 45-54 9% 55-64 1% 13% 13% 8% 3% 65+
  • 14. If Republicans and Democrats came together to pass a bipartisan immigration reform plan that would significantly increase border security, block employers from hiring undocumented immigrants, and make sure that undocumented immigrants already in the U.S. with no criminal record register for legal status, would you have a more favorable or less favorable opinion of the Republicans in Congress, or would it not make a difference in your opinion of the Republicans in Congress? 38% 33% 26% 24% 2% 17% 57% 21% 17% 6% 7% 2% REPUBLICAN 32% 28% 12% 9% 26% 18% 12% 11% 1% 2% DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT MUCH MORE FAVORABLE SOMEWHAT MORE FAVORABLE MUCH LESS FAVORABLE SOMEWHAT LESS FAVORABLE NO DIFFERENCE UNSURE 31% 31% TOTAL MORE FAVORABLE 29% 22% 24% TOTAL LESS FAVORABLE NO DIFFERENCE 13% 9% UNSURE 4% WHITE 22% 10% 1% 2% HISPANIC
  • 15. Again, if Republicans and Democrats came together to pass the same bipartisan immigration reform plan that I just mentioned to you, would you have a more favorable or less favorable opinion of the Democrats in Congress, or would it not make a difference in your opinion of the Democrats in Congress? 13% 3% 18% 33% 33% 32% MEN TOTAL LESS FAVORABLE NO DIFFERENCE UNSURE 31% 8% 8% 4% WOMAN MUCH MORE FAVORABLE SOMEWHAT MORE FAVORABLE MUCH LESS FAVORABLE SOMEWHAT LESS FAVORABLE NO DIFFERENCE 38% 36% TOTAL MORE FAVORABLE 13% 12% 11%10% 3% 66% 34% 37% 36% 32% 32% 31% 26% 22% 17% 18% 12% 17% 9% 6% 18-34 35-44 1% 17% 6% 5% 45-54 8% 12% 10% 8% 2% 55-64 11% 9% 7% 4% 65+
  • 16. Again, if Republicans and Democrats came together to pass the same bipartisan immigration reform plan that I just mentioned to you, would you have a more favorable or less favorable opinion of the Democrats in Congress, or would it not make a difference in your opinion of the Democrats in Congress? 45% 13% 3% 18% 36% 66% 30% 29% 29% 26% 15% 11% 12% 11% 3% 13% 11% 13% 4% 3%4% 4% REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT NO DIFFERENCE SOMEWHAT LESS FAVORABLE NO DIFFERENCE TOTAL LESS FAVORABLE SOMEWHAT MORE FAVORABLE MUCH LESS FAVORABLE TOTAL MORE FAVORABLE MUCH MORE FAVORABLE UNSURE 42% 37% 27% 26% UNSURE 15% 10% 7% WHITE 11% 3% 9% 8% 4% HISPANIC
  • 17. Voter Opinion on Immigration Reform
  • 18. Would you support or oppose an immigration reform plan that ensures undocumented immigrants currently living in the U.S. pay a penalty, learn English, pass a criminal background check, pay taxes, and wait a minimum of thirteen years before they can be eligible for citizenship? 40% 33% 30% 25% 14% 11% 6% 11% 5% MEN SOMEWHAT SUPPORT SOMEWHAT OPPOSE 6% UNSURE STRONGLY OPPOSE 44% 42% 43% 35% 33% 32% 32% 31% 27% TOTAL OPPOSE 14% WOMAN STRONGLY SUPPORT 69% TOTAL SUPPORT 36% 22% UNSURE 9% 3% 2% 18-34 18% 11% 5% 35-44 33% 11% 6% 8% 45-54 15% 13% 6% 55-64 12% 5% 65+
  • 19. Would you support or oppose an immigration reform plan that ensures undocumented immigrants currently living in the U.S. pay a penalty, learn English, pass a criminal background check, pay taxes, and wait a minimum of thirteen years before they can be eligible for citizenship? 43% 38% 33% 34% 31% 30% 18% 25% 13% 12% 11% 6% 6% REPUBLICAN 15% 8% 4% DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT STRONGLY SUPPORT SOMEWHAT SUPPORT SOMEWHAT OPPOSE 69% UNSURE STRONGLY OPPOSE 39% 33% 34% 34% TOTAL SUPPORT TOTAL OPPOSE UNSURE 16% 13% 11% 9% 4% WHITE 4% 5% HISPANIC
  • 20. Voter Opinion on Nunes Support for Reform
  • 21. If your Congressman Devin Nunes sponsored an immigration reform plan that ensured undocumented immigrants currently living in the US pay a penalty, learn English, pass a criminal background check, pay taxes and wait a minimum of thirteen years before becoming eligible for citizenship, would you be more or less likely to vote for Devin Nunes or would it not make a difference in your decision to vote for Devin Nunes? 44% 38% 38% 33% 4% 41% 23% 17% 35% 7% 2% MEN 20% MORE LIKELY WOMAN LESS LIKELY NO DIFFERENCE UNSURE 54% 53% 36% 37% MORE LIKELY LESS LIKELY NO DIFFERENCE UNSURE 32% 41% 29% 33% 37% 33% 25% 23% 23% 14% 10% 3% 18-34 5% 35-44 4% 45-54 6% 3% 55-64 65+
  • 22. If your Congressman Devin Nunes sponsored an immigration reform plan that ensured undocumented immigrants currently living in the US pay a penalty, learn English, pass a criminal background check, pay taxes and wait a minimum of thirteen years before becoming eligible for citizenship, would you be more or less likely to vote for Devin Nunes or would it not make a difference in your decision to vote for Devin Nunes? 41% 4% 41% 45% 26% 24% 17% 35% MORE LIKELY MORE LIKELY LESS LIKELY NO DIFFERENCE UNSURE 16% 6% DEMOCRAT LESS LIKELY INDEPENDENT NO DIFFERENCE 40% 38% 39% 6% 3% REPUBLICAN 20% 39% 38% 39% 33% 23% 18% 5% 4% WHITE HISPANIC UNSURE
  • 23. Voter Opinion on Speaker Boehner Allowing a Vote on Immigration Reform
  • 24. As you may know, a majority of members in the U.S. House of Representatives have stated they support an immigration reform plan that ensures undocumented immigrants currently living in the U.S. pay a penalty, learn English, pass a criminal background check, pay taxes, and wait a minimum of thirteen years before they can be eligible for citizenship. However, the Speaker of the House, Republican John Boehner has said he will not allow the House to vote on the bill unless a majority of Republican members support it. Do you think Speaker Boehner should let the members of Congress have a yes or no vote on the immigration reform plan or should he put the vote on hold until a majority of Republican members agree to support the plan? 63% 12% 32% 49% 34% 29% 56% 17% 8% MEN WOMAN VOTE NOW HOLD UNTIL MAJORITY UNSURE 69% VOTE NOW HOLD UNTIL MAJORITY 57% 55% 51% 41% 36% 44% 42% UNSURE 21% 8% 18-34 10% 35-44 14% 45-54 10% 55-64 26% 17% 65+
  • 25. As you may know, a majority of members in the U.S. House of Representatives have stated they support an immigration reform plan that ensures undocumented immigrants currently living in the U.S. pay a penalty, learn English, pass a criminal background check, pay taxes, and wait a minimum of thirteen years before they can be eligible for citizenship. However, the Speaker of the House, Republican John Boehner has said he will not allow the House to vote on the bill unless a majority of Republican members support it. Do you think Speaker Boehner should let the members of Congress have a yes or no vote on the immigration reform plan or should he put the vote on hold until a majority of Republican members agree to support the plan? 76% 12% 32% 55% 44% 43% 56% 31% REPUBLICAN VOTE NOW VOTE NOW HOLD UNTIL MAJORITY UNSURE 12% 12% 13% DEMOCRAT 14% INDEPENDENT HOLD UNTIL MAJORITY UNSURE 58% 55% 33% 31% 14% WHITE 9% HISPANIC
  • 26. Demographics
  • 27. Demographics 52% 32% 48% 13% Female 13% 19% 23% Male 13% 57% 33% 35% 1% 5% 1% 54% 1% Republican Democrat Independent