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The Economic Landscape in the
      Greater Fredericton Region



Enterprise Fredericton Community Advisory Forum
                   June 26, 2012
Fredericton was identified as the “One of the
                                        Top 2 Most Cost-Competitive Places to
                                        Do Business in North America”


                                        Key Cost Factors:

                                                  - Labour Costs
                                                  - Facility Costs
                                                  - Transportation Costs
                                                  - Utility Costs
                                                  - Taxes




Co-sponsored by the City of Fredericton and Enterprise Fredericton
Enterprise Fredericton is…
Enterprise Fredericton (EF) has been a leader in the community for over 20 years
focusing on a sustainable economic development agenda. Enterprise Fredericton
focused on strengthening the Greater Fredericton Region by supporting business
growth initiatives, training and skills development, community capacity building
and population growth initiatives.

  10 full-time; 3 part-time staff

  Hosted 65 local events – 2,482 business people attended

  721 business counseling sessions - 300 business opportunities identified

  Youth Entrepreneurship Development Initiative programs engaged 1,688 potential entrepreneurs

  FRYPE hosted 12 events with a growing group of 500+ members

  129 Government Funding Program projects, investing $ 31,753,903

  KITF Golf participants donated $8,100 the Oromocto Foodbank

  581 new landed immigrants in 2011 (11 year total of 4,459)
Population Growth
  Business Competitiveness             Strategic Partnership
                                                                     Community Based
  Initiatives                          Model
                                                                     Advisory Board

  Business Counseling                Investment Client Site Visit   Workforce & Skills
  Business Skills                    “Tiger Teams”                  Development Strategy
  Development
                                     InvestFredericton.com          Retention Strategy
  Youth Entrepreneurship
                                     Targeted Investment            Repatriation Strategy
  Commercialization
  Acceleration                       Strategy
                                                                    Immigration Strategy
  Priority Sector
  Competitiveness/
  Productivity
  Export Development
  Innovative Culture


* EF board is currently reviewing the strategy (3 pillars)
Source: Statistics Canada


Total = 10,300 Additional People Age 15 + since 2000
Source: Statistics Canada

There has been a drop of 4.6% from 2011 to 2012 (3,500 people)
Source: Statistics Canada

Employment decreased by 5.6% from 2011 to 2012 (3,900 jobs)
$90,000      Canada
$80,000      Fredericton

$70,000      New Brunswick

$60,000

$50,000

$40,000

$30,000

$20,000

$10,000

     $-

           2002    2003      2004   2005   2006   2007   2008   2009    2010         2011          2012
                                                                       Source: FT Markets Survey

          In 2012, there has been a gain of +1% compared to the
          national average making it only 2% below.
$35,000    Canada
           Fredericton
$30,000
           New Brunswick
$25,000


$20,000


$15,000


$10,000


 $5,000


     $-
          2002   2003      2004   2005   2006   2007   2008   2009      2010        2011         2012

                                                                     Source: FT Markets Survey



      In 2012, there has been a gain of +1% compared to the
      national average making it only 2% below.
Residential and Commercial Construction Numbers ($ Millions)

$200

$180

$160

$140                                                                                            $115.6
$120

$100

$80

$60

$40

$20

 $-
        2000   2001   2002   2003   2004   2005   2006   2007   2008       2009       2010           2011


       11 Year Total = $1.252 Billion in New Development               Source: City of Fredericton
600
                                                                                                              581
                                                                                               563
                                                                         544

                                                        486                         493
500
         Enterprise Fredericton
         initiated the PNP                                     409
400      In-trust account
                                                 312
300            263
       248
                        206               195
200
                                   159


100



  0
      2000    2001     2002       2003   2004   2005   2006   2007      2008       2009       2010       2011


                                                                 Source: Citizenship and Immigration Canada

      11 Year Total = 4,459 New Permanent Landed Immigrants in GFR
1000

 900

 800

 700                                              661                662
                                    626    612                                           613
                             595                         589
 600           552                                                             567                 552
        531           522
 500

 400

 300

 200

 100

  0

       2000   2001   2002   2003   2004   2005   2006   2007       2008      2009      2010      2011

                                                               Source: Royal Gazette 2000-2011
   11 Year Total = 7,082 new net businesses created
Total Tax Base in the GFR ($Millions)
6000                                                                                            $5,644
                  Fredericton
                  Oromocto
5000
                  New Maryland

4000



3000



2000


                                                                                                     $947
1000
                                                                                                         $331

   0
          2000   2001   2002     2003   2004   2005   2006    2007         2008   2009   2010     2011

                                                             Source: GNB
       2011 Year Total = $6.922 Billion Tax Base in the GFR
Our Knowledge Park


Knowledge Park – Future Total Annual Impact (Buildings 1 – 5)
                                Direct        Indirect           Total (NB)
Jobs (FTE)                      1,274          326                   1,600
Wages & Salaries ($Millions)    $71.3          $9.5                 $80.8
Output ($M)                     $106.4         $30.8                $137.2
Provincial Fiscal Impact ($M)                                       $25.0

                                                               Source: InPro, Stats Canada



 Enterprise Fredericton is the sole shareholder of the Knowledge Park Inc.

 In 2011, the construction and occupancy of the 2 new buildings had the
 designation as business story of the year in the Daily Gleaner
Population Growth Strategy

Components that Enterprise Fredericton is Engaged in…


   Multicultural awareness and education

   Immigration welcoming and orientation

   Immigrant settlement and integration

   Business / employment resources

   Stakeholder-partner engagement
Business Retention & Expansion (BR&E) Strategy

One-on-one business counseling session
Encouraging the entrepreneurial spirit with youth and adults
SEED Loan program for start-up businesses
Business education and training
Provide assistance with companies looking to relocate, expand or close
Client outreach initiatives
Coordination and collaboration with stakeholders
Investment Attraction Strategy
Industry focused strategy – Defence Industries
Targeted sectors – ICT, Defence & Aerospace and Bio Sciences
Available commercial real estate site promotion
Supporting networks & organizations (NBADA, TTNB, etc.)
Assisting with investment requests (site location & planning)
2012 KPMG Competitive Alternatives study
Some of our Community’s successes…
Enterprise Fredericton Hosted Events
                                     KIRA Awards

                                      420 attended
             Immigration
                                                            FRYPE
            Events/Support
               BIMP Training                             500+ Members




       Youth
                                                                Business Basics
  Entrepreneurship
Reaching out to 1,688 youth                                       75 participants




              Business Buzz                              Cybersocial
                                                         Avg. 55 per session
           Building on leadership
                                       KITF Golf
                                    Contributed $8,100
Looking Forward…
                  Business Retention and Expansion
                     - Entrepreneurial Awareness Skills Development
                       (schools, universities/colleges, existing entrepreneurs, etc.)
                     - Entrepreneurship Celebration
                     - Business Pulse - BR&E business outreach site visits
                     - Productivity and Competitiveness Initiatives
                     - Innovation Support: Knowledge Park Inc., Business Accelerator Centre
                     - Commercialization
                     - Export & Trade

               Population Growth & Workforce Development
                   - Youth Engagement
                      - University & College Enrolments
                      - Retention, Repatriation, Immigration
                      - Immigration Coordinator Position

               Investment Attraction
                    - Community & Business Engagement and Awareness
                      - Facilitate and Align Resources with Identified Opportunities
                      - Business Directory, Capabilities & Company Profiles


* The go forward plans are subject to refinement/revision as a result of ACOA’s funding decisions
2012-13 Enterprise Fredericton Board Initiatives


  New Vision & Direction for the Greater
  Fredericton Region

  New Economic Development Model
Your Enterprise Fredericton Board of Directors

   Allison               Kevin Kilbride      Mike Oliver
   McCarthy              Therma-Ray Inc.
                                             Atlantic Hydrogen
   Stewart McKelvey
   Chair

   Heather-Anne          Bob Skillen         Alex Scholten
   MacLean               University of New   Canadian Convenience
   Radian6               Brunswick           Stores Association
   Vice Chair

   John Argall           Annette             Trevor Cookson
   BioAtlantech                              Accreon
                         Comeau
   Secretary/Treasurer   LearnSphere


   Susanne Alexander     Al Carson           Dan Keenan
                                             Zone 3, Horizon Health
   Goose Lane Editions   Ambir Solutions
                                             Network
   Past Chair



   Ian Baird              Paul Leger
   MITACS Inc,            Partners Global
Your Enterprise Fredericton Team
We would like your input…

What do you see as opportunities for economic growth in the
Greater Fredericton Region?

What do you see as challenges to economic growth in the Greater
Fredericton Region?

Please offer any advice or suggestions that would make our
community an even better place for retaining and attracting
business.
Advisory Forum 2012

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Advisory Forum 2012

  • 1. The Economic Landscape in the Greater Fredericton Region Enterprise Fredericton Community Advisory Forum June 26, 2012
  • 2.
  • 3.
  • 4. Fredericton was identified as the “One of the Top 2 Most Cost-Competitive Places to Do Business in North America” Key Cost Factors: - Labour Costs - Facility Costs - Transportation Costs - Utility Costs - Taxes Co-sponsored by the City of Fredericton and Enterprise Fredericton
  • 5. Enterprise Fredericton is… Enterprise Fredericton (EF) has been a leader in the community for over 20 years focusing on a sustainable economic development agenda. Enterprise Fredericton focused on strengthening the Greater Fredericton Region by supporting business growth initiatives, training and skills development, community capacity building and population growth initiatives. 10 full-time; 3 part-time staff Hosted 65 local events – 2,482 business people attended 721 business counseling sessions - 300 business opportunities identified Youth Entrepreneurship Development Initiative programs engaged 1,688 potential entrepreneurs FRYPE hosted 12 events with a growing group of 500+ members 129 Government Funding Program projects, investing $ 31,753,903 KITF Golf participants donated $8,100 the Oromocto Foodbank 581 new landed immigrants in 2011 (11 year total of 4,459)
  • 6. Population Growth Business Competitiveness Strategic Partnership Community Based Initiatives Model Advisory Board Business Counseling Investment Client Site Visit Workforce & Skills Business Skills “Tiger Teams” Development Strategy Development InvestFredericton.com Retention Strategy Youth Entrepreneurship Targeted Investment Repatriation Strategy Commercialization Acceleration Strategy Immigration Strategy Priority Sector Competitiveness/ Productivity Export Development Innovative Culture * EF board is currently reviewing the strategy (3 pillars)
  • 7. Source: Statistics Canada Total = 10,300 Additional People Age 15 + since 2000
  • 8. Source: Statistics Canada There has been a drop of 4.6% from 2011 to 2012 (3,500 people)
  • 9. Source: Statistics Canada Employment decreased by 5.6% from 2011 to 2012 (3,900 jobs)
  • 10.
  • 11. $90,000 Canada $80,000 Fredericton $70,000 New Brunswick $60,000 $50,000 $40,000 $30,000 $20,000 $10,000 $- 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Source: FT Markets Survey In 2012, there has been a gain of +1% compared to the national average making it only 2% below.
  • 12. $35,000 Canada Fredericton $30,000 New Brunswick $25,000 $20,000 $15,000 $10,000 $5,000 $- 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Source: FT Markets Survey In 2012, there has been a gain of +1% compared to the national average making it only 2% below.
  • 13. Residential and Commercial Construction Numbers ($ Millions) $200 $180 $160 $140 $115.6 $120 $100 $80 $60 $40 $20 $- 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 11 Year Total = $1.252 Billion in New Development Source: City of Fredericton
  • 14. 600 581 563 544 486 493 500 Enterprise Fredericton initiated the PNP 409 400 In-trust account 312 300 263 248 206 195 200 159 100 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Source: Citizenship and Immigration Canada 11 Year Total = 4,459 New Permanent Landed Immigrants in GFR
  • 15. 1000 900 800 700 661 662 626 612 613 595 589 600 552 567 552 531 522 500 400 300 200 100 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Source: Royal Gazette 2000-2011 11 Year Total = 7,082 new net businesses created
  • 16. Total Tax Base in the GFR ($Millions) 6000 $5,644 Fredericton Oromocto 5000 New Maryland 4000 3000 2000 $947 1000 $331 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Source: GNB 2011 Year Total = $6.922 Billion Tax Base in the GFR
  • 17. Our Knowledge Park Knowledge Park – Future Total Annual Impact (Buildings 1 – 5) Direct Indirect Total (NB) Jobs (FTE) 1,274 326 1,600 Wages & Salaries ($Millions) $71.3 $9.5 $80.8 Output ($M) $106.4 $30.8 $137.2 Provincial Fiscal Impact ($M) $25.0 Source: InPro, Stats Canada Enterprise Fredericton is the sole shareholder of the Knowledge Park Inc. In 2011, the construction and occupancy of the 2 new buildings had the designation as business story of the year in the Daily Gleaner
  • 18. Population Growth Strategy Components that Enterprise Fredericton is Engaged in… Multicultural awareness and education Immigration welcoming and orientation Immigrant settlement and integration Business / employment resources Stakeholder-partner engagement
  • 19. Business Retention & Expansion (BR&E) Strategy One-on-one business counseling session Encouraging the entrepreneurial spirit with youth and adults SEED Loan program for start-up businesses Business education and training Provide assistance with companies looking to relocate, expand or close Client outreach initiatives Coordination and collaboration with stakeholders
  • 20. Investment Attraction Strategy Industry focused strategy – Defence Industries Targeted sectors – ICT, Defence & Aerospace and Bio Sciences Available commercial real estate site promotion Supporting networks & organizations (NBADA, TTNB, etc.) Assisting with investment requests (site location & planning) 2012 KPMG Competitive Alternatives study Some of our Community’s successes…
  • 21.
  • 22. Enterprise Fredericton Hosted Events KIRA Awards 420 attended Immigration FRYPE Events/Support BIMP Training 500+ Members Youth Business Basics Entrepreneurship Reaching out to 1,688 youth 75 participants Business Buzz Cybersocial Avg. 55 per session Building on leadership KITF Golf Contributed $8,100
  • 23. Looking Forward… Business Retention and Expansion - Entrepreneurial Awareness Skills Development (schools, universities/colleges, existing entrepreneurs, etc.) - Entrepreneurship Celebration - Business Pulse - BR&E business outreach site visits - Productivity and Competitiveness Initiatives - Innovation Support: Knowledge Park Inc., Business Accelerator Centre - Commercialization - Export & Trade Population Growth & Workforce Development - Youth Engagement - University & College Enrolments - Retention, Repatriation, Immigration - Immigration Coordinator Position Investment Attraction - Community & Business Engagement and Awareness - Facilitate and Align Resources with Identified Opportunities - Business Directory, Capabilities & Company Profiles * The go forward plans are subject to refinement/revision as a result of ACOA’s funding decisions
  • 24. 2012-13 Enterprise Fredericton Board Initiatives New Vision & Direction for the Greater Fredericton Region New Economic Development Model
  • 25. Your Enterprise Fredericton Board of Directors Allison Kevin Kilbride Mike Oliver McCarthy Therma-Ray Inc. Atlantic Hydrogen Stewart McKelvey Chair Heather-Anne Bob Skillen Alex Scholten MacLean University of New Canadian Convenience Radian6 Brunswick Stores Association Vice Chair John Argall Annette Trevor Cookson BioAtlantech Accreon Comeau Secretary/Treasurer LearnSphere Susanne Alexander Al Carson Dan Keenan Zone 3, Horizon Health Goose Lane Editions Ambir Solutions Network Past Chair Ian Baird Paul Leger MITACS Inc, Partners Global
  • 27. We would like your input… What do you see as opportunities for economic growth in the Greater Fredericton Region? What do you see as challenges to economic growth in the Greater Fredericton Region? Please offer any advice or suggestions that would make our community an even better place for retaining and attracting business.

Editor's Notes

  1. The Community Growth Strategy was developed following a detailed data analysis and an extensive broad-based consultation process involving key representatives from all areas of the community. Moreover, the vital input of a significant number of citizens, business leaders and political leaders within the Greater Fredericton Region (GFR) helped to craft our goals.The purpose of the Community Growth Strategy is to champion sustainable economic development in the Greater Fredericton Region. The vision is to grow the Region into the most dynamic and growing community of innovation and knowledge in Canada.The Strategy identifies priority sectors for economic growth and the growth pillars are designed to achieve the defined goals. In order to achieve the goals set out in the Community Growth Strategy, three critical growth pillars have been identified as the fundamental building blocks from which it will evolve.Pillar 1: The Business Retention and Expansion (BR&E) initiative will engage the business community and its leaders in the pursuit of sustainable business development for career and wealth creation.Pillar 2: The Investment Attraction initiative creates community awareness regarding what it takes to compete and win on the international business stage. The goal is to identify and facilitate new investment opportunities in our communities.Pillar 3: The Population Growth initiative will create diversity in our communities, fill identified employee skill gaps and provide direct entrepreneurial investments in the region.
  2. As we can see, the Greater Fredericton Region is growing regarding the active population able to work. This can be attributed to the new people entering the job market, new families moving to the region and immigration. These factors help to increase the talent pool, however, we do need to have equal growth regarding employment to keep many of these potential workers in the region. The Greater Fredericton Region also has a very active postsecondary population that is on the rise thanks to the new NBCC community college and the expansion of many other institutes. Most of these postsecondary students are not necessarily in the workforce full-time, which causes a reverse in trends when we talk about labour force in the Region. The Greater Fredericton Region has the 4th highest university-educated population in the country. This leads to a positive story for investment attraction, but also makes our community more vulnerable to lose of talent to bigger city centres. Much like many parts of Canada and North America, people have become much more mobile to accommodate workforce needs. It is not uncommon for a job seeker to move large distances to acquire a position.
  3. These numbers can be attributed to many factors in our region, such as:- The end of the construction boom, created by the federal stimulus package that ended in 2010 Retiring baby-boomer population from the workforce, with no opportunity to backfill Late in the recession, late out of the recession Significant retail and wholesale trade cutbacks in the region (Zellers, Smitty’s, Jack and Andy’s, New Maryland Esso, El Burrito Loco, Racines, etc.) - Large portion of the labour force are civil servants (Municipal, provincial, or federal) who are experiencing cutbacks NB and the Fredericton Region has an aging population- Median age in NB in 2011 =43- Median age in Fredericton in 2011 = 38.7
  4. These numbers are directly related to the lowered Active Labour Force stats displayed in the last slide. It is important to remember that these statistics come from Statistics Canada by way of a random sampling survey of the regions working population, which also has an error factor. It is complicated to pin-point the exact area where job loses occurred, however, we do know that that are primarily affect in the retail & warehouse trade sector for the past year. This is an alarming trend which needs to be better understood and addressed.
  5. In last years report, Fredericton topped the chart at 11.3%, but has dropped significantly in the past year. This can be attributed to the onset of a late recession in the Greater Fredericton Region.
  6. The news is not all bad, Greater Fredericton is narrowing the gap for the national average of the average household income by a percentage point projected for 2012. Higher paying jobs, an increase in minimum wage and a more competitive international market are all main factors of growth for these indicators. We can see that the trends is on a constant upward path, but it is important to notice that since 2003 the gap has widened between Fredericton and the national average. The path, however, is positive over the last 4 years. New Brunswick on average is seeing a much less progressive increase leading to a more troubling future.
  7. Similar to the previous slide, the average per capita income is also on the rise and narrowing the gap. Increases in Fredericton’s per capita earnings has been the most significant over the past year. If this trend continues, we should see Fredericton passing the national average in 2 years, similar to 2002 and 2003.
  8. We can see a direct coloration with the end of the construction stimulus package and a decrease in construction in 2011, however, the City of Fredericton still managed to stay above the $100 million investment threshold making it the 4th consecutive year in a row. This milestone is quite significant in terms of growth and prosperity for the city and it’s residents. The tremendous efforts of the Greater Fredericton municipalities have enabled direct foreign investments to truly see the pride we have for our communities. We are very fortunate to have such a proactive and forward thinking group leading the charge. Some highlights of 2011 include: - 2 new Knowledge Park buildings- YMCA- Grant-Harvey Centre- Curry Centre- Many housing projects (multi and single family dwellings)
  9. 2011 was the first year that Fredericton had the most landed immigrants in all of New Brunswick with 30%. This shift comes from a major decrease in immigration from the Saint John region of 27% from 2010 – 2011. Immigration efforts have been identified as a priority and we hope to see this number grow over the coming years.
  10. Entrepreneurship is essential to any community. In the Fredericton Region, we average 590 net new business are registered in the Greater Fredericton Region every year, and this number is increasing!