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The Lean Startup or Customer Development
Startup Bootcamp, 2015
There is nothing like the thrill
of starting your OWN
business and not working for
someone else!
The odds are very much against your success
We want to reduce the risk of failure
And provide a method to help you and your
team build a strong, enduring company!
…What really matters most:
GREAT companies with long-term potential
Excited CUSTOMERS who tell their friends
Почему мы тут?
 Many thousands of startups
 Startup Academy…8 times
 USA National Science Foundation
 250+ leading Universities
 Many major corporations
Это
доказано!
More startups fail from
a lack of customers than from
a failure of product
development
Steve Blank
Very simple business math:
0 customers= 0 business!
Давайте познакомимся
• Интрапренер (SAIC, Inc. 92 - 2002)
• Инвестор в инновационных проектах
(ISTC 2002 - 05)
• Стартап предприниматель
/бизнес-ангел (New Realm Investments,
Solid Power Batteries, Xlerate Technologies
2005 - 2011)
• Профессор практики
/Директор Стартап Академии
(СКОЛКОВО 2011 – 2014 )
• Со-основатель/CEO LaunchGurus (2014 - …)
500 startup mistakes in 608 pages….
We’ve learned a lot
about entrepreneurship
10 Company name | XX Month Year 10
What We Used to Believe
Startups are a Smaller Version
of a Large Company
What We Now Know
Startups Search
Companies Execute
Startups are About Vision &
Ideas, sweat and luck
What We Now Know
Most visions are very blurry
at best
…and entrepreneurs “make” their own luck!
What We Used to Believe
Strategy
Start With a Business Plan
and a Financial Model
20 Company name | XX Month Year
All You Need to Do is Execute the Plan
21 Company name | XX Month Year
And You Need to Make the Forecast
22 Company name | XX Month Year
All You Need to Do: Execute the Plan
No Business Plan
survives first contact
with customers
…Steve Blank, 2003
Planning comes before
the plan
25 Company name | XX Month Year
Что такой «стартап»?
A Startup is a temporary
organization used to search
for a
• repeatable,
• scalable, and
• profitable
business model
…So SEARCH for the
Busines Model
The Business
Model:
Any company can
be described in
9 building blocks
28 Company name | XX Month Year
customer
segments
key
partners
cost
structure
revenue
streams
channels
customer
relationships
key
activities
key
resources
value
proposition
But,
Realize They’re
Hypotheses
30 Company name | XX Month Year
9 Guesses
Guess Guess
Guess
Guess
Guess
Guess
Guess
GuessGuess
31 Company name | XX Month Year
Our Guesses DON’T Matter
 Anybody can build almost anything today
(just a few exceptions: anti-gravity, transporters)
 What we need are CUSTOMERS!!
 Build the customers while building product
 …and let customer feedback and your coach
guide you all the way through the process!
 note: Clones may be different!
32 Company name | XX Month Year
Customer
Development
Get Out of the Building
Customer Development
The founders
34 Company name | XX Month Year
Customer Development:
The Search For the Business Model
Company
Building
Customer
Discovery
Customer
Validation
Customer
Creation
Pivot
35 Company name | XX Month Year
 Stop selling, start listening
 Test your hypotheses
 Continuous Discovery
 Done by founders
Step 1: Customer Discovery
Customer
Discovery
Customer
Validation
Company
Building
Customer
Creation
36 Company name | XX Month Year
TWO key Discovery phases
 FIRST: Does anybody care?
…are we solving a serious problem?
…are we filling a “big” need?
 THEN: Does our product do the job?
…do they grab it out of your hands?
…are they eager to tell their friends?
37 Company name | XX Month Year
Where it begins:
Minimum Viable Product (MVP)
• Smallest feature set that gets you the most …
orders, learning, feedback, failure…
• MVP + Customer are the first two you need to nail
• MVP is just 1 of the 9 parts of your model
38 Company name | XX Month Year
What’s a Minimum Viable
Product?
 Google without ads
 Zappos without inventory
 Diapers.com without diapers
…Fewest possible features to make the point!
…Why? It’s hard to truly react to a powerpoint
39 Company name | XX Month Year
Discovery: Not just “do you like it?”
 How big is the market? Not
today…eventually!
 Who’s the customer?
 What’s their problem/need
 What’s the product/service/need?
 Does it solve the customer’s problem?
 How do you create demand?
 How do you deliver the product?
 How do you make money?
40 Company name | XX Month Year
The Pivot
 The heart of Customer Development
 Iteration without crisis
 Fast, agile and opportunistic
41 Company name | XX Month Year
Pivot Cycle Time Matters
 Speed of cycle minimizes cash needs
 Minimum feature set speeds up cycle time
 Near instantaneous customer feedback drives feature set
Customer
Discovery
Customer
Validation
Company
Building
Customer
Creation
ExecutionSearch
Pivot
42 Company name | XX Month Year
Web/Mobile Versus Physical
 Web/Mobile startups run faster
 Different process steps for web vs. physical
 Customer Relationships are radically different
Customer
Discovery
Customer
Validation
Pivot
Putting Discovery to
Work
44 Company name | XX Month Year
I Have a Meeting – Now What?
 The goal is to test all hypotheses, but first: have
you found “product/market fit”
 Does the customer care?
 How do they solve this problem TODAY?
 What channel do they use to buy?
 Where will they go to find you?
 How will you create demand?
 How much will they pay? Do they pay today?
45 Company name | XX Month Year
TWO key Discovery phases
• FIRST: Does anybody care?
…are we solving a serious problem?
…are we filling a “big” need?
46 Company name | XX Month Year
TWO key Discovery phases
• FIRST: Does anybody care?
…are we solving a serious problem?
…are we filling a “big” need?
• THEN: Does our product do the job?
…do they grab it out of your hands?
…are they eager to tell their friends?
HINT: YOUR VC PITCH WAS HIDING IN THE
LAST 12 SLIDES…DISCOVERY
When Customer
Discovery is Done:
Time to Ask for
Money!
48 Company name | XX Month Year
always remember rule #1:
NO SELLING ALLOWED
49 Company name | XX Month Year
… and Rule #2:
You’re Hypothesis Testing!
50 Company name | XX Month Year
How do you know when Discovery is “done?”
Key Partners
Who are our key partners/ suppliers
Key Activities
Which key activities does the biz
model require
Value Proposition
What value do we deliver to the
customer
Customer Relationships
What type of relationship does each
segment require of us
Customer Segments
For whom are we creating value
Channels
Through which channel does each
segment want to be reached
Revenue Streams
How much is each segment willing to pay and how would they like to pay us this amount
Cost Structure
What are our cost drivers
Key Resources
Which key resources does the biz
model require
 identify key market segments
(geography/application) and
customer segments (e.g. operator
versus owner)
 how many customers in each segment
and estimated potential volume for
each customer
 how do customers make money … key
customer pain/gain points in each
segment
 how are buying decisions made in
each segment - id process, hurdles,
decision makers
 what does an Earlyvangelist look like
in each segment
 who influences purchases in each
segment (trade groups, key
resellers, trend watchers)
 key distinctive product features &
benefits for the target customer
segment
 total cost of ownership for segment
versus alternatives
 why will segment buy Durathon
versus alternatives (i.e. value
proposition)
 minimum feature set (i.e. our launch
configuration) and ultimate feature
set
 opportunities to claim IP or
trademark / is there freedom to
practice
 what regulatory/ certification/
transportation/ customs
requirements should be met or could
be differentiator
 which segments can only or best be
reached through a channel partner
 which channel partners are important
to optimize sales in each segment
 what are channel partners'
requirements and cost to become a
proactive sales channel
 initial channel partner response to
value proposition & customer
segments
 What are price /performance characteristics of competing technology
 What is the 2013 price target for 1 MM cells
 What is the 2015 price target for 10 MM cells
 what is optimum sales method for each segment (asset sale, lease, pay for performance, etc.)
 product positioning/elevator pitch
for each segment
 Prospect roadmap: how to get face-
to-face with right person at
prospects in each segment
 key competitors in each segment and
their market share
 key competitors' characteristics &
dynamics
 What outbound marketing/
advertising/ promotion activities are
needed
 support tools required by segment
(white papers, TCO calc., tradeshow)
 pipeline of leads
x
x
x
X = number of in depth customer data points / data sources used to validate hypothesis
red = low hypothesis confidence
yellow = medium hypothesis confidence
green = high hypothesis confidence
25
25
4 50
3
Complete regional overview
12
 Populate life cycle data for
performance guarantees
 Educate market on metric:
$/kWh-day delivered over life of
asset
 Establish strong partnerships with
channel partners
 Integrated power system
engineering – compatibility for
retrofit and optimized system
solutions
 Financing options for Power services
operators
 Launch reliability
0
51 Company name | XX Month Year
3 Questions to “DONE:”
52 Company name | XX Month Year
Customer Validation
Customer
Discovery
Customer
Validation
Customer
Creation
Company
Building
• Repeatable, scalable profitable?
• Passionate first paying customers?
• Pivot back to Discovery if not!
Pivot Execution
Search
53 Company name | XX Month Year
Validation is VERY DIFFERENT
• “Test selling” vs search
and exploration
• Is the business
“repeatable, scalable”
• Do the “ratios hold up”
as you accelerate
• Is it a “Pachinko
machine” yet?
Вопросы?
For more details contact:
Lawrence Wright
+7 (916) 555-0980
Lwright@gvalg.com
Skype: wrightal4
Follow us!
Twitter: @launchgurus
Facebook: launchgurus
Launch-gurus.com
Thanks to Bob Dorf for the slides

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Customer Development

  • 1. The Lean Startup or Customer Development Startup Bootcamp, 2015
  • 2. There is nothing like the thrill of starting your OWN business and not working for someone else!
  • 3. The odds are very much against your success We want to reduce the risk of failure And provide a method to help you and your team build a strong, enduring company! …What really matters most: GREAT companies with long-term potential Excited CUSTOMERS who tell their friends Почему мы тут?
  • 4.  Many thousands of startups  Startup Academy…8 times  USA National Science Foundation  250+ leading Universities  Many major corporations Это доказано!
  • 5. More startups fail from a lack of customers than from a failure of product development Steve Blank
  • 6. Very simple business math: 0 customers= 0 business!
  • 7. Давайте познакомимся • Интрапренер (SAIC, Inc. 92 - 2002) • Инвестор в инновационных проектах (ISTC 2002 - 05) • Стартап предприниматель /бизнес-ангел (New Realm Investments, Solid Power Batteries, Xlerate Technologies 2005 - 2011) • Профессор практики /Директор Стартап Академии (СКОЛКОВО 2011 – 2014 ) • Со-основатель/CEO LaunchGurus (2014 - …)
  • 8. 500 startup mistakes in 608 pages….
  • 9. We’ve learned a lot about entrepreneurship
  • 10. 10 Company name | XX Month Year 10
  • 11. What We Used to Believe
  • 12. Startups are a Smaller Version of a Large Company
  • 13. What We Now Know
  • 15. Startups are About Vision & Ideas, sweat and luck
  • 16. What We Now Know
  • 17. Most visions are very blurry at best …and entrepreneurs “make” their own luck!
  • 18. What We Used to Believe Strategy
  • 19. Start With a Business Plan and a Financial Model
  • 20. 20 Company name | XX Month Year All You Need to Do is Execute the Plan
  • 21. 21 Company name | XX Month Year And You Need to Make the Forecast
  • 22. 22 Company name | XX Month Year All You Need to Do: Execute the Plan
  • 23. No Business Plan survives first contact with customers …Steve Blank, 2003
  • 25. 25 Company name | XX Month Year Что такой «стартап»? A Startup is a temporary organization used to search for a • repeatable, • scalable, and • profitable business model
  • 26. …So SEARCH for the Busines Model
  • 27. The Business Model: Any company can be described in 9 building blocks
  • 28. 28 Company name | XX Month Year customer segments key partners cost structure revenue streams channels customer relationships key activities key resources value proposition
  • 30. 30 Company name | XX Month Year 9 Guesses Guess Guess Guess Guess Guess Guess Guess GuessGuess
  • 31. 31 Company name | XX Month Year Our Guesses DON’T Matter  Anybody can build almost anything today (just a few exceptions: anti-gravity, transporters)  What we need are CUSTOMERS!!  Build the customers while building product  …and let customer feedback and your coach guide you all the way through the process!  note: Clones may be different!
  • 32. 32 Company name | XX Month Year Customer Development
  • 33. Get Out of the Building Customer Development The founders
  • 34. 34 Company name | XX Month Year Customer Development: The Search For the Business Model Company Building Customer Discovery Customer Validation Customer Creation Pivot
  • 35. 35 Company name | XX Month Year  Stop selling, start listening  Test your hypotheses  Continuous Discovery  Done by founders Step 1: Customer Discovery Customer Discovery Customer Validation Company Building Customer Creation
  • 36. 36 Company name | XX Month Year TWO key Discovery phases  FIRST: Does anybody care? …are we solving a serious problem? …are we filling a “big” need?  THEN: Does our product do the job? …do they grab it out of your hands? …are they eager to tell their friends?
  • 37. 37 Company name | XX Month Year Where it begins: Minimum Viable Product (MVP) • Smallest feature set that gets you the most … orders, learning, feedback, failure… • MVP + Customer are the first two you need to nail • MVP is just 1 of the 9 parts of your model
  • 38. 38 Company name | XX Month Year What’s a Minimum Viable Product?  Google without ads  Zappos without inventory  Diapers.com without diapers …Fewest possible features to make the point! …Why? It’s hard to truly react to a powerpoint
  • 39. 39 Company name | XX Month Year Discovery: Not just “do you like it?”  How big is the market? Not today…eventually!  Who’s the customer?  What’s their problem/need  What’s the product/service/need?  Does it solve the customer’s problem?  How do you create demand?  How do you deliver the product?  How do you make money?
  • 40. 40 Company name | XX Month Year The Pivot  The heart of Customer Development  Iteration without crisis  Fast, agile and opportunistic
  • 41. 41 Company name | XX Month Year Pivot Cycle Time Matters  Speed of cycle minimizes cash needs  Minimum feature set speeds up cycle time  Near instantaneous customer feedback drives feature set Customer Discovery Customer Validation Company Building Customer Creation ExecutionSearch Pivot
  • 42. 42 Company name | XX Month Year Web/Mobile Versus Physical  Web/Mobile startups run faster  Different process steps for web vs. physical  Customer Relationships are radically different Customer Discovery Customer Validation Pivot
  • 44. 44 Company name | XX Month Year I Have a Meeting – Now What?  The goal is to test all hypotheses, but first: have you found “product/market fit”  Does the customer care?  How do they solve this problem TODAY?  What channel do they use to buy?  Where will they go to find you?  How will you create demand?  How much will they pay? Do they pay today?
  • 45. 45 Company name | XX Month Year TWO key Discovery phases • FIRST: Does anybody care? …are we solving a serious problem? …are we filling a “big” need?
  • 46. 46 Company name | XX Month Year TWO key Discovery phases • FIRST: Does anybody care? …are we solving a serious problem? …are we filling a “big” need? • THEN: Does our product do the job? …do they grab it out of your hands? …are they eager to tell their friends?
  • 47. HINT: YOUR VC PITCH WAS HIDING IN THE LAST 12 SLIDES…DISCOVERY When Customer Discovery is Done: Time to Ask for Money!
  • 48. 48 Company name | XX Month Year always remember rule #1: NO SELLING ALLOWED
  • 49. 49 Company name | XX Month Year … and Rule #2: You’re Hypothesis Testing!
  • 50. 50 Company name | XX Month Year How do you know when Discovery is “done?” Key Partners Who are our key partners/ suppliers Key Activities Which key activities does the biz model require Value Proposition What value do we deliver to the customer Customer Relationships What type of relationship does each segment require of us Customer Segments For whom are we creating value Channels Through which channel does each segment want to be reached Revenue Streams How much is each segment willing to pay and how would they like to pay us this amount Cost Structure What are our cost drivers Key Resources Which key resources does the biz model require  identify key market segments (geography/application) and customer segments (e.g. operator versus owner)  how many customers in each segment and estimated potential volume for each customer  how do customers make money … key customer pain/gain points in each segment  how are buying decisions made in each segment - id process, hurdles, decision makers  what does an Earlyvangelist look like in each segment  who influences purchases in each segment (trade groups, key resellers, trend watchers)  key distinctive product features & benefits for the target customer segment  total cost of ownership for segment versus alternatives  why will segment buy Durathon versus alternatives (i.e. value proposition)  minimum feature set (i.e. our launch configuration) and ultimate feature set  opportunities to claim IP or trademark / is there freedom to practice  what regulatory/ certification/ transportation/ customs requirements should be met or could be differentiator  which segments can only or best be reached through a channel partner  which channel partners are important to optimize sales in each segment  what are channel partners' requirements and cost to become a proactive sales channel  initial channel partner response to value proposition & customer segments  What are price /performance characteristics of competing technology  What is the 2013 price target for 1 MM cells  What is the 2015 price target for 10 MM cells  what is optimum sales method for each segment (asset sale, lease, pay for performance, etc.)  product positioning/elevator pitch for each segment  Prospect roadmap: how to get face- to-face with right person at prospects in each segment  key competitors in each segment and their market share  key competitors' characteristics & dynamics  What outbound marketing/ advertising/ promotion activities are needed  support tools required by segment (white papers, TCO calc., tradeshow)  pipeline of leads x x x X = number of in depth customer data points / data sources used to validate hypothesis red = low hypothesis confidence yellow = medium hypothesis confidence green = high hypothesis confidence 25 25 4 50 3 Complete regional overview 12  Populate life cycle data for performance guarantees  Educate market on metric: $/kWh-day delivered over life of asset  Establish strong partnerships with channel partners  Integrated power system engineering – compatibility for retrofit and optimized system solutions  Financing options for Power services operators  Launch reliability 0
  • 51. 51 Company name | XX Month Year 3 Questions to “DONE:”
  • 52. 52 Company name | XX Month Year Customer Validation Customer Discovery Customer Validation Customer Creation Company Building • Repeatable, scalable profitable? • Passionate first paying customers? • Pivot back to Discovery if not! Pivot Execution Search
  • 53. 53 Company name | XX Month Year Validation is VERY DIFFERENT • “Test selling” vs search and exploration • Is the business “repeatable, scalable” • Do the “ratios hold up” as you accelerate • Is it a “Pachinko machine” yet?
  • 55. For more details contact: Lawrence Wright +7 (916) 555-0980 Lwright@gvalg.com Skype: wrightal4 Follow us! Twitter: @launchgurus Facebook: launchgurus Launch-gurus.com Thanks to Bob Dorf for the slides