Primer Dígito




                                          Distribución del Primer Dígito
                0.60




      ...
DISTRIBUCIÓN DEL SEGUNDO DÍGITO
             0.16




             0.14




             0.12




             0.10
PROPOR...
DISTRIBUCIÓN DE LOS PRIMEROS DOS DÍGITOS
             0.07




             0.06




             0.05




             0....
ANÁLISIS DE DATOS; ELECCIONES 2009 MAS BOLIVIA Y EL EXTERIOR
 1er Dígito       Ca         Po       Benford        Ce      ...
P2D        Ca      Po       Benford      Ce         Pe        Dif    Signif     Chi-cuad LimInf    LimSup Disc
      10   ...
42    86   0.004   0.010   238.076   0.010   -0.007   9.874   97.142   0.009   0.012   0.007
43   103   0.004   0.010   23...
75   110   0.005   0.006   134.012   0.006   -0.001   2.037    4.302   0.005   0.007   0.001
76   127   0.005   0.006   13...
Cantidad de reg. =
    23297

    23297

    23297

    10000
Analisis de elecciones 2009 mas bolivia y el exterior
Analisis de elecciones 2009 mas bolivia y el exterior
Analisis de elecciones 2009 mas bolivia y el exterior
Analisis de elecciones 2009 mas bolivia y el exterior
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Analisis de elecciones 2009 mas bolivia y el exterior

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Analisis de elecciones 2009 mas bolivia y el exterior

  1. 1. Primer Dígito Distribución del Primer Dígito 0.60 0.50 0.40 Primer Dígito 0.30 0.20 0.10 0.00 Row 3 Row 4 Row 5 Row 6 Row 7 Row 8 Row 9 Row 10 Row 11 Po Proporción Benford LimInf LimSup Page 1
  2. 2. DISTRIBUCIÓN DEL SEGUNDO DÍGITO 0.16 0.14 0.12 0.10 PROPORCIÓN 0.08 0.06 0.04 0.02 0.00 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Po SEGUNDO DÍGITO Benford LimInf LimSup
  3. 3. DISTRIBUCIÓN DE LOS PRIMEROS DOS DÍGITOS 0.07 0.06 0.05 0.04 PROPORCIÓN 0.03 0.02 0.01 0.00 12 16 20 24 28 32 36 40 44 48 52 56 60 64 68 72 76 80 84 88 92 96 10 14 18 22 26 30 34 38 42 46 50 54 58 62 66 70 74 78 82 86 90 94 98 PRIMEROS DOS DÍGITOS Po Benford LimInf LimSup
  4. 4. ANÁLISIS DE DATOS; ELECCIONES 2009 MAS BOLIVIA Y EL EXTERIOR 1er Dígito Ca Po Benford Ce Pe Dif Signif Chi-cuad LimInf LimSup Disc 1 11848 0.509 0.301 7013.096 0.301 0.208 69.049 3333.235 0.295 0.307 0.208 2 3627 0.156 0.176 4102.398 0.176 -0.020 8.168 55.091 0.171 0.181 0.020 3 810 0.035 0.125 2910.698 0.125 -0.090 41.614 1516.108 0.121 0.129 0.090 4 1025 0.044 0.097 2257.713 0.097 -0.053 27.289 673.062 0.093 0.101 0.053 5 1112 0.048 0.079 1844.685 0.079 -0.031 17.765 291.013 0.076 0.083 0.031 6 1207 0.052 0.067 1559.659 0.067 -0.015 9.231 79.741 0.064 0.070 0.015 7 1294 0.056 0.058 1351.038 0.058 -0.002 1.585 2.408 0.055 0.061 0.002 8 1212 0.052 0.051 1191.700 0.051 0.001 0.589 0.346 0.048 0.054 0.001 9 1162 0.050 0.046 1066.012 0.046 0.004 2.994 8.643 0.043 0.048 0.004 2do Dígito Ca Po Benford Ce Pe Dif Signif Chi-cuad LimInf LimSup Disc 0 3374 0.145 0.120 2788.185 0.120 0.025 11.814 123.083 0.115 0.124 0.025 1 2985 0.128 0.114 2653.295 0.114 0.014 6.831 41.468 0.110 0.118 0.014 2 2317 0.099 0.109 2535.180 0.109 -0.009 4.580 18.777 0.105 0.113 0.009 3 2053 0.088 0.104 2430.576 0.104 -0.016 8.082 58.654 0.100 0.108 0.016 4 1941 0.083 0.100 2336.922 0.100 -0.017 8.624 67.077 0.096 0.104 0.017 5 1997 0.086 0.097 2252.354 0.097 -0.011 5.650 28.950 0.093 0.100 0.011 6 2061 0.088 0.093 2175.241 0.093 -0.005 2.561 6.000 0.090 0.097 0.005 7 2017 0.087 0.090 2104.884 0.090 -0.004 1.997 3.669 0.087 0.094 0.004 8 2203 0.095 0.088 2040.118 0.088 0.007 3.764 13.004 0.084 0.091 0.007 9 2349 0.101 0.085 1980.245 0.085 0.016 8.651 68.668 0.081 0.089 0.016 CHI-CUADRADO PARA EL PRIMER DIGITO DMA Primer Digito 5959.646 0.047 15.507 CHI-CUADRADO PARA ELSEGUNDO DIGITO DMA Segundo Digito 429.352 0.012 16.919 CHI-CUADRADO PARA LOS PRIMEROS DOS DIGITOS DMA Primeros Dos Digitos 12147.116 112.022 0.01
  5. 5. P2D Ca Po Benford Ce Pe Dif Signif Chi-cuad LimInf LimSup Disc 10 1179 0.051 0.041 964.325 0.041 0.009 7.044 47.790 0.039 0.044 0.009 11 1106 0.047 0.038 880.360 0.038 0.010 7.735 57.832 0.035 0.040 0.010 12 1056 0.045 0.035 809.853 0.035 0.011 8.786 74.814 0.032 0.037 0.011 13 1037 0.045 0.032 749.807 0.032 0.012 10.643 110.002 0.030 0.034 0.012 14 1045 0.045 0.030 698.053 0.030 0.015 13.314 172.440 0.028 0.032 0.015 15 1165 0.050 0.028 652.985 0.028 0.022 20.304 401.478 0.026 0.030 0.022 16 1235 0.053 0.026 613.385 0.026 0.027 25.416 629.955 0.024 0.028 0.027 17 1227 0.053 0.025 578.315 0.025 0.028 27.294 727.618 0.023 0.027 0.028 18 1309 0.056 0.023 547.039 0.023 0.033 32.946 1061.322 0.022 0.025 0.033 19 1489 0.064 0.022 518.973 0.022 0.042 43.041 1813.103 0.020 0.024 0.042 20 1457 0.063 0.021 493.647 0.021 0.041 43.803 1879.984 0.019 0.023 0.041 21 1066 0.046 0.020 470.678 0.020 0.026 27.699 752.973 0.018 0.022 0.026 22 543 0.023 0.019 449.752 0.019 0.004 4.416 19.333 0.018 0.021 0.004 23 227 0.010 0.018 430.608 0.018 -0.009 9.880 96.274 0.017 0.020 0.009 24 68 0.003 0.018 413.027 0.018 -0.015 17.105 288.222 0.016 0.019 0.015 25 41 0.002 0.017 396.826 0.017 -0.015 17.991 319.062 0.015 0.019 0.015 26 58 0.002 0.016 381.848 0.016 -0.014 16.684 274.657 0.015 0.018 0.014 27 34 0.001 0.016 367.959 0.016 -0.014 17.523 303.101 0.014 0.017 0.014 28 65 0.003 0.015 355.046 0.015 -0.012 15.485 236.945 0.014 0.017 0.012 29 68 0.003 0.015 343.008 0.015 -0.012 14.932 220.488 0.013 0.016 0.012 30 66 0.003 0.014 331.760 0.014 -0.011 14.668 212.890 0.013 0.016 0.011 31 79 0.003 0.014 321.226 0.014 -0.010 13.581 182.654 0.012 0.015 0.010 32 72 0.003 0.013 311.340 0.013 -0.010 13.627 183.991 0.012 0.015 0.010 33 81 0.003 0.013 302.045 0.013 -0.009 12.773 161.767 0.011 0.014 0.009 34 78 0.003 0.013 293.289 0.013 -0.009 12.622 158.033 0.011 0.014 0.009 35 68 0.003 0.012 285.026 0.012 -0.009 12.904 165.249 0.011 0.014 0.009 36 95 0.004 0.012 277.216 0.012 -0.008 10.980 119.772 0.010 0.013 0.008 37 85 0.004 0.012 269.823 0.012 -0.008 11.287 126.600 0.010 0.013 0.008 38 95 0.004 0.011 262.814 0.011 -0.007 10.379 107.154 0.010 0.013 0.007 39 91 0.004 0.011 256.159 0.011 -0.007 10.345 106.487 0.010 0.012 0.007 40 91 0.004 0.011 249.834 0.011 -0.007 10.071 100.980 0.009 0.012 0.007 41 116 0.005 0.010 243.813 0.010 -0.005 8.197 67.003 0.009 0.012 0.005
  6. 6. 42 86 0.004 0.010 238.076 0.010 -0.007 9.874 97.142 0.009 0.012 0.007 43 103 0.004 0.010 232.602 0.010 -0.006 8.508 72.212 0.009 0.011 0.006 44 91 0.004 0.010 227.375 0.010 -0.006 9.055 81.795 0.008 0.011 0.006 45 117 0.005 0.010 222.377 0.010 -0.005 7.067 49.935 0.008 0.011 0.005 46 102 0.004 0.009 217.595 0.009 -0.005 7.839 61.408 0.008 0.011 0.005 47 102 0.004 0.009 213.013 0.009 -0.005 7.607 57.855 0.008 0.010 0.005 48 119 0.005 0.009 208.621 0.009 -0.004 6.198 38.500 0.008 0.010 0.004 49 98 0.004 0.009 204.406 0.009 -0.005 7.440 55.391 0.008 0.010 0.005 50 116 0.005 0.009 200.358 0.009 -0.004 5.950 35.518 0.007 0.010 0.004 51 113 0.005 0.008 196.468 0.008 -0.004 5.944 35.460 0.007 0.010 0.004 52 112 0.005 0.008 192.725 0.008 -0.003 5.803 33.813 0.007 0.009 0.003 53 117 0.005 0.008 189.122 0.008 -0.003 5.229 27.504 0.007 0.009 0.003 54 114 0.005 0.008 185.652 0.008 -0.003 5.243 27.654 0.007 0.009 0.003 55 116 0.005 0.008 182.307 0.008 -0.003 4.893 24.116 0.007 0.009 0.003 56 107 0.005 0.008 179.080 0.008 -0.003 5.370 29.012 0.007 0.009 0.003 57 95 0.004 0.008 175.965 0.008 -0.003 6.089 37.254 0.006 0.009 0.003 58 120 0.005 0.007 172.957 0.007 -0.002 4.004 16.215 0.006 0.009 0.002 59 102 0.004 0.007 170.050 0.007 -0.003 5.199 27.232 0.006 0.008 0.003 60 90 0.004 0.007 167.239 0.007 -0.003 5.955 35.673 0.006 0.008 0.003 61 115 0.005 0.007 164.520 0.007 -0.002 3.835 14.905 0.006 0.008 0.002 62 111 0.005 0.007 161.888 0.007 -0.002 3.974 15.996 0.006 0.008 0.002 63 120 0.005 0.007 159.338 0.007 -0.002 3.087 9.712 0.006 0.008 0.002 64 147 0.006 0.007 156.868 0.007 0.000 0.750 0.621 0.006 0.008 0.000 65 112 0.005 0.007 154.473 0.007 -0.002 3.388 11.678 0.006 0.008 0.002 66 124 0.005 0.007 152.150 0.007 -0.001 2.249 5.208 0.005 0.008 0.001 67 124 0.005 0.006 149.895 0.006 -0.001 2.081 4.474 0.005 0.007 0.001 68 126 0.005 0.006 147.707 0.006 -0.001 1.751 3.190 0.005 0.007 0.001 69 138 0.006 0.006 145.582 0.006 0.000 0.589 0.395 0.005 0.007 0.000 70 124 0.005 0.006 143.517 0.006 -0.001 1.592 2.654 0.005 0.007 0.001 71 134 0.006 0.006 141.509 0.006 0.000 0.591 0.398 0.005 0.007 0.000 72 103 0.004 0.006 139.558 0.006 -0.002 3.061 9.576 0.005 0.007 0.002 73 140 0.006 0.006 137.659 0.006 0.000 0.157 0.040 0.005 0.007 0.000 74 147 0.006 0.006 135.811 0.006 0.000 0.920 0.922 0.005 0.007 0.000
  7. 7. 75 110 0.005 0.006 134.012 0.006 -0.001 2.037 4.302 0.005 0.007 0.001 76 127 0.005 0.006 132.260 0.006 0.000 0.415 0.209 0.005 0.007 0.000 77 137 0.006 0.006 130.554 0.006 0.000 0.522 0.318 0.005 0.007 0.000 78 147 0.006 0.006 128.890 0.006 0.001 1.555 2.544 0.005 0.007 0.001 79 125 0.005 0.005 127.269 0.005 0.000 0.157 0.040 0.004 0.006 0.000 80 131 0.006 0.005 125.688 0.005 0.000 0.430 0.224 0.004 0.006 0.000 81 136 0.006 0.005 124.146 0.005 0.001 1.022 1.132 0.004 0.006 0.001 82 133 0.006 0.005 122.641 0.005 0.000 0.893 0.875 0.004 0.006 0.000 83 121 0.005 0.005 121.172 0.005 0.000 0.016 0.000 0.004 0.006 0.000 84 126 0.005 0.005 119.738 0.005 0.000 0.528 0.327 0.004 0.006 0.000 85 115 0.005 0.005 118.338 0.005 0.000 0.262 0.094 0.004 0.006 0.000 86 110 0.005 0.005 116.970 0.005 0.000 0.600 0.415 0.004 0.006 0.000 87 103 0.004 0.005 115.633 0.005 -0.001 1.131 1.380 0.004 0.006 0.001 88 106 0.005 0.005 114.326 0.005 0.000 0.734 0.606 0.004 0.006 0.000 89 131 0.006 0.005 113.049 0.005 0.001 1.645 2.851 0.004 0.006 0.001 90 120 0.005 0.005 111.800 0.005 0.000 0.730 0.601 0.004 0.006 0.000 91 120 0.005 0.005 110.578 0.005 0.000 0.851 0.803 0.004 0.006 0.000 92 101 0.004 0.005 109.382 0.005 0.000 0.755 0.642 0.004 0.006 0.000 93 107 0.005 0.005 108.212 0.005 0.000 0.069 0.014 0.004 0.006 0.000 94 125 0.005 0.005 107.067 0.005 0.001 1.689 3.004 0.004 0.005 0.001 95 153 0.007 0.005 105.946 0.005 0.002 4.533 20.898 0.004 0.005 0.002 96 103 0.004 0.005 104.848 0.005 0.000 0.132 0.033 0.004 0.005 0.000 97 110 0.005 0.004 103.773 0.004 0.000 0.563 0.374 0.004 0.005 0.000 98 116 0.005 0.004 102.719 0.004 0.001 1.264 1.717 0.004 0.005 0.001 99 107 0.005 0.004 101.687 0.004 0.000 0.478 0.278 0.003 0.005 0.000
  8. 8. Cantidad de reg. = 23297 23297 23297 10000
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