Kind Bicycles Business Plan Slides - Presentation Transcript
There are 380 bike brands in the U.S., do we need another?
Yes, if it goes where others have been slow in responding to: Demand for sustainable business practices Value driven pricing for category with most growth opportunity – urban/city bikes New models of distribution !!!!!!!!!!!
Kind Bicycles based in Madison, WI delivers
We have developed functional, affordable, easy to buy, ride and maintain urban/city bikes
We are removing obstacles related to selling on-line, delivered direct to customer
We engage in sustainable social and environmental manufacturing practices
Founder Wayne Thompson has 11 years of experience at the executive level in the bicycle industry
Ran the largest bicycle logistics and distribution network in the US importing, handling and delivering 6 million bikes annually, one third of the industry total
Investment and Return Your $80,000 investment allows us to purchase our first order of bikes, complete our website to handle ecommerce transactions, buy liability insurance and travel to Asia for the first production run. After the initial seeding, we plan to be completely self-sufficient, not relying on outside capital to continue to grow the business. We plan to sell 175 units in 90 days and have a break even of 128 bikes and are cash flow positive from the outset. We pay you an 8% dividend annually on your $80,000. Your initial investment is paid back in full years three through five. You retain 40% equity in Kind after year five.
The Bike Industry
The Numbers (in the U.S.)
18 million bikes sold/year for $3.5 Billion
Top ten brands sell 88% of units and 84% of dollars
40 Million participants
90% of all bikes are sold for less than $750
Mass Market, Independent Bicycle Dealer (IBD), Sporting Goods
Stores and Other (Catalog, non-sports retailers, on-line)
Industry share by channel
The Brands
IBD dominated by Trek, Specialized and Giant with 30% of sales – Avg. sales price = $445
Mass Dominated by Pacific Cycle, Dynacraft, Huffy and Kent. Avg. sales price $77.
Industry Challenges
Unit sales have not grown over past 30 years. Peaked in 1977 at 22 million.
Dollar sales slowly growing mainly due to raw material costs, not profitability
Participation not growing, peaked in 1993 at 53 million.
Industry at-large focuses on already engaged customer that makes up many small, fragmented counter-cultures
IBD has lost 30% of dealers in last 7 years
Adversarial relationship between suppliers and their retailers
Low barrier to entry, global over-capacity
Extremely competitive; features for price point in IBD; lowest price in mass
No positive correlation between increased gas prices and bike sales (sales dropped) though participation did spike
Production in low cost regions with no focus on social and environmental sustainability
Obsolesance and inventory issues plague industry
No value priced bikes in IBD, ill suited bikes in mass. No channel filling gap.
The Urban Category
Marked fastest growing category, main growth will come from cannibalizing other sales with small amount organic
Made up of many styles of bikes that have utilitarian features – comfort, city, single speeds, townies, some cruisers
Currently ~4 million bikes, $700 million annually; 35% of IBD and 15% of mass
Biggest opportunity in units should be in the mass market or at least mass market pricing based on share
Industry responding slowly to urban/city bike trend
IBD developing higher priced models at a time when bike sales >$750 are dropping
Mass slow to respond due to pressure to keep price point low and out of touch buyers
Growth in cycling is directly correlated to amount of bicycle infrastructure in place, i.e. safer places/routes, as much as right product at right price
The On-line Market
Fastest growing retail channel YOY = 20%. ’08 $204 billion from $175 billion in ’07 (Forrester)
Sporting goods sales expected to triple over next 5 years (no data for bike and accessory sales)
No major brands (inside top 50) offering direct to consumer sales
On-line bike sales account for ~1.5% of total dollars and have not grown
Industry ignoring fastest growing retail channel, Why?
Brands afraid of alienating customer base
Perceived challenges with shipping, assembly and notion that bike has to be tried to be sold
Investment by brands in current selling model
Feeling of loss of personal service
A handful smaller brands are selling on-line catering to racing/enthusiast market and other niche markets
The Bicycle Customer
At least 85% of bike buyers are non-enthusiasts
Non-enthusiast can be defined as someone who uses bike as a form of transportation (5% of all cyclists) or occasionally uses for recreation
Enthusiasts account for 15% of unit sales
Ride more than twice per week for recreation
Licensed racers make up .5% of bike buyers
Hardcore commuters, customized bikes
Non-enthusiasts see bike shops as intimidating places to shop and are value driven, not as interested in features
17 percent of all bikes are sold in IBD but account for 49% of total dollars.
This results in most marketing efforts going to small percentage of buyers and half the dollars
75% of bicycle consumers that account for 50% of dollars are ignored by marketing programs
Industry sees key to growth by reaching out to 120 million non-cyclists
Kind Strategy
Adopt strategies that the industry has ignored:
Enter the category where bike sales are increasing and expected to increase long-term and engage anyone that is a potential customer
Take advantage of distribution opportunities the industry has not sought, but consumers want
Bring value, function and affordability to the market where there is none currently
Offer durable, easy to buy, ride and maintain bicycles made in a sustainable manner
Create and maintain a focused, efficient and sustainable supply chain
Kind’s Bikes
We see urban bikes being similar to introduction of mountain bikes with fast growth and long term viability
Ironically, urban bike growth should come at expense of lower-mid range mountain bike sales as MTB’s are not well suited for the riding that most do with them – on pavement
Kind will introduce its first model (shown right) into the enthusiast market
This will enable us to become profitable from the outset eliminating ongoing funding for future growth
While keeping a model for the enthusiast market, we also plan to move down market to affordable urban bikes in the $225 to $295 range eventually offering one for ~$159
New Distribution
With on-line sales increasing 20% annually this channel is untapped for bicycles and completely untouched in the affordable urban market
Kind will sell on-line, direct to customer through our website, kindbike.com
Kind avoids barriers that have prevented other brands for selling on line
no existing dealer base
offer free shipping and easy assembly
Offers a site where bikes can be researched and bought
Presumption that a bike needs to be bought in person is becoming less of an issue with wired customers
Kind will import bikes in condensed packing boxes after initial order
Bikes will go through final assembly in the US and be shipped out almost 100% assembled (attach front wheel, adjust bars and saddle = you are ready to ride)
Value, Affordability and Pricing
By selling direct we eliminate highest cost component in supply chain – the independent dealers need for 40% gross margin
This allows Kind to keep prices low and competitive and appeal to a broader market by creating recognized value for enthusiasts and non-enthusiasts alike.
We sell quality bikes at affordable prices with maintaining a sustainable margin for long term viability
We feel that bicycles need to be priced appropriately compared to other consumer goods if organic growth in the industry is to happen
We maintain our position on sustainability regardless of the cost of our bikes
Supply Chain
Control purchasing by relying on forecasts developed by Kind based on consumer interest through website and our market intelligence
With a manageable inventory, selling direct allows for a consistent cash flow as bikes are paid for at time of purchase
Simple line saves on development costs
Thompson’s logistics expertise allows for best in class service at costs on par or below other bike brands
Kind will engage in focused perpetual product development
We will refine our models if better suited components, materials and designs become available.
Eliminates model year obsolescence that plagues the industry.
Will stay away from introducing new models and price points that are not core to our mission.
Specify components with low lead times assuring complete product speed to market
Kind Customers
Specific customer attributes include:
Cyclists looking for affordable, versatile, easy to buy/ride/maintain bikes, values improving sustainability issues
Riders upgrading from a non-specific urban bike to something that is more practical
Non-cyclists looking for alternative transportation or something practical to start riding on
Enthusiasts who own one or more category-specific bikes and are looking for transportation
Customers who want the convenience of ordering online and having a bicycle delivered to their home or local shop
We target 99.7% of active cycling participants as well as 120 million non-cyclists
Customers must be wired and comfortable researching and buying products on-line.
We believe on-line demand from this group is large enough to support our business model based on consumer feedback and lack of current competition in this space.
Marketing and Growth
Marketing
Target cyclists in places they seek information about commuting bike reviews etc. on-line
Target non-cyclists in traditional and on-line media dedicated to urban living and lifestyle
In both cases, focus on grass roots approach consisting of social marketing, SEO and minimal paid advertising
Interactive media – social networking sites, online pulications blogs etc. have and will continue to play an important role in getting the word out about Kind.
Growth
In addition to organic growth, Kind plans to sell through any of the existing on-line retail channels:
Established ecommerce stores, mass merchants, sporting goods stores and select IBD’s
A drop ship program will allow Kind to ship non-exclusive product to any retailers’ customer that ordered it.
Our non-exclusivity to any specific channel will allow us to shift up or down in the market as conditions change
Select international markets will be added to our sales efforts in 2010
Operations
Founder Wayne Thompson spent nine years at the executive level at the largest bicycle importer into the U.S., Pacific Cycle
Last role was VP, eBusiness
Past role included running logistics and distribution for 6 million bikes annually
Staffing would require only Thompson during initial orders but require final assembly and customer service and positions once the volume hit 300 and 1000 units respectively annually.
Warehousing to be in Madison, WI initially, moving to Chicago when 600 units in inventory is realized
Sourcing will be done initially at The ShenZhen Bo-An Company in Boan, S. China.
We have the option to source in Taiwan for the European market
Kind has other potential assembly factories in the European Union for both European and N. American markets
Warranty will be lifetime on frame backed by 5 years from vendor and 1 year on all non-consumable parts and accessories
Assembly and component vendors assume responsibility for defective product
Free returns for defective product
Vendor compliance, Sustainability and Philanthropy,
All of our activities will be posted on our website as we believe in full transparency into our operations
Our assembly factory follows self-mandated guidelines concerning social and environmental responsibility above those required by Chinese law
Employees are given access to, and required to wear proper protective clothing and equipment when producing Kind bicycles
Pay at least government minimum wage and paid overtime
Limit workday/week hours according to local regulation
of legal working age
Effluent not dumped directly into sewer system or disposed in unsafe manner
Start recycling program for factory waste
Engage vendor to install air exchange systems to capture toxic fumes from manufacturing process
Educate and encourage vendors to switch over to clean burning generator fuel
We hope to spur change by stressing social and environmental sustainability throughout our supply chain
Philanthropy: One percent of Kind’s sales will be donated to local social and environmental causes where our bike are made and sold.
For a consolidated 5-year cash flow forecast please see the next page
For a more detailed view on Kind Bicycles, please visit kindbike.com to see our open source business plan, or go to slideshare.net and search: kind bicycles business plan or link here: http://tinyurl.com/cvc6pr
For further information please email Wayne Thompson at info@kindbike.com
Financials, Contact Information
Cash Flow Forecast – 5 year $ 339,960 $ 138,957 $ 81,139 $ 41,319 $ 33,911 Net Income 523,015 213,779 124,830 63,568 52,171 Pre-Tax Net Income $ 820,887 $ 452,127 $ 282,236 $ 168,030 $ 120,311 Ending Cash Balance 452,127 282,236 168,030 120,311 0 Plus: Beginning Cash Balance 368,760 169,890 114,206 47,719 120,311 Net Cash Flow 28,800 30,934 33,067 6,400 6,400 TOTAL NON-OP OUTFLOWS 2,133 4,267 6,400 6,400 6,400 Dividends 26,667 26,667 26,667 0 0 Capital Repayment NON OPERATING OUTFLOWS 2,278,028 1,271,118 858,911 616,356 270,814 TOTAL FUNDS OUT 2,617,988 1,410,075 940,050 657,675 384,725 TOTAL FUNDS IN 80,000 Capital Contribution 2,617,988 1,410,075 940,050 657,675 304,725 Revenues Collected INFLOW $2,617,988 $1,410,075 $940,050 $657,675 $304,725 Sales Amounts 9,113 4,725 3,150 2,205 795 Sales (In Units) 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009
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