Kind Bicycles Business Plan

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    Kind Bicycles Business Plan - Presentation Transcript

    1. Kind Bicycles LLC Business Plan 4/1/09 Contact: Wayne Thompson - info@kindbike.com www.kindbike.com The Opportunity Kind Bicycles is a new brand focusing on affordable and easy to buy, ride and maintain bicycles in the fastest growing cycling category, the urban market with a commitment to sustainable social and environmental business practices. Kind Bicycles offers bike shop quality bikes that are simple, versatile, affordable, functional and competitively priced delivered to your door. Selling bikes online has created obstacles in the past but Kind eliminates them by offering free delivery, fully assembled bikes (just attach the front wheel and minor adjustments to the seat and handlebars and you are ready to go) and a simple fitting system that fits a large range of body types. Kind is seeking $80,000 in capital for the final assembly, shipment and delivery for our current order of 300 bikes from Asia to the U.S. We anticipate being cash flow positive from the outset and have a 128 unit breakeven point with a forecast of 175 units sold in the first 90 days based on interest in the current model. Kind will pay a dividend of 8% annually and pay back the $80,000 in equal installments in years three to five, leaving the investors with a total of 40% equity in the company after the payback. After the initial investment and selling through the first order, Kind retains sufficient cash-on-hand that allows for a healthy growth every year through year five without the need for additional capital. Our detailed business plan is posted on slideshare for anyone to see.
    2. TABLE OF CONTENTS SUMMARY 3 THE INDUSTRY 6 THE ONLINE MARKET 9 THE URBAN/CITY CATEGORY 10 THE BICYCLE CONSUMER 11 KIND BICYCLES STRATEGY 11 KIND CUSTOMERS 14 KIND’S PRICING MODEL 15 MARKETING 15 PHILANTHROPY 16 GROWTH OPPORTUNITIES 16 OPERATIONS 17 ADVANTAGES, RISKS AND CONTINGENCIES 19 OUR NUMBERS 21 2
    3. Summary Does the world need another bike brand? Only if that brand focuses on improving the poor social and environmental sustainability practices the industry-at-large engages in. It also needs brands that are focused on bringing value driven bicycles to everyone rather than focusing on only 10 percent of bike buying customers. In 2007, after nine years at the executive level with the largest bicycle importer in the US, Wayne Thompson founded Madison, WI based Kind Bicycles in response to untapped opportunities in the bicycle market not being leveraged by the 380+ brands and to change the way the industry and consumers accept the conditions in which 90% of the world’s bicycles are made. Kind will focus on all three aspects of the triple bottom line: people, planet, profit. The industry has been slow in responding to trends in general consumer preferences: new models of distribution, demand for sustainable business practices and value driven pricing. Established brands are encumbered by business models that make it difficult to capitalize on these trends concurrently or actively choose to continue to market, price and deliver in the same way, despite slow to negative growth at a time when bike sales should be increasing. The bicycle is a massive change agent. It has the ability to transform how people get around, positively affects people’s health and improves livability in congested and dense urban areas. Kind wants to make bicycles accessible to as many people as possible, produce a bike that does less harm in the manufacturing process from a social and environmental perspective and lasts a long time in both durability and functionality. To get there, Kind plans to follow these five strategies: 1. Enter the category where bike sales are increasing and expected to increase long term 2. Take advantage of distribution opportunities the industry has not sought, but consumers want 3. Bring value, function and affordability to the market where there is none currently 4. Offer durable, easy to buy, ride and maintain bicycles made in a sustainable manner 5. Create and maintain a focused, efficient and sustainable supply chain Kind Bicycles developed for the urban environment delivered to the home at affordable and competitive prices ($150-$600) target adult cycling enthusiasts and casual riders who will recognize the value and simplicity of our bikes. We also want to make it easier for the current 120 million non-cyclists to jump into cycling who may not want to invest a large amount time, research and money once they do choose to buy a bicycle. 3
    4. Kind removes obstacles that are cited as reasons for bikes not enjoying overall online sales growth by offering a branded site that is informational and sells its products along with free shipping and easy assembly. Our functional bikes that fit most people philosophy mirrors that of European and Japanese brands that are sold in cycling centric cultures, as does our sourcing of simple, durable and reliable components that require easy, if any, maintenance. The first bike we plan to bring to market is in a proven category where growth still exists, our singlespeed/fixed gear road bike: While focusing exclusively on the enthusiast market initially, this will allow us to sell immediately and create enough cash flow to expand our offerings to the value driven enthusiast and non-enthusiast markets. Kind focuses on fair wages, safe working conditions and environmentally responsible practices throughout its supply chain. We bring the process full circle by giving back to the people and places where our bikes are produced and purchased. One percent of sales will be donated to local cycling, social and environmental advocacy organizations. After finding, and losing, two rounds of investment sources, we have scaled back the initial funding request to an amount that allows Kind to be cash flow positive and profitable from the outset while not relying on outside funds but still attain steady growth. With a capital infusion of $80,000, Kind’s current plan is to grow from 900 to 10,000 units in 5 years, or just under 4% of total online bike sales. If demand dictates that faster growth is needed, Kind is well positioned from a capacity and distribution standpoint to take on additional growth capital. An $80,000 investment with Kind earns 8% interest on the capital-to-be-repaid balance and 40% of the company once paid back in full after year five. The initial investment covers the purchase of our first order, liability insurance, operational costs and completion of our e-commerce website. Specific costs and a monthly cash flow projections are found in “Our Numbers” section. Our Cash Flow Projection for the first 5 years is as follows: 4
    5. 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Sales (In Units) 795 2,205 3,150 4,725 9,113 Sales Amounts $304,725 $657,675 $940,050 $1,410,075 $2,617,988 INFLOW Revenues Collected 304,725 657,675 940,050 1,410,075 2,617,988 Capital Contribution 80,000 Loans 0 0 0 TOTAL FUNDS IN 384,725 657,675 940,050 1,410,075 2,617,988 OPERATING OUTFLOW Cost of Goods Produced 125,100 226,500 339,750 509,625 943,313 Ocean Shipping 10,800 25,200 37,800 56,700 109,350 Duty 15,012 27,180 40,770 61,155 113,198 Warehouse Costs 13,500 31,500 47,250 70,875 136,688 SG&A 30,970 135,485 139,669 183,160 191,368 Advocacy 3,357 6,267 9,401 14,101 26,180 Shipping 39,750 110,250 157,500 236,250 455,625 Warranty 1,877 5,036 5,096 7,644 14,150 Transaction Costs 12,189 26,307 37,602 56,403 104,720 Interest Expense 0 0 0 0 0 Corporate Taxes 18,260 22,383 43,824 74,957 183,189 TOTAL FUNDS OUT 270,814 616,107 858,662 1,270,870 2,277,779 NON OPERATING OUTFLOWS Capital Repayment 0 0 26,667 26,667 26,667 Dividends 6,400 6,400 6,400 4,267 2,133 TOTAL NON-OP OUTFLOWS 6,400 6,400 33,067 30,934 28,800 Net Cash Flow 120,311 47,968 114,455 170,139 369,009 Plus: Beginning Cash Balance 0 120,311 168,279 282,734 452,873 Ending Cash Balance 120,311 168,279 282,734 452,873 821,881 Pre-Tax Net Income 52,171 63,951 125,212 214,162 523,398 Net Income After Tax 33,911 41,568 81,388 139,205 340,209 After paying back investor dividends and principal, all income is retained and leaves Kind with a healthy cash-on-hand position allowing for funding of company operations and growth with no need for additional capital. After year five, an option for a buyout by the founder of Kind can be put in place, but is not compulsory. If being involved in a cash-flow positive business that makes a healthy return on investment that is committed to social and environmental sustainability and spurs change in an industry where legacy business practices are prevalent, then please continue reading on how Kind is going to succeed in its chosen market. 5
    6. The Industry The Numbers In 2008, 18.1 million bicycles were sold in the US for a retail value of approximately $3.5 billion. The industry as a whole (bikes, parts, accessories, etc.) is marked at approximately $6 billion. Bicycles are sold in four primary channels of distribution and are broken down as follows: Market Share Summary Channel Dollars % Units % Mass Merchants 37 75 Independent Bicycle Dealers (IBD) 49 17 Big Box Sporting Goods Stores 7 3 Other (Catalog, Hardware stores,) 7 5 Source: NBDA.com Since 1998 sales have held around 17-18 million units (Appendix 1) and participation hovered between 30 - 42 million people annually according to outdoorfoundation.org. Sales peaked in 1977 with 22 million units and participation peaked in 1992 with 53 million people riding at least once per week. Total sales and participation are both expected to hold steady or decline slightly over the next 5 years according to industry experts. In the past year, gains have been seen in comfort/hybrid/commuter (urban) type bikes in the mid-range price point of $250 - $700 at bike shops. This was mostly seen as a response to high gas prices, individual concerns over climate change and leading healthier lifestyles. High-end road and mountain bike sales ($1000+) sales appear to be dropping. There was a slight deterioration in the low range mass market mountain bikes (<$200) and sales of urban bikes in the mass increased slightly but are not prevalent in availability. With 380 bicycle brands in the US market, according to the Jay Townley a bike trade consultant, the industry is highly fragmented, homogenized and highly competitive in price, specification, design and technology. A small concentration of brands dominate both each sales channel and offer all price points and categories relative to their channel. Brands outside the top 10 in units and dollars make up 16% of the market. These brands are highly specialized and cater to the many niche categories that make up the industry. The following chart shows the top 10 brands in both units and dollars from 2006 (2007 data is inconsistent across all of our sources and 2008 data is not yet available). 6
    7. Unit Share Dollar Share Company Share% Company Share% Pacific Cycle 35.0 Pacific Cycle 22.7 Huffy 26.6 Trek 19.0 Dynacraft 11.7 Huffy 11.2 Trek 5.4 Specialized 6.2 Derby 2.6 Giant 5.7 Giant 2.2 Derby 5.0 Specialized 1.7 Dynacraft 4.5 Kent 1.3 Cannondale 4.5 Licensed Product 1.2 Litespeed 3.2 Radio Flyer 1.1 Fuji 1.4 Rank 10 – 20 4.8 Rank 10 – 20 8.3 Other 7.4 Other 8.3 Pacific - Schwinn, Mongoose, Roadmaster, GT, Acquired Cannondale in Feb ’08; Derby – Raleigh, Diamondback; Huffy - Huffy, Royce, Disney; Trek - Trek, Gary Fisher, Klein; Dynacraft - Magna, Next, Barbie, Fischer Price, Hot Wheels *Source BMRI (2006 Numbers) *Reluctance of suppliers to share data and the lack of specific classifications can result in slight margins of error in reported numbers. Trek, Specialized and Giant dominate the service and customer experience driven Independent Bicycle Dealer (IBD) channel with ~31% of sales. 350+ brands make up the remainder of this channel. Prices range from $200 into the thousands, the average sales price is ~$440 and 90% of all industry units sell for less than $750. The price and volume driven mass channel, led by Pacific Cycle, Dynacraft, Huffy and Kent sell bikes from $20 - $250 with an average price of $77 (due to low cost children’s bikes). These and approximately ten other companies sourcing in-house brands and licensed product make up the mass channel. Sporting goods stores and “Other” category are a mix of high and low-end product with some crossover of bike shop brands at lower prices and usually max out around $500 with an average sales price of $202. Ninety-eight percent of bicycles sold in the US are imported, mainly from China and Taiwan. Global bicycle production is approximately 110 million units annually. China accounts for 70% percent of global production with more being migrated every year as its capacity is 100 million units/year. India is second with approximately 10% (sold mostly in its own domestic market), followed by Taiwan (8%), Europe (5%) and Japan. US and Canada account for less than 1% of global units. Industry Challenges The industry at large focuses on the IBD channel, higher price points and the already engaged enthusiast as is evidenced at Interbike, the annual industry trade show, where high-end innovation reigns and 51% of the dollars and 90% of all cyclists go largely ignored. 7
    8. The industry does see an opportunity selling to non-cyclists in the North American market where bike culture is mostly a counter-culture in most categories. IBD brands that have reached out to non- enthusiasts/non-cyclists have not made the connection mainly due to ill-suited product, high retail price or distribution issues. IBD’s generally offer a handful of brands anchored by one of the top three suppliers. Add in high prices due to operating costs and that most non-cyclists see IBD’s intimidating places to shop, potential customers are driven to the mass market for their needs. The mass market is dominated by brands and retailers using their scale to drive down prices and are focused on gaining existing market share rather than growing cycling as an activity. Within the past three years the customer, particularly the non-enthusiast, has been exposed to bikes sold in non-traditional outlets like the Gap, Paul Frank and on-line stores like Amazon and Backcountry.com. The shrinking of the IBD channel, which comprised of 4,400 retailers in 2007 down from 6,200 in 2000 (a 30% reduction), signals that the bike shop model that evolved with Schwinn in the 50’s is changing rapidly. The anticipated correlation between increasing gas prices and bike sales growth did not happen in the summer of 2008. In fact, while bicycle use did go up, bicycle sales in the IBD dropped significantly during that period according to an article in the February 2009 issue of Bicycle Retailer and Industry News. Service related sales did increase in the IBD during the same period. Mass merchant bicycle sales were also off significantly in 2008 Q4 leaving large inventory positions for many suppliers. With global over-capacity, lead times are long and the IBD product development process begins 2 years ahead of actual model year and is typically finished 6 -12 months in advance of the model year. Commitments from dealers are required up to 8 months before delivery. While mass development and lead times are generally about half, the entire industry is often plagued with holding unreleased and obsolete product concurrently after the primary spring/summer selling season ends and the new one begins. Sales are generally seasonal (spring/early summer for all bikes and Christmas for children’s bikes). First to market technology, style, innovation or price point advantage is quickly erased in the bike industry. A low barrier of entry, existing fast followers and a quick trickle down effect for technology at lower prices affect all brands. Curiously, there are two exceptions to this rule. Brands selling direct to consumer and bikes suited to the urban market are not gaining as much momentum even though industry media and influencers state that this is an area of tremendous growth. We explore why in the following two sections. 8
    9. The Online Market According to Forrester Research, total online retail sales increased to $204 Billion in 2008, up from $175 Billion in 2007 which was a 21% increase from ’06. During that time, online bicycle sales have been stagnant at approximately 1.5% of units sold, though hard numbers are hard to qualify. While online sales growth is expected to be flat in 2009, sales of sporting goods is expected to triple over the next 5 years from $1.7 Billion to more than $6 Billion. We have not found any industry-wide forecasts for bicycles specifically and valid forecasts are not available. There is no brand in the top 50 in sales and dollars offering bikes consumer direct online. The closest is REI, just outside the top 50, who along with mainstream brands sells their house brand through all of their channels (store, catalog, outlet, online). There are a handful of direct to consumer companies catering to experienced racers, enthusiasts and other small niche markets (Appendix 2). While all brands in the specialty market have a large online presence through their own informational sites, their retailers and marketing platforms, none sell direct (outside of company stores), nor do they allow dealers to sell current model year online and in some cases, no online sales at all. Currently, a majority of cycling brands selling through bike shops rely only on brick and mortar sales with some smaller mid-high end brands sold through established catalogs/on-line retailers (Excel Sports, Colorado Cyclist, BikeNashbar, Competitive Cyclist, Amazon.com, Backcountry.com). One exception is Cannondale Sports Group which sells limited models through Performance Bicycles catalog and online store. In the mass market, all suppliers sell through their retail partner websites but selection is limited and often web exclusive. No on-line information is offered for mass bikes for the sake of information, marketing or price comparison unless actually sold on-line leaving a large informational gap to the consumer. The sporting goods channel (Dicks, LL Bean, REI) sells a mix of mass market and higher end $400 - $1000+ bikes (REI). Online presence mirrors that of the mass channel. Obsolete and gray market product can be found through auction and other clearing house sites. Why hasn’t the industry jumped into e-commerce? Reasons are numerous and differ by company and channel, though the main points are: • Loyalty to the independent dealer base that helped build the brand • The infrastructure investment (large sales teams, multiple warehouses) most companies have in place to support geographically dispersed dealers • Reluctance to step away from a business model that has served its purpose for the last 60 years. • Fear of alienating specialty and mass/big box retailers and potentially losing brick and mortar sales • The feeling of loss of personal customer service and attention in the sales process 9
    10. • The perception that all bikes have to be tried out and fitted in person to be sold. • Shipping cost is prohibitive for customer or brand. • Assumed warranty and service related issues after sale. The Urban/City Category What was initially comprised of 700c bikes – a wheel size shared by hybrid, comfort, road, commuter, singlespeed/fixed gear bikes – has now developed into its own category sporting utilitarian features like racks, fenders and lighting systems (Appendix 3). The size of this market in the IBD is ~35% of units sold and ~15% of mass units for a total of 4 million units or 22% or the current bike market. Still, functionality and utility are not found in great numbers, especially in the sub $1000 range. Bicycles that fit the urban setting are seen as the growth area for the industry due to rising transportation costs, traffic congestion and health concerns. Better suited, functional, durable and affordable product and continued infrastructure improvement will be the key drivers for getting current bike owners, enthusiasts and non-cyclists using bikes more. With flat sales, some growth will come at the expense of other categories, specifically the mountain bike, but growth should also come from current cyclists replacing old models with better suited ones. This should translate into long term sales growth for this category. Urban specific designs are growing in the mid-high end range of the market but brands are following old principles of selling to those that already own bikes, rather than catering to the large customer base outside of this channel. Established European brands are also entering this market with price points starting $1000+. New models offered are going up in price at a time when sales of bikes over $750 are dropping. Price points in line with what non-enthusiasts demand and where a majority (85%+) of bikes are sold are being largely ignored. Why? The pressure to support the brand and dealer’s margin is the most likely explanation. In the mass market, mountain bike sales are dropping slightly but are still the prevalent category with urban bikes lagging far behind with a single digit share. By selling bikes that are better suited to how the mass consumers use them, Kind believes that sales would increase across all price points. Why this has not happened yet is unclear, but is likely due to brands not offering these bikes based on what corporate buyers are dictating their price points need to be –in other words - urban bikes and components have not come down sufficiently in price (due to lower scale production) to hit current low-end price points. 10
    11. The Bicycle Consumer The cycling market is made up of many sub-categories and cultures. Generally, those that shop at IBD’s tend to have the following characteristics: Age 37.7 Male 66% Female 34% Avg. Household $ 85,000 Income Homeowner 75% College 62% Each sub-culture rider demographic varies from this standard, i.e. road riders are slightly older and more affluent, BMX riders are significantly lower in age and income. Mass and sporting goods customers fall into categories that line up with their preferred stores demographics. Eighty-five to ninety percent of bikes sold in the US are bought by value driven, non-enthusiasts. A non- enthusiast can be defined as someone who uses a bike as a simple means of transportation or occasionally uses for recreation. Based on USA Cycling racing license holders, racing cyclists represent less than .5% of all bicycle riding participants. Those that participate in cycling as a sport, lifestyle or consistent recreational activity account for ~10-15% of the riders. A majority of the marketing and sales efforts are focused in the IBD channel in bike specific media focusing on technical information, ride quality and sometimes price. Marketing spend in the mass and sporting goods market is mainly in the form of ad-allowances for the retailer’s weekly sales promotion attracting customers looking for value. Kind Bicycles Strategy With single digit increases in units and dollars, flat to declining overall participation over the past decade, homogenization of product and brands and heavy competition, it can be said that the bike industry is not an attractive one to enter. Porter’s theory of industrial organization economics states that you either find an attractive industry in which to compete, or adopt strategies that will make the industry you are in attractive. This is where Kind plans to capitalize and enter the market by focusing on strategies that the industry has largely ignored and ones we are passionate about: 1. Enter the category where bike sales are increasing 2. Take advantage of new distribution opportunities the industry has not sought 3. Bring value, function and affordability to the market where there is none currently 4. Offer durable, easy to buy, ride and maintain bicycles produced with sustainable processes 5. Create and maintain a focused, efficient and sustainable supply chain 11
    12. The Urban/City Category and Kind’s Bikes Mountain bikes, the current leading category in units, are not as well suited where current cycling infrastructure exists and federal transportation budget allocations are increasing. Informal surveys suggest 90 percent of all mountain bikes never go off road, most mass model are not built to handle true off-road riding. By creating urban bikes in the $150 to $600 range we cover the price points of 75% of the bikes sold in the US and a bike that is well suited for a majority of riding conditions. We see urban bikes being similar to the introduction of the mountain bike and the resurgence of the cruiser in the early part of this decade with fast growth and long term viability in the product cycle. This style of bike will not be limited to hardcore cyclists or regions but rather appeal to a broader range of consumers because of the utilitarian features and a product that can handle most riding situations. Models currently in development will be introduced at a price points of $225 and $295 to take advantage of an untapped market; specialty shop specification and durable, useful, utilitarian quality urban bikes at mass market prices delivered direct to consumer. For some, the urban trend is as much about style and lifestyle as it is the bike. While we expect to benefit in the short term, we are not focusing on producing bikes to follow trends and believe in the long term viability of practical and affordable bicycles for the urban market. Kind initially developed 5 bikes for the IBD channel. All five can be seen on our site: http://kindbike.com/index.php/bikes/all/ The current plan is to import the SingleSpeed/Fixie, the model that has received the most attention based on hits and email inquiries, as we are confident this will sell through based on interest and value alone (Appendix 4). Once this bike has sold out, we will continue to offer a bike at the $600 price point based on the other models in the line and shift our focus down market to offer value priced bikes loosely based on the neighborhood model. Initially we will offer bikes at $225 and $295 and plan to introduce a bike at $159 to truly compete with all adult mass models. New Distribution Opportunities With overall online sales increasing 20% annually, this channel is untapped for bicycles in general and untouched in the affordable urban category and was always part of how we wanted to bring our bikes to market. Online sales of bikes (shops, mass merchants, custom builders) represent about 1.5% of total bike sales (in dollars). No major brands have taken steps to create an online sales presence. Smaller niche brands are through online retailers typically in the high end road and mountain bike markets. Kind avoids the barriers that traditional bicycle distribution creates for selling online. Kind can sell direct to consumer without fear of alienating an existing dealer base. The presumption that a bike needs to be 12
    13. purchased in person is one we believe is becoming less of an issue for an increasing number of wired consumers. Kind also provides a place where our bikes can be researched and bought online – a majority of brands do not offer this feature. Selling direct allows Kind to control its marketing message and does not have to rely on (or train) a dealer base that is typically focused on selling their anchor brand and other top partners. We are aware that by initially limiting distribution to on-line sales we are potentially giving up opportunities to grow our brand at a faster rate. In the IBD channel, gross margin expectations by dealers allowed us to sell comparable bikes at comparable prices. This was not in line with our goal of bringing the best product to market at an affordable price. We offered dealers an on-line and brick/motor program with lower gross margins showing our order and delivery system allows for higher net margins than industry average. While our initial bikes received rave reviews and a value compared to similar bikes in the market, we could not convince dealers to take margins lower than the industry standard. Not wanting to be just another brand selling for the same price and our differentiators valued by customers but not dealers, this was the first step in deciding to go direct to customer from the outset. Value and Affordability Selling direct allows Kind to shorten the supply chain and eliminates the largest cost component in the supply chain – the Independent Bicycle Dealer’s gross margin, which is minimally 40 percent of the retail price. This allows Kind to appeal to a broader market creating value for customers and investors by selling a higher quality bike at competitive and affordable prices while maintaining a sustainable margin for long term viability. Easy to buy, ride and maintain • Easy to buy – Our functional website embodies our commitment to keep things simple. Our bike line will be focused and naming convention descriptive and intuitive –i.e. “commuter” or “neighborhood”. Kind delivers to the customer’s door almost completely assembled. • Easy to ride – comfortable riding positions, just throw a leg over and go, no out of tune gears to worry about, larger wheel sizes are more comfortable and stable for city riding. • Easy to maintain – brakes can be adjusted by hand, single speed and internal hubs go ten’s of thousands of miles with only minimal lubing. Supply Chain Founder Wayne Thompson’s strong relationships with logistics providers and general expertise in the bicycle supply chain ensure Kind’s business requirements are met with competitive rates and best in class service. Favorable terms from suppliers and immediate payment when a bike sells give Kind an advantage over other brands that extend their retailers terms as long as 90 days. 13
    14. Kind will engage in focused perpetual product development for the following reasons: • We will refine our models if better suited components/materials/designs become available. • Eliminates model year obsolescence that plagues the industry. • Will stay away from introducing new models and price points that are not core to our mission. • Specify components with low lead times assuring complete product speed to market. This process will ensure our customers get the best value and technology currently available, eliminate obsolescence and maintain the integrity of the retail price. The simple line saves on development costs as will offering our bikes in limited standard colors. Our ordering process will be based on our market intelligence on what the market will bear and when. This further reduces the need for extensive warehousing by not waiting for model years to be released and the traditional build up of stock. Bikes delivered to Kind will not be in a traditional bike box. Our bikes will be condensed in shipping boxes that will allow up to 25% more bikes per container. When an order is placed, the bike will go through final assembly and same day tuning and placed in an “AirCaddy” box for final delivery to customer. Minimal warehousing and assembly space will be needed. Staging and shipping will be done in available free space in the Madison, WI area and will expand out to a known low cost third party provider in Chicago, IL when volumes increase to 600+ units stored. Kind Customers Our line targets 99.7% of active adult cycling participants as well as 120 million non-participants. With on-line sales untapped in this category and the industry at large, we feel the market will be big enough to support our business model. Kind is leveraging the growth trend in the urban market by targeting the following customer base: 1. Anyone that is looking for a bike that is: affordable, versatile, easy to buy/ride/maintain and values improving sustainability issues. 2. People upgrading from a non-specific urban bike (e.g. mountain bike) to something that is more practical. 3. Non-cyclists looking for alternative transportation or something practical to start riding on. 4. Enthusiasts who own one or more category-specific bikes and are looking for a bike to ride for transportation. 5. Customers who want the convenience of ordering online and having a bicycle delivered to their home or local shop (we will also offer IBD delivery for assembly, paid by customer if requested by the customer and cleared by the IBD). 14
    15. The evolving nature of the urban category is migrating towards “bikes that fit most people” and sizes limited to 2 per model. In this category precise fit is not as important as in the racing and enthusiast markets. For the non-enthusiast and experienced bicycle consumer, an in-person purchase is not critical with proper information and customer service available online at time of purchase. Kind’s Pricing Model Kind’s bikes will be priced competitively with all major and niche brands in their category. Most IBD’s require a bike sold off their floor have at least a 40% gross margin. Mass Merchants can require up to a 35% Gross Margin. By selling direct, we can allocate the profit margin given up to retailers by offering the customer a better value, ensuring long term viability and profitability for Kind and control our marketing spend to specific target markets. Below is a break down of the costs of each bike sold. Model SSR SSC NbrHd1 Nbrhd2 MSRP 599 599 225 295 Product Costs FOB Port 227.00 225.00 75.00 115.00 Ocean Fr 12.00 12.00 12.00 12.00 Duty 27.24 27.00 9.00 13.80 Total Intl Logistics Cost 39.24 39.00 21.00 25.80 ELC 266.24 264.00 96.00 140.80 Logistics costs Handling in/out 10.00 10.00 10.00 10.00 Storage 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.00 Total Domestic Warehouse Costs 14.00 14.00 14.00 14.00 COGS/bike 280.24 278.00 110.00 154.80 Retail Price 599.00 599.00 225.00 295.00 Markup ($) 318.76 321.00 115.00 140.20 Markup (%) 114 115 105 91 Kind GM (%) 53% 54% 51% 48% Post-COGS costs Advocacy 5.99 5.99 2.25 2.95 Warranty 3.41 3.38 1.13 1.73 Shipping 50.00 50.00 50.00 50.00 CC Process 23.96 23.96 9.00 11.80 Total 83.36 83.33 62.38 66.48 Net Margin $ 235.41 237.68 52.63 73.73 NM % (Before SGA/Taxes) 46% 46% 32% 32% Marketing Kind will target enthusiasts and non-enthusiasts in places that they seek information about purchasing bicycles and related information online. We will also target non-cyclists focusing our efforts on social and traditional media dedicated to urban living. Kind’s brand will be built and sustained through a grass-roots approach consisting of social marketing, SEO and minimal paid advertising. Interactive media – social networking sites, online publications, blogs, etc. – have played and will play an important role in getting the word out about Kind. 15
    16. Social and environmental sustainability is an important part of who we are but we do not intend to ride the “green” wave. Kind will communicate who we are, by what we do. Making a bicycle is a toxic, low cost process. Our intent is to raise the sustainability bar across the industry and make it less toxic and raise the wage expectation in low cost regions. Our longer-term differentiators – direct to consumer model, clean and simple lines of affordable, durable and versatile urban bikes – will be the focus of our promotional efforts. Philanthropy While Kind’s differentiation includes setting and living by increased sustainability standards, we will have failed in our mission if the industry does not follow suit. Kind will contribute one percent of all sales to support social and environmental programs that benefit the people and places where Kind bikes are produced and purchased. Kind supports all facets of advocacy in the bike industry but believes that the current philanthropic approach leaves a gap by failing to include the people and places where the majority of the world’s bikes are made. Kind’s philanthropy program will pioneer this approach. We will start our program through 1% for the Planet and expand our advocacy as we encounter reliable agencies supporting local change. Growth Opportunities In addition to organic growth of current models sold through our website, we will attempt to sell through online retailers. Long term customer targets would be established ecommerce stores, mass merchants and sporting goods stores and select IBD’s that would sell both on-line and in-store. Kind envisions setting up a drop-ship program for these customers eliminating additional shipping costs. While this does put some added inventory pressure on Kind, a drop ship program will allow Kind to be paid when the sale happens rather than extending terms to a retailer. It also allows Kind to control purchasing, reducing the risk for overstock situations. Models will not be exclusive and will allow Kind to sell available inventory to any customer anywhere in the world. While some models are still in development, we are incorporating successful designs from the European and Japanese markets along with those on higher priced bikes in the US and bringing them into our line. While it is Kind’s intention to keep the line narrow and focused, there may be opportunities to further develop bikes at price points higher and lower than current planned models with distinct differentiation. It will be possible to expand and still keep the line focused. Canada and Western Europe will be added to our marketing efforts in mid 2010. 16
    17. Operations Management Founder Wayne Thompson spent nine years with Pacific Cycle Inc, the largest importer of bicycles to the US and a $400 million division of publicly traded Dorel Industries. His last role at Pacific was VP of e- Business, leading the charge to start this new division and aggressively grow sales in previously unproven and unsupported channel. For eight years prior, Thompson ran Pacific’s logistics and distribution network, at approximately 6 million units/year it was the largest bicycle supply chain in the US. In May 2007, he earned an executive MBA at the University of Wisconsin – Madison. Thompson has assembled a team of knowledgeable bicycle professionals to guide him through the startup of Kind. Advisors experience and expertise include: • Graphic Design – 15 years of senior level experience in the cycling indusrty. • Sales – 10 years of senior level sales and product development experience in sporting goods industry. • Product Development – 10 years of customer service, product development and purchasing experience in cycling industry. • Marketing – 15 years of marketing experience at the executive level in a number of industries. Staffing Run by Thompson from the outset, the following positions may be required when sales levels reach 1000 units per year: • Customer Service – This position will take service calls from consumers and assist in the product development and scheduling process. • Assembly – final assembly and tune up before shipment to consumer. This position is expected to be part-time contract only and accounted for in the handing in/out cost of the bicycle. Sourcing, Suppliers and Manufacturing In keeping with our mission to spur change across the industry, Kind has produced its first bikes in China. China represents the largest opportunity to drive positive change by working within the system and influencing change through purchasing power. Every bicycle factory we have visited in China has demonstrated non-compliant processes even when stacking it up against local regulations. Poor working conditions such as workers in paint booths without masks, welding with no goggles, masks or protective clothing, lack of eye protection or protective clothing around chemicals, etc. is prevalent in most low cost regions. 17
    18. Kind’s bikes are assembled in the one Chinese factory we were able to find that passes numerous social compliance audits from major US recreational product and bike brands and agreed to compliance audits by Kind before production started. Shenzhen Bo-An Bike Company is located in Bo-An, Shenzhen City, China. In 2001 the factory was fined and put on a human rights violations watchdog list for issues concerning workers rights. Since, Bo-An has stepped up its compliance and instituted policies that have seen it become the leader in social sustainability within the bike industry. While most bike and component brands sourcing in China are not maliciously taking advantage of lax enforcement of social and environmental rules, focus on all three facets of sustainability - people, planet and profit - are not always weighed equally. Until our efforts to instill these standards across the industry are successful, we will require our suppliers to at least demonstrate a deep sense of philanthropy that is core to their business. It’s not perfect, but it is a start and we think with an increased presence, we will be able to influence those that we work with to strive to sustainable practices. Kind has engaged a factory in the Netherlands that will potentially assemble our lower priced models composed of components from Asia with the same focus on sustainability. Vendor Compliance Kind will have an auditor present for the duration of our production at the assembly factory ensuring that our guidelines are being followed. Our approach to social and environmental responsibility will be transparent and we will post our efforts and guidelines on our website to ensure our message is not misinterpreted. The three areas of compliance are: Social • Employees are given access to, and required to wear proper protective clothing and equipment when producing Kind bicycles • Pay at least government minimum wage and paid overtime • Limit workday/week hours according to local regulation • of legal working age Environmental • Effluent is not dumped directly into sewer system or disposed of in an unsafe manner • Start recycling program for all factory waste • Engage vendor to install air exchange systems to capture toxic fumes from manufacturing process • Educate and encourage vendors to switch over to clean burning generator fuel Quality • Ensure product is being installed per Kind specification and component requirements • Product to be independently tested by accredited testing facility 18
    19. Warranty and Customer Service Kind’s warranty will be industry standard lifetime on frames and one year on components. Frame maker guarantees frame for 5 years and component manufacturer guarantee for 1 year. Kind places all financial responsibility on the assembly factory, frame maker or component supplier for any issues resulting in defective product. The assembly factory is required to carry $3 million in liability insurance themselves. As a supplement to Kind’s suppliers insurance, Kind will have product liability insurance for $1 million with an additional $1 million in our umbrella policy. Customer Service will be staffed by one full time employee solving issues on the phone and online, supplemented with web based FAQ information pages detailing assembly and maintenance. A comprehensive owner’s manual will be included with the bicycle and available online. An industry standard return policy will be put in place with free returns on bikes damaged/wrong product out of the box. Kind will make returns easy for other issues but will require the customer pay for shipping if returning and not exchanging and a restocking fee if the bike has been ridden. Advantages, Risks and Contingencies Kind’s identity and philosophy are built by creating a broad set of competitive advantages along the entire value chain. Below we map out some of our advantages and address critical risks to the long term success and viability of our business as well as the contingencies we have in place. Competitive Advantages Online direct to consumer The only company in this market and price range to offer bikes for sale online, no dealer network to alienate, existing infrastructure to overhaul. Affordability Taking out the highest cost component (dealer gross margin) allows Kind to sell for a lower retail price while maintaining a higher margin for itself to reinvest back into the company Focused, simple and versatile Focused line takes confusion out of purchasing experience, simple bikes product make riding easier by decreasing maintenance issues Bikes can be used for multiple purposes and can be customized by consumer. Conscious, sustainable First to select suppliers, design, manufacture, ship and sell bicycles based on sustainability principles Simple business processes Kind keeps development and design simple by not subscribing to model year issues that plague the industry, we sell in established markets and offer for sale where others do not. Use of “AirCaddy” box Allows Kind to ship fully assembled and tuned bikes (except for front wheel) requiring less set-up time and encourages direct-to-consumer sales by eliminating assembly issues Philanthropy By donating a portion of our revenue to communities where bikes and components are manufactured, we allow the consumer a connection to improving the lives of people that made the product they use. 19
    20. Risk Contingency Plans Kind is positioned well based on our model of offering simple, affordable Bicycle sales continue to be flat or utilitarian bikes. Bike sales have remained steady and expect to remain flat decline due to worsening economy. through the current downturn. If sales to drop, we feel Kind will be in a position to gain market share due to our value based pricing. Urban cycling may be a fad and sales Population growth in urban areas will increase demand for alternative peak within the next few years. transport. Certain elements of the market may slow down but Kind does not intend to chase specific trends i.e. we are not producing a specific messenger bike. Consumers may not buy into sustainable Our goal is to continue pushing the sustainability envelope regardless of philosophy initially or after current trend and spur the industry to adopt. Our long term differentiator is to “sustainable” wave passes. Other provide affordable, simple, easy to buy, ride and maintain bikes. This is a companies adopt. combination of features that our direct competitors can not easily replicate. RMB value increases/ US$ devalues This is currently happening, all suppliers run the same risk so our value against all currencies. compared to other brands will not diminish. Quality problem with a Kind product. Kind will adhere to strict production monitoring and quality assurance programs. If a recall is necessary, Kind would facilitate a return program or send affected part to owner. Factory is found to be ignoring Kind’s Kind will be present at all production runs. If a violation occurs, Kind will social and environmental requirements immediately halt production and will resume when compliant. If and/or breaks Chinese law. compliance can not be guaranteed, vendor would be penalized by Kind pending degree of infraction and production be moved to another factory. Instability in China resulting from Move production to Taiwan or Europe. Kind has identified factories in both quality, social, political or other issues. regions as a contingency. If production had to move during order process this may result in an increase in production costs of approximately 4%. A lead time delay would result. Major lawsuit due to injury on Kind Kind will take steps to ensure a quality product by specifying quality name product. brand components and using material that is suited for its intended use. Kind’s factory carries $3 Million of product liability and Kind will carry another $1Million with up to another million under our umbrella policy. Distribution costs increase due to All brands will be under the same operating conditions so price increases capacity or higher oil prices. will be market wide, Kind will still be well positioned given our pricing model. Consumers react to fuel process by The urban cycling market continues to grow and Kind’s model should driving more when process are low or allow to grow with it and take existing market share. stop discretionary spending when prices are high. Kind misses out on an e-bike boom or Kind has no plans to enter the e-bike category until the technology and another trend outside of the urban design allow for easy ownership. Our focus is the urban market believing bicycle market. this is where the next sustained duration of growth will be. Direct-to-consumer model does not work Kind recognizes the value of touching and feeling a product before you because people want to try out bike first. purchase. We feel that this is becoming less of an issue. Sizing recommendations based on height and inseams will be part of the purchasing process, giving the customer confidence in getting the right size. Our sizing offers frame sizes that will fit adults from 4’10” thru 6’6” or 98% of the adult population. 20
    21. Our Numbers Income Statement Forecast. 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 5 yr Units Sold 795 2,205 3,150 4,725 9,113 19,988 Revenue $304,725 $657,675 $940,050 $1,410,075 $2,617,988 $5,930,513 COGS $164,412 $310,380 $465,570 $698,355 $1,302,548 $2,941,265 Gross Margin $140,313 $347,295 $474,480 $711,720 $1,315,440 $2,989,248 SG&A $30,970 $135,868 $140,052 $183,542 $191,751 $682,182 Advocacy $3,357 $6,267 $9,401 $14,101 $26,180 $59,305 Shipping $39,750 $110,250 $157,500 $236,250 $455,625 $999,375 Warranty $1,877 $5,036 $5,096 $7,644 $14,150 $33,802 Transaction Costs $12,189 $26,307 $37,602 $56,403 $104,720 $237,221 Total Operating Expenses $88,143 $283,727 $349,650 $497,941 $792,425 $2,011,885 EBIT $52,171 $63,568 $124,830 $213,779 $523,015 $977,363 Interest Expense $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 Pre Tax income $52,171 $63,568 $124,830 $213,779 $523,015 $977,363 Tax Expense $18,260 $22,249 $43,690 $74,823 $183,055 $342,077 Net Income After Tax $33,911 $41,319 $81,139 $138,957 $339,960 $635,286 Annual Budget, SG&A. Description 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Details Headcount 1 2 2 3 3 Admin Communication 2,000 7,000 7,000 7,000 7,000 Hardware 500 2,000 2,000 2,000 2,000 Software 500 250 1,000 1,000 1,000 Legal, Accounting Professional Services 2,000 5,000 5,000 5,000 5,000 Health Insurance 0 12,000 12,840 18,000 19,260 Liability Insurance 5,000 5,000 5,000 5,000 5,000 Box License 10,000 Wages GM 45,000 45,000 45,000 45,000 Customer Service add 1 in 2010, add 1 more 0 35,000 35,000 70,000 73,000 in 2012 FICA 0 2,678 2,678 5,355 5,585 Travel Product Development/Compliance 2,970 5,940 6,534 7,187 7,906 Marketing Website 5,000 2,000 2,000 2,000 2,000 Maintenance of Website Digital Marketing 1,000 10,000 12,000 12,000 15,000 1,000 3,000 3,000 3,000 3,000 Production Samples Samples + Freight 1,000 1,000 1,000 1,000 1,000 Graphic/Photo Total Operations $30,970 $135,868 $140,052 $183,542 $191,751 21
    22. Cash Flow Projection, 2009. Cash Flow Projection 2009 Production Rate 0.54 0.00 0.18 0.00 0.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sales Rate April May June July August September October November December Total Production Units 300 0 300 0 300 0 0 0 0 900 Sales – Units 0 40 60 100 145 135 65 65 185 795 Sales Amounts $0 $23,960 $35,940 $50,550 $56,815 $43,225 $23,505 $20,115 $50,615 $304,725 INFLOW 0 Collections 0 23,960 35,940 50,550 56,815 43,225 23,505 20,115 50,615 304,725 Capital Contribution 80,000 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 80,000 Loans 0 TOTAL FUNDS IN 80,000 23,960 35,940 50,550 56,815 43,225 23,505 20,115 50,615 384,725 OPERATING OUTFLOW Cost of Goods Produced 68,100 0 22,500 0 34,500 0 0 0 0 125,100 Ocean Shipping 0 3,600 0 3,600 0 3,600 0 0 0 10,800 Duty 0 8,172 0 2,700 0 4,140 0 0 0 15,012 Warehouse Costs 0 4500 0 4500 0 4500 0 0 0 13,500 SG&A 3,441 3,441 3,441 3,441 3,441 3,441 3,441 3,441 3,441 30,970 Advocacy 3,357 3,357 Shipping 0 2,000 3,000 5,000 7,250 6,750 3,250 3,250 9,250 39,750 Warranty 1,877 1,877 Transaction Costs 958 1,438 2,022 2,273 1,729 940 805 2,025 12,189 Interest Expense 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Corporate Taxes 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 18,260 18,260 TOTAL OPERATING OUTFLOWS 71,541 22,672 30,379 21,263 47,464 24,160 7,631 7,496 38,209 270,814 NON OPERATING OUTFLOWS Loan Repayments 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Capital Repayment 0 Dividends 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6,400 6,400 TOTAL NON-OPERATING OUTFLOWS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6,400 6,400 Net Cash Flow 8,459 1,288 5,561 29,287 9,351 19,065 15,874 12,619 6,006 120,311 Plus: Beginning Cash Balance 0 8,459 9,747 15,309 44,596 53,947 73,012 88,885 101,505 101,505 Ending Cash Balance $8,459 $9,747 $15,309 $44,596 $53,947 $73,012 $88,885 $101,505 $107,511 $107,511 Loan Balance 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Pre-Tax Net Income - monthly (71,541) 1,288 5,561 29,287 9,351 19,065 15,874 12,619 30,666 52,171 Pre-Tax Net Income – cumulative (71,541) (70,253) (64,691) (35,404) (26,053) (6,988) 8,885 21,505 52,171 22
    23. Sales Forecast, 2009. Model Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Totals Productio n SSR 300 300 CitySingle 0 Hood 300 300 Hood2 300 300 Total 300 0 300 0 300 0 0 0 0 900 Sales SSR 40 60 75 60 25 20 10 10 300 SSC 0 Hood 25 60 60 25 30 100 300 hood2 25 50 20 25 75 195 Total 0 40 60 100 145 135 65 65 185 795 $23,96 $35,94 $50,55 $56,81 $43,22 $23,50 $20,11 $50,61 Total Revenue $0 0 0 0 5 5 5 5 5 $304,725 Sales Forecast, 2010. Model Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Totals Production SSR 0 SSC 150 150 300 Hood 150 150 150 150 300 300 1,200 hood2 150 150 300 600 Total 300 0 300 300 300 300 300 300 0 0 0 0 2100 Sales SSR 0 SSM 50 75 100 50 25 300 Hood 25 50 75 100 150 150 125 150 125 75 55 120 1200 Hood2 10 15 30 50 80 100 80 100 80 25 35 100 705 Total 35 65 105 200 305 350 255 275 205 100 90 220 2205 Total Revenue $8,575 $15,675 $25,725 $67,200 $102,275 $123,150 $81,675 $78,225 $51,725 $24,250 $22,700 $56,500 $657,675 23
    24. Appendix 1 All Sizes Units Year Sold (millions 2006 18.0 2005 17.7 2004 16.7 2003 17.0 2002 17.1 2001 17.5 2000 17.4 1999 18.5 1998 18.3 1997 17.1 1996 16.4 1995 18.0 1994 19.0 1993 16.0 1992 17.3 ...1977 22.0 Appendix 2 Brands Customer Price VeloVie, Neuvation Racing $800 - $5000 Jorg & Olif City, Urban, Hip, 25 - $1000+ 40+ BikesDirect – In house Racing/Enthusiast $400 - $2000 brands Swobo (Dual Channel – Early 20's, young, hip $200 - $1000 online and thru IBD) inner city. Cycling is lifestyle out of necessity or fashion Custom Builders. 30+ have disposable $1000 - $2000 i.e. Sycip, Sweatpea, ANT income, ranges from frame only BMW owner to no car, often newcomers that want the “best” Gruppo Bici City/Town bikes $1100+ Day6, citizenbike.com, Niche markets, folding, 200+ missionbikes.com track, recumbents 24
    25. Appendix 3 Brands Features Customer Price Small Brand Urban/City Bikes Breezer Comfortable, Older 35 - 40+. Making $600 - $2000 utilitarian, mid - high a conscious choice to price point commute Spot, Civia Cycles Simple, ride-able art, Hip, 25 - 40+ $1000 - $3100 high price points Electra Hip, all ages, $400 - 1500 Flat foot design relaxed geometry, casual ride, not for speed Surly, Swobo, S.E., IRO Edgy, affordable Early 20's, young, hip $200 - $1000 lower prices inner city. Cycling is lifestyle out of necessity or fashion Large Brand Urban/City Bikes Specialized, Trek, Giant, Many choices, cover Entire cycling $300 - $1500 Schwinn, Raleigh, price range spectrum demographic Cannondale, Fuji Imported Brands Velorbis, Batavus, Atala, Authentic European 35+ have disposable $1200 - $3000 Carraro, Dutch style,very high price income, ranges from Workcycles (Oma, Opa), point BMW owner to no car, Bakfiets (cargo bikes) often newcomers that want the “best” Kind Affordable, value Wired, concerned $150 - $600 priced urban/city about sustainable bikes, selling direct issues, want a to consumer. Made functional bike for with less evil transportation Appendix 4 Brand Bike Price Simple Versatile Advocacy Sustainable Price/Value Kind SS/Fix $ 599.00      Schwinn Madison $ 629.00   Giant Bowery $ 650.00 SWOBO Sanchez $ 739.00 IRO $ 629.00 Surly Steamroller $ 665.00    Specialized Langster $ 799.00 Trek District $ 929.00 25

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