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Daily Technical Outlook

                                                                                                            15th February 2013
         Indices *             Close           % Chg.                             Weakness persists
 BSE SENSEX                    19497.18              -0.57
 S&P CNX NIFTY                  5896.95              -0.61
                                                               Mirroring the inconclusive global market cues the domestic
                                                               markets witnessed a flat opening. Selling pressure continued
 NIFTY FEB 13 FUT.              5900.20              -0.61
                                                               as markets drifted lower. Increased selling pressure was
 India VIX                        15.09              -0.33
                                                               witnessed in the afternoon trade. The markets failed to show
        S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels                         any resilience against selling pressure as buying support
                 Level 1       Level 2         Level 3         largely remained absent. The markets ended the day with
Support           5885          5816            5747
                                                               marginal gains to close near the lows for the day. The top
                                                               gainers for the day were Siemens, Bharti Airtel, BPCL,
Resistance        5966          6158            6313
                                                               Powergrid, Maruti, Wipro, Reliance, Axis Bank, Tata Motors
 Simple Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY                          and L&T.
50 Day SMA                     5961.70        ◄Negative
100 Day SMA                    5828.50
                                                               Technically, the market breadth remained negative
                                                               amidst higher volumes, which is a negative sign for the
200 Day SMA                    5505.67
                                                               markets. The prevailing negative technical conditions
   Market Breadth *             BSE             NSE            continued to weigh on market sentiment. The Nifty
Advances                             656                331
                                                               remains placed below its 50-day SMA. The negative
Declines                            1501              1175
                                                               divergence pattern formed on the Nifty still holds good
                                                               and remains a sign of worry for the markets. The RSI,
Same                                 804                 75
                                                               KST and MACD all are placed below their respective
Total                               2961              1581
                                                               averages. Moreover, the KST and MACD are placed in the
A/D Ratio                        0.44 : 1           0.28 : 1   negative territory, which warns of impending selling
             Volume (Lacs Shares)         *                    pressure. These negative technical conditions would
                                                               lead to further selling pressure. However, the prevailing
               14/02/13        13/02/13        % Chg.
                                                               positive technical conditions still hold good. The
BSE                    2266         2177               4.09
                                                               Stochastic remains placed above its average. The Nifty
NSE                    8048         7010             14.81     remains placed above its 100-day SMA and 200-day SMA.
Total                 10314         9187             12.27     The Nifty’s 50-day SMA remains placed above Nifty’s
                                                               100-day SMA and 200-day SMA, the later being called the
             Turnover ( ` Crores)         *                    ‘Golden Cross breakout’. These positive conditions
               14/02/13        13/02/13        % Chg.          would lead to intermediate bouts of short covering and
BSE                  2165.93     2041.36               6.10    selective buying support at lower levels. The -DI line is
NSE              12746.64       11054.46             15.31     placed above the 25 level and also above the +DI line,
NSE F&O         122634.88       97126.03             26.26     indicating sellers are gaining strength. The market
Total           137547.45 110221.85                  24.79     sentiment remains negative. Upsides should be used to
                                                               add to short positions until Nifty moves above the 50-day
         F&O Contracts Traded (NSE)             *              SMA. The Nifty is likely to test the 5816 support level in
               14/02/13        13/02/13        % Chg.          the near future. In the meanwhile the markets would take
Index Fut.           256287      237093                8.10    cues from the ongoing earnings season, global markets,
Stock Fut.           597514      482385              23.87     Rupee and the crude prices. The support levels for Nifty are
Index Opt.        2580065       2096761              23.05
                                                               placed at 5885, 5816 and 5747. The Nifty faces resistance at
                                                               5966, 6158, 6313 and 6358 levels.
Stock Opt.           626720      340654              83.98
Total             4060586       3156893              24.37

NOTE - * - Source – BSE & NSE

Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technical Research), Email sanjay@keynotecapitals.net                    Yahoo Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in


                                                                    Keynote Capitals Ltd.
              The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                                    www.keynotecapitals.com
Jaldi 5 (Short Term Technical Ideas for 5 Trading Days)
                                                                               Stop
                                                    Initiation       Stop      Loss
       Stock           Close         Action           Price         Loss *      (%)          Target      Target (%)     Remarks
Arvind Fut              84.70      Sell Below            84.25       85.75        1.78          81             3.86
Bharti Airtel Fut      312.90      Sell Below           312.00      317.50        1.76         300             3.85
                                                                                                                        TGT of
                                                                                                                        292
                                                                                                                        Achieved
                                                                                                                        given
                                                                                                                        Sell @
                                                                                                                        301.20
                                                                                                                        on
CESC Fut               292.50      Sell Below           291.20      296.25        1.73         280             3.85     14/02/13
                                                                                                                        TGT of
                                                                                                                        934
                                                                                                                        Achieved
                                                                                                                        given
                                                                                                                        Sell @
                                                                                                                        965 on
Fin. Tech. Fut         930.80      Sell Below           925.00      945.25        2.19         880             4.86     14/02/13
* Stop Losses are to be considered strictly on closing basis.

                                                            Intra-day Resistance                        Intra-day Support
      Indices           Close         Pivot Point          R1       R2         R3                S1            S2         S3
BSE SENSEX                 19497                19527       19610      19723       19918          19414         19332      19136
S&P CNX NIFTY               5897                 5907        5930       5963          6019            5874       5852       5796
NIFTY FEB 13 FUT.           5900                 5893        5896       5893          5893            5896       5893       5893




                                                          Keynote Capitals Ltd.
            The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                         www.keynotecapitals.com
Stocks To Watch Out Today
HDFC, HDFC Bank, HUL, Infosys Tech; M&M, NTPC, Petroner, Sun Pharma, TCS, Ultratech Cemco
AB Nuvo, Adani Enter; Adani Ports, Adani Power, Arvind, Ashok Leyland, Axis Bank, Bharti Airtel, Biocon, BPCL, Cairn India,
Century Textiles, CESC, Colgate, Crompton Greaves, Cummins, DCB, Dish TV, DLF, Dr. Reddys, Escorts, Federal Bank, FT,
Fortis Healthcare, GE Shipping, GMR Infra, Hexaware, HOECL, HPCL, ICICI Bank, IDBI, Idea, IFCI, Indian Hotels, India
Cement, India Infoline, IOC, JSW Steel, Jubilant Foods, KotakBank, LIC Hsg; L&T, Lupin, Maruti, OFSS, OBC, Pantaloon,
PFC, Powergrid, Praj, Ranbaxy, Raymond, REC, Rel .Comm; Rel. Capital, Reliance, Rel. Power, Renuka Sugar, SAIL, SBI,
SCI, Sesa Goa, Siemens, Sintex, Sterlite, Syndicate Bank, Tata Motors; Tata Global, TTK Prestige, Uniphos, Videocon,
Voltas, Welcorp, Wipro, Yes Bank, ZEEL




NOTE:

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS ABBREVATIONS
SMA – Simple Moving Average
EMA – Exponential Moving Average
WMA – Weighted Moving Average



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      This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be
      reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are
      required to observe these restrictions.
      This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based
      upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any
      jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote
      Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment
      objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients.
      We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable
      though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected
      with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their
      own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this
      material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including
      those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial
      risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s
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      match with a report on a company’s fundamentals.
      Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to
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      written consent.




                                                         Keynote Capitals Ltd.
            The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                        www.keynotecapitals.com

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Keynote technicals daily report for 150213

  • 1. Daily Technical Outlook 15th February 2013 Indices * Close % Chg. Weakness persists BSE SENSEX 19497.18 -0.57 S&P CNX NIFTY 5896.95 -0.61 Mirroring the inconclusive global market cues the domestic markets witnessed a flat opening. Selling pressure continued NIFTY FEB 13 FUT. 5900.20 -0.61 as markets drifted lower. Increased selling pressure was India VIX 15.09 -0.33 witnessed in the afternoon trade. The markets failed to show S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels any resilience against selling pressure as buying support Level 1 Level 2 Level 3 largely remained absent. The markets ended the day with Support 5885 5816 5747 marginal gains to close near the lows for the day. The top gainers for the day were Siemens, Bharti Airtel, BPCL, Resistance 5966 6158 6313 Powergrid, Maruti, Wipro, Reliance, Axis Bank, Tata Motors Simple Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY and L&T. 50 Day SMA 5961.70 ◄Negative 100 Day SMA 5828.50 Technically, the market breadth remained negative amidst higher volumes, which is a negative sign for the 200 Day SMA 5505.67 markets. The prevailing negative technical conditions Market Breadth * BSE NSE continued to weigh on market sentiment. The Nifty Advances 656 331 remains placed below its 50-day SMA. The negative Declines 1501 1175 divergence pattern formed on the Nifty still holds good and remains a sign of worry for the markets. The RSI, Same 804 75 KST and MACD all are placed below their respective Total 2961 1581 averages. Moreover, the KST and MACD are placed in the A/D Ratio 0.44 : 1 0.28 : 1 negative territory, which warns of impending selling Volume (Lacs Shares) * pressure. These negative technical conditions would lead to further selling pressure. However, the prevailing 14/02/13 13/02/13 % Chg. positive technical conditions still hold good. The BSE 2266 2177 4.09 Stochastic remains placed above its average. The Nifty NSE 8048 7010 14.81 remains placed above its 100-day SMA and 200-day SMA. Total 10314 9187 12.27 The Nifty’s 50-day SMA remains placed above Nifty’s 100-day SMA and 200-day SMA, the later being called the Turnover ( ` Crores) * ‘Golden Cross breakout’. These positive conditions 14/02/13 13/02/13 % Chg. would lead to intermediate bouts of short covering and BSE 2165.93 2041.36 6.10 selective buying support at lower levels. The -DI line is NSE 12746.64 11054.46 15.31 placed above the 25 level and also above the +DI line, NSE F&O 122634.88 97126.03 26.26 indicating sellers are gaining strength. The market Total 137547.45 110221.85 24.79 sentiment remains negative. Upsides should be used to add to short positions until Nifty moves above the 50-day F&O Contracts Traded (NSE) * SMA. The Nifty is likely to test the 5816 support level in 14/02/13 13/02/13 % Chg. the near future. In the meanwhile the markets would take Index Fut. 256287 237093 8.10 cues from the ongoing earnings season, global markets, Stock Fut. 597514 482385 23.87 Rupee and the crude prices. The support levels for Nifty are Index Opt. 2580065 2096761 23.05 placed at 5885, 5816 and 5747. The Nifty faces resistance at 5966, 6158, 6313 and 6358 levels. Stock Opt. 626720 340654 83.98 Total 4060586 3156893 24.37 NOTE - * - Source – BSE & NSE Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technical Research), Email sanjay@keynotecapitals.net Yahoo Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. Jaldi 5 (Short Term Technical Ideas for 5 Trading Days) Stop Initiation Stop Loss Stock Close Action Price Loss * (%) Target Target (%) Remarks Arvind Fut 84.70 Sell Below 84.25 85.75 1.78 81 3.86 Bharti Airtel Fut 312.90 Sell Below 312.00 317.50 1.76 300 3.85 TGT of 292 Achieved given Sell @ 301.20 on CESC Fut 292.50 Sell Below 291.20 296.25 1.73 280 3.85 14/02/13 TGT of 934 Achieved given Sell @ 965 on Fin. Tech. Fut 930.80 Sell Below 925.00 945.25 2.19 880 4.86 14/02/13 * Stop Losses are to be considered strictly on closing basis. Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Indices Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 BSE SENSEX 19497 19527 19610 19723 19918 19414 19332 19136 S&P CNX NIFTY 5897 5907 5930 5963 6019 5874 5852 5796 NIFTY FEB 13 FUT. 5900 5893 5896 5893 5893 5896 5893 5893 Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. Stocks To Watch Out Today HDFC, HDFC Bank, HUL, Infosys Tech; M&M, NTPC, Petroner, Sun Pharma, TCS, Ultratech Cemco AB Nuvo, Adani Enter; Adani Ports, Adani Power, Arvind, Ashok Leyland, Axis Bank, Bharti Airtel, Biocon, BPCL, Cairn India, Century Textiles, CESC, Colgate, Crompton Greaves, Cummins, DCB, Dish TV, DLF, Dr. Reddys, Escorts, Federal Bank, FT, Fortis Healthcare, GE Shipping, GMR Infra, Hexaware, HOECL, HPCL, ICICI Bank, IDBI, Idea, IFCI, Indian Hotels, India Cement, India Infoline, IOC, JSW Steel, Jubilant Foods, KotakBank, LIC Hsg; L&T, Lupin, Maruti, OFSS, OBC, Pantaloon, PFC, Powergrid, Praj, Ranbaxy, Raymond, REC, Rel .Comm; Rel. Capital, Reliance, Rel. Power, Renuka Sugar, SAIL, SBI, SCI, Sesa Goa, Siemens, Sintex, Sterlite, Syndicate Bank, Tata Motors; Tata Global, TTK Prestige, Uniphos, Videocon, Voltas, Welcorp, Wipro, Yes Bank, ZEEL NOTE: TECHNICAL ANALYSIS ABBREVATIONS SMA – Simple Moving Average EMA – Exponential Moving Average WMA – Weighted Moving Average Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com