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Daily Commodity Report

                                                                                                                   18th June 2012
                                                               MCX GOLD (4 AUGUST 12) - Gold opened lower at 30110. It
                    Gold         Silver         Crude
                   (4 Aug-12)   (5 Jul-12)    (19 Jul-12)      moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 30108. However, it
                                                               managed to bounce back from lower levels. It touched an intra-day
 Open                 30,110        54,560         4,702       high of 30167. It ended the day with marginal gains to close at
 High                 30,167        54,589         4,722       30154.
 Low                  30,108        54,511         4,699
                                                               The RSI is placed above its average, which would lead to buying
 Close                30,154        54,541         4,713       support at regular intervals. However, the Stochastic has slipped
                                                               below its average and is also placed in the over bought zone,
 Prev. Close          30,125        54,554         4,711
                                                               which would lead to profit taking at regular intervals. The ADX line,
 % Change              0.10%       -0.02%          0.04%       +DI line and -DI line are moving sideways, indicating a range
Source – MCX                                                   bound trend. MCX GOLD faces resistance at 30156, 30295 and
                                                               30500 while the supports are placed at 29668, 28859, 28765 and
                    Volume (In 000's)
                                                               27962 levels.

                   16/06/2012   15/06/2012       % Chg.        MCX SILVER (5 JULY 12) - Silver opened higher at 54560. It
                                                               moved higher to touch an intra-day high of 54589. However, it
 Gold (gms)           1,561.0     32,613.0       -95.21%
                                                               failed to sustain higher and moved lower. It touched an intra-day
 Silver (kgs)            33.5      1,294.1       -97.41%       low of 54511. It ended the day with marginal losses to close at
                                                               54541.
 Crude (bbl)            149.1      2,483.4       -94.00%
Source – MCX                                                   The RSI and the Stochastic are placed below their respective
                                                               averages, which would lead to selling pressure. The ADX line, +DI
                   Turnover (In Lacs)                          line and the –DI line are moving sideways, indicating a range
                                                               bound trend. MCX Silver faces resistance at 55551, 56157, 57737,
                   16/06/2012   15/06/2012       % Chg.
                                                               61708 and 65159 while the supports are placed at 53818, 51029,
Gold                 47,045.0    983,143.3       -95.21%       and 50252 levels.
Silver               18,275.2    706,857.4       -97.41%       MCX CRUDE (19 July 12) - Crude opened lower at 4702 level. It
Crude                 7,028.9    117,427.5       -94.01%       moved higher to touch an intra-day high of 4722. However, it failed
                                                               to sustain higher and moved lower. It touched an intra-day low of
Source – MCX                                                   4699. It ended the day flat to close at 4713
                Global Market (Nymex - $)                      The Stochastic has moved above its average. Moreover, the RSI is
                   18/06/2012   16/06/2012       % Chg.        placed above its average and is still placed around the over sold
                                                               zone. These conditions would lead to short covering and buying
Gold (oz)            1,623.50     1,627.20        -0.23%
                                                               support at lower levels. The ADX line and –DI line are placed
Silver (oz)             28.44        28.73        -1.04%       above the 37 level but both have started coming down indicating
Crude (bbl)             84.97        84.03         1.12%       shorts are getting covered at regular intervals. It faces resistance at
                                                               4720, 4855, 4905 and 5000 while the supports are placed at 4624,
Dollar Index            81.38        81.63        -0.30%
                                                               4421, 4259 and 3723.
Source – www.cmegroup.com

                                                                    Intra-day Resistance                   Intra-day Support
Commodities                     Close        Pivot Point
                                                                    R1          R2           R3          S1          S2          S3

CRUDE JUL 12                     4713              4711           4724        4734          4757      4701         4688         4665

GOLD AUG 12                     30154             30143          30178       30202         30261     30119       30084         30025

SILVER JUL 12                   54541             54547          54583       54625         54703     54505       54469         54391


                                                            Keynote Capitals Ltd.
              The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088.
                                                    www.keynotecapitals.com
US Economic Calendar:

      Monday                   Tuesday               Wednesday                 Thursday                 Monday
      Jun 18                    Jun 19                Jun 20                    Jun 21                  Jun 25
Housing Market Index    Housing Starts           FOMC Meeting            Jobless Claims           New Home Sales
                                                 Announcement
4-Week Bill             FOMC Meeting             FOMC Forecasts          Existing Home Sales      Chicago Fed National
Announcement            Begins                                                                    Activity Index
3-Month Bill Auction    ICSC-Goldman Store       EIA Petroleum Status    EIA Natural Gas          4-Week Bill
                        Sales                    Report                  Report                   Announcement




                                                 Keynote Capitals Ltd.
          The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088.
                                                www.keynotecapitals.com
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take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients.
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use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price
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                                                           Keynote Capitals Ltd.
           The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088.
                                                 www.keynotecapitals.com

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Keynote commodity daily report 180612

  • 1. Daily Commodity Report 18th June 2012 MCX GOLD (4 AUGUST 12) - Gold opened lower at 30110. It Gold Silver Crude (4 Aug-12) (5 Jul-12) (19 Jul-12) moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 30108. However, it managed to bounce back from lower levels. It touched an intra-day Open 30,110 54,560 4,702 high of 30167. It ended the day with marginal gains to close at High 30,167 54,589 4,722 30154. Low 30,108 54,511 4,699 The RSI is placed above its average, which would lead to buying Close 30,154 54,541 4,713 support at regular intervals. However, the Stochastic has slipped below its average and is also placed in the over bought zone, Prev. Close 30,125 54,554 4,711 which would lead to profit taking at regular intervals. The ADX line, % Change 0.10% -0.02% 0.04% +DI line and -DI line are moving sideways, indicating a range Source – MCX bound trend. MCX GOLD faces resistance at 30156, 30295 and 30500 while the supports are placed at 29668, 28859, 28765 and Volume (In 000's) 27962 levels. 16/06/2012 15/06/2012 % Chg. MCX SILVER (5 JULY 12) - Silver opened higher at 54560. It moved higher to touch an intra-day high of 54589. However, it Gold (gms) 1,561.0 32,613.0 -95.21% failed to sustain higher and moved lower. It touched an intra-day Silver (kgs) 33.5 1,294.1 -97.41% low of 54511. It ended the day with marginal losses to close at 54541. Crude (bbl) 149.1 2,483.4 -94.00% Source – MCX The RSI and the Stochastic are placed below their respective averages, which would lead to selling pressure. The ADX line, +DI Turnover (In Lacs) line and the –DI line are moving sideways, indicating a range bound trend. MCX Silver faces resistance at 55551, 56157, 57737, 16/06/2012 15/06/2012 % Chg. 61708 and 65159 while the supports are placed at 53818, 51029, Gold 47,045.0 983,143.3 -95.21% and 50252 levels. Silver 18,275.2 706,857.4 -97.41% MCX CRUDE (19 July 12) - Crude opened lower at 4702 level. It Crude 7,028.9 117,427.5 -94.01% moved higher to touch an intra-day high of 4722. However, it failed to sustain higher and moved lower. It touched an intra-day low of Source – MCX 4699. It ended the day flat to close at 4713 Global Market (Nymex - $) The Stochastic has moved above its average. Moreover, the RSI is 18/06/2012 16/06/2012 % Chg. placed above its average and is still placed around the over sold zone. These conditions would lead to short covering and buying Gold (oz) 1,623.50 1,627.20 -0.23% support at lower levels. The ADX line and –DI line are placed Silver (oz) 28.44 28.73 -1.04% above the 37 level but both have started coming down indicating Crude (bbl) 84.97 84.03 1.12% shorts are getting covered at regular intervals. It faces resistance at 4720, 4855, 4905 and 5000 while the supports are placed at 4624, Dollar Index 81.38 81.63 -0.30% 4421, 4259 and 3723. Source – www.cmegroup.com Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Commodities Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 CRUDE JUL 12 4713 4711 4724 4734 4757 4701 4688 4665 GOLD AUG 12 30154 30143 30178 30202 30261 30119 30084 30025 SILVER JUL 12 54541 54547 54583 54625 54703 54505 54469 54391 Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088. www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. US Economic Calendar: Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Monday Jun 18 Jun 19 Jun 20 Jun 21 Jun 25 Housing Market Index Housing Starts FOMC Meeting Jobless Claims New Home Sales Announcement 4-Week Bill FOMC Meeting FOMC Forecasts Existing Home Sales Chicago Fed National Announcement Begins Activity Index 3-Month Bill Auction ICSC-Goldman Store EIA Petroleum Status EIA Natural Gas 4-Week Bill Sales Report Report Announcement Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088. www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088. www.keynotecapitals.com