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Office of Research and Development
National Center for Computational Toxicology
PPDC 21st Century Workshop
2013
Kevin M. Crofton
National Center for Computational Toxicology
Adverse Outcome Pathways
and Their Unifying Role in
Developmental Toxicology
Source to Outcome
Pathways
Source
Environmental
Contaminant
Exposure
Molecular Initiating
Event
Cellular Effects
Individual
Population
Community
Source to Outcome
EPA Office of Pesticide Programsโ€™ Stakeholder workshop
http://www2.epa.gov/sites/production/files/2014-06/documents/session1-outcome.pdf
Office of Research and Development
National Center for Computational Toxicology 1
Outline
๏ƒ˜ Introduction to โ€œpathwaysโ€
โ€ข Source-to-Outcome Pathway, 21st Century Toxicity Pathway, Mode
of action, Adverse Outcome Pathways
โ€ข Example โ€“ Perchlorate
๏ƒ˜ Thyroid Biology 101
๏ƒ˜ Using AOP to Focus Research on Critical Data Gaps in
Thyroid Disruption Induced Adverse Outcomes
โ€ข Life-Stage Specificity and Species extrapolation
โ€ข Provides structure for qualitative & quantitative predictive models
โ€ข Helps indentify data gaps in hazard assessments that, if filled, with
reduce uncertainties in decisions
๏ƒ˜ Take home message
๏ƒ˜ AOPs can reduced uncertainty = better predictions of human toxicity
Office of Research and Development
National Center for Computational Toxicology
Exposure
SOP, AOP, MOA, ToxPathway
โ€ข Definition: The continuum or cascade of measurable events starting from
release into the environment and ending at an adverse outcome (USEPA 2003).
โ€ข Example: Perchlorate
2
Rocket
Propellant
& Fertilizer
Production
& Release
Target Dose
Molecular
Initiating
Event
Cellular
Response
Organ
Response
Individual
Response
Population Community
Exposure
Food &
Water
Thyroid
Gland
IQ Loss
in
Child
Inhibition
of NIS
Decreased
TH Synthesis
Altered
Development
of Nervous
System
Decreased
Productivity,
Increased Health
Care Costs,
Family and Social
Issues
Shift in
Population
IQ
Uses:
โ€ข Qualitatively links actual use of chemicals
to adverse outcomes
โ€ข Can be used to link exposure, toxicokinetic
and toxicodynamic models to qualitatively
predict outcomes
โ€ข Basis for causative & quantitative models
Toxicity PathwayMode-of-ActionAdverse Outcome Pathway
Office of Research and Development
National Center for Computational Toxicology
Toxicity Pathway
โ€ข Definition: Cellular response pathways that, when sufficiently perturbed,
are expected to result in adverse health effects are termed toxicity pathways
(NRC 2007).
โ€ข Example โ€“ Normal: Kainate receptors activated by glutamate open ion channels in
neurons and regulate ion flux important for neuronal firing.
3
Biologic
Inputs
Normal
Biologic
Function
Morbidity
and
Mortality
Cell
Injury
Adaptive Stress
Responses
Early Cellular
Changes
Exposure
Tissue Dose
Biologic Interaction
Perturbation
NRC, 2007
Office of Research and Development
National Center for Computational Toxicology
Toxicity Pathway
โ€ข Example - Abnormal: Domoic acid causes glutamate-induced hyperstimulation of
neurons, neurons accumulate excess Ca+, and at high enough levels this leads to
cell death.
4
Use: Computational modeling will allow quantification of the significance of the
perturbation. i.e., how hard does the system need to be hit to overcome compensation
and result in cell injury.
Watanabe et al 2011
Office of Research and Development
National Center for Computational Toxicology
Adverse Outcome Pathway
โ€ข Definition: An adverse outcome pathway (AOP) represents existing
knowledge concerning the linkage between a molecular initiating event
and an adverse outcome at the individual or population levels (Ankley et
al. 2009).
โ€ข Examples: Chemical antagonism of the interaction of estrogen with the
estrogen receptor, depress hepatic production of VTG, thereby
decreasing plasma concentrations of the protein, its deposition to
developing oocytes in the ovary, and ultimately decreased egg
production and repercussions relative to population-level effects
โ€ข Use:
โ€“ Species concordance (OECD MOA Framework)
โ€“ Identified key events can be qualitatively and quantitatively linked to
an adverse outcome and these events can be used in developing
chemical categories.
Note: AOPs are not singular โ€“ complex interactions can occur
5
Office of Research and Development
National Center for Computational Toxicology
Mode of Action
โ€ข A mode-of action describes the key, rate limiting, and
quantifiable events that lead to adverse outcomes
(IPCS MOA Framework, see Sonich-Mullen et al.,
2001)
โ€“Determine whether animal MOA is plausible and relevant to
humans
โ€“Key events must be measureable and causal
โ€“Provide guidance on establishing causal relationships between
key events (modified Bradford Hill criteria)
โ€“Must predict adverse outcome from initiating key event (at least
qualitatively)
โ€“Can be species specific
6
Office of Research and Development
National Center for Computational Toxicology
Mode of Action
โ€ข A mode-of action describes the key, rate limiting, and
quantifiable events that lead to adverse outcomes
(IPCS MOA Framework, see Sonich-Mullen et al.,
2001)
โ€“Determine whether animal MOA is plausible and relevant to
humans
โ€“Key events must be measureable and causal
โ€“Provide guidance on establishing causal relationships between
key events (modified Bradford Hill criteria)
โ€“Must predict adverse outcome from initiating key event (at least
qualitatively)
โ€“Can be species specific
7
MOA is a regulatory assessment framework
based on the concept of pathways
AOP is a conceptual and practical tool to
capture descriptions of toxicological
processes.
Office of Research and Development
National Center for Computational Toxicology
8
Catabolic Enzymes
Hypothalamus
Pit
TRH
Thyroid
TSH
Blood
T3/T4
Target Tissues
Liver
Elimination from
the body
TH binding
proteins
5โ€™-deiodinases
T4 T3
Acts as a
ligand for
nuclear
thyroid
hormone
receptors
(TRs)
Thyroid Biology 101
Synthesis, Regulation, Action and Catabolism
Office of Research and Development
National Center for Computational Toxicology
Thyroperoxidase
NIS
Hepatic Nuclear
Xenoreceptors
Deiodinases
Thyroid Receptors
Free
T3 & T4
๏จ TSH
Tissue
THChanges
Thyroid
Hyperplasia
Thyroid
Tumors
Neurological
Development
Adverse
Outcomes
T4 & T3
Synthesis
Phase 2
Catabolism
Cellular
Transporters
Cellular
T4 ๏กT3
Conversion
Biliary
Elimination
Amphibian
Metamorphosis
4
9
35
6
7
8
Transport
Proteins
10
Thyroid Gland
Pituitary
TSH R
TRH R
Hypothalamus
TR
Blood
CellularTR
Signaling
Altered
Development
3
2
1
Hypothalamic Pituitary
Feedback
Bound-TH
1
2
Office of Research and Development
National Center for Computational Toxicology
TDCs - Two Major Adverse Outcomes of
Regulatory Concern
โ€ข Pathway #1
โ€“ Upregulation of the HPT feedback system
โ€“ Yields thyroid hypertrophy, hyperplasia and thyroid follicular tumors in rats
โ€“ This AOP is not relevant to humans due to substantial species differences in
key events (Hill et al., Env Hlth Perspect 1998)
โ€ข Pathway #2
โ€“ Decreased serum TH, decreased tissue TH, decreased tissue mRNA and
protein synthesis, during development leads to:
โ€ข Amphibians โ€“ altered metamorphosis
โ€ข Humans - decreased IQ (MOA relevant to humans)
โ€“ This AOP has be shown to be relevant to rodents and humans (Crofton &
Zoeller, Crit Rev. Toxicol. 2005)
10
Weโ€™re worried about IQ in kids, not thyroid tumors
Itโ€™s serum TH not TSH that matters!
Office of Research and Development
National Center for Computational Toxicology
AOPs for Thyroid Disruption
Multiple MIEs and Species Specific Outcomes
NIS
Thyroperoxidase
Hepatic Nuclear
Xenoreceptors
Deiodinases
Thyroid Receptors
โ†“T4โ€“SerumTransport
Protein Binding
๏ฉSerum
T3
&
T4
๏จ TSH
Tissue
THChanges
Altered
Development
Thyroid
Hyperplasia
Thyroid
Tumors
IQ
Loss
Adverse
Outcomes
MIEs
๏ƒˆ T4 & T3
Synthesis
๏ƒ› Phase 2
Catabolism
๏ƒ› Cellular
Transporters
๏ฉ Tissue
T4 ๏กT3
Conversion
๏ƒ› Biliary
Elimination
1
2
X X X
Office of Research and Development
National Center for Computational Toxicology
AOPs โ€“ What are they good for?
1. Improved predictions of toxicity via decreased uncertainty
โ€“ Increases level of confidence in the relationship between measured
data and adverse outcomes that is critical for risk assessments
2. Can be Life-Stage specific
3. Enhance species to species extrapolation
4. Identification of Data Gaps
โ€“ Construction of an AOP should identify data gaps i.e., critical needs
to build a useful model
5. Provide molecular targets for development of in vitro screening
assays
6. Holy Grail is development of predictive computational models
โ€“ If the MIE predicts the Adverse Outcome โ€“ then you donโ€™t need to measure
the outcome
12
Office of Research and Development
National Center for Computational Toxicology
Example:
Linking Liver to thyroid hormones
to developmental neurotoxicity
Life Stage Specificity
13
Office of Research and Development
National Center for Computational Toxicology
14
Description of Postulated AOP
โ€ข MIE
โ€“ Activation of hepatic nuclear receptors (i.e., CAR/PXR)
โ€ข Key Events
โ€“ Upregulation Phase II and III metabolism
โ€“ Increased hepatic clearance of TH
โ€“ Decreased Serum T3, T4
โ€“ Decreased Tissue TH concentrations during critical developmental
periods
โ€“ Altered expression of TH-responsive genes in developing brain
โ€ข Adverse Outcome
โ€“ Altered neurological development โ€“ case study = hearing loss
Note: TSH not involved
Office of Research and Development
National Center for Computational Toxicology
Thyroperoxidase
NIS
Hepatic Nuclear
Xenoreceptors
Deiodinases
Thyroid Receptors
Free
T3 & T4
๏จ TSH
Tissue
THChanges
Thyroid
Hyperplasia
Thyroid
Tumors
Life Stage Specific
Hearing Loss
Adverse
Outcomes
T4 & T3
Synthesis
Phase 2
Catabolism
Cellular
Transporters
Cellular
T4 ๏กT3
Conversion
Biliary
Elimination
54
2
Transport
Proteins
?
Thyroid Gland
Pituitary
TSH R
TRH R
Hypothalamus
TR
Blood
CellularTR
Signaling
Altered
Development
Altered
Metabolism
Hypothalamic Pituitary
Feedback
Bound-TH
1 3
6
7
Office of Research and Development
National Center for Computational Toxicology
16
Experimental Support for Linking MIE, Key Events, and
Adverse Outcome
Table 1: Key Events in the Animal AOP โ€“ PHAH Example
Key Event Experimental Evidence References
1. Activationof Hepatic Ah,
CAR and PXR pathways
YES: A lot of data demonstrating (In vivo and in vitro)
evidence for activationby PHAHs
Knockout models prevent subsequent key event
(Safe, 1994; Schuetz et al., 1998;
Honkakoski et al., 2003)
2. Induction of Phase II
Catabolism
YES: Hepatic NR agonists induce hepatic UGTs (Ahotupa et al., 1978; Ganem etal., 1999;
Oppenheimer et al., 1968; McClainet
al.,1989; Hood and Klaassen, 2000)
3. BiliaryElimination YES: Many PHAHs increase biliary eliminationof conjugated
T4.
(Batomsky, 1974; Beestra et al., 1991;
Vansell and Klaassen, 2001; 2002)
4. Developmental
Hypothyroxinemia
YES:In vivo decreases in thyroxine during early critical
postnatal period; thyroxine replacement ameliorates functional
loss โ€“ many chemicals and many MIEs do this
T4 Therapy reverses this effect
(Morse et al., 1993; Morse et al., 1996;
Goldey et al., 1995a; Goldey& Crofton,
1998;Crofton et al., 2000a.)
5. Decreased Target Tissue TH
Concentrations
No Data: No data available for effects of PHAHss on cochlear
T3. Limited data suggest induction of Type II deiodinases
prevents decreases in fetal cortical T3 levels PCB exposure.
(lots of evidencefromother THD Chemicals)
(Morse et al., 1996)
6. Decreases in TR Regulated
Cochlear Proteins
No Data: No evidence in cochlea. Data gap for PHAHs
7. Structural Damage in the
Cochlea
YES: In vivo evidence of missing hair cells in apical turns of
cochlea
(also evidence fromother TH Chemicals)
(Crofton et al., 2000b)
8. Loss of cochlear function YES: Loss of low-frequency hearing using behavioral
audiometry, brain stem auditory evoked potentials and
otoacoustic emissions.
(lots of evidencefromother THD Chemicals)
(Goldey et al., 1995; Crofton et al., 2000b;
Herr et al., 1996; Laskey et al., 2002)
Office of Research and Development
National Center for Computational Toxicology
Example of Temporal relationship (lifestage)
Critical-Period Model for Highly Lipophilic Chemicals
Exposure and Key Event Align Temporally with Critical Window
โ€ข Exposure occurs mainly postnatally due to lactational transfer
โ€ข Impact on thyroid hormones in mostly postnatal
โ€ข Therefore, impact on developing cochlea occurs during low-frequency
development
BirthConception Weaning
ThyroidHormone
Fetal/PostnatalExposure
CochlearDevelopment
High - Frequency - Low
Low-frequency
Hearing loss
Office of Research and Development
National Center for Computational Toxicology 18
Example of Correlative relationship between Key Events
Serum Thyroxine on PND14 Predicts Low-Frequency Hearing Loss in Adults
Data from multiple
developmental
studies over a ten
year with various
Chemicals
- Propylthiouracil
- PCBs
- Dioxins
- Brominated flame
retardants
Office of Research and Development
National Center for Computational Toxicology
Identification of Data Gaps
&
Cross Species Extrapolation
โ€ข Construction of an AOP should identify data gaps i.e.,
critical needs to build a useful model
โ€ข Identification of missing empirical data for some key events
โ€ข Lack of identification of MIEs โ€“ some AOPs start with key events
โ€ข Filling gaps should reduce uncertainties in decisions
โ€ข Enhance species to species extrapolation
โ€ข Compare chemical effects on species specific MIEs or key events
Triclosan as an example
19
Office of Research and Development
National Center for Computational Toxicology
Molecular Initiating Event - Cross Species
Triclosan
โ€ข Regulatory Driver: In vivo rodent studies demonstrate that triclosan decreases thyroid
hormones and increases hepatic enzyme important for T4 regulation in rats
โ€“ Uncertainty: Does it do so in humans? No data = assumption yes
โ€ข AOP is well accepted for many drugs and environmental chemicals
โ€“ Evidence that MIE in humans is activation of PXR ( Jacobs et al., 2005)
โ€ข Hypothesis: MIE is activation of hepatic PXR
20
Activate Hepatic
PXR
๏ƒ› Hepatic
Phase II/III
๏ƒ› T4
Clearance
Decreased
Serum T4
Adverse
Neurodevelopment
Outcomes (IQ)
MIE
Cellular
Response
Organ
Response
Individual
Response
Tissue
Response
Activate Hepatic
PXR
๏ƒ› Hepatic
Phase I, II, III
๏ƒ› T4
Clearance
Decreased
Serum T4
Adverse
Neurodevelopment
Outcomes (IQ)
Rat
Human
๏ƒผ ๏ƒผ* *?
๏ƒผ
?
*
Empirical evidence
Inferred from other chemicals or stressors
Data gap
? *
Office of Research and Development
National Center for Computational Toxicology
Molecular Initiating Event - Cross Species
Triclosan
โ€ข Hypothesis: MIE is activation of hepatic PXR
21
Activate Hepatic
PXR
๏ƒ› Hepatic
Phase I, II, III
๏ƒ› T4
Clearance
Decreased
Serum T4
Adverse
Neurodevelopment
Outcomes (IQ)
MIE
Cellular
Response
Organ
Response
Individual
Response
Tissue
Response
In vitro: TCS activates human PXR but not rat PXR
Treatment concentration (ยตM)
0.1 1 10 100
%MaximalDEXInductionยฑSE
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
Dexamethasone (DEX)
Triclosan (TCS)
Treatment concentration (ยตM)
0.01 0.1 1 10 100
%MaximalRIFInductionยฑSE
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
Rifampicin (RIF)
Triclosan (TCS)
hPXR rPXR
Paul et al., submitted
Office of Research and Development
National Center for Computational Toxicology
Triclosan Species Extrapolation - Remaining
Uncertainty
22
โ€ข Differential effects of triclosan on hepatic MIEs
โ€ข Human โ€“ both hCAR and HPXR activated in vitro
โ€ข Rat โ€“ only rCAR activated in vitro
โ€ข Are humans more sensitive? Unknownโ€ฆ. Use in vitro cell cultures to
check
rCAR โ†“serum
T4
โ†‘ biliary
elimination of
THs
Weak hCAR1&3
+ hPXR
โ†“serum
T4
โ†‘ hepatic
Phase I & II
mRNA &
protein
โ†‘ biliary
elimination of
THs
Rat
Human โˆš ?
โˆš โˆšโ†‘ hepatic
Phase I & II
mRNA &
protein
โˆš
?
Paul et al., 2013
Office of Research and Development
National Center for Computational Toxicology
AOP and High-Throughput Screening
Whatโ€™s the Promise?
Premise: The AOP is well developed and based on empirically
established links between the MIE and the Adverse Health and
Community Outcomes
Promise: Upstream MIEs and Key Events can be used in lieu of costly in
vivo testing
โ€ข Health predictions can be done based on upstream events
โ€“ e.g., serum T4 during fetal development is a predictor of IQ in
children, and TPO inhibition is correlated with serum hormones
โ€“ Already being done in regulatory arena
โ€ข Can be used to prioritize follow up testing needs
โ€“ Data from high-throughput methods can represent a true โ€˜first-tierโ€™
screen for the thousands of chemicals currently lacking data
23
Office of Research and Development
National Center for Computational Toxicology
Thyroperoxidase
NIS
Hepatic Nuclear
Xenoreceptors
Deiodinases
Thyroid Receptors
Free
T3 & T4
๏จ TSH
Tissue
THChanges
Thyroid
Hyperplasia
Thyroid
Tumors
Adverse
Outcomes
T4 & T3
Synthesis
Phase 2
Catabolism
Cellular
Transporters
Cellular
T4 ๏กT3
Conversion
Biliary
Elimination
4
9
35
6
7
8
Transport
Proteins
10
Thyroid Gland
Pituitary
TSH R
TRH R
Hypothalamus
TR
Blood
CellularTR
Signaling
Altered
Development
Altered
Metabolism
3
2
1
Hypothalamic Pituitary
Feedback
Bound-TH
MIEs as Molecular Screening Targets
Developmental
Neurotoxicty
Office of Research and Development
National Center for Computational Toxicology 25
Screening Technology
Target Existing Adaptable R & D Comments
TSH Receptor Signaling
X
TRH Receptor Signally X
NIS Mediated Iodine uptake
X
No commercial source
TPO inhibition
X
ORD method under development
Secretion from Thyroid Gland
X
Transport proteins
X
Two methods, no commercial source
Deiodination
X
Sulfation and Glucuronidation
X
Low-med throughput
Nuclear Receptors
X
Already done for >1000 chemicals
TH Membrane Transporters
X
TR binding and transcription
X
Already done for >>8500 chemicals
Screening for THDs โ€“ State of the Science*
*adapted from Murk et al., 2013
Office of Research and Development
National Center for Computational Toxicology
Percentinhibition
โ€ข 21-chemical training
set
โ€ข Automated 384-wp
testing format
โ€ข Automated data
work flow for
analyses (R.version
2.15.1)
Paul et al., 2013
Office of Research and Development
National Center for Computational Toxicology
Challenges for Development and Use
of AOPs
โ€ข Thyroid system disruptions are not the adverse outcome pathways
โ€ข For Example: What are all the MIEs and Pathways for environmental
contaminants that cause developmental neurotoxicity?
โ€“ Linking MIEs to adverse outcomes can be very difficult for some DNT outcomes
โ€ข e.g., sodium channel disruption induced behavioral effects (pyrethroids)
โ€“ Lack of known pathobiology of outcomes can makes this very difficult
โ€ข where is the nucleus in the brain that is responsible for autismm or IQ loss, or
ADHD (what are the MIEs that lead to IQ loss?)
โ€ข Development of quantitative predictive models can require a LOT of data
โ€“ How much of a change in the MIE is needed to overcome compensatory
processes? (%change in serum T4 and changes in brain tissue T3?
โ€ข How can we make use of โ€˜partialโ€™ AOPs to reduce uncertainty in risk decisions?
โ€ข AOPs are not singular linear pathways, they are complex sets of interacting
processes โ€“ it only gets more complicated โ€“ need to be prudent in deciding how much
of a pathway is needed for a purpose
27
Office of Research and Development
National Center for Computational Toxicology
AOP
Continuum
Domains of
Application Examples
โ€ข Simple correlative
โ€ข Links between
inherent chemical
properties and
outcomes
โ€ข Qualitative
โ€ข Known links between
key events and
outcomes
โ€ข No complete set of key
events โ€“ contains
correlative โ€œleapsโ€
โ€ข Causative
โ€ข Quantitative
โ€ข Predictive
quantitative models
ReadAcross
Prioritizationand/or
TargetedTesting
LogP and fish
mortality
Neuronal-glia
differentiation and
developmental
neurotoxicity
QuantitativeRisk
Assessments
Quantitative
models from MIE
to health and
community impacts
Qualitative
Thyroid/DNT AOP
ToolboxCategories
ModelDataNeeds
ModelUncertainty
JRC/EPA AOP Workgroup Meeting RTP 03/01/12
Office of Research and Development
National Center for Computational Toxicology
Announcement โ€“ AOPWiki
An AOPWiki is being developed and a beta version is being
tested โ€“ public release later this year
โ€ข Developed as a joint project between:
โ€“ OECD, EU Joint Research Center, Italy, US EPA, US Army Engineering
Research and Development Center, Vicksburg MS
โ€ข Provides a โ€˜user-friendlyโ€™ interface for โ€˜crowd sourcing the
development of AOPs
Link - www.aopwiki.org
Contacts: Edwards.Stephen@epa.gov
Clemens.Wittwehr@ec.europa.eu
29
Office of Research and Development
National Center for Computational Toxicology
Thanks for Listening
30

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Crofton PPDC Workshop AOP Framework 2013

  • 1. Office of Research and Development National Center for Computational Toxicology PPDC 21st Century Workshop 2013 Kevin M. Crofton National Center for Computational Toxicology Adverse Outcome Pathways and Their Unifying Role in Developmental Toxicology Source to Outcome Pathways Source Environmental Contaminant Exposure Molecular Initiating Event Cellular Effects Individual Population Community Source to Outcome EPA Office of Pesticide Programsโ€™ Stakeholder workshop http://www2.epa.gov/sites/production/files/2014-06/documents/session1-outcome.pdf
  • 2. Office of Research and Development National Center for Computational Toxicology 1 Outline ๏ƒ˜ Introduction to โ€œpathwaysโ€ โ€ข Source-to-Outcome Pathway, 21st Century Toxicity Pathway, Mode of action, Adverse Outcome Pathways โ€ข Example โ€“ Perchlorate ๏ƒ˜ Thyroid Biology 101 ๏ƒ˜ Using AOP to Focus Research on Critical Data Gaps in Thyroid Disruption Induced Adverse Outcomes โ€ข Life-Stage Specificity and Species extrapolation โ€ข Provides structure for qualitative & quantitative predictive models โ€ข Helps indentify data gaps in hazard assessments that, if filled, with reduce uncertainties in decisions ๏ƒ˜ Take home message ๏ƒ˜ AOPs can reduced uncertainty = better predictions of human toxicity
  • 3. Office of Research and Development National Center for Computational Toxicology Exposure SOP, AOP, MOA, ToxPathway โ€ข Definition: The continuum or cascade of measurable events starting from release into the environment and ending at an adverse outcome (USEPA 2003). โ€ข Example: Perchlorate 2 Rocket Propellant & Fertilizer Production & Release Target Dose Molecular Initiating Event Cellular Response Organ Response Individual Response Population Community Exposure Food & Water Thyroid Gland IQ Loss in Child Inhibition of NIS Decreased TH Synthesis Altered Development of Nervous System Decreased Productivity, Increased Health Care Costs, Family and Social Issues Shift in Population IQ Uses: โ€ข Qualitatively links actual use of chemicals to adverse outcomes โ€ข Can be used to link exposure, toxicokinetic and toxicodynamic models to qualitatively predict outcomes โ€ข Basis for causative & quantitative models Toxicity PathwayMode-of-ActionAdverse Outcome Pathway
  • 4. Office of Research and Development National Center for Computational Toxicology Toxicity Pathway โ€ข Definition: Cellular response pathways that, when sufficiently perturbed, are expected to result in adverse health effects are termed toxicity pathways (NRC 2007). โ€ข Example โ€“ Normal: Kainate receptors activated by glutamate open ion channels in neurons and regulate ion flux important for neuronal firing. 3 Biologic Inputs Normal Biologic Function Morbidity and Mortality Cell Injury Adaptive Stress Responses Early Cellular Changes Exposure Tissue Dose Biologic Interaction Perturbation NRC, 2007
  • 5. Office of Research and Development National Center for Computational Toxicology Toxicity Pathway โ€ข Example - Abnormal: Domoic acid causes glutamate-induced hyperstimulation of neurons, neurons accumulate excess Ca+, and at high enough levels this leads to cell death. 4 Use: Computational modeling will allow quantification of the significance of the perturbation. i.e., how hard does the system need to be hit to overcome compensation and result in cell injury. Watanabe et al 2011
  • 6. Office of Research and Development National Center for Computational Toxicology Adverse Outcome Pathway โ€ข Definition: An adverse outcome pathway (AOP) represents existing knowledge concerning the linkage between a molecular initiating event and an adverse outcome at the individual or population levels (Ankley et al. 2009). โ€ข Examples: Chemical antagonism of the interaction of estrogen with the estrogen receptor, depress hepatic production of VTG, thereby decreasing plasma concentrations of the protein, its deposition to developing oocytes in the ovary, and ultimately decreased egg production and repercussions relative to population-level effects โ€ข Use: โ€“ Species concordance (OECD MOA Framework) โ€“ Identified key events can be qualitatively and quantitatively linked to an adverse outcome and these events can be used in developing chemical categories. Note: AOPs are not singular โ€“ complex interactions can occur 5
  • 7. Office of Research and Development National Center for Computational Toxicology Mode of Action โ€ข A mode-of action describes the key, rate limiting, and quantifiable events that lead to adverse outcomes (IPCS MOA Framework, see Sonich-Mullen et al., 2001) โ€“Determine whether animal MOA is plausible and relevant to humans โ€“Key events must be measureable and causal โ€“Provide guidance on establishing causal relationships between key events (modified Bradford Hill criteria) โ€“Must predict adverse outcome from initiating key event (at least qualitatively) โ€“Can be species specific 6
  • 8. Office of Research and Development National Center for Computational Toxicology Mode of Action โ€ข A mode-of action describes the key, rate limiting, and quantifiable events that lead to adverse outcomes (IPCS MOA Framework, see Sonich-Mullen et al., 2001) โ€“Determine whether animal MOA is plausible and relevant to humans โ€“Key events must be measureable and causal โ€“Provide guidance on establishing causal relationships between key events (modified Bradford Hill criteria) โ€“Must predict adverse outcome from initiating key event (at least qualitatively) โ€“Can be species specific 7 MOA is a regulatory assessment framework based on the concept of pathways AOP is a conceptual and practical tool to capture descriptions of toxicological processes.
  • 9. Office of Research and Development National Center for Computational Toxicology 8 Catabolic Enzymes Hypothalamus Pit TRH Thyroid TSH Blood T3/T4 Target Tissues Liver Elimination from the body TH binding proteins 5โ€™-deiodinases T4 T3 Acts as a ligand for nuclear thyroid hormone receptors (TRs) Thyroid Biology 101 Synthesis, Regulation, Action and Catabolism
  • 10. Office of Research and Development National Center for Computational Toxicology Thyroperoxidase NIS Hepatic Nuclear Xenoreceptors Deiodinases Thyroid Receptors Free T3 & T4 ๏จ TSH Tissue THChanges Thyroid Hyperplasia Thyroid Tumors Neurological Development Adverse Outcomes T4 & T3 Synthesis Phase 2 Catabolism Cellular Transporters Cellular T4 ๏กT3 Conversion Biliary Elimination Amphibian Metamorphosis 4 9 35 6 7 8 Transport Proteins 10 Thyroid Gland Pituitary TSH R TRH R Hypothalamus TR Blood CellularTR Signaling Altered Development 3 2 1 Hypothalamic Pituitary Feedback Bound-TH 1 2
  • 11. Office of Research and Development National Center for Computational Toxicology TDCs - Two Major Adverse Outcomes of Regulatory Concern โ€ข Pathway #1 โ€“ Upregulation of the HPT feedback system โ€“ Yields thyroid hypertrophy, hyperplasia and thyroid follicular tumors in rats โ€“ This AOP is not relevant to humans due to substantial species differences in key events (Hill et al., Env Hlth Perspect 1998) โ€ข Pathway #2 โ€“ Decreased serum TH, decreased tissue TH, decreased tissue mRNA and protein synthesis, during development leads to: โ€ข Amphibians โ€“ altered metamorphosis โ€ข Humans - decreased IQ (MOA relevant to humans) โ€“ This AOP has be shown to be relevant to rodents and humans (Crofton & Zoeller, Crit Rev. Toxicol. 2005) 10 Weโ€™re worried about IQ in kids, not thyroid tumors Itโ€™s serum TH not TSH that matters!
  • 12. Office of Research and Development National Center for Computational Toxicology AOPs for Thyroid Disruption Multiple MIEs and Species Specific Outcomes NIS Thyroperoxidase Hepatic Nuclear Xenoreceptors Deiodinases Thyroid Receptors โ†“T4โ€“SerumTransport Protein Binding ๏ฉSerum T3 & T4 ๏จ TSH Tissue THChanges Altered Development Thyroid Hyperplasia Thyroid Tumors IQ Loss Adverse Outcomes MIEs ๏ƒˆ T4 & T3 Synthesis ๏ƒ› Phase 2 Catabolism ๏ƒ› Cellular Transporters ๏ฉ Tissue T4 ๏กT3 Conversion ๏ƒ› Biliary Elimination 1 2 X X X
  • 13. Office of Research and Development National Center for Computational Toxicology AOPs โ€“ What are they good for? 1. Improved predictions of toxicity via decreased uncertainty โ€“ Increases level of confidence in the relationship between measured data and adverse outcomes that is critical for risk assessments 2. Can be Life-Stage specific 3. Enhance species to species extrapolation 4. Identification of Data Gaps โ€“ Construction of an AOP should identify data gaps i.e., critical needs to build a useful model 5. Provide molecular targets for development of in vitro screening assays 6. Holy Grail is development of predictive computational models โ€“ If the MIE predicts the Adverse Outcome โ€“ then you donโ€™t need to measure the outcome 12
  • 14. Office of Research and Development National Center for Computational Toxicology Example: Linking Liver to thyroid hormones to developmental neurotoxicity Life Stage Specificity 13
  • 15. Office of Research and Development National Center for Computational Toxicology 14 Description of Postulated AOP โ€ข MIE โ€“ Activation of hepatic nuclear receptors (i.e., CAR/PXR) โ€ข Key Events โ€“ Upregulation Phase II and III metabolism โ€“ Increased hepatic clearance of TH โ€“ Decreased Serum T3, T4 โ€“ Decreased Tissue TH concentrations during critical developmental periods โ€“ Altered expression of TH-responsive genes in developing brain โ€ข Adverse Outcome โ€“ Altered neurological development โ€“ case study = hearing loss Note: TSH not involved
  • 16. Office of Research and Development National Center for Computational Toxicology Thyroperoxidase NIS Hepatic Nuclear Xenoreceptors Deiodinases Thyroid Receptors Free T3 & T4 ๏จ TSH Tissue THChanges Thyroid Hyperplasia Thyroid Tumors Life Stage Specific Hearing Loss Adverse Outcomes T4 & T3 Synthesis Phase 2 Catabolism Cellular Transporters Cellular T4 ๏กT3 Conversion Biliary Elimination 54 2 Transport Proteins ? Thyroid Gland Pituitary TSH R TRH R Hypothalamus TR Blood CellularTR Signaling Altered Development Altered Metabolism Hypothalamic Pituitary Feedback Bound-TH 1 3 6 7
  • 17. Office of Research and Development National Center for Computational Toxicology 16 Experimental Support for Linking MIE, Key Events, and Adverse Outcome Table 1: Key Events in the Animal AOP โ€“ PHAH Example Key Event Experimental Evidence References 1. Activationof Hepatic Ah, CAR and PXR pathways YES: A lot of data demonstrating (In vivo and in vitro) evidence for activationby PHAHs Knockout models prevent subsequent key event (Safe, 1994; Schuetz et al., 1998; Honkakoski et al., 2003) 2. Induction of Phase II Catabolism YES: Hepatic NR agonists induce hepatic UGTs (Ahotupa et al., 1978; Ganem etal., 1999; Oppenheimer et al., 1968; McClainet al.,1989; Hood and Klaassen, 2000) 3. BiliaryElimination YES: Many PHAHs increase biliary eliminationof conjugated T4. (Batomsky, 1974; Beestra et al., 1991; Vansell and Klaassen, 2001; 2002) 4. Developmental Hypothyroxinemia YES:In vivo decreases in thyroxine during early critical postnatal period; thyroxine replacement ameliorates functional loss โ€“ many chemicals and many MIEs do this T4 Therapy reverses this effect (Morse et al., 1993; Morse et al., 1996; Goldey et al., 1995a; Goldey& Crofton, 1998;Crofton et al., 2000a.) 5. Decreased Target Tissue TH Concentrations No Data: No data available for effects of PHAHss on cochlear T3. Limited data suggest induction of Type II deiodinases prevents decreases in fetal cortical T3 levels PCB exposure. (lots of evidencefromother THD Chemicals) (Morse et al., 1996) 6. Decreases in TR Regulated Cochlear Proteins No Data: No evidence in cochlea. Data gap for PHAHs 7. Structural Damage in the Cochlea YES: In vivo evidence of missing hair cells in apical turns of cochlea (also evidence fromother TH Chemicals) (Crofton et al., 2000b) 8. Loss of cochlear function YES: Loss of low-frequency hearing using behavioral audiometry, brain stem auditory evoked potentials and otoacoustic emissions. (lots of evidencefromother THD Chemicals) (Goldey et al., 1995; Crofton et al., 2000b; Herr et al., 1996; Laskey et al., 2002)
  • 18. Office of Research and Development National Center for Computational Toxicology Example of Temporal relationship (lifestage) Critical-Period Model for Highly Lipophilic Chemicals Exposure and Key Event Align Temporally with Critical Window โ€ข Exposure occurs mainly postnatally due to lactational transfer โ€ข Impact on thyroid hormones in mostly postnatal โ€ข Therefore, impact on developing cochlea occurs during low-frequency development BirthConception Weaning ThyroidHormone Fetal/PostnatalExposure CochlearDevelopment High - Frequency - Low Low-frequency Hearing loss
  • 19. Office of Research and Development National Center for Computational Toxicology 18 Example of Correlative relationship between Key Events Serum Thyroxine on PND14 Predicts Low-Frequency Hearing Loss in Adults Data from multiple developmental studies over a ten year with various Chemicals - Propylthiouracil - PCBs - Dioxins - Brominated flame retardants
  • 20. Office of Research and Development National Center for Computational Toxicology Identification of Data Gaps & Cross Species Extrapolation โ€ข Construction of an AOP should identify data gaps i.e., critical needs to build a useful model โ€ข Identification of missing empirical data for some key events โ€ข Lack of identification of MIEs โ€“ some AOPs start with key events โ€ข Filling gaps should reduce uncertainties in decisions โ€ข Enhance species to species extrapolation โ€ข Compare chemical effects on species specific MIEs or key events Triclosan as an example 19
  • 21. Office of Research and Development National Center for Computational Toxicology Molecular Initiating Event - Cross Species Triclosan โ€ข Regulatory Driver: In vivo rodent studies demonstrate that triclosan decreases thyroid hormones and increases hepatic enzyme important for T4 regulation in rats โ€“ Uncertainty: Does it do so in humans? No data = assumption yes โ€ข AOP is well accepted for many drugs and environmental chemicals โ€“ Evidence that MIE in humans is activation of PXR ( Jacobs et al., 2005) โ€ข Hypothesis: MIE is activation of hepatic PXR 20 Activate Hepatic PXR ๏ƒ› Hepatic Phase II/III ๏ƒ› T4 Clearance Decreased Serum T4 Adverse Neurodevelopment Outcomes (IQ) MIE Cellular Response Organ Response Individual Response Tissue Response Activate Hepatic PXR ๏ƒ› Hepatic Phase I, II, III ๏ƒ› T4 Clearance Decreased Serum T4 Adverse Neurodevelopment Outcomes (IQ) Rat Human ๏ƒผ ๏ƒผ* *? ๏ƒผ ? * Empirical evidence Inferred from other chemicals or stressors Data gap ? *
  • 22. Office of Research and Development National Center for Computational Toxicology Molecular Initiating Event - Cross Species Triclosan โ€ข Hypothesis: MIE is activation of hepatic PXR 21 Activate Hepatic PXR ๏ƒ› Hepatic Phase I, II, III ๏ƒ› T4 Clearance Decreased Serum T4 Adverse Neurodevelopment Outcomes (IQ) MIE Cellular Response Organ Response Individual Response Tissue Response In vitro: TCS activates human PXR but not rat PXR Treatment concentration (ยตM) 0.1 1 10 100 %MaximalDEXInductionยฑSE 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 Dexamethasone (DEX) Triclosan (TCS) Treatment concentration (ยตM) 0.01 0.1 1 10 100 %MaximalRIFInductionยฑSE 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 Rifampicin (RIF) Triclosan (TCS) hPXR rPXR Paul et al., submitted
  • 23. Office of Research and Development National Center for Computational Toxicology Triclosan Species Extrapolation - Remaining Uncertainty 22 โ€ข Differential effects of triclosan on hepatic MIEs โ€ข Human โ€“ both hCAR and HPXR activated in vitro โ€ข Rat โ€“ only rCAR activated in vitro โ€ข Are humans more sensitive? Unknownโ€ฆ. Use in vitro cell cultures to check rCAR โ†“serum T4 โ†‘ biliary elimination of THs Weak hCAR1&3 + hPXR โ†“serum T4 โ†‘ hepatic Phase I & II mRNA & protein โ†‘ biliary elimination of THs Rat Human โˆš ? โˆš โˆšโ†‘ hepatic Phase I & II mRNA & protein โˆš ? Paul et al., 2013
  • 24. Office of Research and Development National Center for Computational Toxicology AOP and High-Throughput Screening Whatโ€™s the Promise? Premise: The AOP is well developed and based on empirically established links between the MIE and the Adverse Health and Community Outcomes Promise: Upstream MIEs and Key Events can be used in lieu of costly in vivo testing โ€ข Health predictions can be done based on upstream events โ€“ e.g., serum T4 during fetal development is a predictor of IQ in children, and TPO inhibition is correlated with serum hormones โ€“ Already being done in regulatory arena โ€ข Can be used to prioritize follow up testing needs โ€“ Data from high-throughput methods can represent a true โ€˜first-tierโ€™ screen for the thousands of chemicals currently lacking data 23
  • 25. Office of Research and Development National Center for Computational Toxicology Thyroperoxidase NIS Hepatic Nuclear Xenoreceptors Deiodinases Thyroid Receptors Free T3 & T4 ๏จ TSH Tissue THChanges Thyroid Hyperplasia Thyroid Tumors Adverse Outcomes T4 & T3 Synthesis Phase 2 Catabolism Cellular Transporters Cellular T4 ๏กT3 Conversion Biliary Elimination 4 9 35 6 7 8 Transport Proteins 10 Thyroid Gland Pituitary TSH R TRH R Hypothalamus TR Blood CellularTR Signaling Altered Development Altered Metabolism 3 2 1 Hypothalamic Pituitary Feedback Bound-TH MIEs as Molecular Screening Targets Developmental Neurotoxicty
  • 26. Office of Research and Development National Center for Computational Toxicology 25 Screening Technology Target Existing Adaptable R & D Comments TSH Receptor Signaling X TRH Receptor Signally X NIS Mediated Iodine uptake X No commercial source TPO inhibition X ORD method under development Secretion from Thyroid Gland X Transport proteins X Two methods, no commercial source Deiodination X Sulfation and Glucuronidation X Low-med throughput Nuclear Receptors X Already done for >1000 chemicals TH Membrane Transporters X TR binding and transcription X Already done for >>8500 chemicals Screening for THDs โ€“ State of the Science* *adapted from Murk et al., 2013
  • 27. Office of Research and Development National Center for Computational Toxicology Percentinhibition โ€ข 21-chemical training set โ€ข Automated 384-wp testing format โ€ข Automated data work flow for analyses (R.version 2.15.1) Paul et al., 2013
  • 28. Office of Research and Development National Center for Computational Toxicology Challenges for Development and Use of AOPs โ€ข Thyroid system disruptions are not the adverse outcome pathways โ€ข For Example: What are all the MIEs and Pathways for environmental contaminants that cause developmental neurotoxicity? โ€“ Linking MIEs to adverse outcomes can be very difficult for some DNT outcomes โ€ข e.g., sodium channel disruption induced behavioral effects (pyrethroids) โ€“ Lack of known pathobiology of outcomes can makes this very difficult โ€ข where is the nucleus in the brain that is responsible for autismm or IQ loss, or ADHD (what are the MIEs that lead to IQ loss?) โ€ข Development of quantitative predictive models can require a LOT of data โ€“ How much of a change in the MIE is needed to overcome compensatory processes? (%change in serum T4 and changes in brain tissue T3? โ€ข How can we make use of โ€˜partialโ€™ AOPs to reduce uncertainty in risk decisions? โ€ข AOPs are not singular linear pathways, they are complex sets of interacting processes โ€“ it only gets more complicated โ€“ need to be prudent in deciding how much of a pathway is needed for a purpose 27
  • 29. Office of Research and Development National Center for Computational Toxicology AOP Continuum Domains of Application Examples โ€ข Simple correlative โ€ข Links between inherent chemical properties and outcomes โ€ข Qualitative โ€ข Known links between key events and outcomes โ€ข No complete set of key events โ€“ contains correlative โ€œleapsโ€ โ€ข Causative โ€ข Quantitative โ€ข Predictive quantitative models ReadAcross Prioritizationand/or TargetedTesting LogP and fish mortality Neuronal-glia differentiation and developmental neurotoxicity QuantitativeRisk Assessments Quantitative models from MIE to health and community impacts Qualitative Thyroid/DNT AOP ToolboxCategories ModelDataNeeds ModelUncertainty JRC/EPA AOP Workgroup Meeting RTP 03/01/12
  • 30. Office of Research and Development National Center for Computational Toxicology Announcement โ€“ AOPWiki An AOPWiki is being developed and a beta version is being tested โ€“ public release later this year โ€ข Developed as a joint project between: โ€“ OECD, EU Joint Research Center, Italy, US EPA, US Army Engineering Research and Development Center, Vicksburg MS โ€ข Provides a โ€˜user-friendlyโ€™ interface for โ€˜crowd sourcing the development of AOPs Link - www.aopwiki.org Contacts: Edwards.Stephen@epa.gov Clemens.Wittwehr@ec.europa.eu 29
  • 31. Office of Research and Development National Center for Computational Toxicology Thanks for Listening 30