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Few Have Heard About State Decisions on Exchanges and
Medicaid Expansion
How much, if anything have you heard about your                            As far as you know, has your state’s governor
state’s decision on whether to create a state-run                          announced that your state will expand Medicaid,
health insurance exchange or marketplace where                             announced that your state will not expand Medicaid,
people who don’t get coverage through their jobs can                       not announced their decision, or have you not heard
shop for insurance?                                                        enough about this to say?
                                                                                       Has not
                                                                                      announced
                                                                          Announced decision                 Dk/ Ref.
                                                                           state will    6%                    2%
                                                                          not expand
                             A lot                                         Medicaid
                             7%                                                7%
                                                                   Announced
                 Some                                               state will
                 15%                                                 expand
                                                                    Medicaid
                                            Nothing at                 7%
                                               all                                                         Not heard
                                              48%                                                          enough to
                                                                                                              say
             Only a little                                                                                   78%
                29%




SOURCE: Kaiser Family Foundation Health Tracking Poll (conducted March 5-10, 2013)
More Favor Expanding Their State’s Medicaid Program Than
Oppose
As you may know, the health care law expands Medicaid to provide health insurance to more low-income uninsured
adults. The federal government will initially pay the entire cost of this expansion, and after several years, states will
pay 10 percent and the federal government will pay 90 percent. The Supreme Court ruled that states may choose
whether or not to participate in this expansion. What do you think your state should do?

                      Keep Medicaid as it is today           Expand Medicaid to cover more low-income people


                            Total                  41%                                     52%



                     Democrats            20%                                        76%



                 Independents                        46%                                   44%



                   Republicans                                67%                                26%



NOTE: Other/Neither (vol.) and Don’t know/Refused answers not shown.
SOURCE: Kaiser Family Foundation Health Tracking Poll (conducted March 5-10, 2013)
Public: What Health Cost Growth Slowdown?
Over the past few years, would you say the cost of                      Would you say the amount you and your family are
health care for the nation as a whole has been going                    paying for health care and health insurance has been
up faster than usual, going up slower than usual, or                    going up over the past few years, going down, or staying
going up abut the same amount?                                          about the same? (If going up) Would you say your health
                                                                        care costs have been going up faster than usual, slower
               Going up                                                 than usual, or about the same amount?
              slower than
                                                                                       Dk/Ref.         Going down
                 usual
                                                                                         4%                2%
                  4%

                  Dk/Ref.
                    7%
                                                                                                         Going up
                                                                                                        faster than
                                       Going up                                                            usual
                                      faster than                                     Staying              34%
             Going up
                                         usual                                       about the
            about the
                                         58%                                           same
              same
                                                                                       32%
            amount as
              usual                                                                               Going up
               31%                                                                               about the
                                                                                                   same
                                                                                                 amount as
                                                                       Going up
                                                                                                   usual
                                                                      slower than
                                                                                                    24%
                                                                         usual
                                                                          2%
SOURCE: Kaiser Family Foundation Health Tracking Poll (conducted March 5-10, 2013)
At Three Years, Opinion On ACA Remains Divided
As you may know, a health reform bill was signed into law in 2010. Given what you know about the health reform
law, do you have a generally favorable or generally unfavorable opinion of it?

         ACA signed into law
80%      on March 23, 2010
                                                     Favorable                     Unfavorable                        Don't know/Refused




60%
                         50                          50                                           51
                    48             49                     48
          46                  45                               46             46
               44                       44                               44        43 44 43            44 43 44 43              43 44          44 43 45 43 43
                                             42 42                  41                                                     41             41                        42
                                                                                                                                                                      40%
40%
                              43        42                43 42
          40 41 41                 40        40 41 41           41 42 42 42                  41             41        42
                                                                                                                           40
                                                                                                                                42        41           40
                                                                                        39                                                     38 38        38 39
                                                                                                       37        37                  37                             36 37%
                         35                                                                       34

20%
                                                                                                                                                                    23 23%
                                             18 18                  18                                 19        19        19        19 18    19            19 19
                                                                                        17 16               17                             17
          14 14          14             15                               14        15         15                      15        15                     14
                              12 11                            13             12
                    10                               9 8
 0%
          Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov                           Feb Mar
                         2010                                                 2011                                                        2012                      2013




SOURCE: Kaiser Family Foundation Health Tracking Polls
Three Years Later, Public Still Divided by Party
Percent who say they have a favorable opinion of the health reform law:


         ACA signed into law
         on March 23, 2010                           Democrats                       Independents                           Republicans
80%                                75
               72        73                          73                  72                                                                              72        72
          78                                                   71                                                               70        71
                    69        68        69 68 69                                                                                               69
                                                          66                  65 64          65                            66
                                                                    64                                      64        64                            64        64
                                                                                                       62        62                  62
                                                                                        60                                                                              57 58%
60%                                                                                               52
                    49 48
                                                          43
                              41 42                                 41                                                40 40 39                           41
                                                                                   38                                                     38
40%       36 37                              37 37             37
                                                                         35                  36                                                35 34
                                                                                                                                                                   37
                                        34           34                       33        33           34 33                           34                                 32
                                                                                                  32                                                          32             31%
                                                                                                                 30


20%                                                                                     24
                    23
                         21        21                                         20                            19                                                               18%
                              16                                         17        16                                 16                                 16
                                             15                                              14
          13                                      12 12 11          12
                                        11                                                        11 12          12        12                  12
                                                                                                                                                              10
                                                                                                                                                                   12   12
               8                                               9
                                                                                                                                7 8 7               8
 0%
          Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov                               Feb Mar
                         2010                                                 2011                                                        2012                          2013




SOURCE: Kaiser Family Foundation Health Tracking Polls
Most Report No Experience With Law So Far
So far, would you say you and your family have [personally benefited from/been negatively affected by] the health
reform law, or not?

                           Percent who say someone in their family has personally benefited from the health reform law
                           Percent who say someone in their family has been negatively affected by the health reform law
80%
                           Percent who say they have not been personally impacted yet


                71%                                       72%
                   68%         69%      68%                                 67%
60% 66%                                                                                            64%
                                                                                                                                  62%



40%



                                                                            21%                                                   22%
      20%          20%                                                                             19%
                17%            18%      18%               18%
20%
                                                                                                   19%
                                                                                                                                  17%
      15%       14% 13%        14%      15%                                 14%
                                                          11%
 0%
       Dec       Feb Mar        May      Jul               Nov               Mar                   Aug                            Mar
      2010                            2011                                                  2012                           2013




SOURCE: Kaiser Family Foundation Health Tracking Polls
Majority Say They Don’t Understand How ACA Will Impact
Them, Including Two-Thirds of Uninsured and Low-Income
Do you feel you have enough information about the health reform law to understand how it will impact you
personally, or not?


                            Yes, have enough information                  No, do not have enough information



                                           Total                  41%                               57%




                  Uninsured (under age 65)                     33%                                67%




    Household income less than $40,000                       30%                                68%




NOTE: Don’t know/Refused answers not shown.
SOURCE: Kaiser Family Foundation Health Tracking Poll (conducted March 5-10, 2013)
Most Popular Provisions Among Least Widely Recognized
(And Vice Versa)
Percent who say they feel favorable about each of the following and percent who say they are aware each is
included in the health reform law:
                    Percent with a favorable view of element           Percent who are aware element is included in ACA

     Tax credits to small businesses to buy insurance                                                                            88%
                                                                                                   52%
                      Close Medicare "doughnut hole"                                                                       81%
                                                                                              46%
                   Create health insurance exchanges                                                                    80%
                                                                                                       58%
                     Extension of dependent coverage                                                                  76%
                                                                                                                69%
                     Subsidy assistance to individuals                                                                76%
                                                                                                          62%
                                   Medicaid expansion                                                            71%
                                                                                                         59%
                                      Guaranteed issue                                                         66%
                                                                                                    53%
                                     Medical loss ratio                                                      65%
                                                                                          40%
                         Increase Medicare payroll tax                                                  60%
                                                                                                    54%
       Employer mandate/penalty for large employers                                                   57%
                                                                                                                 71%
                           Individual mandate/penalty                                     40%
                                                                                                                     74%
NOTE: Items asked of separate half samples. Question wording abbreviated. See topline (http://www.kff.org/kaiserpolls/8425.cfm)
for complete wording.
SOURCE: Kaiser Family Foundation Health Tracking Poll (conducted March 5-10, 2013)
Trend in Opinion on Personal Impact of ACA
Do you think you and your family will be better off or worse off under the health reform law, or don’t you think it will
make much difference?


       ACA signed into law
80%    on March 23, 2010                      Better off               Won't make much difference                      Worse off




60%



                                             44                                    44
                  39                                                  39                         41                                       40%
                                                  38 39                                 41 39
40%                                            37 38 35                    37 34
                                                                          35           37                             37 37             36
         32 32     33 36 33 32 34     32 31                                      34 34                                          33 33
                                  33        30          29
         31    3028 3230     31      32        28 28                                                                       30
                         32    31                    34    33 32          33 27 33 32                                32         31 32
         30           29    29                                   31 31 31              31                                               32
             29 28 29              28    28     27 28 27                                                                                   29%
                         28                  26               27        26 26    26 26                                25 26 26 26
20%                            25                                             25       23                                               24
                                                     24    24        23
                                      20                         18                                                                        21%



 0%
          Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May     Jul Aug Sep Oct   Feb Mar
                       2010                                       2011                                              2012                2013


NOTE: Don’t know/Refused answers not shown.
SOURCE: Kaiser Family Foundation Health Tracking Polls
Expectations for ACA’s Impact on Cost and Quality More
 Negative Than Positive
 Under the health reform law, do you think each of the following will get better, worse, or will it stay about the same?


                                                                                      Worse         Stay about the same       Better
 NATIONAL IMPACTS
                           The cost of health care for the nation as a whole                  55%                 18%         21%


                                    The quality of health care in the nation                45%                26%            24%


Consumer protections for the average person with private health insurance               39%                   36%             16%


                                    Access to health care for the uninsured           28%           24%                 40%



 PERSONAL IMPACTS
                            The cost of health care for you and your family                 49%                     33%         15%


                                        The quality of your own health care            34%                     48%              15%


                              Your ability to get and keep health insurance           28%                  46%                20%



 NOTE: Items asked of half sample. Don’t know/Refused answers not shown.
 SOURCE: Kaiser Family Foundation Health Tracking Poll (conducted March 5-10, 2013)

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Mar 2013 tracking charts

  • 1. Few Have Heard About State Decisions on Exchanges and Medicaid Expansion How much, if anything have you heard about your As far as you know, has your state’s governor state’s decision on whether to create a state-run announced that your state will expand Medicaid, health insurance exchange or marketplace where announced that your state will not expand Medicaid, people who don’t get coverage through their jobs can not announced their decision, or have you not heard shop for insurance? enough about this to say? Has not announced Announced decision Dk/ Ref. state will 6% 2% not expand A lot Medicaid 7% 7% Announced Some state will 15% expand Medicaid Nothing at 7% all Not heard 48% enough to say Only a little 78% 29% SOURCE: Kaiser Family Foundation Health Tracking Poll (conducted March 5-10, 2013)
  • 2. More Favor Expanding Their State’s Medicaid Program Than Oppose As you may know, the health care law expands Medicaid to provide health insurance to more low-income uninsured adults. The federal government will initially pay the entire cost of this expansion, and after several years, states will pay 10 percent and the federal government will pay 90 percent. The Supreme Court ruled that states may choose whether or not to participate in this expansion. What do you think your state should do? Keep Medicaid as it is today Expand Medicaid to cover more low-income people Total 41% 52% Democrats 20% 76% Independents 46% 44% Republicans 67% 26% NOTE: Other/Neither (vol.) and Don’t know/Refused answers not shown. SOURCE: Kaiser Family Foundation Health Tracking Poll (conducted March 5-10, 2013)
  • 3. Public: What Health Cost Growth Slowdown? Over the past few years, would you say the cost of Would you say the amount you and your family are health care for the nation as a whole has been going paying for health care and health insurance has been up faster than usual, going up slower than usual, or going up over the past few years, going down, or staying going up abut the same amount? about the same? (If going up) Would you say your health care costs have been going up faster than usual, slower Going up than usual, or about the same amount? slower than Dk/Ref. Going down usual 4% 2% 4% Dk/Ref. 7% Going up faster than Going up usual faster than Staying 34% Going up usual about the about the 58% same same 32% amount as usual Going up 31% about the same amount as Going up usual slower than 24% usual 2% SOURCE: Kaiser Family Foundation Health Tracking Poll (conducted March 5-10, 2013)
  • 4. At Three Years, Opinion On ACA Remains Divided As you may know, a health reform bill was signed into law in 2010. Given what you know about the health reform law, do you have a generally favorable or generally unfavorable opinion of it? ACA signed into law 80% on March 23, 2010 Favorable Unfavorable Don't know/Refused 60% 50 50 51 48 49 48 46 45 46 46 44 44 44 43 44 43 44 43 44 43 43 44 44 43 45 43 43 42 42 41 41 41 42 40% 40% 43 42 43 42 40 41 41 40 40 41 41 41 42 42 42 41 41 42 40 42 41 40 39 38 38 38 39 37 37 37 36 37% 35 34 20% 23 23% 18 18 18 19 19 19 19 18 19 19 19 17 16 17 17 14 14 14 15 14 15 15 15 15 14 12 11 13 12 10 9 8 0% Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Feb Mar 2010 2011 2012 2013 SOURCE: Kaiser Family Foundation Health Tracking Polls
  • 5. Three Years Later, Public Still Divided by Party Percent who say they have a favorable opinion of the health reform law: ACA signed into law on March 23, 2010 Democrats Independents Republicans 80% 75 72 73 73 72 72 72 78 71 70 71 69 68 69 68 69 69 66 65 64 65 66 64 64 64 64 64 62 62 62 60 57 58% 60% 52 49 48 43 41 42 41 40 40 39 41 38 38 40% 36 37 37 37 37 35 36 35 34 37 34 34 33 33 34 33 34 32 32 32 31% 30 20% 24 23 21 21 20 19 18% 16 17 16 16 16 15 14 13 12 12 11 12 11 11 12 12 12 12 10 12 12 8 9 7 8 7 8 0% Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Feb Mar 2010 2011 2012 2013 SOURCE: Kaiser Family Foundation Health Tracking Polls
  • 6. Most Report No Experience With Law So Far So far, would you say you and your family have [personally benefited from/been negatively affected by] the health reform law, or not? Percent who say someone in their family has personally benefited from the health reform law Percent who say someone in their family has been negatively affected by the health reform law 80% Percent who say they have not been personally impacted yet 71% 72% 68% 69% 68% 67% 60% 66% 64% 62% 40% 21% 22% 20% 20% 19% 17% 18% 18% 18% 20% 19% 17% 15% 14% 13% 14% 15% 14% 11% 0% Dec Feb Mar May Jul Nov Mar Aug Mar 2010 2011 2012 2013 SOURCE: Kaiser Family Foundation Health Tracking Polls
  • 7. Majority Say They Don’t Understand How ACA Will Impact Them, Including Two-Thirds of Uninsured and Low-Income Do you feel you have enough information about the health reform law to understand how it will impact you personally, or not? Yes, have enough information No, do not have enough information Total 41% 57% Uninsured (under age 65) 33% 67% Household income less than $40,000 30% 68% NOTE: Don’t know/Refused answers not shown. SOURCE: Kaiser Family Foundation Health Tracking Poll (conducted March 5-10, 2013)
  • 8. Most Popular Provisions Among Least Widely Recognized (And Vice Versa) Percent who say they feel favorable about each of the following and percent who say they are aware each is included in the health reform law: Percent with a favorable view of element Percent who are aware element is included in ACA Tax credits to small businesses to buy insurance 88% 52% Close Medicare "doughnut hole" 81% 46% Create health insurance exchanges 80% 58% Extension of dependent coverage 76% 69% Subsidy assistance to individuals 76% 62% Medicaid expansion 71% 59% Guaranteed issue 66% 53% Medical loss ratio 65% 40% Increase Medicare payroll tax 60% 54% Employer mandate/penalty for large employers 57% 71% Individual mandate/penalty 40% 74% NOTE: Items asked of separate half samples. Question wording abbreviated. See topline (http://www.kff.org/kaiserpolls/8425.cfm) for complete wording. SOURCE: Kaiser Family Foundation Health Tracking Poll (conducted March 5-10, 2013)
  • 9. Trend in Opinion on Personal Impact of ACA Do you think you and your family will be better off or worse off under the health reform law, or don’t you think it will make much difference? ACA signed into law 80% on March 23, 2010 Better off Won't make much difference Worse off 60% 44 44 39 39 41 40% 38 39 41 39 40% 37 38 35 37 34 35 37 37 37 36 32 32 33 36 33 32 34 32 31 34 34 33 33 33 30 29 31 3028 3230 31 32 28 28 30 32 31 34 33 32 33 27 33 32 32 31 32 30 29 29 31 31 31 31 32 29 28 29 28 28 27 28 27 29% 28 26 27 26 26 26 26 25 26 26 26 20% 25 25 23 24 24 24 23 20 18 21% 0% Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jul Aug Sep Oct Feb Mar 2010 2011 2012 2013 NOTE: Don’t know/Refused answers not shown. SOURCE: Kaiser Family Foundation Health Tracking Polls
  • 10. Expectations for ACA’s Impact on Cost and Quality More Negative Than Positive Under the health reform law, do you think each of the following will get better, worse, or will it stay about the same? Worse Stay about the same Better NATIONAL IMPACTS The cost of health care for the nation as a whole 55% 18% 21% The quality of health care in the nation 45% 26% 24% Consumer protections for the average person with private health insurance 39% 36% 16% Access to health care for the uninsured 28% 24% 40% PERSONAL IMPACTS The cost of health care for you and your family 49% 33% 15% The quality of your own health care 34% 48% 15% Your ability to get and keep health insurance 28% 46% 20% NOTE: Items asked of half sample. Don’t know/Refused answers not shown. SOURCE: Kaiser Family Foundation Health Tracking Poll (conducted March 5-10, 2013)