1. FEBRUARY 2 ND , 2012
JONATHAN SHEETS
BOBBY FITZPATRICK
2. TABLE OF CONTENTS
• The Trade
• Company Overview
• A look at the technology
• Advocates
• Growth Thoughts
• Company Strategy
• Financials
• Misc. Stats
• Comparables
• Technicals
• Questions
3. THE TRADE
FEIC is a market leader in a profitable business. It has strong
financials, increasing fund ownership, favorable analyst
recommendations, high earnings growth opportunity, exciting
acquisitions, upholding recent breakouts, and has a very strong
performance already in 2012. The main catalyst is the
commercialization of the QEMSCAN earth scanning mobile
site, poised to lead shale gas and other resource exploration.
Buy $1,600 of FEIC
• Buy ½ Before earnings Feb. 8th
• Buy ½ After earnings
Trailing stop at 15%
• Will look to re-enter at end of a correction.
Disclosure: Bobby Fitzpatrick currently owns $30 call
options. Jonathan Sheets looks to buy 2013 LEAPs
within two months.
4. COMPANY OVERVIEW
“We make really fancy microscopes that see atoms basically.
We can see and manipulate the atomic scale and we apply
that to a lot of different markets.” - CEO Donald Kania
• Mkt Cap $1.5 Billion
• Imaging leaders in
natural resources,
nanotech, academic
research, and life
sciences.
• All over the world
geographically
5.
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9. “LIVING LAB” FOR STRUCTURAL
BIOLOGY RESEARCH
Research and Development agreement with National Inst. Of
Health, National Cancer Institute (NCI), and Digestive and Kidney
Diseases (NIDDKD).
World Experts working together
Integration of cryo-EM (FEI’s microscopes) with NMR and XRD
10. GROWTH IN CELLULAR
BIOLOGY RESEARCH
TILL Acquisition 11/14/11
• optical microscope company for further entry and superiority
in cellular biology
• “Google Earth bio mapping”
11. INSTITUTE AT OREGON
HEALTH SCIENCES
UNIVERSITY
FEIC is apart of Founding Members
Understanding the spatial and temporal dynamics of life that are
relative to cancer and the science of cancer
Cancer Market - $47.7 Billion
18. RESEARCH GROWTH
All over the world, Alaska to Zimbabwe
US and Europe not planning on much growth
China relentless in buying products
• China outspent the United States on FEI product 4/6 last quarters.
“Being American I think it’s going to be a bad idea, but
being the Head of FEI, it’s a wonderful thing… “ – CEO
19. GENERAL FINANCIAL
NUMBERS
RS = 96 P/E = 20 Beta = 1.40
• 3% increase in fund sponsorship in last quarter (62% of stock is
owned by institutions)
• 20% increase in fund sponsorship in the last year
• 2% is owned by management
• Rallies occur on increasing volume and declines on decreasing
volume approx. 80% of the time in the last 4 quarters
• 14% debt/equity ratio
• 3 Year EPS growth = 55%
• Sales up 34% last quarter (9% 3 yr growth rate)
• ROE = 8.2% (high for a medical tech, especially with high R&D
expenses)
• Government subsidized (from NIH)
20. EARNINGS AND SALES
STATS (CLOSER LOOK)
• 174% EPS growth and 20% Sales growth in 4th Q 2010
• 200% EPS growth and 32% Sales growth in 1st Q 2011
• 182% EPS growth and 45% Sales growth in 2nd Q 2011
• 103% EPS growth and 34% Sales growth in 3rd Q 2011
21. ANALYSTS
Bank Analysts
• Estimate revisions to the upside the last 3 quarters
• 7/8 Buys $46-50… will look to revise with current numbers
Internet Analysts
• Zack’s Strong Buy List
• Investors Business Daily 99/100 Composite Rating
22. INDUSTRY
COMPETITORS
FEIC is 1 out of 35 in group in EPS
FEIC is 3 out of 35 in Relative Strength
Industry ranked 23/197 for:
• EPS, Sales, EPS Growth, Sales Growth
26. 2009 FCF was used because of the large cash flow
investment in Dualbeam Helios technology for
DCF geological surveying in 2010 and first 3 quarters of
2011
FEI COMPANY
Company Name
Most Recent Fiscal Year End 12/31/2008
Date of Valuation 2/2/2012
Cost of Common Equity 10.00%
Fiscal Year of Forecast 12/31/2009 12/31/2010 12/31/2011 12/31/2012 12/31/2013 12/31/2014 12/31/2015
Valuation to Common Equity
Free Cash Flow to Common Equity 81,006 5,374 (13,279) (16,180) 50,027 172,087 162,746
Present Value of FCF 73,641 4,441 (9,976) (11,051) 31,063 97,139 83,515
Present Value Beyond 20 Years 698,188
Present Value of First 20 Years 1,018,167
Forecast Equity Value Before Time Adj. 1,716,355
Forecasted Value as of Valuation Date 2,358,844
Less Value of Contingent Equity Claims 0
Value Attributable to Common Equity 2,358,844
Common Shares Outstanding at BS Date 37,309
Equivalent Shares at Valuation Date 37,309
Forecast Price/Share $63.22
electron microscopes that market is about $1.5 billion around the globe, growing somewhere around 5% to 6%
Titan- most powerful, commercial microscope at least $15 million Magellan – Xtreme High ResolutionDual Beam – Scanning Elec Microscope WITH Ion-Beams
-Prof. Daniel Shechtman Wins Nobel Prize in Chemistry with Titan TEMIndustry Standard for viewing atoms. Most advanced microscope-Many Industries and all over locations-National Protein Institute, China, our Life Sciences business selling into China. China has been our fastest growing region; it now represents 12% of our business invested in that over the last few years.government institutions will continue to operate and pioneer technologies, for war, world dominance
Opened office in BrazilMiddle East, East Euro, Afric, Asia (India,China)Developing will account for more than 50%
Original Electron Microscope Business $1.5 Billion growing5-6%/yrWant to grow who they served. So they Grow Life Sciences and Natural Resources. Rest stay the same $7.3 Billion market, - includes Xray crystallization XRD (HIV docking protein titan superiority), Light Microscopy, -Nuclear Molecular Resonance Spectro (NMR),
Goal is to accelerate medical discoveries related to global health demonstrating the value of cryo-EMThrough 3D imaging without hurtful crystalization- See benefits over XRD, HIV protein attachment problem
In the future will be able to take pictures and map tag things like google earth with Emscopeslife scientists who traditionally use optical microscopes can take advantage of the high resolution capability of electron microscope, in 2 and 3D
-OHSU got money from Nike founder, Decked out with FEI equipment.-same model of let's find the world’s experts, get them to use FEI’s equipment show that value and that allow us to leverage it in the marketplace to other companies in cancer research
-during the great recession, the company still remained relatively robust. diversity-the Euro-Dollar exchange (orders from europe) revalued the backlog at the end of each quarter, the currency shifts those orders, lose some value, but to the benefit of the company, a weak year out means we are a more profitable company overall.
-Our thesis: [be a] new technology leader in the marketplace and then, customize those. Our R&D investment is highly leveraged overall....we’re all about imagery and analytics that is seeing things that are very small and then, telling you which atoms are which.-
-currently fastest growing market. Growing 50% over last year. Has the highest margins as well-same idea as 2 and 3Dcell mapping. Can scan the ground tell explorers how deep, distribution, and how much. -Dual beam with Ions for shale gas
we validated in 2011 with tests 2012 is a year of commercialization and we hope to continue that aggressive growth rate in the business through 2012 and beyond.
Market started piling in after announcementDecided it wanted to own the whole toolbox instead of just some tools.