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FEBRUARY 2 ND , 2012
JONATHAN SHEETS
BOBBY FITZPATRICK
TABLE OF CONTENTS
•   The Trade
•   Company Overview
•   A look at the technology
•   Advocates
•   Growth Thoughts
•   Company Strategy
•   Financials
•   Misc. Stats
•   Comparables
•   Technicals
•   Questions
THE TRADE
FEIC is a market leader in a profitable business. It has strong
financials, increasing fund ownership, favorable analyst
recommendations, high earnings growth opportunity, exciting
acquisitions, upholding recent breakouts, and has a very strong
performance already in 2012. The main catalyst is the
commercialization of the QEMSCAN earth scanning mobile
site, poised to lead shale gas and other resource exploration.
Buy $1,600 of FEIC
  • Buy ½ Before earnings Feb. 8th
  • Buy ½ After earnings
Trailing stop at 15%
  • Will look to re-enter at end of a correction.
Disclosure: Bobby Fitzpatrick currently owns $30 call
options. Jonathan Sheets looks to buy 2013 LEAPs
within two months.
COMPANY OVERVIEW
“We make really fancy microscopes that see atoms basically.
We can see and manipulate the atomic scale and we apply
that to a lot of different markets.” - CEO Donald Kania




                                                              • Mkt Cap $1.5 Billion
                                                              • Imaging leaders in
                                                                natural resources,
                                                                nanotech, academic
                                                                research, and life
                                                                sciences.
                                                              • All over the world
                                                                geographically
“LIVING LAB” FOR STRUCTURAL
BIOLOGY RESEARCH
Research and Development agreement with National Inst. Of
Health, National Cancer Institute (NCI), and Digestive and Kidney
Diseases (NIDDKD).
World Experts working together
Integration of cryo-EM (FEI’s microscopes) with NMR and XRD
GROWTH IN CELLULAR
BIOLOGY RESEARCH
TILL Acquisition 11/14/11
  • optical microscope company for further entry and superiority
    in cellular biology
  • “Google Earth bio mapping”
INSTITUTE AT OREGON
HEALTH SCIENCES
UNIVERSITY


FEIC is apart of Founding Members
Understanding the spatial and temporal dynamics of life that are
relative to cancer and the science of cancer
Cancer Market - $47.7 Billion
FUTURE GROWTH
GOALS
Dualbeam technology for geological surveying poises FEIC
to grow at 2.7x shale gas production growth
GROWTH IN NATURAL
RESOURCES
RESEARCH GROWTH
All over the world, Alaska to Zimbabwe
US and Europe not planning on much growth
China relentless in buying products
  • China outspent the United States on FEI product 4/6 last quarters.




“Being American I think it’s going to be a bad idea, but
being the Head of FEI, it’s a wonderful thing… “ – CEO
GENERAL FINANCIAL
NUMBERS
               RS = 96          P/E = 20        Beta = 1.40

•   3% increase in fund sponsorship in last quarter (62% of stock is
    owned by institutions)
•   20% increase in fund sponsorship in the last year
•   2% is owned by management
•   Rallies occur on increasing volume and declines on decreasing
    volume approx. 80% of the time in the last 4 quarters
•   14% debt/equity ratio
•   3 Year EPS growth = 55%
•   Sales up 34% last quarter (9% 3 yr growth rate)
•   ROE = 8.2% (high for a medical tech, especially with high R&D
    expenses)
•   Government subsidized (from NIH)
EARNINGS AND SALES
STATS (CLOSER LOOK)
• 174% EPS growth and 20% Sales growth in 4th Q 2010
• 200% EPS growth and 32% Sales growth in 1st Q 2011
• 182% EPS growth and 45% Sales growth in 2nd Q 2011
• 103% EPS growth and 34% Sales growth in 3rd Q 2011
ANALYSTS
Bank Analysts
• Estimate revisions to the upside the last 3 quarters
• 7/8 Buys $46-50… will look to revise with current numbers
Internet Analysts
• Zack’s Strong Buy List
• Investors Business Daily 99/100 Composite Rating
INDUSTRY
COMPETITORS
FEIC is 1 out of 35 in group in EPS




FEIC is 3 out of 35 in Relative Strength




Industry ranked 23/197 for:
  • EPS, Sales, EPS Growth, Sales Growth
COMPS               Fiscal      EV       EPS          P/E        P/E          P/E          FY1      EV/        EV/       EV/           Total
                    Period               FY1                     FY1          NTM          DAT      Sales      EBIT      EBITDA        Debt/EV
                                                                                           E
                                                                     18.5     16.9                 1.80     11.00
FEI Co.            09/2011        1,437.7      2.44     19.70x                       12/2011                          9.51x    0.59x     6.19%
                                                                       7x       2x                    x         x
                                                                                                            380.9
Average                              4,578.3    2.27        14.95x       55.30x   15.05x           1.91x              8.41x    1.77x    16.32%
                                                                                                               3x

Median                               2,555.8    2.27        13.61x       16.65x   14.09x           1.14x    8.16x     6.08x    0.76x    12.18%


Hitachi High-Technologies                                       14.9       14.9   12.2     03/20     0.3
                             09/2011     2,774.5       1.48                                                 8.16x     6.05x    0.00x     0.00%
Corp.                                                             4x         4x     7x        12      4x

                                                                           532.   14.0     03/20     0.6    4,840.    15.96
Jeol Ltd.                    09/2011        623.2      0.01          -                                                        12.88x    81.26%
                                                                            50x     9x        12      1x       58x        x

                                                                5.20       5.40   13.9     12/20     0.4
Veeco Instruments Inc.       09/2011        537.6      4.71                                                 1.82x     1.76x    0.01x     0.50%
                                                                   x          x     4x        11      9x

Dainippon Screen                                                6.86       13.2   13.4     03/20     0.6
                             09/2011     2,355.9       0.63                                                 7.39x     6.08x    2.32x    38.43%
Manufacturing Co. Ltd.                                             x         8x     7x        12      8x

                                                                10.6       12.4   11.8     06/20     2.2
KLA-Tencor Corp.             09/2011     7,265.5       4.14                                                 6.16x     5.73x    0.59x    10.27%
                                                                  1x         9x     4x        12      1x
COMPS
Average              4,578.3        2.27      14.95x             55.30x       15.05x          1.91x
                                                                                                        380.9
                                                                                                                  8.41x       1.77x   16.32%
                                                                                                           3x

Median               2,555.8        2.27      13.61x             16.65x       14.09x          1.14x     8.16x     6.08x       0.76x   12.18%


            Fiscal       EV         EPS           P/E        P/E             P/E       FY1       EV/        EV/           EV/             Total        Total
            Period                  FY1                      FY1             NTM       DATE      Sales      EBIT          EBITDA          Debt/        Debt/EV
                                                                                                                                          EBITDA

FEI Co.        09/2011    1,437.7      2.44             19.70x      18.57x     16.92x    12/2011        1.80x      11.00x     9.51x         0.59x      6.19%


Tokyo
Electron       09/2011     6,929.5         3.14         12.27x       18.28x     18.06x        03/2012     0.80x       5.83x       4.77x        0.00x    0.00%
Ltd.
Applied
Materials      10/2011    11,972.3         0.75          8.67x       16.65x     14.56x        10/2012     1.14x       5.17x       4.67x        0.76x   16.26%
Inc.
Rudolph
Technolo       09/2011        215.7        0.71         11.55x       14.41x     13.92x        12/2012     1.09x       6.69x       5.76x        1.23x   21.30%
gies Inc.
IPG
Photonics      09/2011     2,435.4         2.42         23.22x       22.29x     19.56x        12/2011     5.39x      14.64x      11.80x        0.12x    1.05%
Corp.
Mesa
Laborator      09/2011        147.6        2.27         21.65x       19.93x     18.56x        03/2012     4.12x      13.15x      11.07x        0.30x    2.71%
ies Inc.
COMPS
   Average           4,578.3     2.27    14.95x       55.30x      15.05x         1.91x    380.93x    8.41x    1.77x     16.32%


   Median            2,555.8     2.27    13.61x       16.65x      14.09x         1.14x      8.16x    6.08x    0.76x     12.18%



        Fiscal      EV         EPS      P/E         P/E        P/E      FY1      EV/        EV/       EV/              Total         Total
        Period                 FY1                  FY1        NTM      DATE     Sales      EBIT      EBITDA           Debt/         Debt/EV
                                                                                                                       EBITDA
 FEI
        09/2011     1,437.7    2.44       19.70x      18.57x     16.92x      12/2011     1.80x       11.00x    9.51x       0.59x         6.19%
 Co.


Agilent
Technol           14,012.
        10/2011           3.17        15.51x       13.94x      13.60x      10/2012       2.12x      13.05x     10.56x        1.65x    15.59%
ogies                   6
Inc.


Waters
       09/2011    7,692.3 5.24        19.46x       16.86x      16.69x      12/2012       4.24x      15.46x     13.74x        1.74x    12.63%
Corp.


Bruker
       09/2011    2,555.8 0.82        29.42x       17.86x      15.10x      12/2011       1.60x      13.97x     11.31x        1.38x    12.18%
Corp.
2009 FCF was used because of the large cash flow
                                              investment in Dualbeam Helios technology for
DCF                                           geological surveying in 2010 and first 3 quarters of
                                              2011
                                         FEI COMPANY
Company Name

Most Recent Fiscal Year End                   12/31/2008

Date of Valuation                               2/2/2012

Cost of Common Equity                            10.00%




Fiscal Year of Forecast                    12/31/2009       12/31/2010      12/31/2011       12/31/2012       12/31/2013      12/31/2014      12/31/2015

Valuation to Common Equity

Free Cash Flow to Common Equity                   81,006            5,374         (13,279)         (16,180)          50,027         172,087         162,746

Present Value of FCF                              73,641            4,441          (9,976)         (11,051)          31,063          97,139          83,515

Present Value Beyond 20 Years                    698,188

Present Value of First 20 Years                1,018,167

Forecast Equity Value Before Time Adj.         1,716,355

Forecasted Value as of Valuation Date          2,358,844

Less Value of Contingent Equity Claims                  0

Value Attributable to Common Equity            2,358,844

Common Shares Outstanding at BS Date              37,309

Equivalent Shares at Valuation Date               37,309

Forecast Price/Share                         $63.22
TECHNICALS
QUESTIONS?




        We have answers.

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FEIC Michigian Interactive Investments Club Pitch

  • 1. FEBRUARY 2 ND , 2012 JONATHAN SHEETS BOBBY FITZPATRICK
  • 2. TABLE OF CONTENTS • The Trade • Company Overview • A look at the technology • Advocates • Growth Thoughts • Company Strategy • Financials • Misc. Stats • Comparables • Technicals • Questions
  • 3. THE TRADE FEIC is a market leader in a profitable business. It has strong financials, increasing fund ownership, favorable analyst recommendations, high earnings growth opportunity, exciting acquisitions, upholding recent breakouts, and has a very strong performance already in 2012. The main catalyst is the commercialization of the QEMSCAN earth scanning mobile site, poised to lead shale gas and other resource exploration. Buy $1,600 of FEIC • Buy ½ Before earnings Feb. 8th • Buy ½ After earnings Trailing stop at 15% • Will look to re-enter at end of a correction. Disclosure: Bobby Fitzpatrick currently owns $30 call options. Jonathan Sheets looks to buy 2013 LEAPs within two months.
  • 4. COMPANY OVERVIEW “We make really fancy microscopes that see atoms basically. We can see and manipulate the atomic scale and we apply that to a lot of different markets.” - CEO Donald Kania • Mkt Cap $1.5 Billion • Imaging leaders in natural resources, nanotech, academic research, and life sciences. • All over the world geographically
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  • 9. “LIVING LAB” FOR STRUCTURAL BIOLOGY RESEARCH Research and Development agreement with National Inst. Of Health, National Cancer Institute (NCI), and Digestive and Kidney Diseases (NIDDKD). World Experts working together Integration of cryo-EM (FEI’s microscopes) with NMR and XRD
  • 10. GROWTH IN CELLULAR BIOLOGY RESEARCH TILL Acquisition 11/14/11 • optical microscope company for further entry and superiority in cellular biology • “Google Earth bio mapping”
  • 11. INSTITUTE AT OREGON HEALTH SCIENCES UNIVERSITY FEIC is apart of Founding Members Understanding the spatial and temporal dynamics of life that are relative to cancer and the science of cancer Cancer Market - $47.7 Billion
  • 12.
  • 13. FUTURE GROWTH GOALS Dualbeam technology for geological surveying poises FEIC to grow at 2.7x shale gas production growth
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  • 18. RESEARCH GROWTH All over the world, Alaska to Zimbabwe US and Europe not planning on much growth China relentless in buying products • China outspent the United States on FEI product 4/6 last quarters. “Being American I think it’s going to be a bad idea, but being the Head of FEI, it’s a wonderful thing… “ – CEO
  • 19. GENERAL FINANCIAL NUMBERS RS = 96 P/E = 20 Beta = 1.40 • 3% increase in fund sponsorship in last quarter (62% of stock is owned by institutions) • 20% increase in fund sponsorship in the last year • 2% is owned by management • Rallies occur on increasing volume and declines on decreasing volume approx. 80% of the time in the last 4 quarters • 14% debt/equity ratio • 3 Year EPS growth = 55% • Sales up 34% last quarter (9% 3 yr growth rate) • ROE = 8.2% (high for a medical tech, especially with high R&D expenses) • Government subsidized (from NIH)
  • 20. EARNINGS AND SALES STATS (CLOSER LOOK) • 174% EPS growth and 20% Sales growth in 4th Q 2010 • 200% EPS growth and 32% Sales growth in 1st Q 2011 • 182% EPS growth and 45% Sales growth in 2nd Q 2011 • 103% EPS growth and 34% Sales growth in 3rd Q 2011
  • 21. ANALYSTS Bank Analysts • Estimate revisions to the upside the last 3 quarters • 7/8 Buys $46-50… will look to revise with current numbers Internet Analysts • Zack’s Strong Buy List • Investors Business Daily 99/100 Composite Rating
  • 22. INDUSTRY COMPETITORS FEIC is 1 out of 35 in group in EPS FEIC is 3 out of 35 in Relative Strength Industry ranked 23/197 for: • EPS, Sales, EPS Growth, Sales Growth
  • 23. COMPS Fiscal EV EPS P/E P/E P/E FY1 EV/ EV/ EV/ Total Period FY1 FY1 NTM DAT Sales EBIT EBITDA Debt/EV E 18.5 16.9 1.80 11.00 FEI Co. 09/2011 1,437.7 2.44 19.70x 12/2011 9.51x 0.59x 6.19% 7x 2x x x 380.9 Average 4,578.3 2.27 14.95x 55.30x 15.05x 1.91x 8.41x 1.77x 16.32% 3x Median 2,555.8 2.27 13.61x 16.65x 14.09x 1.14x 8.16x 6.08x 0.76x 12.18% Hitachi High-Technologies 14.9 14.9 12.2 03/20 0.3 09/2011 2,774.5 1.48 8.16x 6.05x 0.00x 0.00% Corp. 4x 4x 7x 12 4x 532. 14.0 03/20 0.6 4,840. 15.96 Jeol Ltd. 09/2011 623.2 0.01 - 12.88x 81.26% 50x 9x 12 1x 58x x 5.20 5.40 13.9 12/20 0.4 Veeco Instruments Inc. 09/2011 537.6 4.71 1.82x 1.76x 0.01x 0.50% x x 4x 11 9x Dainippon Screen 6.86 13.2 13.4 03/20 0.6 09/2011 2,355.9 0.63 7.39x 6.08x 2.32x 38.43% Manufacturing Co. Ltd. x 8x 7x 12 8x 10.6 12.4 11.8 06/20 2.2 KLA-Tencor Corp. 09/2011 7,265.5 4.14 6.16x 5.73x 0.59x 10.27% 1x 9x 4x 12 1x
  • 24. COMPS Average 4,578.3 2.27 14.95x 55.30x 15.05x 1.91x 380.9 8.41x 1.77x 16.32% 3x Median 2,555.8 2.27 13.61x 16.65x 14.09x 1.14x 8.16x 6.08x 0.76x 12.18% Fiscal EV EPS P/E P/E P/E FY1 EV/ EV/ EV/ Total Total Period FY1 FY1 NTM DATE Sales EBIT EBITDA Debt/ Debt/EV EBITDA FEI Co. 09/2011 1,437.7 2.44 19.70x 18.57x 16.92x 12/2011 1.80x 11.00x 9.51x 0.59x 6.19% Tokyo Electron 09/2011 6,929.5 3.14 12.27x 18.28x 18.06x 03/2012 0.80x 5.83x 4.77x 0.00x 0.00% Ltd. Applied Materials 10/2011 11,972.3 0.75 8.67x 16.65x 14.56x 10/2012 1.14x 5.17x 4.67x 0.76x 16.26% Inc. Rudolph Technolo 09/2011 215.7 0.71 11.55x 14.41x 13.92x 12/2012 1.09x 6.69x 5.76x 1.23x 21.30% gies Inc. IPG Photonics 09/2011 2,435.4 2.42 23.22x 22.29x 19.56x 12/2011 5.39x 14.64x 11.80x 0.12x 1.05% Corp. Mesa Laborator 09/2011 147.6 2.27 21.65x 19.93x 18.56x 03/2012 4.12x 13.15x 11.07x 0.30x 2.71% ies Inc.
  • 25. COMPS Average 4,578.3 2.27 14.95x 55.30x 15.05x 1.91x 380.93x 8.41x 1.77x 16.32% Median 2,555.8 2.27 13.61x 16.65x 14.09x 1.14x 8.16x 6.08x 0.76x 12.18% Fiscal EV EPS P/E P/E P/E FY1 EV/ EV/ EV/ Total Total Period FY1 FY1 NTM DATE Sales EBIT EBITDA Debt/ Debt/EV EBITDA FEI 09/2011 1,437.7 2.44 19.70x 18.57x 16.92x 12/2011 1.80x 11.00x 9.51x 0.59x 6.19% Co. Agilent Technol 14,012. 10/2011 3.17 15.51x 13.94x 13.60x 10/2012 2.12x 13.05x 10.56x 1.65x 15.59% ogies 6 Inc. Waters 09/2011 7,692.3 5.24 19.46x 16.86x 16.69x 12/2012 4.24x 15.46x 13.74x 1.74x 12.63% Corp. Bruker 09/2011 2,555.8 0.82 29.42x 17.86x 15.10x 12/2011 1.60x 13.97x 11.31x 1.38x 12.18% Corp.
  • 26. 2009 FCF was used because of the large cash flow investment in Dualbeam Helios technology for DCF geological surveying in 2010 and first 3 quarters of 2011 FEI COMPANY Company Name Most Recent Fiscal Year End 12/31/2008 Date of Valuation 2/2/2012 Cost of Common Equity 10.00% Fiscal Year of Forecast 12/31/2009 12/31/2010 12/31/2011 12/31/2012 12/31/2013 12/31/2014 12/31/2015 Valuation to Common Equity Free Cash Flow to Common Equity 81,006 5,374 (13,279) (16,180) 50,027 172,087 162,746 Present Value of FCF 73,641 4,441 (9,976) (11,051) 31,063 97,139 83,515 Present Value Beyond 20 Years 698,188 Present Value of First 20 Years 1,018,167 Forecast Equity Value Before Time Adj. 1,716,355 Forecasted Value as of Valuation Date 2,358,844 Less Value of Contingent Equity Claims 0 Value Attributable to Common Equity 2,358,844 Common Shares Outstanding at BS Date 37,309 Equivalent Shares at Valuation Date 37,309 Forecast Price/Share $63.22
  • 28. QUESTIONS? We have answers.

Editor's Notes

  1. electron microscopes that market is about $1.5 billion around the globe, growing somewhere around 5% to 6%
  2. Titan- most powerful, commercial microscope at least $15 million Magellan – Xtreme High ResolutionDual Beam – Scanning Elec Microscope WITH Ion-Beams
  3. -Prof. Daniel Shechtman Wins Nobel Prize in Chemistry with Titan TEMIndustry Standard for viewing atoms. Most advanced microscope-Many Industries and all over locations-National Protein Institute, China, our Life Sciences business selling into China. China has been our fastest growing region; it now represents 12% of our business invested in that over the last few years.government institutions will continue to operate and pioneer technologies, for war, world dominance
  4. Opened office in BrazilMiddle East, East Euro, Afric, Asia (India,China)Developing will account for more than 50%
  5. Original Electron Microscope Business $1.5 Billion growing5-6%/yrWant to grow who they served. So they Grow Life Sciences and Natural Resources. Rest stay the same $7.3 Billion market, - includes Xray crystallization XRD (HIV docking protein titan superiority), Light Microscopy, -Nuclear Molecular Resonance Spectro (NMR),
  6. Goal is to accelerate medical discoveries related to global health demonstrating the value of cryo-EMThrough 3D imaging without hurtful crystalization- See benefits over XRD, HIV protein attachment problem
  7. In the future will be able to take pictures and map tag things like google earth with Emscopeslife scientists who traditionally use optical microscopes can take advantage of the high resolution capability of electron microscope, in 2 and 3D
  8. -OHSU got money from Nike founder, Decked out with FEI equipment.-same model of let's find the world’s experts, get them to use FEI’s equipment show that value and that allow us to leverage it in the marketplace to other companies in cancer research
  9. -during the great recession, the company still remained relatively robust. diversity-the Euro-Dollar exchange (orders from europe) revalued the backlog at the end of each quarter, the currency shifts those orders, lose some value, but to the benefit of the company, a weak year out means we are a more profitable company overall.
  10. -Our thesis: [be a] new technology leader in the marketplace and then, customize those. Our R&D investment is highly leveraged overall....we’re all about imagery and analytics that is seeing things that are very small and then, telling you which atoms are which.-
  11. -currently fastest growing market. Growing 50% over last year. Has the highest margins as well-same idea as 2 and 3Dcell mapping. Can scan the ground tell explorers how deep, distribution, and how much. -Dual beam with Ions for shale gas
  12. we validated in 2011 with tests 2012 is a year of commercialization and we hope to continue that aggressive growth rate in the business through 2012 and beyond.
  13. Market started piling in after announcementDecided it wanted to own the whole toolbox instead of just some tools.