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Systems Thinking

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Talk given in Oslo 14th May 2013, at the Scotsman Pub.

Talk given in Oslo 14th May 2013, at the Scotsman Pub.

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  • 1. systemsthinking
  • 2. cyberneticsthinking about systems primarily asdynamic patterns ofinteraction and feedback(rather than as static abstractions)
  • 3. your wife isverybeautiful
  • 4. Just calling it"feedback" doesntmean that it hasactually fed back.
  • 5. The amount of feedbackbuilt into living organismsdiffers by many orders ofmagnitude from theamount we build intoman-made systems.John Gall
  • 6. There is not one livingcreature that lacks thatintegrated, total unificationthrough feedback.John Gall
  • 7. Compared to a frog or asalamander, our biggestmanmade systems seemlike simple wind-up toys.John Gall
  • 8. Ignoring feedback merelymeans that the system willeventually experience amassive unpleasant surpriserather than a smallunpleasant surprise.John Gall
  • 9. It may look like acrisis, but its onlythe end of anillusion.
  • 10. tinitus
  • 11. danger
  • 12. change
  • 13. Blood Sugar
  • 14. is
  • 15. isHyperglycemia
  • 16. issensespancreasHyperglycemia
  • 17. issensespancreas causesinsulinHyperglycemia
  • 18. issensespancreas causesinsulinsensesliver &musclesHyperglycemia
  • 19. issensespancreas causesinsulinsensesliver &musclescausesglycogenHyperglycemia
  • 20. issensespancreas causesinsulinsensesliver &musclescausesglycogenHyperglycemia
  • 21. issensespancreas causesinsulinsensesliver &musclescausesglycogenHypoglycemiaHyperglycemia
  • 22. issensespancreas causesinsulinsensesliver &musclescausesglycogenHypoglycemiaHyperglycemiapancreassenses
  • 23. issensespancreas causesinsulinsensesliver &musclescausesglycogenHypoglycemiaHyperglycemiapancreassensesglucagoncauses
  • 24. issensespancreas causesinsulinsensesliver &musclescausesglycogenHypoglycemiaHyperglycemiapancreassensesglucagoncausessenses
  • 25. issensespancreas causesinsulinsensesliver &musclescausesglycogenHypoglycemiaHyperglycemiapancreassensesglucagoncausessensescauses
  • 26. Systems tend tooppose their ownproper function.Henri Louis Le ChatelierLe Chateliers Principle
  • 27. All change can beunderstood as theeffort to maintainsome constancy...
  • 28. All change can beunderstood as theeffort to maintainsome constancy......and all constancyas maintainedthrough change.
  • 29. The battle over food andterritory between two speciesis only one half of the story.
  • 30. The battle over food andterritory between two speciesis only one half of the story....the battle is a means orprocess of generating,maintaining, and stabilizingan ecosystem.Gregory BatesonSteps to an Ecology of Mind (I think)
  • 31. evolution
  • 32. evolutionis always
  • 33. evolutionis alwaysco-evolutionJohn Gall
  • 34. What is involved isnot simply survivalof the fittest
  • 35. What is involved isnot simply survivalof the fittestbut survival of thefitting-in-est.John Gall
  • 36. break;
  • 37. slack
  • 38. Queues amplifyvariability.Moving from 75 to95% utilizationincreases variabilityby 25 times.
  • 39. local optimization=~=global pessimization
  • 40. the whole is greaterthan the sum of theparts
  • 41. Successful change canonly come in thecontext of a clearunderstanding of whatmay never change,what the organizationstands for. ...
  • 42. If nothing is declaredunchangeable, then theorganization will resistall change. When thereis no defining vision,the only way theorganization can defineitself is its stasis.
  • 43. Every effect hasa cause...The Causation Fallacy
  • 44. Every effect hasa cause... and wecan tell which iswhich.The Causation Fallacy
  • 45. defects latenesscause effect====
  • 46. defectslatenesscause effect====
  • 47. The Law ofUnintended Consequences
  • 48. Failure demand"Demand caused by afailure to do somethingor do something right forthe customer"John Seddon
  • 49. Failure demand insoftware?

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