Global Futures Intelligence System talk at WFSF 2013

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  • 07/18/13
  • 07/18/13

Transcript

  • 1. The Millennium Project Global Futures Intelligence System (GFIS) www.themp.org Presented by Prof. Univ. Dr. Adrian Pop Romania Node Chair
  • 2. UN Organizations NGOs Universities GovernmentsCorporations The Millennium Project … a TransInstitution collaborative system The Millennium Project
  • 3. Nodes identify participants, translate questionnaires and reports, and conduct interviews, special research, workshops, symposiums, and advanced training. are groups of experts and institutions that connect global and local views Millennium Project Nodes
  • 4. Purposes of The Millennium Project • Create a global and on-going capacity to improve thinking about the future • Make that thinking available through a variety of media for consideration in • policymaking • advanced training • educational curricula • public education • Continually respond to feedback, to accumulate wisdom about potential futures
  • 5. Work of The Millennium Project • Perform substantive studies using global network(s) • Assist Nodes in design and performance of Node-initiated studies • Identify and track global issues • Publish annual State of the Future reports • Develop methodologies • Publish Futures Research Methods
  • 6. Content, Methodologies, Collaboration
  • 7. System for people to think together about the future • 49 Nodes connecting global and local perspectives • Real-Time Delphi for rapid assessment and feedback framework to understand and track global change • State of the Future reports with 15 Global Challenges • Educational contributions • more than 200 Interns from some 30 countries trained since 1996 • about 1,000 universities use MP materials • Inclusive and Participatory System to Measure Change • State of the Future Index – Global and National Indexes • Largest collection of methods to explore the future • 37 Methods, 39 Chapters, 1,300 pages, peer reviewed • Collective Intelligence System bringing it all together in one online platform … GFIS
  • 8. 15 Global Challenges
  • 9. … and Other Research
  • 10. One of Today’s Greatest Challenges… Information overload…
  • 11. From Noise to Relevance Wisdon Knowledge Information Data Intelligence
  • 12. Text and data mining techniques are good at addressing: • WHO? • WHAT? • WHEN? • WHERE? Additional questions usually require more human insight: • HOW? • WHY? Types of Questions
  • 13. Collective Intelligence • It is an emergent property • from synergies among • data/info/knowledge • software/hardware • experts and others with insight • that continually learns from feedback • to produce (nearly) just in time knowledge for better decisions • than these elements acting alone
  • 14. Why Collective Intelligence? • The volume, velocity, and variety of information and change are increasing exponentially • The data, information, knowledge, intelligence explosion is accelerating • Local issues depend on global developments • The MP work shows that humanity has the knowledge to address the challenges ahead • Will we use that knowledge to make the decisions necessary? • We believe collective intelligence can help
  • 15. Synergies
  • 16. Software/Hardware https://themp.org/
  • 17. Experts and those with Insight • Experts identified through literature searches, nomination by peers, recommendations of professional organizations, and self-selected. • Important qualifications are their discipline, experience, work, interests, and creativity. • Provide inputs in their area of expertise and/or make recommendations for other challenges. • Policymakers as users and generators of information. • Information cross-referenced and peer-reviewd. • Information fed into GFIS.
  • 18. Cooperation
  • 19. Global Challenges Resources… 1) Current Situation; 2) Desired Situation; 3) Policies to address the gap Latest edits Overview -short -detailed -regional consid. -actions -comments Annotated and rated articles Automatic news feeds Quantitative and qualitative analysis tools Summary of recent scans, edits, models, papers, resources, discussions web, books, papers, videos
  • 20. …and Feedback with Updating Initiated by users or editors on specific topics Response to questions or add new questions From users -- provide new insights nd views from the public on ov. programs, research, policies, etc. SOFI Continuous updating
  • 21. Compendium of Resources
  • 22. Just-in-time Knowledge
  • 23. Learns from Feedback
  • 24. Usefulness • Access the full text of the State of the Future and the Futures Research Methodologies • Stay updated on the global situation • Gain new insights • Receive expert responses to specific questions • Improve research on the future • Prepare for talks, meetings, seminars, etc. • Engage others in the organization to participate • As basic “text” in teaching • Reference tool • Publishing relevant work • Review methods • Sub-element or tool in proposals
  • 25. Looking forward to your collaboration GFIS https://themp.org to subscribe: http://millennium-project.org/millennium/GFIS.html