Analyst Helper. Training, Investigation and Analysis based on structured thinking
Upcoming SlideShare
Loading in...5
×
 

Analyst Helper. Training, Investigation and Analysis based on structured thinking

on

  • 2,314 views

Analyst Helper. A service platform based on "Structured Thinking" ans "Scientific Intelligence" that allows to train, coach and advise analysts, investigators, and knowledge workers in general, and ...

Analyst Helper. A service platform based on "Structured Thinking" ans "Scientific Intelligence" that allows to train, coach and advise analysts, investigators, and knowledge workers in general, and provide them with significant resources in the form of doctrine, strategies, methods, tecniques, systems, organizations and tools.

Statistics

Views

Total Views
2,314
Views on SlideShare
2,312
Embed Views
2

Actions

Likes
0
Downloads
68
Comments
0

2 Embeds 2

http://www.linkedin.com 1
http://ecampus.suagm.edu 1

Accessibility

Categories

Upload Details

Uploaded via as Adobe PDF

Usage Rights

© All Rights Reserved

Report content

Flagged as inappropriate Flag as inappropriate
Flag as inappropriate

Select your reason for flagging this presentation as inappropriate.

Cancel
  • Full Name Full Name Comment goes here.
    Are you sure you want to
    Your message goes here
    Processing…
Post Comment
Edit your comment

Analyst Helper. Training, Investigation and Analysis based on structured thinking Analyst Helper. Training, Investigation and Analysis based on structured thinking Presentation Transcript

  • Haga clic para modificar el estilo de título del patrónHaga clic para modificar el estilo de texto del patrón• Segundo nivel • Tercer nivel – Cuarto nivel » Quinto nivel Analyst Helper. Introductory Presentation 15-10-2010
  • Haga clic HELPER ANALYST para modificar el estilo de título del patrón 2Haga clic para modificar el estilo de texto del patrón• Segundo nivel • Tercer nivelANALYST HELPER is a set of training, coaching and advising – Cuarto nivelservices on investigation and analysis based on the » Quinto niveldiscipline of Scientific Intelligence applied to StructuredThinking.It has been designed to train elite analysts from variousfields, but can be applied to any person, professional,collective or organization. “Only the best train the rest” JMJ-2010 2008-2011 JMJLab - All rights reserved
  • Haga clic para modificar el estilo de título del patrón Definition of Analysis 3Haga clic parato Lewin, analysis is the patrónAccording modificar el estilo de texto del• Segundo nivelprocess in which the constituent parts • Tercer nivelof whatCuartobeing analyzed are identified – is nivel » Quinto nivelas for the relationships between themto gain a better understanding of howthe entire entity and their parts aremade and work. 2008-2011 JMJLab - All rights reserved
  • Haga clic para modificar el estilo de título del patrón The analyst as investigator 4Haga one which is competent texto del patrónThe clic para modificar el estilo de to determine• Segundo nivelthe precise problem, set targets and • Tercer nivelissues,–design, develop and manage a Cuarto niveldata collection plan, manage the » Quinto nivelprocessing of such data and disseminatingthe intelligence product according todemand of the organization or client. 2008-2011 JMJLab - All rights reserved
  • Haga clic para modificar el estilo de título del patrón The analyst and complexity 5Haga clic para modificar el estilo de texto del patrón “The rules of the game: learn everything, read Segundo nivel• everything, inquire into everything… When two texts, Tercer nivel • or two assertions, or perhaps two ideas, are – Cuarto nivel in contradiction,nivel ready to reconcile them » Quinto be rather than cancel one by the other; regard them as two different facets, or two successive stages, of the same reality, a reality convincingly human just because it is complex.” Marguerite Yourcenar, Memoirs of Hadrian 2008-2011 JMJLab - All rights reserved
  • HagaINTELLIGENCE ANALYST: The TOP analystpatrón THE clic para modificar el estilo de título del 6“ Solidclic para modificar el estilonot easy to develop…Haga intelligence on terrorism is de texto del patrónI would like to salute the unsung heroes of the struggle• Segundo nivelagainst Tercer nivel These heroes are the intelligence • terrorism.analysts. –Oftennivel have little to go on: a photograph, Cuarto theya fragment ofQuinto nivel » an overheard conversation, the text of acommuniqué, the summary of a meeting, a used airlineticket. Sometimes, it is like piecing together a giganticjigsaw puzzle, but it is a puzzle that can save lives.” George Shultz Former Secretary of State 2008-2011 JMJLab - All rights reserved
  • Haga clic para modificarHelper - Ide título del patrón Introduction to Analyst el estilo 7Haga clic has developed aestilo de texto del patrónJMJLAB para modificar el service platformbased on "Structured Thinking" and “Scientific• Segundo nivel • Tercer nivelIntelligence” nivel allows to train, coach and – Cuarto thatadvise analysts,nivel » Quinto investigators and knowledgeworkers in general and provide them withsignificant resources in the form of doctrines,strategies, methods, techniques, systems,organizations and tools. We call this platformAnalyst Helper. 2008-2011 JMJLab - All rights reserved
  • Haga clic para modificarHelper - II título del patrón Introduction to Analyst el estilo de 8• It is clic para modificar el estilo de texto investigationHaga a platform of knowledge and services for del patrón and analysis aimed at any knowledge worker in general• Segundo nivel (consultants, scientists, lawyers, managers, advisors, • Tercer nivel journalists, etc.) and at the body of professional analysts in – Cuarto nivel particular (financial, marketing, political, military, police » Quinto nivel investigators, social or scientific analysts).• It was designed by JMJ after more than 15 years of research in this field.• It is in constant process of improvement and innovation.• In 2011 the platform will have a Portal version aimed to the global community of analysts. 2008-2011 JMJLab - All rights reserved
  • Haga clic HELPER. Training and advising platform ANALYST para modificar el estilo de título del patrón 9Haga clicplatform for continuous training,de texto del patrónAdvanced para modificar el estilo coaching and advising• Segundo nivel • Tercer nivel Training in methodologies – Cuarto nivel Preguntasfor investigation and Analyst Training Apertura de Recursos Analyst Mentor los casos a utilizar Definición Creación Identificación de los de los casos de Fuentes Caso Desarrollo y gestión de casos de Definición Identificaciónanalysis management investigación de los roles del entorno basada en métodos de investigación de inteligencia » Quinto nivel in investigativa Archivo de basada en Gestión de los los informes evidencias proyectos Training Advice in investigation and Gestión Desarrollo de del caso los casos COMPAÑÍA NO Elaboración de Análisis y revisión Adquisición DE TAXI EXISTE Presentación conclusiones de información (INFORMES) EVIDENCE-LAB V-II methodology Preparación Descubrimiento DIRECCIÓN analysis of cases de los Informes y detección de evidencias TELÉFONO Analysis Synthesis CLIENTE TELÉFONO CLIENTE 1. Estructura de un consejo de administración. 19. Seguimiento de eventos empresariales. 2. Empresas vinculadas en un sector. 20. Seguimiento del ciclo de vida de un producto. 3. Curriculums disponibles sobre una habilidad. 21. Seguimiento de patentes. TRANSACCIÓN 4. Documentos disponibles sobre una tecnología. 22. Movimientos públicos de competidores en un methods 5. Transacciones o llamadas desde una cuenta. momento determinado. DIRECCIÓN methods 6. Informaciones disponibles sobre una empresa. 23. Seguimiento de operaciones corporativas. DIRECCIÓN 24. Envío de alertas predeterminadas. CLIENTE CLIENTE 7. Relaciones entre empresas o personas. 25. Detección de palabras clave en documentos de TRANSACCIÓN TRANSACCIÓN 8. Relaciones entre publicaciones o blogs. audio. CANTIDADES NO TRANSACCIÓN 9. Mapas tecnológicos de investigadores o centros I+D 26. Monitorización de medios locales. HABITUALES CLIENTE Analysis COINCIDENCIA 10. Noticias relacionadas en un determinado momento. 27. Transcripciónde un competidor. 1. Objetivos y análisis de textos. 30 Alias P.A.N.M. 18. Determinación de los procesos que pueden OFACTraining in investigation Synthesis 11. Actores y relaciones en un sector determinado. 28. Seguimiento de campañas. un competidor. P.H. Pitharny Muhamar Hanjadar 25 Louis Handsome B.B. Blubingier Hanjai Jonaby 2. Estado emocional de Jp. Donarthy Khar Jharti conducir a un evento o situación. 12. Informaciones disponibles sobre una empresa. 29. Envío de alertas y posicionamientoun competidor. 3. Patrones y pref erencias de de video y Alias “Jones” Leonard P. Wilson 20 Gardai Hunini People 19. Ponderaciones de opiniones de expertos audio 22-34897654 33-34897654 6667983211 15 VISA 34232245678 45-67983211 4. Planes de un competidor. 00-456143260 MC 456143260 VISA 34232245678 MC 456143260 MC 456143260 sobre un tema. 10 Communications Time T1 Time T2 5. Anticipación de las acciones de un 01-555-343-6789 01-555-343-5456 01-888-343-6789 20. Determinación de las compensaciones Time T3 techniques 01-777-478-7676 5 06-555-378-6789 Time T4 competidor. 01-555-343-6789 01-555-366-6789 01-555-343-6789 01-775-343-6789 01-555-343-6789 necesarias para realizar una acción 01-555-343-6789 6. Manipulación y trampas de un competidor. 01-555-343-6789 21. Establecimiento de las tendencias de techniques 0 5 10 15 20 25 13. Perfil electrónico de un ejecutivo. 30. Georeferenciación de clientes. de gravedad 7. Determinación del centro escalada en una situación o conf licto. MissionType BlueAttack 100 BlueRescue 0 AtackPosition 14. Relaciones de un ejecutivo. 31. Georeferenciación de oportunidades. Distance RedAttack 0 Rear 0 Al FiringRange 0 0 WithDraw 0 Flank Front 0 100 estratégico de una organización. 22. Determinación de las f uerzas de los actoresand analysis techniques Nearby 100 15. Escritos y publicaciones de un ejecutivo. 32. Georeferenciación dede perf iles sociales y 8. Establecimiento infraestructuras Distant 0 Defend True 70.0 TargetDensity AngleOff False 30.0 Isolated Moderate 0 100 en un escenario de operación posible . 16. Videos y grabaciones de audio disponible sobre 33. Detección y envíode una persona o grupo. psicológicos de alertas geográficas. Facing 100 High 0 Glancing 0 23. Determinación de la estrategia de los actores Perpendicular 0 Cover Away 0 conferencias. 34. Detección de rutas. de relaciones ocultas entre None 0 Moderate 100 Attacking target High 0 9. Descubrimiento en un escenario de operación posible. True 0 17. Presentaciones realizadas por un ejecutivo. 35. Localización deorganizaciones. de proximidad. personas u actores y relaciones False 100 FrendlyDensity FireSupport Isolated 0 None 0 Moderate 100 24. Disposición de las f uerzas de un objetivo en 18. Biografía extendida. Couple 100 MoveSupport High 0 Few 0 None 0 Many 0 Couple 100 Few 0 Many 0 10. Determinación del tipo de relaciones de una f unción de su situación geográf ica. persona u organización. 25. Determinación del signif icado de tendencias Structured thinking 11. Red social pasada, presente y de intención y patrones numéricos en personas, objetos y f utura de una persona u organización. organizaciones.(160 certified techniques) 12. Perf iles y percepciones de las personas y u 26. Determinación de la estructura real de una organizaciones sobre otras. organización. 13. Vías alternativas de planteamiento de 27. Detección de patrones explicativos en textos. problemas y soluciones. 28. Reconocimiento y previsión de situaciones methods and techniques 14. Alternativas de decisión en f unción de la por analogías con otras situaciones o casos. situación y los objetivos. Bayesian Belief Network 29. Modelos matemáticos de comportamientos Determinación de eventos f uturos en H: Visit will 15. P(H|H2) = 3/4 Be success P(H|H4) = .85 P(H|H6) = .65 de las variables explicativas de un f enómeno f unción de los eventos acaecidos en hasta H2: Talk will Be g o o d H4: Faculty Meetin gs H6: GS Meetin g s del mundo real. Will g o well el presente. Will g o well P(H2|H1) = 2/3 P(H3|H2) = .5 P(H3|H2) = ..8 P(H6|H5) = .8 30. Simulación dinámica de situaciones. 16. Establecimiento de rankings de credibilidad H1: Steve Will Give Talk H3: Steve Will H5: Steve Will Meet Grad uate 31. Matrices de asociación. Meet Faculty en inf ormaciones ,personas y Stud en ts P(H1|E) = .95 P(H3|E, H2) = .95 P(H5|E) = .60 32. Cuadros de hipótesis alternativas que organizaciones. P(E) = 1. E: Steve is Visito r compiten entre si en f unción de las 17. Determinación del costo-benef icio de ciertos evidencias captadas en el momento t. objetivos y acciones. Investigation and analysis software and IT systems No Deducción encaja,pe Tratamos de encontrar alguna ro que Training in advanced evidencia de Evaluación deocurre patrones Hipótesis apta para pruebas Detección probabilidades de múltiples con conocidos en con plantillas conocidas ataques previos hipótesis ataques con el 2 mismo Tratamos de encontrar alguna 1 Retroducción Hipótesis acerca de la situación de la fábrica H={H0,H1} MO a evidencia que H0: es una fábrica de jabón otros indique nuevos H1: es una guarnición militarojetivos investigation and analysis patrones de ataque en otra Hipótesis Búsqueda de evidencias 3 La más probable clase de objetivos final para afirmar nuevas Conjeturar nuevas hipótesis explicación de la 4 hipótesis evidencia produce razonesTraining in Structured i8 para la alertai21 Evidencias Abducción 5 software Conjeturar la mejor Ensamblar evidencias que 6 Evaluar múltiples La evidencias explicación de las mejor enmarquen el probabilidades de parecen indicar evidencias proceso de discernimiento hipótesis otras clases de Aumenta ataques a i20 objetivos Validar una i14 ExplicaciónThinking techniques i7 estrategia de Consonante Inducción 7 ataque general Conjeturar un Inferencias patrón general de Ensamblar la Validar la nueva ataques a través de relevancia Conjeturar para probabilidad de i13 Descubrimiento i19 formar una hipótesis evidencia en el 8 de todas las i6 generalizada marco generalizado la hipótesis categorías de objetivos de discernimiento i2 i12 i18 i5 i17 Conflicto Inferencias de credibilidad i4 i11 Disminuye E7 E8 i i16 E9 15 i1 i9 i10 i3 Redundante Evidencia E1 E2 E3 E4 E5 E6 2008-2011 JMJLab - All rights reserved
  • Haga clic para modificar elhelper de título del patrón Potential users of Analyst estilo services 10 • Ministries. • Corporate strategy departments.Haga clic para modificar el estilo de texto del patrón • • Police forces. The army. • • Business development departments. Departamentos de expansión. • Regional governments. • Support functions to general directions.• Segundo nivel • • City councils. Public administration agencies. • • Marketing departments. Sales departments. • • • Tercer nivel Large companies. Educational institutions. • • Systems and organization departments. Public opinion observatories. • Foundations.– Cuarto nivel • Research units. • SMEs. • Auditing units. • Think-Tanks. » Quinto nivel • Fraud detection units. • Political organizations. • Customer service departments: complaint management. • Supranational organizations. • Public administration cabinets. • NGOs. • Foundations and social studies centres. • Virtual communities of knowledge workers. • Police and judicial investigation units. • Consultancies. • Governmental intelligence units. • Information superiority and intelligence portals. • Military intelligence units • High executives and their assistants. • State institutions. • VIP (World-class Decision Makers). • Investigative journalism teams. • Inquiry committees. • Technology surveillance centres. “In general, we can say that Structured Thinking and • … Scientific Intelligence contribute and supports all other fields; in other terms, it has a key role within any human organization”. José Martín Juárez 2008-2011 JMJLab - All rights reserved
  • Haga clic HELPER TRAINING. Reference rates patrón ANALYST para modificar el estilo de título del 11Haga clic para modificar el estilo de texto del patrón Analyst Helper Training Deliverables Training seminars on meta-procedures of “Structured Thinking” and techniques of analysis and synthesis. Budget. € Time• Segundo nivel STEP-THROUGH Introductory doctrinal training, based on “Structured Thinking”, in strategy, investigation, analysis and Strategic Information production organizations and technologies. (4 hours). 900 € /attendee 1 day Minimum 5 attendees. METAPRO • Tercer nivel in a meta-procedure of Strategic Structured Thinking. (4 sessions of 4 hours, Training & coaching 4.000 € 4 days 10 practical exercises, 2 tutorials of 2 hours, 30 days online support). Minimum 5 attendees. /attendee METHOD – Cuarto nivel a method of structured analysis. (2 sessions of 4 hours, 10 practical Training & coaching in 2.000 € 2 days exercises, 1 tutorial of 2 hours, 15 days online support). Minimum 5 attendees. /attendee SMARTKIDS » Quinto nivel Training & coaching in Structured Thinking for children (8-12 years), 10 sessions of 1 hour, 600 € 10 days 25 practical exercises, 2 tutorials 2 hours. At least 10 students. /attendee OPEN MIND Training & coaching in Structured Thinking for pre and university students, (15 sessions of 2 900 € 15 days STUDENT hours, 50 exercises, 4 tutorials of 2 hours). At least 20 students. /attendee Analyst Helper Continuous training & coaching for analysts and investigators. (WORLD-CLASS ANALYST & HIGH Training EXECUTIVE TRAINING). VIP ONE Personal training & coaching of an analyst, investigator, consultant or executive. 60.000 € 1 year PACK-5 Training & coaching of a team of analysts, investigators, consultants or executives. 90.000 € 1 year (5 attendees) GROUP-25 Training & coaching of a group of analysts, investigators, consultants or executives. 180.000 € 1 year (25 attendees) CORPORATE Training & coaching of cadres of analysts, managers... 600.000 € 1 year (100 attendees) VAT not included 2008-2011 JMJLab - All rights reserved IVA no incluido
  • Haga clic MENTOR. Reference rates título del patrón ANALYST para modificar el estilo de 12Haga clic para modificar el estilo de texto del patrón Deliverables Budget € Time Analyst Mentor Continuous assessment in investigation and analysis• Segundo nivel ONECASE Assessment in a specific case. 18.000 € 1 year • Tercer nivel Entry level Continuous assessment in investigation and analysis. Supporting 5 cases. 40.000 € 1 year – Cuarto nivel Case-25 » Quinto nivel in investigation and analysis. Supporting 25 cases. Continuous assessment 180.000 € 1 year Case-50 Continuous assessment in investigation and analysis. Supporting 50 cases. 300.000 € 1 year BINOMIO Personalized assessment to a VIP in investigation and analysis. 120.000 € 1 year CASE-TEAM Training to an investigation and analysis team in Evidence Lab V-II 60.000 € 1 year methodology. Five users. CASE-TEAM+TOOL Training to an investigation and analysis team in Evidence Lab V-II 120.000 € 1 year methodology and deployment of NOWIS Evidence Lab 5.1. Five users. VAT not included 2008-2011 JMJLab - All rights reserved
  • Haga clic para modificar el estilo de título del patrón 13Haga clic para modificar el estilo de texto del patrón• Segundo nivel1. Introduction to the scientific-technical • Tercer nivel basis ofQuinto nivel ANALYST HELPER – Cuarto nivel » 2008-2011 JMJLab - All rights reserved
  • Haga clic para modificar el estilo de - I Conceptual bases of Analyst Helper título del patrón 14• The clic para modificar el estilo de texto raw data toHaga process by which we move from a set of del patrón• Segundo nivel precise Strategic Information is what we the creation of call • Tercer nivel analysis.• The coreCuarto nivel – is the reasoning processes that create, from previously»known information, new Strategic Quinto nivel Information.• For the analyst´s point of view, it is the process by which the evidence (information determined to be relevant to the issue discussed) is used to infer new information about the investigated subject: the target.• Analysis should deal with evidence that are often inadequate, vague or of questionable origin. 2008-2011 JMJLab - All rights reserved
  • Haga clic para modificar el estilo de - II del patrón Conceptual bases of Analyst Helper título 15Actually,clicprocess called "analysis"el estilo de texto del patrónHaga the para modificar includes the processes of analysis andsynthesis.• Segundo systematic application of the analytic-synthetic reasoningThe study and nivelprocesses, Tercer nivel • from theoretical and functional points of view, are the basis of theStructured Analysis. – Cuarto nivelIn traditional analysis, there are two approaches: » Quinto nivel• Intuitive analysis or “common sense”. This analysis focuses on a limited range of alternatives based on experience and aimed at satisfying primary needs of explanation. (Use individual and tacit mental models).• Structured analysis. It follows the principles of Scientific Intelligence, directed to systematically consider all reasonable alternatives and explicitly represent all alternative solutions to understand the factors and actors analyzed.Analyst Helper follows the guidelines of the Structured Thinking. 2008-2011 JMJLab - All rights reserved
  • Haga clic para Structured Thinking and título delIntelligence Introduction to modificar el estilo de Scientific patrón 16Haga clic para modificarinvolvesde texto del patrónStructured Thinking el estilo intentional• Segundo nivel strategies, methods andapplication of • Tercer niveltechniques to improve the cognitive-rational – Cuarto nivelskills, and»therefore, the efficient operation Quinto nivelregardless of the application domain, of anindividual, group, human organization orsystem. JMJ-2010 2008-2011 JMJLab - All rights reserved
  • Haga clic para modificarStructuredde título - I patrón Neurocybernetic bases of el estilo Thinking del 17Haga clic para modificar el estilo de texto del patrónFrom this scientific paradigm, thinking, as a brain activity, involves the mobilization ofresources that we call "Ingenios" to a specific configuration according to the purpose.These resources nivel support to all processes caused by internal or external stimulus,• Segundo providelike objectives, results of other thoughts or genetic condition. • Tercer nivelThese resources or "Ingenios” are divided into two types:1. Cognitive– Cuarto nivel Ingenios: Resources inherent in every human that provide similar abilities to all human beings and nivel the physiological basis of our brain, genetically » Quinto are in determined but with the capacity of natural or deliberate development.2. Rational Ingenios: Man-made resources that allows to organize, optimize and evaluate the thought processes. These resources also allow certain tasks to be easily replicated on machines such as computers via hardware and software devices.As Minsky argues: “Each of our major Ways to Think results from turning certainresources on while turning certain others off—and thus changing some ways that ourbrains behave.” 2008-2011 JMJLab - All rights reserved
  • Haga clic para modificarStructuredde título - II patrón Neurocybernetic bases of el estilo Thinking del 18Haga clic para modificar el estilo de texto del patrónContrary to popular belief and what some "gurus of simplicity" broadcast, the set of cognitive and rational resourcesthat are activated both when a person falls in love or to make a decision are similar in their basis, but with aconfiguration completely different in structure and sequence, while another set of resources are disactivated.• Segundo nivelIn this sense, we can define emotions as specific processes of thought aimed at strengthening other processes of • Tercer nivelthought of different sign. We will call the emotions from now on as cognitive abilities. – Cuarto nivel I I I I I I I I I I I l l » Quinto nivel I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I l l I I I l l I I I l l I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I Thought processes involved Thought processes involved Thought processes in the instant infatuation of person A. in the systematic study of person involved in analyzing the profile of EMOTIONAL MAXIMIZATION. A with the aim of establishing a person A. personal relationship. RATIONAL MAXIMIZATION. DUAL STRUCTURED THINKING REFLEXIVE AND BALANCED Brain I Cognitive Ingenio enabled I Rational Ingenio enabled Machine I Cognitive Ingenio disabled I Rational Ingenio disabled 2008-2011 JMJLab - All rights reserved
  • Haga clicIntelligence and Structuredde título - I patrón Scientific para modificar el estilo Thinking del 19Haga clic para modificar el estilo de texto del patrónStructured Thinking development will help to create an individual and collectiveconsciousness more just, balanced, diverse and free.• Segundo nivel indoctrinate in values, although consider them natural andStructured Thinking do notcatalyst for thought processes, on the contrary, it constantly subject such values to a • Tercer nivelbalanced and objective evaluation in line with the real world. – Cuarto nivelBy a top-down approach, Structured Thinking allows to self-restructuring the way weperceive, understand, Quinto nivel » interpret, comprehend, act and influence the real world, and promotesthe development and improvement of psychological, physiological and biochemicalstructures of the brain."Scientific Intelligence" is the scientific-technical discipline researching and developing theobjectives of the "Structured Thinking" in an all encompassing approach.JMJ, founder of the “Scientific Intelligence”, define it as “a discipline which studiesintelligence as a singular, universal phenomenon, researching, designing, developing,improving and adapting the processes (thoughts) and products (knowledge and behavior)inherent to the phenomenon of Intelligence from cognitive, rational, biomimetic, andquantum approaches." 2008-2011 JMJLab - All rights reserved
  • Haga clicIntelligence and Structuredde título - II patrón Scientific para modificar el estilo Thinking del 20Haga clic para modificar el estilo de texto del patrónScientific Intelligence builds models, systems, processes, products and services that enhancehuman intelligence. Scientific Intelligence permits to implement educational programs,technological systems and social organizations aimed at better understanding, interpreting• Segundo nivel real world and more and better influencing on it by adoptingand comprehension of the • Tercer nivelmore efficient and balanced behavior.Its origin dates – Cuarto nivel back to the research made by JMJ to support innovation processes in thedesign of information production systems in support of intelligence organizations and » Quinto nivelmilitary police.JMJ noted a significant gap in science and technology due to lack of a discipline thatcomprehensively study and consider intelligence as a singular and universal fact.That is, psychology studies intelligence essentially from a behavioral perspective,neuroscience studies the brain from a physiological point of view, neurocybernetics from thestandpoint of the concurrent processes of energy and information, artificial intelligence fromthe point of view of creation and simulation of intelligent process and systems and so on.Scientific Intelligence, fueled by these disciplines, borns with a purpose of functional utilitythrough design, with a vocation and mission encompassing identifying and explaining thephenomenon of intelligence itself and all the existing and possible "intelligences”. 2008-2011 JMJLab - All rights reserved
  • Innovationpara modificar el estilo de título del patrón Haga clic objectives in Scientific Intelligence 21Haga clic para modificar el estilo de texto del patrónThe objectives of the research and design on Scientific Intelligence are:• To identify the cognitive-rational skills and abilities that take part in the different thought Segundo nivel• processes that are set for any human activity.• To research on the biochemical, physiological, neurocybernetic and systemic processes that support• Tercer nivelabilities and skills. or enhance such – Cuarto nivel• To design and develop strategies, methods and techniques to evaluate, improve and develop the efficiency of thenivel » Quinto thought processes, that is, what we think and how we think and, on that basis, how we perceive, understand, interpret, comprehend, act and influence in the real world (see the presentation on Differences between understanding, interpretation, understanding and influence.)• To transfer the abovementioned strategies, methods and techniques to different groups, adapted to temporary, situational and intellectuals circumstances of each (analysts, children, adults, seniors, unemployed, students, executives, technicians, researchers, soldiers, laborers...).• To design systems and organizations which are Structured Thinking intensive due to the nature of its mission such as investigation, analysis, problem management, strategic information production, information superiority, risk and opportunity management, etc. 2008-2011 JMJLab - All rights reserved
  • Haga clic para modificar el estilo deGen. - I del patrón JMJLAB Ingenios Reference Model 1st. título 22Haga clic para modificar el estilo de texto del patrón • JMJLAB has built a reference model for Scientific Intelligence systems that lead our innovation plan – a framework• Segundo nivel Reasoning Socio-technical which allows the evaluation, diagnosis and improvement of organizational processes and behavior from a • Tercer nivel System cognitive-rational approach - (Martín- – Cuarto nivel Juárez 2010). Such reference model, is called INGENIOS RM (1st Generation). Understanding » Quinto nivel Communication Strategic • These major systems are composed of Socio-technical Socio-technical Socio-technical System System System subsystems that consistently interact with each other in a complex model from a systemic point of view but progressive in terms of incorporation Actions of these systems into the Informations Knowledge Socio Technical organizations. In other words, the System incorporation of any of the systems and subsystems identified in the model is equivalent to the improvement of Real World one or more cognitive or rational faculties in the organization, making it more intelligent in terms of the A JMJLAB SCIENTIFIC INTELLIGENCE DUAL SYSTEM REFERENCE Model – "Ingenios" or intellective resources 1st. Generation - Cognitive & Rational Approach incorporated. 2008-2011 JMJLab - All rights reserved
  • Haga clic para modificar el estilo deGen. - IIdel patrón JMJLAB Ingenios Reference Model 1st. título 23Haga clic para modificar el estilo de texto del patrón • The name of the reference model is in honor of Spanish Juan Huarte de San Juan that, in the sixteenth century established, in a more or less• Segundo nivel explicit way, that in speaking of intelligence it was more judicious to describe it in terms of the • Tercer nivel Reasoning System Search & Reasoning Sequences Mng. Recommendation & Judgement mental faculties or "Ingenios". Our dual (cognitive-rational) model called “INGENIOS- – Cuarto nivel STS STS Problem Critical RM” is the first generation of three planned which will incorporate the biomimetic and Learning Creativity Solving Thinking STS STS » Quinto nivel STS STS quantum approaches. Understanding System Communication System Strategic System • The establishment of INGENIOS-RM has an important significance in several respects; on Course of Translation & Situational Estimative & Action Planner Actions Interpretation Affinity STS Broadcast STSAwareness STS Predictive STS STS Development STS & Training STS the one hand we can establish a framework for Strategic Immediate Information Response STS Mng. STS Pattern Risk & Decision Operations our research, design and development Communications ProtocolDetection and Opportunities Interaction STS Management Management Mng. STS Mng. STS Strategic STS STS STS objectives in Scientific Intelligence while Knowledge System creating a global network of innovation around Knowledge Storage STS Knowledge Structures the model. On the other hand, defines a framework for how to study, evaluate and Mng. STS Knowledge Adquisition Planner STS Knowledge Task Analyzer STS introduce improvements through innovation projects and processes into a human organization according to the level of cognitive and rational intelligence displayed in its processes, products, behaviors and organizational structures. 2008-2011 JMJLab - All rights reserved
  • Haga clic para modificar el estilo de título del patrón Concept of “Ingenio” in "Scientific Intelligence" 24“A resource - or ingenio is a el estilo de texto deltheHaga clic para modificar utility which increases patrónrational and/or cognitive capacity of the system that• Segundo nivelintegrates it, and the organization where it is deployed. • Tercer nivel – Cuarto nivel (Martín-Juárez 2010). » Quinto nivelAn Ingenio is a dual (cognitive-rational) system.Ingenios research, design and configuration into complexsystems is the main activity of JMJLAB.To date we have designed and developed more than fifty“Ingenios”, integrated over one hundred and identifiedmore than three hundred. 2008-2011 JMJLab - All rights reserved
  • Haga clic para modificar el estilo de ScI systems “Ingenios”, the core components of título del patrón 25 Sistema DualHaga clic para modificar el estilo de texto del patrón Reasoning STS IIIIII IIIIII I II I Il I I I I Il Services• Segundo nivel Reasoning sts I I I I Knowledge Packets Managers • Tercer nivel Funtional Blocks Connectors – Cuarto nivel Coretechs Devices Understanding STS » Quinto nivel Communication STS Strategic STS Support infrastructures Ingenios Repository Knowledge STS Tizona Ingenios Component (Smart Information Repository) 2008-2011 JMJLab - All rights reserved
  • Haga clic para modificar el system título del patrón Scientific Intelligence dual estilo de 26Haga clic para modificar el estilo de texto del patrónDesigning dual systems involves a global reflection on all cognitive and rationalresources that must come together in a consistent format.• Segundo nivel Dual system for search and capture Dual system • Tercer nivel – Cuarto nivel IT system: User: Rational machine Cognitive system Mass information» Quinto nivel ISIS GLOBAL HUNTER 5.2 search, gathering I I and monitoring system. I I I I I I I I I l l I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I l l Target I I I I I I JMJLAB TARGET-SFM I I I Information gathering methodology Operator: Cognitive system 2008-2011 JMJLab - All rights reserved
  • Haga clic para modificar el estilo de título del patrón Examples of dual “Ingenios” 27Ingenios designed, developed or certified byHaga clic para modificar el estilo de texto del patrón TYPES OF ”INGENIOS”JMJLAB y WUNDERMAC labs. 1. CORETECHS. Information processing technologies developed by WUNDERMAC or certificated developers enabling state-of-art processing capabilities. (e.g. smart repositories-Tizona, retrieval technologies - Global Hunter).• Segundo nivel 2. CONNECTORS: software components that integrate the processing capabilities with the functionality that they must endure. (e.g. connector between Intelligent Database: TIZONA 5.1 • Tercer nivel Retrieval and Translator). 3. FUNTIONAL BLOCKS. Software applications that support advanced Methodology for intelligent functionality in the process of Scientific Intelligence operation defined by the – Cuarto nivel search and retrieval of socio-technical model (e.g. source weighting, hypotheses verifier). information on key targets: » Quinto nivel TARGET-SFM 4. MANAGERS. Software applications that interact with the system operators and govern the "Functional Blocks" on the basis of the methodological model. Intelligent data search and (e.g. collection manager, annual intelligence plan manager, event manager). monitoring: 5. KNOWLEDGE PACKETS. System operation guidelines, with examples of use, GLOBAL HUNTER 5.2 knowledge "pills" and other e-learning products. (e.g. operation guide for the production of strategic risk assessment reports; training in planned event response; training in design and development of collection networks). 6. SERVICES. Technical and operational external support services that enable to Evidence-based extend the capabilities of the system or organization. (e.g. translation investigation methodology: services). KPS-EELD Hypotheses manager: 7. DEVICES. Certified electronic devices to support efficient operation and ANALYST TOOLBOX 5.1 management of the system. (Touch screens, integrated electronic whiteboards, etc.).. 8. INFRASTRUCTURES. Hardware, communications and other material support to an efficient, secure, fault tolerant, ergonomic environment, with predictive Pattern Analysis: VISUAL maintenance and resistant to harsh environmental conditions. (e.g. from LINK server clustering, uninterruptible power supplies, cooling systems, process controllers, to carpet, chairs, tables, lighting, room arrangement, etc.). 2008-2011 JMJLab - All rights reserved
  • Haga clic para modificar el estilo de título del patrón 28Haga clic para modificar el estilo de texto del patrón• Segundo nivel2. Analystnivel • Tercer Training Service – Cuarto nivel » Quinto nivel 2008-2011 JMJLab - All rights reserved
  • Haga clic para modificar el estilo de título del patrón ANALYST HELPER TRAINING 29Analyst Helper is the more advanced,Haga clic para modificar el estilo de texto del patróncomprehensive and sound set of coaching and• Segundo niveltraining programs aimed at analysts and knowledge • Tercer nivelworkers.– Cuarto nivel » Quinto nivelIt increases the capacity to effectively understandand influence the real world in relation to theobjectives established. It also allows learningtechniques of continuous self-improvement in thereasoning processes of each individual. 2008-2011 JMJLab - All rights reserved
  • Haga clic para and coachingestilo de título del patrón Main training modificar el program - I 30WORLD-CLASS ANALYST & HIGH EXECUTIVE TRAINING. Annual program:1. Doctrinal training modificar of strategy, investigation, analysis andHaga clic para and concepts el estilo de texto del patrón• Segundo nivel Structured Thinking.2. Training in techniques of situational analysis. • Tercer nivel3. Training in techniques of estimative analysis. – Cuarto nivel4. Training in methodologies of investigation, analysis and Strategic » Quinto nivel Information production.5. Training in formal reasoning methods.6. Training in design and development of analysis sequences.7. Training in design and development of formal reasoning sequences.8. Training in design and development of Strategic Information products.9. Training in implementation and management of investigation, analysis and Strategic Information production units. 2008-2011 JMJLab - All rights reserved
  • Haga clic para and coachingestilo de título del patrón Main training modificar el program - II 31WORLD-CLASS ANALYST & HIGH EXECUTIVE TRAINING. Annual structure:Haga clic para modificar el estilo de texto del patrónA. Nine training programs, three days each, 3 hours/day (81 hours), 120 theoretical exercises, 45 practical exercises, and 4 operational trainings per year of 3 days• Segundo nivel (36 hours) with continuous support. each, 3 hours / dayB. TeacherTercer nivel He will individually and collectively meet with everyone to • and coach: JMJ. adapt the – Cuarto nivel and schedules to specific objectives. course contentC. Materials and digital documentation with practical exercises. » Quinto nivelD. Advanced software tools will be used throughout the course for investigation and analysis support.E. Access to a knowledge base of documents on Structured Thinking, investigation, analysis and practical exercises.F. Evaluación trimestral del grado y la forma de aplicación de los procedimientos y métodos de investigación y análisis.G. Quarterly assessment of the implementation manner and degree of the investigation and analysis procedures and methods.H. Quarterly assessment of structure and content quality of the investigation and analysis reports. 2008-2011 JMJLab - All rights reserved
  • Haga clic para modificar el estiloprocessing patrón Cognitive model of information de título del 32Throughout the training, student´s cognitive skills in information processing are fostered by studying, Haga clic para modificar el estilo de texto del patrónmonitoring and improving their particular characteristics. • Segundo nivel processing in the human brain Model of information • Tercer nivel Short-term Stimulus – sensory nivel Cuarto Short-term Working memory Response memory (STM) (WM) repository (STSR) » Quinto nivel Long-term memory (LTM) STSR STM-WM LTM Capacity High or unlimited Limited to around 7 Unlimited “chunks” Storage Mode Accurate and sensory Repetition and review of Organized and relational material Duration Short (1 / 2 second Relative (18 seconds Permanent for visual information) without review) Information Loss Temporal fading Review of material or Recovery failure or shift due to new interference from other information information 2008-2011 JMJLab - All rights reserved
  • Haga clic para modificar el implementation of Structured Thinking General methodology for the estilo de título del patrón 33Haga clic para modificar el estilo de texto del patrón Steps in solving a Bases of the methodology of evidence-based Structured Thinking. Segundo nivel•case. • Tercer nivelStructuring the Define assumptions, methods and target questions explicitly.case. – Cuarto nivel cognitive and rational reference structure for sequences of thought. Identify the Identify all bodies of knowledge involved, alternative views and conclusions. » Quinto nivelQualification of the Identify the origin and quality of all sources of evidence. Classify them for their reliability. Check the methods of evidence collection. To study the accuracy of the evidence.sources andevidenceReasoning from the Check the validity of both the rational process (to ensure the absence of logical fallacies) and the cognitive process (to detect ways of cognitive error).evidence to the Set up rational alternative arguments.argument. Define the propagation of uncertainty from the evidence through the argumentation of conclusions.Evaluating Understand and comprehend the real world subject to the problem. Define criteria and cognitive-rational decisions.arguments and Predicting the consequences of such decisions.make decisions. Weigh the implications and alternative judgments. Decide and support such decision with objective rationality and cognitive consistency. 2008-2011 JMJLab - All rights reserved
  • Haga clic para modificar el Thinking Meta-procedures Objectives of the Structured estilo de título del patrón 34Haga clic para modificar el estilo de texto del patrón STERE Offers the analyst an environment for learning, designing and developing complex and sound strategies. RASAT Allows designing robust and consistent processes for developing Strategic Information.• Segundo nivelAnalyst Helper meta- INSUME It is a method for designing Strategic Information products. • Tercer nivelprocedures cansignificantly increase the FACTORYLINE Environment that provides mechanisms for the systematic production of precision Strategic Information. – Cuarto nivelcognitive and rational TARGET It allows to design information collection and evaluation strategies to elicit precise knowledge about targets. » Quinto nivelresources to understandthe world and influence EELD It offers a set of procedures to build and manage physical, documentary or pattern evidence and evidence networks.it. ANIRULES It allows to generate analysis plans and lines of investigation from existing evidence.This unique set of Analyst It allows to design templates and implement processes ofknowledge tools is the Investigator RESEC reasoning and assessment from the evidence resulting from analysis.result of many years of Executive EMACTOR From analysis results, it can be established the strategy of actors in front of challenge and conflict scenarios.research and design by ConsultantJMJ and his team. THOGRA It provides methods to dissect documents and opinions in order to identify goals and intentions. REMAKER It establishes procedures for developing decisions and influence operations in the real world. COGREPAIR Set of procedures for checking logical fallacies and ways of cognitive error in the process of analysis. 2008-2011 JMJLab - All rights reserved
  • Methods para modificar el estilo de título del patrón Haga clic for domain-independent analysis and synthesis - I 35Haga clic para modificar el estilo de texto del patrónMethods tested, created or improved and approved by JMJLAB.1. ADRE. Analysis of adversary´s reasoning. 26. PESTEL . Analysis of external factors (environment).• Segundo nivel2.3. COG. Analysis of the strategic center of gravity. MACTOR. Analysis of actors´strategies. 27. 28. SLEIPNIR. Analysis of organized groups. FUTURE WHEELS. Analysis of consequences.4. PROFILING Biographical analysis. 29. BOBROW GAMES. Compensation game analysis.5.6. • Tercer nivel MORPHOL. Morphological analysis. LINKA. Analysis of obvious relationships. 30. 31. SCAME. Propaganda analysis. LINCHPIN. Error minimization analysis in complex7. – Cuarto nivel NORA. Analysis of non-obvious relationships. argumentations.8. SNA. Analysis of social networks. 32. TIME IMPACT. Trend analysis.9. » Quinto nivel OWNPROFILE. Analysis of representations. 33. TIMELIME. Correlation analysis of events in time.10. PROBREST. Reformulation of problems. 34. FORCEFIELD. Analysis of enablers and inhibitors of actions.11. PROSCON. Pros and cons analysis. 35. KINEMATIC. Kinematic analysis.12. CDT. Convergent-divergent thinking. 36. DMINING. Analysis of data patterns.13. DECTREE. Decision Tree Analysis. 37. STRUCT. Structural analysis.14. EVENTTREE. Event Tree analysis. 38. TEXTMINING. Text pattern analysis.15. WRANK. Weighted ranking analysis. 39. ANALOGY. Situation analysis based on analogy.16. ACH. Analysis of competing hypotheses. 40. WAR GAMING. War games analysis.17. BELIEFNET. Analysis of belief networks. 41. LIFELINE. Behavior analysis.18. KEPNER-TREGOE. Problem analysis. 42. CYBERMODELS. Cybernetic model-based analysis.19. SGP. Problem solving analysis. 43. ECIM. Critical incident analysis.20. MULTIPOL. Multicriteria decision analysis. 44. CDM. Critical decision Analysis.21. PROCCESS-MAP. Process maps. 45. BAYESIAN. Bayesian analysis.22. DELPHI. Analysis of expert panels. 46. REGRES. Regression Analysis.23. PROBEXPERT. Probability analysis based on experts. 47. PROBDIAGRAMS. Probability diagram analysis.24. ISHIKAWA. Cause and effect analysis. 48. IMAGERY. Image analysis.25. SWOR. Threat panel analysis. 49. CONTENT. Content analysis. 50. SOUND. Sound analysis. 2008-2011 JMJLab - All rights reserved
  • Haga clic para modificar el estilo de título del patrón Methods for domain-independent analysis and synthesis - II 3651. STATAN. Statistical analysis. 78. NEUBEH. Behavior analysis based on neural networks.Haga clic para modificar el estilo de texto del patrón52.53. ABC. ABC analysis. SCENE. Scene analysis. 79. GENEBEH. Behavior analysis based on genetic algorithms. 80. RWARNINGS. Risk warning analysis.54. TRENDA. Trend analysis. 81. OWARNINGS. Opportunity warning analysis.• Segundo nivel55.56. THREATAN. Threat analysis. GTA. Goal-oriented task analysis. 82. RISKA. Risk analysis. 83. OPTA. Opportunity analysis.57.58. • Tercer nivel WAFOS. Stress analysis. HTA. Analysis of hierarchy of tasks. 84. CSFA. Analysis of critical success factors. 85. MILLCA. Causality analysis.59. RETRO. Retrospective analysis. 86. INDISUA. Deterrence situation analysis.60. – Cuarto nivel ATTLIST. Analysis of attribute lists. 87. OPTIMAT. Optimal threat analysis.61.62. » Quinto nivel FCB GRID. Analysis of large volumes of information. THORNDIKE. Analysis of stories. 88. NASHEQ. Analysis of Nash equilibria. 89. OCCAM. Status Analysis.63. SCENARIOS. Analysis of scenarios. 90. KAHN. Situation analysis based on the escalation ladder.64. JANUSIAN. Situation analysis based on paradoxes. 91. BRANK. Analysis of credibility rankings.65. HYPNOGOGIC. Analysis of mental images. 92. ALT-FUTURES. Analysis of alternative futures.66. DAVINCI. Analysis of graphic patterns. 93. MIC-MAC. Analysis of key variables of a system.67. FANTASYQ. Analysis based on metaphors. 94. TABLETOP. Task Analysis.68. PSYGE. Psychogeographical Analysis. 95. FORMA. Form Analysis.69. INCUBATION. Analysis of challenges / goals. 96. INTERA. Analysis of interviews.70. RANDOM STIMULATION. Situation 97. FORCEAN. Analysis of conflicting forces. analysis based on stimulation of random terms. 98. POLEMO. Polemological analysis.71. SERVO. Analysis of initiatives. 99. TCA. Technology analysis.72. VUA. Vulnerability analysis. 100.BMA. Business models analysis.73. INFFLOW. Analysis of information flows. 101. CSA. Cultural systems analysis.74. EVENTFLOW. Analysis of event flows.75. FAULT-TREE. Error tree analysis.76. PARETO. Pareto analysis.77. CROSSIMPACT. Cross-impact analysis. 2008-2011 JMJLab - All rights reserved
  • Haga clic para modificar el estilo de título del patrón Products (analytical evidence) of the certified A/S techniques 37 Products of evidence-based el estilo de texto del patrón Haga clic para modificar structured analysis (hundreds)30 Competitor’s objectives. Determination of the processes that can lead to • Segundo nivel 1. 18. Alias P.A.N.M. P.H. Pitharny Muhamar Hanjadar25 Competitor’s emotional state. an event or situation. Louis Handsome B.B. Blubingier 2. Hanjai Jonaby Jp. Donarthy Khar Jharti Alias “Jones” Leonard P. Wilson Competitor’s behavioural patterns and20 Gardai Hunini 3. Weighting of expert opinions on a topic. People 22-34897654 33-34897654 6667983211 19. preferences.15 VISA 34232245678 Determination of the recompense required to 45-67983211 20. 00-456143260 • Tercer nivel VISA 34232245678 MC 456143260 MC 456143260 MC 456143260 4. Competitor’s plans. carry out an activity.10 Time T1 Communications 01-555-343-5456 Time T2 01-555-343-6789 01-888-343-6789 Anticipating a competitor’s activities. Time T3 Establishment of escalation tendencies in a 01-777-478-7676 5.5 06-555-378-6789 21. Time T4 01-555-343-6789 01-555-343-6789 01-555-343-6789 01-555-366-6789 A competitor’s manipulation and traps. 01-775-343-6789 6. situation or conflict. – Cuarto nivel 01-555-343-6789 01-555-343-6789 0 5 10 15 20 25 MissionType BlueAttack BlueRescue 100 0 AtackPosition 7. Determination of an organization’s strategic 22. Determination of the players’ forces at the scene centre of gravity. Distance of a possible operation. RedAttack 0 Rear 0 Al 0 WithDraw 0 Flank 0 FiringRange 0 » Quinto nivel Front 100 Nearby 100 Defend Social and psychological profiling of a person or Distant 0 Determination of the players’ strategy at the TargetDensity 8. True 70.0 23. Isolated 0 False 30.0 AngleOff Moderate 100 Facing 100 High 0 group. scene of a possible operation. Glancing 0 Perpendicular 0 Cover Away 0 None 0 Moderate 100 Discovery of hidden relationships between Attacking target 9. Disposition of an target’s forces according to High 0 24. True 0 False 100 FrendlyDensity FireSupport Isolated 0 people or organizations. their geographic situation. None 0 Moderate 100 Couple 100 MoveSupport High 0 Few 0 None 0 Many 0 Couple 100 10. Determination of the type of relationship of a Determination of the significance of tendencies Few 0 Many 0 25. person or organization. and numerical patterns in people, objects and 11. A person’s or organization’s past and present organizations. social network and future intentions. 26. Determination of the real structure of an 12. Profiles and perceptions of people and/or organization. organizations on others. 27. Detection of explanatory patterns in texts. 13. Alternate ways of approaching problems and 28. Recognition and foresight of situations by solutions. analogies with other situations or cases. 14. Alternative decisions according to the situation 29. Mathematical models of the behaviour of the and objectives. Bayesian Belief Network explanatory variables of a phenomenon in the 15. Determination of future events according to the real world. H: Visit will Be success P(H|H2) = 3/4 P(H|H6) = .65 events that happened up to the present. P(H|H4) = .85 H2: Talk will H4: Faculty Meetin gs 30. Dynamic simulation of situations. Establishment of credibility rankings in reports, Be g o o d H6: GS Meetin g s Association matrixes. Will g o well 16. 31. Will g o well P(H2|H1) = 2/3 P(H3|H2) = .5 P(H3|H2) = ..8 P(H6|H5) = .8 people and organizations. H1: Steve Will Give Talk H3: Steve Will H5: Steve Will 32. Alternative hypotheses tables that compete Determination of the cost benefit of certain Meet Grad uate between themselves according to the evidence Meet Faculty 17. Stud en ts P(H1|E) = .95 P(H3|E, H2) = .95 objectives and activities. P(H5|E) = .60 P(E) = 1. E: Steve is Visito r captured at time t. 2008-2011 JMJLab - All rights reserved
  • Haga clic of an modificar el estilo de título del patrón Example para operative training 38Haga clic para modificar el estilo de texto del patrón1. Opportunity Warning: Own intention and capacity to position ourselves advantageously and specific vulnerabilities of the counterparties.2. Scenario: Crisis or event on a potential merger.• Segundo nivel3. Summary: The Team of Intelligence must respond to an urgent request from direction to analyze the 72 hours next to a crisis resulting from a potential merger.3. • Tercer nivel Pre-conditions of the process: a. Information registered in the capture system on the involved entities. b. Prior knowledge and intelligence on the activities involved. – Cuarto nivel4. Post-conditions of the process (deliverables): a. Hourly Information Notes. » Quinto nivel b. Daily Evidence-based Intelligence Report c. Final report after 72 hours.5. Basic flow: a. Managers deliver a predefined signed MEMO to the Head of Analysis, identifying intelligence needs, priorities and response time. b. The Head of Analysis introduces the requests into the predefined template and disseminates the MEMO to the people assigned by the system and: i. Identifies the targets of interest. ii. Checks out the specific information needs. iii. Prioritizes needs. iv. Establishes safety, planning, dissemination and resource allocation requirements. v. Endorses the requirements. c. The Head of Analysis creates the work plan according to requirements. d. xxx x. The Head of Analysis approves the final reports release.6. Alternative flow: PCR012 7. Revision: 3.2 9-03.06 8. Associated procedures 9. Associated training 2008-2011 JMJLab - All rights reserved
  • Haga to get through ANALYST TRAINING del patrón Skills clic para modificar el estilo de título 39Sternberg: According to el research, the del patrónHaga clic para modificar hisestilo de texto meaning ofintelligence involves three main sets of skills:• Segundo nivel• Ability to solve problems. • Tercer nivel – Cuarto nivel• Verbal ability. nivel » Quinto• Social competence.ANALYST TRAINING in all formats allows individuals,groups, professionals or knowledge workers in anyorganization to improve the three aspects describedby Sternberg. 2008-2011 JMJLab - All rights reserved
  • Haga to obtainmodificar el estilo de título del patrón Skills clic para in dealing with problems 401. Reason logically modificar el estilo de textoHaga clic para and well. del patrón2. Identify connections among ideas.• Segundo nivelof a problem.3. See all aspects4. Keep an open mind. • Tercer nivel5. Respond to others ideas. – Cuarto nivel6. Size up situations well. » Quinto nivel7. Get the core of the problems.8. Interpret information accurately.9. Make good decisions.10. Go to original sources for basic information.11. Pose problems clearly.12. Be a good source of ideas.13. Perceive implied assumptions and conclusions .14. Listen to all ideas of an argument.15. Address problems with all possible resources. 2008-2011 JMJLab - All rights reserved
  • Haga to obtainmodificar el estilo de título del patrón Skills clic para in communication 411. Speak clearly,modificar elarticulately.texto del patrónHaga clic para fluently and estilo de1. Converse well• Segundo nivel2. Be knowledgeable about a particular subject. • Tercer nivel – Cuarto nivel3. Read correctly. » Quinto nivel4. Take time to read.5. Social Competence.6. Write without difficulty.7. Display an ample vocabulary.8. Accept social norms.9. Follow new thoughts. 2008-2011 JMJLab - All rights reserved
  • Haga to obtainmodificarcompetencetítulo del patrón Skills clic para in social el estilo de 42Haga clic para modificar el estilo de texto del patrón1. Accept diversity.2. Segundo nivel• Admit mistakes.3. Display interest in the world at large. • Tercer nivel4. Have a–social conscience. Cuarto nivel5. Think before speaking and doing. » Quinto nivel6. Do not make hasty judgments.7. Make fair judgments.8. Be open and upright with oneself and with others.9. Display interest in the immediate environment.10. Be sensitive to other peoples needs and desires. 2008-2011 JMJLab - All rights reserved
  • Haga clic para modificar el estilo de título del patrón 43Haga clic para modificar el estilo de texto del patrón• Segundo nivel3. Analystnivel • Tercer Mentor Service – Cuarto nivel » Quinto nivel 2008-2011 JMJLab - All rights reserved
  • Haga clic MENTOR ANALYST para modificar el estilo de título del patrón 44Haga clic para modificar el estilo de texto del patrónContinuous advisory service covering any situation that may occur in an organization, both private(companies) or public (government).The work unit is called CASE.• Segundo nivelIn each CASE (customer request for advice), the advisory team will provide a recommendation aboutwhat to do • Tercer proceed by means of an advisory report released electronically or through a and how to nivelmeeting. Also there will be a continuous monitoring to close the CASE with a joint report by the clientand the adviser. – Cuarto nivelExclusive treatment: » Quinto nivel• The international expert, designer and advisor on Scientific Intelligence, JMJ, together with his team, is directly involved in all cases, guiding, focusing and monitoring.• The customer deals directly with JMJ and his team of assistants.• Personalized support to 12x7x365.Confidentiality and restriction of competition:• The content of all our advising cases, the names of our customers and the type of problem solved is secret.• In case of permanent advisory contracts, we do not work, unless authorized, with countries or companies directly competing or antagonistic to our customers. 2008-2011 JMJLab - All rights reserved
  • Haga clic MENTOR Objectives de título del patrón ANALYST para modificar el estilo 45Types of Cases to be discussed atel estiloMENTOR: del patrónHaga clic para modificar ANALYST de texto1. Monitoring of environments of interest and key targets.• Segundo nivel2. Investigation and analysis of situations. • Tercer nivel3. Design and development of strategies. – Cuarto nivel4. Support to strategic decision making.5. Design and» Quinto nivel of operational actions. development6. Detection and management of risks and opportunities.7. Dealing with problems.8. Conflict management.9. Influence operations through information, counter-information, awareness and propaganda.10. Design and development of corporate operations.11. Design and development of rapid response operations.12. Corporate strategic plans. 2008-2011 JMJLab - All rights reserved
  • Haga clic para modificar el estilo de título del patrón Evidence-based assessment. 46Haga clic of an evidence-basedin the service.approach to give adel patrón para modificar el estilo de texto precise supportThe service usesto the catalog situations defined consultative• Segundo nivelTraditional consulting: Evidence-based consulting: • Tercer nivel• Lack of a sound methodological environment. • Comprehensive and consistent methodology. – Cuarto nivel• Based on some expert opinions. • Simple and integrated operation model to » Quinto nivel• Too much information, little evidence. capture, evaluate, analyze and report all the• Lack of a solid domain-independent information needed to support the analytical framework. intervention plan.• Mismanagement of resources for • Strong and broad analytical framework. investigation and analysis. • Aimed at obtaining evidence, efficient• Mismanagement of the experts of the decision making and timely development of organization. actions to influence and impact.• Low quality information products. • Accurate and structured information products.• Plan interventions without guarantees and simplistic in many cases. • Intervention plan precise in content, shape, means and time. 2008-2011 JMJLab - All rights reserved
  • Haga clic para modificar el estilo de título del patrón Evidence-based investigation and analysis methodology 47ANALYST MENTOR advisory methodology (Evidence-Lab V-II): AllHaga clic para modificar el search, identification, patrónprocesses are focused on planning, estilo de texto del• Segundo nivel of evidence and making judgments throughmanagement, analysisformal reasoning processes. • Tercer nivel – Cuarto nivel Questions Case Resources Quinto nivel » Source Definición Case opening Case Creación identification de los definition creation de los casos Caso Environment Defining Development and identification the roles of management of investigators evidence-based investigation cases Report Project archiving management Case Gestión Case management del caso development Drawing conclusions Analysis Information Presentation and review acquisition (REPORTS) Report Evidence preparation Discovery and detection 2008-2011 JMJLab - All rights reserved
  • Haga clicand development el estilo de título del patrón Planning para modificar of investigation and analysis projects 48Haga clic para modificar el estilo de texto del patrónTechniques for planning and development of investigation andanalysis projects:• Segundo nivel1. Planning: • Tercer nivel • Defining the investigation problem. – Cuarto nivel • Identification of investigation requirements. » Quinto nivel • Definition and planning of investigation projects.2. Development: • Preparation of investigation cases. • Information collection. • Development of the investigations. • Investigation dissemination. 2008-2011 JMJLab - All rights reserved
  • Haga clictechniques for projects of analysis and investigation - I Planning para modificar el estilo de título del patrón 49Haga clic para modificar el estilo de texto del patrónDefinir el problema de investigación:• Who need to know what is happening?• Segundo nivel• What do they need to know and argue with precision?• Where do they need to know?• When do they neednivel in order to chronologically plan the project properly? • Tercer to know• Why do they– Cuarto nivel need to know? and what actions are possible to carry out? » Quinto nivel• How do they need to know, that is, the format? A dossier, a design, forensics, executive summary, visual diagram, report face to face.• What levels and procedures of confidentiality are going to be applied?Determine the investigation requirements:• What is happening? What is the investigation problem?• Who or what are the entities and elements (factors, objects, etc.) to investigate?• Where are we going to develop the investigation? and where are we going to get the information from?• When and how does the phenomenon begin, develop and manifest?• Why is this phenomenon occurring? That is, what are factors, internal or external to the customer, that cause the phenomenon? 2008-2011 JMJLab - All rights reserved
  • Haga clictechniques for projects of analysis and investigation - II Planning para modificar el estilo de título del patrón 50Define the investigation projects. estilo de texto delHaga clic para modificar el patrón• Role and importance of the facts.• Segundo nivel• Role and importance of the analysis and interpretation. • Tercer nivel• Intelligence production approach to choose. – Cuarto nivel• Information-gathering tasks involved. » Quinto nivel• Analytical tasks involved.• Information-gathering methods to use.• Analytical methods to use.• Data collection instruments to use.• Analysis tools to use.• Project management tools to use.• Project timelines. 2008-2011 JMJLab - All rights reserved
  • Haga clic paracase management andtítulo del patrón Investigation modificar el estilo de development 51Haga clic para modificar el estilo de texto del patrónCase definition: • Identification and codification of investigation issues.•• Segundo nivelinvestigationinformation sources Identification and codification of • Identification of the environment. • Tercer nivelCase creation: – Cuarto nivel • Register the case. • Assign resourses. Quinto nivel » • Definition and identification of investigation roles.Case development: • Establishment of criteria for case management. • Information acquisition. • Evidence discovery. • Evidence analysis and review of the investigation process.Case management: • Review of results. • Investigation product preparation (reports). • Case archiving. • Case pesentation and delivery. 2008-2011 JMJLab - All rights reserved
  • Haga clic para modificar el estilo de título del patrón Basic service structure 52HagaAdvisory Service has the following structure:The clic para modificar el estilo de texto del patrón• Segundo nivel online advice from 9.30 to 22.00A. Continuous • Tercer nivel hours,Cuarto nivel a year. – 365 daysB. Advisory Quinto nivel by JMJ. » team ledC. Online registration of requests for advice (Cases).D. A biweekly meeting with the client for planning and case management.E. Limit: 25 cases per year. 2008-2011 JMJLab - All rights reserved
  • Haga clic para modificar el estilo de título del patrón Copyright 53This clic para modificar el estilo of texto del patrónHagapresentation is the property de JMJLab and mayonly be presented to authorized audiences. This• Segundo nivelpresentation may contain confidential information • Tercer nivelwhich is – Cuarto nivel property rights or other laws and subject to » Quinto nivelmay not be copied, distributed or publicly presentedwithout prior express permission given in writing byJMJLab Complex Systems. © 2008-2011 JMJLab Complex Systems. All rights reserved. 2008-2011 JMJLab - All rights reserved