Scottish Public Opinion Monitor December 2011: Part One

Ipsos MORI Scottish Public Opinion MonitorDecember 2011Contacts:Mark.Diffley@ipsos.com0131 240 3269 @IpsosMORIScot

Voting intention: all giving an opinion vs. those‘certain to vote’ – Constituency vote, Holyrood Q. If there were elections to the Scottish Parliament tomorrow, how would you use your first vote? All giving a voting All who are certain intention (87%) to vote (60%) Others (2%) Others (4%) Lib Dem Lib Dem 9% 8% Conservative Cons. 11% SNP 12% SNP 49% 51% 28% 26% Labour Labour SNP lead = 21% SNP lead = 22% Base: All giving a voting intention = 87% (871); all certain to vote = 60% (609). Data collected among 1,001 Scottish adults 18+, 1-4 December 2011 Source: Ipsos MORI

Voting intention for the Constituency elementof a Scottish Parliament Election – Trends Labour SNP Conservative Liberal Democrats Other Scottish Parliament Election Scottish Parliament Election Result Result50 51%4030 26%20 12%10 8% 4%0 Mar- Jun- Sep- Mar- Jun- May- 2008 Aug- Nov- Feb- Aug- Nov- Feb- Apr- May- Aug- Dec- 05 05 05 06 06 07 09 09 10 10 10 11 11 11 11 11 Year Base: All certain to vote – March 2005 (436); June 2005 (500); Sep 2005 (544); March 2006 (491); June 2006 (444); August 2009 (533); November 2009 (546); February 2010 (581); August 2010 (677); November 2010 (628); February 2011 (627); April 2011 (667); August 2011 (596); December 2011 (609). Pre Aug 2009 – data collected among c.1,000 Scottish adults face-to-face; Post Aug 2009 - Data collected among c.1,000 Scottish adults 18+ by telephone

Satisfaction with party leaders – ScottishParliament Q. How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the way … is doing his job as First Minister/Scottish Liberal Democrats Party? Net satisfaction Net satisfaction, August ‘11 Satisfied Dissatisfied Alex Salmond 62% 27% +35 +34 Willie Rennie 20% 28% -8 -14Ruth Davidson -8 N/A 18% 26% Base: 1,001 Scottish adults 18+, 1-4 December 2011 Source: Ipsos MORI

Satisfaction with party leaders – Trends Q. How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the way … is doing his job as First Minister of Scotland/Leader of Scottish Liberal Democrats? Annabel Goldie Alex Salmond Tavish Scott Ruth Davidson Willie Rennie Scottish Parliament Election % satisfied 62% 60 50 Annabel Goldie 40 30 Willie Rennie 20 Tavish Scott 20% 18% 10 Ruth Davidson 0 Aug-09 Nov-09 Feb-10 Apr-10 Aug-10 Nov-10 Feb-11 Apr-11 Aug-11 Dec-11Base: 1,001 Scottish adults 18+, 1-4 December 2011 Source: Ipsos MORI

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Scottish Public Opinion Monitor December 2011: Part One

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