Ipsos MORI Scottish Public Opinion Monitor: December 2013: Voting Intentions
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Ipsos MORI Scottish Public Opinion Monitor: December 2013: Voting Intentions

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SNP continues to lead but Labour closes the gap: In our latest STV News poll of voting intentions for the Scottish Parliament, the SNP remains the largest party but Labour has narrowed their lead.

SNP continues to lead but Labour closes the gap: In our latest STV News poll of voting intentions for the Scottish Parliament, the SNP remains the largest party but Labour has narrowed their lead.

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Ipsos MORI Scottish Public Opinion Monitor: December 2013: Voting Intentions Ipsos MORI Scottish Public Opinion Monitor: December 2013: Voting Intentions Presentation Transcript

  • Paste cobrand logo here 1 Scottish Public Opinion Monitor – Voting Intention and leaders December 2013 © Ipsos MORI Version 1 | Public (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) Version 1 | Internal Use Only Version 1 | Confidential Version 1 | Strictly Confidential
  • Paste cobrand logo here 2 Scottish Parliament voting © Ipsos MORI Version 1 | Public (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) Version 1 | Internal Use Only Version 1 | Confidential Version 1 | Strictly Confidential
  • Paste cobrand logo here Voting intention for Scottish Parliament elections 3 Q. If there were elections to the Scottish Parliament tomorrow, how would you use your first vote? All giving a voting intention Certain to vote Others Others Lib Dem Lib Dem 6% 8% Cons. 7% 35% 15% 7% SNP Labour lead +1 Cons. 36% 15% SNP lead +2 34% 36% Labour SNP Labour Base: All giving a voting intention = 855; all certain to vote = 633. Data collected among 1,006 Scottish adults 18+, 29th November – 5th December 2013 © Ipsos MORI Version 1 | Public (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) Version 1 | Internal Use Only Version 1 | Confidential Version 1 | Strictly Confidential
  • Paste cobrand logo here Voting intention for Scottish Parliament elections 4 Q. If there were elections to the Scottish Parliament tomorrow, how would you use your first vote? Labour 60 SNP Conservative Liberal Democrats Other Scottish Parliament Election Result 50 40 36% 34% 30 20 15% 10 7% 7% 0 Base: All certain to vote. Data collected among c1,000 Scottish adults. © Ipsos MORI Version 1 | Public (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) Version 1 | Internal Use Only Version 1 | Confidential Version 1 | Strictly Confidential
  • Paste cobrand logo here 5 Perceptions of key figures © Ipsos MORI Version 1 | Public (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) Version 1 | Internal Use Only Version 1 | Confidential Version 1 | Strictly Confidential
  • Paste cobrand logo here Satisfaction with party leaders 6 Q. How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the way … is doing his/her job as First Minister//Prime Minister/Leader of Scottish Labour/the Scottish Liberal Democrats/the Scottish Conservatives/Scottish Green Party/? Satisfied Alex Salmond 40% Patrick Harvie Willie Rennie 24% 34% 51% 18% 47% 29% Base: All. Data collected among 1,006 Scottish adults 16+, 29th November – 5th December 2013 © Ipsos MORI 7% 32% Version 1 | Public (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) Version 1 | Internal Use Only Version 1 | Confidential Version 1 | Strictly Confidential +7 +9 29% 61% 34% 31% 7% 31% 33% Ruth Davidson Net satisfaction 43% 50% Johann Lamont David Cameron Don’t know Dissatisfied -28 +2 +13 -5
  • Paste cobrand logo here Satisfaction with party leaders trend 7 Q. How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the way … is doing his/her job as First Minister//Prime Minister/Leader of Scottish Labour/the Scottish Liberal Democrats/the Scottish Conservatives? Alex Salmond Johann Lamont Ruth Davidson Willie Rennie Patrick Harvie David Cameron 70 60 50 50% 40 40% 34% 33% 31% 24% 30 20 10 0 Apr-11 Aug-11 Dec-11 Jan-12 Jun-12 Oct-12 Feb-13 Base: All certain to vote. Data collected among c1,000 Scottish adults. © Ipsos MORI Version 1 | Public (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) Version 1 | Internal Use Only Version 1 | Confidential Version 1 | Strictly Confidential May-13 Sep-13 Dec-13
  • Paste cobrand logo here Net Satisfaction with party leaders trend 8 Q. How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the way … is doing his/her job as First Minister//Prime Minister/Leader of Scottish Labour/the Scottish Liberal Democrats/the Scottish Conservatives? Alex Salmond Johann Lamont Ruth Davidson Willie Rennie Patrick Harvie David Cameron 40 30 20 10 0 Aug-11 Dec-11 Jan-12 Jun-12 Oct-12 Feb-13 -10 May-13 Sep-13 +13 +9 +7 +2 Dec-13-5 -20 -28 -30 -40 -50 -60 Base: All certain to vote. Data collected among c1,000 Scottish adults. © Ipsos MORI Version 1 | Public (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) Version 1 | Internal Use Only Version 1 | Confidential Version 1 | Strictly Confidential
  • Paste cobrand logo here Satisfaction with campaign leaders 9 9 Q. How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the way … is doing his/her job as Deputy First Minister/Leader of the Better Together Campaign? Nicola Sturgeon Alistair Darling All Own campaign supporters 51% 80% Satisfied Satisfied 40% 53% 35% Dissatisfied 11% Dissatisfied 37% 25% 14% Don't know 9% Don't know 23% © Ipsos MORI Version 1 | Public (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) Version 1 | Internal Use Only Version 1 | Confidential 22% Version 1 | Strictly Confidential
  • Paste cobrand logo here Technical details 10 • This presents the topline results from Scotland • Results are based on a survey of 1,006 respondents (adults aged 16+) conducted by telephone • Fieldwork dates: 29th November – 5th December 2013 • Data are weight by: age, sex and working status using census data; tenure using SHS data; and public-private sector employment using Scottish Government Quarterly Public Sector Employment series data • Where results do not sum to 100%, this may be due to computer rounding, multiple responses, or the exclusion of “don’t know” categories • Results are based on all respondents (1,006) unless otherwise stated © Ipsos MORI Version 1 | Public (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) Version 1 | Internal Use Only Version 1 | Confidential Version 1 | Strictly Confidential
  • Paste cobrand logo here 11 Thank you mark.diffley@ipsos.com | 0131 240 3269 christopher.mclean@ipsos.com | 0131 240 3264 © Ipsos MORI Version 1 | Public (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) Version 1 | Internal Use Only Version 1 | Confidential Version 1 | Strictly Confidential @IpsosMORIScot