Ipsos MORI Issues Index January 2014
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Ipsos MORI Issues Index January 2014

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Concern about race relations/immigration is now on parity with the economy as the most important issue facing Britain today: The first Economist/Ipsos MORI issues index of 2014 shows that concern ...

Concern about race relations/immigration is now on parity with the economy as the most important issue facing Britain today: The first Economist/Ipsos MORI issues index of 2014 shows that concern about race relations/immigration has increased by four percentage points and it is at its highest point since April 2008.

Details: http://www.ipsos-mori.com/researchpublications/researcharchive/3337/EconomistIpsos-MORI-January-2014-Issues-Index.aspx

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Ipsos MORI Issues Index January 2014 Ipsos MORI Issues Index January 2014 Presentation Transcript

  • Ipsos MORI Issues Index January 2014 Contacts: Gideon.Skinner@ipsos.com Jerry.Latter@ipsos.com 020 7347 3000
  • Issues Facing Britain: January 2 What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Change since Dec: % Position Top mentions % Race relations/Immigration 41 +4 Economy 41 +2 32 Unemployment 27 NHS +1 +3 +5 Poverty/Inequality 16 +2 Crime/Law and order 16 +1 Pensions/benefits 16 +6 +4 +2 Inflation/Prices 15 -2 -3 Education/Schools 15 +3 -2 -2 Housing Base: 952 British adults 18+, 10th – 19th January 2014 11 Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
  • Issues Facing Britain: Long Term Trends 3 What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? 70 Economy 60 50 Unemployment Race / immigration 40 30 20 NHS 10 Crime/ Law & Order 0 May May May May May May May May May May May May May May May May May 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index View slide
  • Issues Facing Britain: Economy / Economic situation 4 What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Cameron becomes PM 70 Bank bailout 60 Highest score since 1992. Most important issue for the first time 50 40 30 20 Global Recession and Russian Financial crisis End of recession announced Lowest score since the start of the recession (39%) Northern Rock nationalised 10 Sub-prime mortgage crisis in the US 0 May May May May May May May May May May May May May May May May May 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index View slide
  • Issues Facing Britain: Race Relations / Immigration / Immigrants What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? 50 Sangatte detention centre constantly in the news throughout 2002 Foreign prisoners furore 5 Cameron becomes PM 600,000 EU migrants settled since 2004 41% - highest score since April 2008 and joint top issue 40 “Go home or face arrest” adverts used in some London Boroughs 9/11 30 Race riots in Burnley, Oldham, and Bradford 20 Anthony Walker murdered in Liverpool 10 0 May May May May May May May May May May May May May May May May May 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
  • Issues Facing Britain: Unemployment / Factory closure / Lack of industry What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Cameron becomes PM 50 Youth unemployment reaches 1 million 40 Minimum wage introduced 30 20 10 0 Unemployment in Britain rises to 5.5% ‘New Deal’ launched, providing training, subsidised employment, and voluntary work to the unemployed Lowest ever score Unemployment falls below 1 million for first time in 25 years May May May May May May May May May May May May May May May May May 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index 6
  • Issues Facing Britain: Crime / Law & Order / Violence / Vandalism / ASB What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Cameron becomes PM 60 Rhys Jones and Garry Newlove murdered Foreign prisoners scandal – Charles Clarke is sacked 50 Blair activates civil contingencies machinery to deal with spiralling street crime 7 Tory election pledge of 40,000 more police 40 Riots May day riots 30 Prison overcrowding reaches record levels 20 Fuel Protests 10 9/11 0 May 1997 May 1998 May 1999 May 2000 May 2001 May 2002 May 2003 May 2004 May 2005 Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home May 2006 May 2007 May 2008 May 2009 May 2010 May 2011 May 2012 May 2013 Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
  • Issues Facing Britain: NHS / Hospitals / Healthcare 8 What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? 80 Cameron becomes PM Blair – “We have underfunded the NHS for years and we are paying the price for it” – BBC NHS day 70 60 General Election – “Battle of Margaret’s shoulder” 50 Hewitt heckled at UNISON conference – fears over NHS job cuts 40 30 20 Blair tells doctors “not enough” has been done for the NHS – allocates extra £20 billion. Report says waiting lists have doubled under Labour Alan Milburn promises 35,000 more nurses, 40 new hospitals and development of foundation trusts as part of NHS plan 10 Lowest score since December 1985 0 May May May May May May May May May May May May May May May May May 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
  • Issues Facing Britain: Education / Schools 9 What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Cameron becomes PM 50 Introduction of means-tested tuition fees. Education most important issue. 40 Labour’s second term - pledge to improve failing secondary schools City academies introduced to combat entrenched failure in some urban schools Education and Inspections Bill limits the power of LAs to open new schools 30 20 April 2011 – Pupil Premium introduced Fuel Protests London Bombs 10 Lowest score since Dec 1985 0 May May May May May May May May May May May May May May May May May 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
  • Issues Facing Britain: Defence / Foreign Affairs / International terrorism What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? 70 War in Iraq 60 London Bombs Failed terror attacks in London and Glasgow 9/11 50 40 Cameron becomes PM Parliamentary vote on action in Syria War in Kosovo UK withdraws from Iraq 30 20 10 0 General Election - extra £400 million allocated for defence budget May May May May May May May May May May May May May May May May May 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index 10
  • Issues Facing Britain: Poverty/inequality 11 What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Cameron becomes PM 20 November 2013 – highest score recorded (16%) Sept 1999: Alastair Darling – “one child in three” living in poverty 15 January 2005 – Make Poverty History campaign launched on New Year’s Day 10 5 0 May 1998 May 1999 May 2000 May 2001 May 2002 May 2003 May 2004 May 2005 May 2006 Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home May 2007 May 2008 May 2009 May 2010 May 2011 May 2012 May 2013 Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
  • Issues Facing Britain: Inflation/Prices 12 What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Cameron becomes PM 30 Inflation rate hits 16 year peak 25 Inflation rises to 3.4% 20 15 10 5 0 May May May May May May May May May May May May May May May May May 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
  • Issues Facing Britain: Housing What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? 13 Cameron becomes PM 20 House price peak 15 2005 Election – Blair promises to make families £800 better off and help first time buyers Highest score since August 2008 (14%) House prices rising at fastest rate in 10 years A8 Countries join the EU 10 5 9/11 0 May May May May May May May May May May May May May May May May May 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
  • Issues Facing Britain: Pensions/Benefits/Social security What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? 30 25 Blair and Harriet Harman propose ‘affluence testing’ to exclude the well-off from state benefits 14 Cameron becomes PM Pensions commission report – “more than 12 million working people are not saving enough for their retirement” Brown unveils pension credits 20 Lords vote to increase compensation for those whose company pension schemes have collapsed 15 10 Lowest ever score (3%) 5 0 May May May May May May May May May May May May May May May May May 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
  • Issues Facing Britain: Pollution / Environment 15 What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Cameron becomes PM 20 Cameron’s “Vote Blue, go Green” campaign at 2006 local elections Wettest Autumn since records began – widespread flooding across the UK 15 EC proposes carbon emission cuts of 20% by 2020 Stern report Buncefield Oil Depot fire – toxic cloud reaches northern Spain 10 5 0 May 1997 May 1998 May 1999 May 2000 May 2001 May 2002 May 2003 May 2004 May 2005 Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home May 2006 May 2007 May 2008 May 2009 May 2010 May 2011 May 2012 May 2013 Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
  • Issues Facing Britain: Common Market / Europe / Euro / EU 16 What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? 40 Amsterdam Treaty signed – increases EU remit Cameron becomes PM G8 commitment to globalisation in Cologne 30 Treaty of accession – 10 new member states UK starts 6 month EU Presidency, France and Holland reject ratification of constitution 20 10 Lowest score since 1988 9/11 0 May 1997 May 1998 May 1999 May 2000 May 2001 May 2002 May 2003 May 2004 May 2005 Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home May 2006 May 2007 May 2008 May 2009 May 2010 May 2011 May 2012 May 2013 Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
  • Mind the gap – the gap closes 17 % concern about the economy 52 52 52 Gap between percentages: 49 49 50 51 45 43 30 26 23 18 15 15 44 17 5 13 8 38 34 35 41 40 39 2 5 0 41 37 36 35 Oct 2013 Nov 2013 34 32 31 29 26 22 % concern about immigration Jan 2013 Feb 2013 Mar 2013 Apr 2013 May 2013 Jun 2013 Jul 2013 Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home Aug 2013 Sep 2013 Dec 2013 Jan 2014 Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
  • Rising concern about inequality and our personal financial situation What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? 18 Cameron becomes PM 30 Poverty/inequality Low pay/fair wages Prices/Inflation 20 10 0 May 1998 May 1999 May 2000 May 2001 May 2002 May 2003 May 2004 May 2005 May 2006 May 2007 May 2008 Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home May 2009 May 2010 May 2011 May 2012 May 2013 Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
  • Difference in concern about race/immigration by subgroups 19 What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? – Race relations/immigration 60% Selected sub-group concern with race relations/immigration: 0% 50% 38% 30% 26% 30% 60% 54% 45% AB 29% 39% C1 41% 39% C2 DE 50% 39% 0% Urban 18-34 Women dwellers year olds Base: 952 British adults 18+, 10th – 19th January 2014 National average Men Suburbanites Aged 55+ Concern about race relations/immigration by Social Grade Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index