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Ipsos Global @dvisor 38: The economic pulse of the world: November 2012
Ipsos Global @dvisor 38: The economic pulse of the world: November 2012
Ipsos Global @dvisor 38: The economic pulse of the world: November 2012
Ipsos Global @dvisor 38: The economic pulse of the world: November 2012
Ipsos Global @dvisor 38: The economic pulse of the world: November 2012
Ipsos Global @dvisor 38: The economic pulse of the world: November 2012
Ipsos Global @dvisor 38: The economic pulse of the world: November 2012
Ipsos Global @dvisor 38: The economic pulse of the world: November 2012
Ipsos Global @dvisor 38: The economic pulse of the world: November 2012
Ipsos Global @dvisor 38: The economic pulse of the world: November 2012
Ipsos Global @dvisor 38: The economic pulse of the world: November 2012
Ipsos Global @dvisor 38: The economic pulse of the world: November 2012
Ipsos Global @dvisor 38: The economic pulse of the world: November 2012
Ipsos Global @dvisor 38: The economic pulse of the world: November 2012
Ipsos Global @dvisor 38: The economic pulse of the world: November 2012
Ipsos Global @dvisor 38: The economic pulse of the world: November 2012
Ipsos Global @dvisor 38: The economic pulse of the world: November 2012
Ipsos Global @dvisor 38: The economic pulse of the world: November 2012
Ipsos Global @dvisor 38: The economic pulse of the world: November 2012
Ipsos Global @dvisor 38: The economic pulse of the world: November 2012
Ipsos Global @dvisor 38: The economic pulse of the world: November 2012
Ipsos Global @dvisor 38: The economic pulse of the world: November 2012
Ipsos Global @dvisor 38: The economic pulse of the world: November 2012
Ipsos Global @dvisor 38: The economic pulse of the world: November 2012
Ipsos Global @dvisor 38: The economic pulse of the world: November 2012
Ipsos Global @dvisor 38: The economic pulse of the world: November 2012
Ipsos Global @dvisor 38: The economic pulse of the world: November 2012
Ipsos Global @dvisor 38: The economic pulse of the world: November 2012
Ipsos Global @dvisor 38: The economic pulse of the world: November 2012
Ipsos Global @dvisor 38: The economic pulse of the world: November 2012
Ipsos Global @dvisor 38: The economic pulse of the world: November 2012
Ipsos Global @dvisor 38: The economic pulse of the world: November 2012
Ipsos Global @dvisor 38: The economic pulse of the world: November 2012
Ipsos Global @dvisor 38: The economic pulse of the world: November 2012
Ipsos Global @dvisor 38: The economic pulse of the world: November 2012
Ipsos Global @dvisor 38: The economic pulse of the world: November 2012
Ipsos Global @dvisor 38: The economic pulse of the world: November 2012
Ipsos Global @dvisor 38: The economic pulse of the world: November 2012
Ipsos Global @dvisor 38: The economic pulse of the world: November 2012
Ipsos Global @dvisor 38: The economic pulse of the world: November 2012
Ipsos Global @dvisor 38: The economic pulse of the world: November 2012
Ipsos Global @dvisor 38: The economic pulse of the world: November 2012
Ipsos Global @dvisor 38: The economic pulse of the world: November 2012
Ipsos Global @dvisor 38: The economic pulse of the world: November 2012
Ipsos Global @dvisor 38: The economic pulse of the world: November 2012
Ipsos Global @dvisor 38: The economic pulse of the world: November 2012
Ipsos Global @dvisor 38: The economic pulse of the world: November 2012
Ipsos Global @dvisor 38: The economic pulse of the world: November 2012
Ipsos Global @dvisor 38: The economic pulse of the world: November 2012
Ipsos Global @dvisor 38: The economic pulse of the world: November 2012
Ipsos Global @dvisor 38: The economic pulse of the world: November 2012
Ipsos Global @dvisor 38: The economic pulse of the world: November 2012
Ipsos Global @dvisor 38: The economic pulse of the world: November 2012
Ipsos Global @dvisor 38: The economic pulse of the world: November 2012
Ipsos Global @dvisor 38: The economic pulse of the world: November 2012
Ipsos Global @dvisor 38: The economic pulse of the world: November 2012
Ipsos Global @dvisor 38: The economic pulse of the world: November 2012
Ipsos Global @dvisor 38: The economic pulse of the world: November 2012
Ipsos Global @dvisor 38: The economic pulse of the world: November 2012
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Ipsos Global @dvisor 38: The economic pulse of the world: November 2012

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As the Chancellor delivers his Autumn Statement, new research released today finds just 15% of Britons believing their economy to be in “good” shape, with only 10% expecting to see an improvement over …

As the Chancellor delivers his Autumn Statement, new research released today finds just 15% of Britons believing their economy to be in “good” shape, with only 10% expecting to see an improvement over the next 6 months.

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  • 1. Global @dvisorThe Economic Pulse of the WorldCitizens in 24 Countries Assess the Current State of theirCountry’s Economy for a Total Global Perspective A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 The Economic Pulse
  • 2. These are the findings of the Global @dvisor Wave 38 (G@38), an Ipsos survey conducted between October 2nd and October 16th, 2012. SURVEY METHOD COUNTRIES SAMPLE WEIGHTING• The survey instrument is • The countries reporting herein • For the results of the survey • Weighting was then employed conducted monthly in 24 are Argentina, Australia, presented herein, an to balance demographics and countries around the world via Belgium, Brazil, Canada, international sample of 18,713 ensure that the samples the Ipsos Online Panel system. China, France, Germany, adults age 18-64 in the US and composition reflects that of the Great Britain, Hungary, India, Canada, and age 16-64 in all adult population according to Indonesia, Italy, Japan, other countries, were the most recent country Mexico, Poland, Russia, Saudi interviewed. Approximately Census data, and to provide Arabia, South Africa, South 1000+ individuals participated results intended to Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey on a country by country basis approximate the sample and the United States of via the Ipsos Online Panel with universe. The precision of America. the exception of Argentina, Ipsos online polls are Belgium, Hungary Indonesia, calculated using a credibility Mexico, Poland, Russia, Saudi interval. In this case, a poll of Arabia, South Africa, South 1,000 is accurate to +/- 3.5 Korea, Sweden and Turkey, percentage points and one of where each have a sample 500 is accurate to +/- 5.0 approximately 500+. In this percentage points in their wave (G@33), 500+ respective general populations. individuals in Denmark also All sample surveys and polls participated in the survey and may be subject to other 1000+ individuals in Kenya sources of error, including, but participated in a similar survey. not limited to coverage error, and measurement error. For more information on credibility intervals, please visit the Ipsos website. A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 2 The Economic Pulse
  • 3. Analytic Components… There are three analytic components that make up the findings of this monthly Economic Pulse report. Each question is tracked and analyzed from questions dealing with: The currently perceived macroeconomic state of the respondent’s country: • Thinking about our economic situation, how would you describe the current economic situation in [insert country]? Is it very good, somewhat good, somewhat bad or very bad?  The currently perceived state of the local economy: • Rate the current state of the economy in your local area using a scale from 1 to 7, where 7 means a very strong economy today and 1 means a very weak economy.  A six month outlook for the local economy: • Looking ahead six months from now, do you expect the economy in your local area to be much stronger, somewhat stronger, about the same, somewhat weaker, or much weaker than it is now? A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 3 The Economic Pulse
  • 4. THE WORLD at a GLANCETHEWORLDat aGLANCE A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 4 The Economic Pulse
  • 5. The Top Line Summary Global @dvisor A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 5 The Economic Pulse
  • 6. Global Average of National Economic Assessment (36%) Down One Point, Lowest Since 08/09 Crash As 2012 comes to a close, global economic sentiment reflects a sense of impending trouble. The assessment line, which has been regularly teetering up and down by a scale of one or two points, has reached a three-year low as 36% of global citizens agree their current national economic situation is “good”. The assessment rating has reached its lowest point since the 2008/2009 crash. In fact, nearly all geographic regions studied reflect a negative change in aggregate sentiment since last sounding. The Middle East and Africa (50%) fell four points overall, while Latin America (41%), Asia-Pacific (40%) and Europe (24%) all fell one point. North America (46%) is the only exception as it remains unchanged, however, this is due to the cancelling out of a two point improvement in Canada (68%) and a two point decline in the United States (24%). Saudi Arabia (79%), Sweden (72%), Canada (68%), China (63%) and Australia (61%) lead the global pack as the countries with the highest proportions of respondents assessing their national economies as “good” while Spain (3%), Hungary (4%), Italy (6%), France (6%) and Japan (9%) sit at the bottom. Countries with the greatest improvements in this wave: Sweden (+7pts to 72%), Indonesia (+6pts to 46%), China (+5pts to 63%), Canada (+2pts to 68%), Poland (+2pts to 21%) Countries with the greatest declines: Belgium (-8pts to 28%), South Korea (-8pts to 16%), Germany (-8pts to 60%), Turkey (-6pts to 44%), South Africa (-5pts to 26%). A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 6 The Economic Pulse
  • 7. Global Average of Local Economic Assessment (27%) Unchanged The global average of local economic assessment among the core 24 countries remains unchanged with three in ten (27%) global citizens who agree the state of the current economy in their local area is ‘good’. The poll finds assessments of local economies to be strongest in Saudi Arabia (53%), Sweden (52%), China (47%), Canada (44%), Australia (42%) and Brazil (42%). Spain (6%), Japan (6%), Hungary (8%), Italy (8%) and France (10%) sit at the bottom of the global ranking for this metric. Countries with the greatest improvements in local economic assessment: Indonesia (+10pts to 36%), Sweden (+8pts to 52%), Saudi Arabia (+6pts to 53%), Brazil (+6pts to 42%) and Russia (+3pts to 20%). Countries with the greatest declines in local economic assessment: Germany (-8pts to 39%), Belgium (-4pts to 18%), China (-4pts to 47%), Turkey (-3pts to 32%), South Korea (-3pts to 14%) and France (-3pts to 10%). A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 7 The Economic Pulse
  • 8. Global Average of Future Outlook for Local Economy Down One Point: 22% Currently, a global average of 22% believe their local economy will be stronger six months from now, a figure that is one point lower than last wave. Brazil holds on to its number one spot on this measure (74%), leading India (44%), Saudi Arabia (44%), Indonesia (41%), Argentina (40%) and Mexico (40%). A very small minority of those in France (3%) and Japan (5%) express they believe their local economy will be stronger in half a year’s time. They are joined at the end of the ranking by Hungary (7%), Belgium (8%) and Italy (9%). Countries with the greatest improvements: Indonesia (+10pts to 41%), Brazil (+4pts to 74%), China (+3pts to 35%), Canada (+3pts to 21%), Sweden (+3pts to 19%) and South Africa (+3pts to 14%). Countries with the greatest declines: United States (-5pts to 25%), Turkey (-4pts to 23%), Italy (-4pts to 9%), India (-4pts to 44%), Germany (-3pts to 11%), Russia (-3pts to 14%), South Korea (-3pts to 13%) and Mexico (-3pts to 40%). A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 8 The Economic Pulse
  • 9. 1. National Economic Assessments: Countries at a Glance Compared to the Last Wave… Those Countries Where the National Area Economic Assessment… has experienced a is has experienced an is DECLINE HIGHEST IMPROVEMENT LOWEST since last this month since last sounding this month sounding Saudi Arabia 79% Sweden  7 Germany  8 Spain 3% Sweden 72% Indonesia  6 Belgium  8 Hungary 4% Canada 68% China  5 South Korea  8 France 6% China 63% Canada  2 Turkey  6 Italy 6% Australia 61% Poland  2 South Africa  5 Japan 9% Germany 60% Brazil  1 Russia  4 Great Britain 15% India 58% Great Britain  1 Mexico  2 South Korea 16% Brazil 57% United States  2 Poland 21% Japan  2 Saudi Arabia  1 Australia  1  Spain 1Thinking about our economic situation, how would you describe the current economic situation in [insert country]?Is it very good, somewhat good, somewhat bad or very bad? A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 9 The Economic Pulse
  • 10. 1. National Economic Assessment: Regions at a Glance Compared to the Last Wave… CHANGE REGION NET (since last (in descending order by NET) ‘Good’ sounding) BRIC 51% N/A Middle East/Africa 50% 4% North America 46% N/A LATAM 41% 1% APAC 40% 1% G-8 Countries 27% 1% Europe 24% 1%Thinking about our economic situation, how would you describe the current economic situation in [insert country]?Is it very good, somewhat good, somewhat bad or very bad? A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 10 The Economic Pulse
  • 11. 2. Local Economic Assessment: Countries at a Glance Compared to the Last Wave… Those Countries Where the Local Area Economic Assessment… has experienced a is has experienced an is DECLINE HIGHEST IMPROVEMENT LOWEST since last this month since last sounding this month sounding Saudi Arabia 53% Indonesia  10 Germany  8 Japan 6% Sweden 52% Sweden  8 China  4 Spain 6% China 47% Saudi Arabia  6 Belgium  4 Hungary 8% Canada 44% Brazil  6 Turkey  3 Italy 8% Australia 42% Russia  3 South Korea  3 France 10% Brazil 42% Poland  2 France  3 South Korea 14% Australia  1 Canada  2 South Africa  1 India  2 Hungary  1 Mexico  2 Japan  2 Argentina  1 Great Britain  1 Italy  1 Spain  1Rate the current state of the economy in your local area using a scale from 1 to 7,where 7 means a very strong economy today and 1 means a very weak economy A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 11 The Economic Pulse
  • 12. 2. Local Economic Assessment: Regions at a Glance Compared to the Last Wave… REGION NET CHANGE (in descending order by NET) ‘Strong’ (since last sounding) Top 3 Box (5-6-7) BRIC 37% N/C Middle East/Africa 36% 1% North America 34% N/C APAC 29% N/C LATAM 28% 1% G-8 Countries 20% 2% Europe 19% 1%Rate the current state of the economy in your local area using a scale from 1 to 7,where 7 means a very strong economy today and 1 means a very weak economy A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 12 The Economic Pulse
  • 13. 3. Six Month Outlook on the Local Economy: Countries at a Glance Compared to the Last Wave… Countries where the Assessment of the Local Economic Strengthening … is has experienced an has experienced a is HIGHEST IMPROVEMENT DECLINE LOWEST this month since last sounding since last sounding this month Brazil 74% Indonesia  10 United States  5 France 3% India 44% Brazil  4 India  4 Japan 5% Saudi Arabia 44% China  3 Turkey  4 Hungary 7% Indonesia 41% Canada  3 Italy  4 Belgium 8% Argentina 40% Sweden  3 Mexico  3 Italy 9% Mexico 40% South Africa  3 Russia  3 Great Britain 10% China 35% Poland  2 South Korea  3 Poland 10% Hungary  2 Germany  3 Germany 11% Australia  1 Saudi Arabia  2 Spain 11% Great Britain  1 Belgium  2 Japan  2Looking ahead six months from now, do you expect the economy in your local area to bemuch stronger, somewhat stronger, about the same, somewhat weaker, or much weaker than it is now? A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 13 The Economic Pulse
  • 14. 3. Six Month Outlook on Local Economy: Regions at a Glance Compared to Last Wave… REGION NET CHANGE (in descending order by NET) ‘Stronger’ (since last sounding) LATAM 52% 1% BRIC 42% N/C Middle East/Africa 27% 1% North America 23% 1% APAC 24% N/C G-8 Countries 12% 2% Europe 10% N/CLooking ahead six months from now, do you expect the economy in your local area to bemuch stronger, somewhat stronger, about the same, somewhat weaker, or much weaker than it is now? A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 14 The Economic Pulse
  • 15. DETAILED FINDINGS A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 15 The Economic Pulse
  • 16.  Assessing The Current Economic Situation … …in Their CountryDetailed Tables B.3 A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 16 The Economic Pulse
  • 17. Global Citizens Assess the Current Economic Situation in their Country as “Good” ‘Very Good / Somewhat Good’ Total 36% Saudi Arabia 79% Sweden 72% Canada 68% China 63% Australia 61% Germany 60% India 58% Brazil 57% Indonesia 46% Turkey 44% Argentina 36% Mexico 32% Belgium 28% Russia 27% South Africa 26% United States 24% Poland 21% South Korea 16% Great Britain 15% Japan 9% France 6% Italy 6% Hungary 4% Spain 3%Now thinking about our economic situation, how would you describe the current economicsituation in [insert country]? Is it very good, somewhat good, somewhat bad or very bad? A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 17 The Economic Pulse
  • 18. Global Average Tracked - Global Citizens Assess the Current Economic Situation in their Country as “Good”:… 1 Total Good 70% 60% 56% 55% 50% 45% 42% 41% 41% 40% 41% 40% 40% 41% 40% 41% 40% 40% 38% 38% 39% 39% 38% 38% 39% 38% 39% 38% 39% 39% 39% 38% 37% 37% 38% 38% 37% 40% 32% 36% 29% 30% 20% 10% 0% Mar/11 Mar/12 Oct/07 Oct/10 Oct/11 Nov/08 Nov/10 Oct-12 Jan/11 Nov/11 Jan/12 May/10 Nov/Jan/10 Jun/10 Feb/11 May/11 Jun/11 Feb/12 May/12 Jun/12 Jul/10 Jul/11 Jul/12 Sep/10 Dec/10 Sep/11 Dec/11 Sep/12 Aug/10 Aug/11 Aug/12 Apr/07 Apr/08 Apr/09 Apr/10 Apr/11 Apr/12Now thinking about our economic situation, how would you describe the current economic situation in [insert country]?Is it very good, somewhat good, somewhat bad or very bad? A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 18 The Economic Pulse
  • 19. For All Countries Tracked: Citizens Assess the Current Economic Situation in their Country as “Good” Now thinking about our economic situation, how would you describe the current economic situation in [insert country]? Is it very good, somewhat good, somewhat bad or very bad? Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct ‘10 ‘10 ‘10 ‘10 ‘11 ‘11 ‘11 ‘11 ‘11 ‘11 ‘11 ‘11 ‘11 ‘11 ‘11 ‘11 ‘12 ‘12 ‘12 ‘12 ‘12 ‘12 ’12 ’12 ’12 ‘12 Argentina 38% 35% 42% 39% 45% 41% 43% 46% 46% 47% 50% 50% 59% 54% 55% 52% 55% 47% 51% 38% 45% 34% 37% 34% 36% 36% Australia 77% 78% 74% 75% 78% 72% 70% 70% 73% 66% 64% 56% 61% 62% 67% 68% 70% 66% 62% 64% 61% 61% 58% 59% 62% 61% Belgium 36% 29% 28% 31% 34% 39% 36% 41% 40% 42% 41% 37% 31% 25% 24% 19% 22% 16% 24% 21% 28% 29% 34% 35% 36% 28% Brazil 58% 66% 64% 62% 56% 61% 53% 52% 51% 51% 53% 52% 55% 55% 59% 56% 62% 63% 54% 59% 49% 52% 58% 51% 56% 57% Canada 68% 63% 63% 62% 68% 68% 64% 68% 69% 69% 72% 73% 66% 66% 62% 63% 65% 65% 64% 62% 62% 62% 63% 65% 66% 68% China 75% 79% 74% 72% 74% 73% 67% 75% 68% 68% 66% 61% 65% 65% 62% 55% 64% 72% 71% 62% 63% 60% 67% 53% 58% 63% France 10% 10% 12% 12% 11% 10% 10% 8% 11% 12% 8% 12% 7% 6% 7% 5% 6% 7% 9% 9% 9% 9% 8% 9% 6% 6% Germany 56% 64% 67% 63% 64% 64% 62% 67% 68% 68% 71% 66% 63% 64% 64% 61% 70% 71% 68% 68% 69% 66% 68% 69% 68% 60%Great Britain 16% 12% 16% 13% 15% 12% 8% 10% 15% 13% 10% 11% 17% 11% 10% 8% 13% 10% 14% 12% 10% 12% 11% 14% 14% 15% Hungary 7% 13% 7% 6% 3% 5% 3% 6% 5% 6% 5% 4% 4% 2% 3% 2% 2% 3% 4% 4% 3% 4% 3% 5% 4% 4% India 82% 88% 88% 87% 76% 77% 73% 76% 73% 71% 62% 69% 69% 75% 69% 68% 65% 74% 79% 72% 70% 58% 60% 68% 58% 58% Indonesia 49% 54% 45% 48% 37% 38% 40% 46% 47% 40% 41% 36% 42% 35% 50% 46% 45% 40% 35% 36% 40% 41% 40% 46% 40% 46% Italy 14% 16% 11% 14% 11% 14% 12% 10% 14% 10% 10% 8% 8% 8% 6% 5% 5% 6% 6% 5% 3% 3% 4% 5% 6% 6% Japan 7% 8% 6% 9% 6% 8% 8% 7% 9% 8% 8% 6% 8% 6% 7% 8% 8% 9% 9% 8% 9% 9% 7% 11% 11% 9% Mexico 23% 25% 20% 25% 25% 33% 22% 25% 27% 29% 34% 33% 25% 28% 32% 30% 24% 29% 31% 33% 28% 28% 32% 29% 34% 32% Poland 33% 29% 30% 28% 23% 29% 19% 23% 22% 20% 24% 28% 27% 30% 28% 27% 27% 21% 27% 25% 25% 28% 33% 22% 19% 21% Russia 27% 28% 29% 27% 26% 25% 26% 26% 26% 29% 25% 26% 27% 23% 25% 30% 30% 28% 33% 33% 36% 33% 29% 28% 31% 27%Saudi Arabia 78% 76% 81% 81% 80% 81% 85% 87% 89% 89% 87% 88% 89% 83% 89% 86% 86% 90% 89% 88% 88% 83% 85% 84% 80% 79%South Africa 41% 46% 41% 51% 45% 45% 40% 41% 43% 42% 38% 39% 34% 39% 32% 32% 42% 40% 36% 35% 33% 38% 39% 38% 31% 26%South Korea 35% 32% 37% 39% 34% 38% 22% 25% 29% 27% 27% 18% 21% 18% 26% 21% 17% 17% 20% 22% 20% 21% 18% 17% 24% 16% Spain 9% 10% 7% 7% 4% 6% 6% 8% 6% 6% 7% 6% 3% 5% 3% 4% 4% 4% 4% 3% 3% 3% 3% 4% 4% 3% Sweden 72% 77% 75% 75% 82% 80% 71% 78% 76% 76% 77% 70% 74% 69% 73% 74% 72% 73% 70% 71% 64% 75% 71% 81% 65% 72% Turkey 39% 43% 41% 41% 46% 47% 43% 49% 50% 51% 57% 48% 61% 59% 54% 58% 55% 58% 58% 51% 49% 51% 51% 56% 50% 44%United States 15% 18% 20% 19% 20% 20% 19% 17% 23% 19% 19% 14% 15% 14% 19% 21% 21% 19% 22% 27% 23% 26% 25% 28% 26% 24% A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 19 The Economic Pulse
  • 20. Countries Ranked and Marked By Change In Assessment From Last Month (Left Column) Thinking about our economic situation, how would you describe the current economic situation in [insert country]? Is it very good, somewhat good, somewhat bad or very bad? % Very Good / Somewhat Good Total (-1) 36% Sweden (+7) 72% Indonesia (+6) 46% China (+5) 63% Canada (+2) 68% Poland (+2) 21% Brazil (+1) 57%Great Britain (+1) 15% India (N/C) 58% Argentina (N/C) 36% France (N/C) 6% Green marks countries experiencing improvement; Italy (N/C) 6% Blue marks countries with no change from last month; Red marks countries experiencing a decline… Hungary (N/C) 4%Saudi Arabia (-1) 79% Australia (-1) 61% Spain (-1) 3% Mexico (-2) 32%United States (-2) 24% Japan (-2) 9% Russia (-4) 27%South Africa (-5) 26% Turkey (-6) 44% Germany (-8) 60% Belgium (-8) 28%South Korea (-8) 16% A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 20 The Economic Pulse
  • 21. Countries Ranked by Net Improvement, Decline or No Change Compared to Last Month: Thinking about our economic situation, how would you describe the current economic situation in [insert country]? Is it very good, somewhat good, somewhat bad or very bad?-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15% Sweden (+7) 7% Indonesia (+6) 6% China (+5) 5% Canada (+2) 2% Poland (+2) 2% Brazil (+1) 1% Great Britain (+1) 1% India (N/C) 0% Argentina (N/C) 0% France (N/C) 0% Italy (N/C) 0% Hungary (N/C) 0% -1% Saudi Arabia (-1) -1% Australia (-1) -1% Spain (-1) -2% Mexico (-2) -2% United States (-2) -2% Japan (-2) -4% Russia (-4) -5% South Africa (-5) -6% Turkey (-6) -8% Germany (-8) -8% Belgium (-8) -8% South Korea (-8) A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 21 The Economic Pulse
  • 22. Assessing the Current Economic Situation by All Regions: Very Good / Somewhat Good 80% 71% 70% 64% 60% 61% 50% 51% 51% 50% 45% 46% 40% 41% 40% 30% 27% 24% 20% 10% Apr 2007 Apr 2008 Nov 2008 Apr 2009 Apr 2010 Nov 2010 Apr 2011 Nov 2011 Apr 2012 Nov/Jan/10 Jan 2011 Jan 2012 Mar 2010 May 2010 Aug 2010 Aug 2012 Jun 2010 Feb 2011 Mar 2011 May 2011 Aug 2011 Jun 2011 Feb 2012 Mar 2012 May 2012 Jun 2012 Jul 2010 Jul 2011 Jul 2012 Oct 2007 Sep 2010 Oct 2010 Dec 2010 Sep 2011 Oct 2011 Dec 2011 Sep 2012 Oct 2012 North America (Can/US) LATAM Europe APAC G8 BRIC Middle East/AfricaNow thinking about our economic situation, how would you describe the current economic situation in [insert country]?Is it very good, somewhat good, somewhat bad or very bad? A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 22 The Economic Pulse
  • 23. North American (Canada/US) Countries Assessing the Current Economic Situation N/C Very Good / Somewhat Good 100% 90% 80% 80% 70% 68% 60% 47% 50% 40% 30% 24% 20% 10% 0% Mar/11 Mar/12 Oct/11 Oct/12 Nov/11 Jan/12 Apr 2007 Apr 2008 Nov 2008 Apr 2009 Nov 2010 May/11 Apr 2010 Jan 2011 Jun/11 Feb/12 May/12 Jun/12 Jul/11 Sept/11 Jul/12 Mar 2010 May 2010 Aug 2010 Dec/11 Sep/12 Nov/Jan 2010 Jun 2010 Feb 2011 Jul 2010 Sept 2010 Oct 2007 Oct 2010 Dec 2010 Aug/11 Aug/12 Apr/11 Apr/12 United States CanadaNow thinking about our economic situation, how would you describe the current economic situation in [insert country]?Is it very good, somewhat good, somewhat bad or very bad? A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 23 The Economic Pulse
  • 24. LATAM Countries Assessing the Current Economic Situation 1 Very Good / Somewhat Good 80% 70% 60% 57% 50% 50% 42% 40% 36% 32% 30% 20% 10% 0% Nov-08 Nov-10 Nov-11 May-10 Mar-10 Jun-10 Feb-11 Mar-11 May-11 Jun-11 Feb-12 Mar-12 May-12 Jun-12 Nov-09/Jan-10 Jul-10 Sept-10 Jul-11 Sept-11 Jul-12 Oct-07 Oct-10 Dec-10 Oct-11 Dec-11 Sep-12 Oct-12 Jan-11 Jan-12 Apr-07 Apr-08 Apr-09 Apr-10 Apr-11 Apr-12 Aug-10 Aug-11 Aug-12 Brazil Argentina MexicoNow thinking about our economic situation, how would you describe the current economic situation in [insert country]?Is it very good, somewhat good, somewhat bad or very bad? A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 24 The Economic Pulse
  • 25. European Countries Assessing the Current Economic Situation 1 Very Good / Somewhat Good 90% 80% 72% 70% 64% 60% 59% 60% 55% 50% 50% 40% 30% 28% 27% 20% 21% 15% 10% 6% 4% 3% 0% Nov-08 Nov-10 Nov-11 May-10 May-12 Mar-10 Jun-10 Feb-11 Mar-11 May-11 Jun-11 Feb-12 Mar-12 Jun-12 Jul-10 Jul-11 Jul-12 Sept-11 Oct-07 Sep-10 Oct-10 Dec-10 Oct-11 Dec-11 Sep-12 Oct-12 Jan-11 Jan-12 Nov/Jan 2010 Apr-07 Apr-08 Apr-09 Apr-10 Apr-11 Apr-12 Aug-10 Aug-11 Aug-12 Germany France Spain Sweden Great Britain Belgium Italy Hungary PolandNow thinking about our economic situation, how would you describe the current economic situation in [insert country]?Is it very good, somewhat good, somewhat bad or very bad? A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 25 The Economic Pulse
  • 26. APAC Countries Assessing the Current Economic Situation 1 Very Good / Somewhat Good 100% 90% 90% 80% 78% 70% 63% 65% 61% 60% 58% 50% 46% 40% 30% 27% 20% 16% 16% 10% 9% 0% Nov-08 Nov-10 Nov-11 May-10 Mar-10 Jun-10 Feb-11 Mar-11 May-11 Jun-11 Feb-12 Mar-12 May-12 Jun-12 Nov-09/Jan-10 Jul-10 Jul-11 Sept-11 Jul-12 Oct-07 Sep-10 Oct-10 Dec-10 Oct-11 Dec-11 Sep-12 Oct-12 Jan-11 Jan-12 Apr-07 Apr-08 Apr-09 Apr-10 Apr-11 Apr-12 Aug-10 Aug-11 Aug-12 Australia China India Japan Russia South Korea IndonesiaNow thinking about our economic situation, how would you describe the current economic situation in [insert country]?Is it very good, somewhat good, somewhat bad or very bad? A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 26 The Economic Pulse
  • 27. G8 Countries Assessing the Current Economic Situation 1 Very Good / Somewhat Good 100% 90% 80% 80% 70% 68% 65% 60% 59% 60% 50% 47% 40% 30% 27% 27% 24% 20% 15% 10% 9% 6% 0% Nov-08 Nov-10 Nov-11 Mar-10 May-10 Jun-10 Feb-11 Mar-11 May-11 Jun-11 Feb-12 Mar-12 May-12 Jun-12 Nov-09/Jan-10 Jul-10 Sept-10 Jul-11 Jul-12 Sept-11 Oct-07 Oct-10 Dec-10 Oct-11 Dec-11 Sep-12 Oct-12 Jan-11 Jan-12 Apr-07 Apr-08 Apr-09 Apr-10 Apr-11 Apr-12 Aug-10 Aug-11 Aug-12 Great Britain Canada France Germany Italy Japan Russia United StatesNow thinking about our economic situation, how would you describe the current economic situation in [insert country]?Is it very good, somewhat good, somewhat bad or very bad? A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 27 The Economic Pulse
  • 28. BRIC Countries Assessing the Current Economic Situation N/C Very Good / Somewhat Good 100% 90% 88% 80% 70% 65% 63% 60% 58% 57% 50% 42% 40% 30% 27% 20% 10% 0% Mar-10 Mar-11 Mar-12 Oct-07 Oct-10 Oct-11 Oct-12 Nov-08 Nov-10 Jan-11 Nov-11 Jan-12 May-10 Jun-10 Feb-11 May-11 Jun-11 Feb-12 May-12 Jun-12 Jul-10 Sept-10 Jul-11 Sept-11 Jul-12 Dec-10 Dec-11 Sep-12 Nov 09/Jan 10 Aug-10 Aug-11 Aug-12 Apr-07 Apr-08 Apr-09 Apr-10 Apr-11 Apr-12 Brazil Russia India ChinaNow thinking about our economic situation, how would you describe the current economic situation in [insert country]?Is it very good, somewhat good, somewhat bad or very bad? A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 28 The Economic Pulse
  • 29. Middle East/African Countries Assessing the Current Economic Situation 4 Very Good / Somewhat Good 100% 90% 80% 79% 73% 70% 60% 50% 51% 44% 40% 38% 30% 26% 20% 10% 0% Nov-10 Nov-11 Mar-10 May-10 Jun-10 Feb-11 Mar-11 May-11 Jun-11 Feb-12 Mar-12 May-12 Jun-12 Jul-10 Jul-11 Sept-11 Jul-12 Sep-10 Oct-10 Dec-10 Oct-11 Dec-11 Sep-12 Oct-12 Jan-11 Jan-12 N09/J10 Apr-10 Apr-11 Apr-12 Aug-10 Aug-11 Aug-12 Turkey Saudi Arabia South AfricaNow thinking about our economic situation, how would you describe the current economic situation in [insert country]? A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38Is it very good, somewhat good, somewhat bad or very bad? 29 The Economic Pulse
  • 30.  Assessing The Economy… …In Their Local AreaDetailed Tables B.6 A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 30 The Economic Pulse
  • 31. Citizen Consumers Who Say The Economy In Their Local Area is Strong… % Strong (Top 3: 5-6-7) Total 27% Saudi Arabia 53% Sweden 52% China 47% Canada 44% Australia 42% Brazil 42% India 41% Germany 39% Indonesia 36% Turkey 32% South Africa 24% United States 23% Mexico 22% Argentina 21% Russia 20% Belgium 18% Poland 18% Great Britain 15% South Korea 14% France 10% Hungary 8% Italy 8% Japan 6% Spain 6%Rate the current state of the economy in your local area using a scale from 1 to 7, where7 means a very strong economy today and 1 means a very weak economy A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 31 The Economic Pulse
  • 32. Citizen Consumers Who Say The Economy In Their Local Area is Strong N/C Total - % Strong (Top 3: 5-6-7) 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 29% 29% 29% 30% 30% 30% 31% 30% 30% 31% 29% 30% 30% 30% 31% 29% 30% 29% 29% 29% 29% 29% 30% 29% 29% 28% 28% 29% 27% 27% 27% 30% 20% 10% 0% Mar/10 Mra/11 Mar/12 Oct/10 Oct/11 Oct/12 Nov/10 Nov/11 Jan/11 Jan/12 May/10 Jun/10 Feb/11 May/11 Jun/11 Feb/12 May/12 Jun/12 Jul/10 Sept/10 Jul/11 Sept/11 Jul/12 Dec/10 Dec/11 Sep/12 Aug/10 Aug/11 Aug/12 Apr/10 Apr/11 Apr/12Rate the current state of the economy in your local area using a scale from 1 to 7,where 7 means a very strong economy today and 1 means a very weak economy. A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 32 The Economic Pulse
  • 33. Citizen Consumers Who Say The Economy In Their Local Area is Strong % Strong (Top 3 5-6-7) Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct ‘10 ‘10 ‘10 ‘10 ‘10 ‘11 ‘11 ‘11 ‘11 ‘11 ‘11 ‘11 ‘11 ‘11 ‘11 ‘11 ‘11 ‘12 ‘12 ‘12 ‘12 ‘12 ‘12 ’12 ’12 ’12 ‘12 Total 30% 30% 30% 31% 30% 30% 31% 29% 30% 30% 30% 31% 29% 30% 29% 29% 29% 29% 29% 30% 29% 29% 28% 29% 27% 27% 27% Argentina 25% 26% 21% 28% 28% 30% 28% 26% 30% 28% 31% 30% 29% 36% 35% 36% 34% 35% 29% 30% 23% 27% 17% 24% 22% 22% 21% Australia 52% 53% 57% 53% 55% 60% 54% 53% 51% 50% 46% 46% 42% 43% 49% 46% 47% 47% 46% 43% 42% 39% 43% 41% 38% 41% 42% Belgium 20% 19% 17% 21% 16% 20% 30% 23% 27% 26% 25% 24% 19% 21% 18% 16% 14% 15% 11% 16% 14% 19% 19% 20% 19% 22% 18% Brazil 46% 45% 50% 47% 51% 42% 47% 41% 39% 42% 41% 43% 46% 39% 44% 49% 46% 50% 44% 41% 41% 41% 39% 51% 41% 36% 42% Canada 46% 48% 43% 46% 42% 49% 49% 46% 49% 49% 51% 49% 51% 48% 48% 44% 45% 45% 46% 44% 44% 45% 46% 48% 44% 46% 44% China 59% 59% 63% 59% 55% 56% 57% 56% 56% 51% 49% 47% 45% 53% 48% 48% 48% 52% 49% 59% 53% 46% 44% 50% 50% 51% 47% France 15% 13% 14% 14% 12% 14% 15% 16% 14% 16% 16% 14% 18% 12% 15% 12% 12% 12% 13% 15% 13% 15% 14% 14% 15% 13% 10% Germany 33% 35% 39% 43% 43% 40% 43% 38% 46% 46% 47% 47% 45% 43% 41% 43% 41% 45% 48% 47% 47% 47% 48% 45% 48% 47% 39% Great Britain 15% 15% 13% 16% 15% 15% 14% 12% 14% 17% 17% 12% 12% 17% 13% 13% 13% 16% 15% 18% 13% 13% 15% 14% 14% 16% 15% Hungary 14% 11% 15% 11% 9% 12% 10% 9% 12% 10% 12% 11% 9% 9% 8% 8% 7% 8% 6% 7% 7% 8% 7% 7% 8% 7% 8% India 56% 61% 61% 67% 60% 51% 55% 52% 52% 47% 50% 42% 49% 47% 47% 48% 48% 47% 51% 56% 54% 50% 39% 46% 48% 43% 41% Indonesia 26% 29% 33% 31% 32% 25% 23% 30% 27% 33% 27% 29% 24% 31% 26% 34% 33% 31% 26% 25% 28% 27% 28% 29% 29% 26% 36% Italy 19% 18% 17% 15% 18% 14% 18% 16% 16% 18% 17% 16% 14% 13% 12% 10% 10% 10% 12% 12% 9% 8% 7% 8% 9% 9% 8% Japan 5% 5% 5% 5% 6% 4% 5% 5% 5% 7% 6% 7% 5% 5% 7% 6% 5% 7% 6% 6% 7% 7% 8% 6% 8% 8% 6% Mexico 18% 18% 18% 15% 17% 22% 21% 17% 18% 18% 19% 25% 24% 21% 21% 23% 22% 22% 28% 25% 27% 22% 20% 19% 19% 24% 22% Poland 31% 29% 21% 25% 22% 19% 21% 19% 23% 17% 21% 21% 23% 24% 24% 19% 21% 24% 18% 22% 20% 23% 20% 24% 18% 16% 18% Russia 30% 24% 26% 24% 19% 20% 16% 17% 21% 18% 18% 19% 17% 18% 23% 18% 19% 21% 21% 23% 18% 22% 19% 16% 17% 17% 20% Saudi Arabia 58% 57% 47% 50% 58% 57% 55% 62% 63% 61% 63% 66% 69% 64% 58% 67% 64% 69% 65% 69% 65% 64% 67% 71% 48% 47% 53% South Africa 28% 26% 27% 26% 30% 34% 29% 22% 23% 28% 34% 34% 27% 26% 26% 25% 23% 26% 26% 29% 26% 30% 27% 29% 26% 23% 24% South Korea 22% 22% 23% 26% 28% 23% 25% 16% 19% 21% 18% 21% 16% 16% 16% 18% 17% 12% 15% 16% 17% 16% 19% 14% 13% 17% 14% Spain 10% 10% 10% 11% 10% 9% 9% 9% 10% 9% 8% 11% 8% 6% 8% 8% 6% 6% 7% 6% 5% 4% 6% 6% 5% 7% 6% Sweden 53% 54% 54% 58% 55% 53% 57% 51% 54% 47% 52% 59% 57% 52% 55% 43% 48% 49% 45% 46% 53% 51% 54% 48% 55% 44% 52% Turkey 25% 29% 34% 27% 30% 32% 33% 33% 33% 35% 38% 46% 32% 45% 42% 44% 45% 35% 41% 37% 41% 40% 40% 38% 37% 35% 32% United States 17% 16% 19% 20% 20% 19% 24% 18% 18% 19% 18% 22% 17% 18% 16% 19% 23% 22% 24% 23% 20% 23% 22% 28% 28% 23% 23% A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38Rate the current state of the economy in your local area using a scale from 1 to 7,where 7 means a very strong economy today and 1 means a very weak economy. 33 The Economic Pulse
  • 34. Countries Ranked and Marked By Change In Assessment From Last Month (Left Column): Rate the current state of the economy in your local area using a scale from 1 to 7, where 7 means a very strong economy today and 1 means a very weak economy… Total (N/C) 27% Indonesia (+10) 36% Sweden (+8) 52% Saudi Arabia (+6) 53% Brazil (+6) 42% Russia (+3) 20% Poland (+2) 18% Australia (+1) 42% South Africa (+1) 24% Hungary (+1) 8% Green marks countries experiencing improvement;United States (N/C) 23% Blue marks countries with no change from last month; Argentina (-1) 21% Red marks countries experiencing a decline. Great Britain (-1) 15% Italy (-1) 8% Spain (-1) 6% Canada (-2) 44% India (-2) 41% Mexico (-2) 22% Japan (-2) 6% Turkey (-3) 32% South Korea (-3) 14% France (-3) 10% China (-4) 47% Belgium (-4) 18% Germany (-8) 39% A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 34 The Economic Pulse
  • 35. Countries Ranked by Net Improvement, Decline or No Change Compared to Last Month: Rate the current state of the economy in your local area using a scale from 1 to 7, where 7 means a very strong economy today and 1 means a very weak economy…-25% -20% -15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% Indonesia (+10) 10% Sweden (+8) 8% Saudi Arabia (+6) 6% Brazil (+6) 6% Russia (+3) 3% Poland (+2) 2% Australia (+1) 1% South Africa (+1) 1% Hungary (+1) 1% 0% -1% Argentina (-1) -1% Great Britain (-1) -1% Italy (-1) -1% Spain (-1) -2% Canada (-2) -2% India (-2) -2% Mexico (-2) -2% Japan (-2) -3% Turkey (-3) -3% South Korea (-3) -3% France (-3) -4% China (-4) -4% Belgium (-4) -8% Germany (-8) A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 35 The Economic Pulse
  • 36. All Regions Assess the Strength of Their Local Economy % Strong (Top 3 5-6-7) 55% 50% 46% 45% 40% 37% 37% 36% 35% 35% 34% 32% 30% 29% 28% 25% 25% 21% 20% 20% 19% 15% 10% Apr 2010 Nov 2010 Nov 2011 Apr 2012 Jan 2011 Apr 2011 Jan 2012 Mar 2010 May 2010 Aug 2010 Aug 2012 Jun 2010 Feb 2011 Mar 2011 May 2011 Aug 2011 May 2012 Jun 2011 Feb 2012 Mar 2012 Jun 2012 Jul 2010 Sept 2010 Jul 2011 Sept 2011 Jul 2012 Oct 2010 Dec 2010 Oct 2011 Dec 2011 Sep 2012 Oct 2012 North America LATAM Europe APAC G-8 Countries BRIC Middle East/AfricaRate the current state of the economy in your local area using a scale from 1 to 7,where 7 means a very strong economy today and 1 means a very weak economy. A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 36 The Economic Pulse
  • 37. North American Countries Assess the Strength of Their Local Economy N/C % Strong (Top 3 5-6-7) 55% 50% 45% 44% 44% 40% 35% 30% 25% 23% 20% 15% 10% Apr 2010 Nov 2010 Apr 2011 Nov 2011 Apr 2012 Jan 2011 Jan 2012 Mar 2010 May 2010 Aug 2010 Aug 2011 Jun 2010 Feb 2011 Mar 2011 May 2011 Jun 2011 Mar 2012 May 2012 Aug 2012 Jun 2012 Jul 2010 Sept 2010 Jul 2011 Sept 2011 Jul 2012 Oct 2010 Feb 20122 Dec 2010 Oct 2011 Dec 2011 Sep 2012 Oct 2012 United States CanadaRate the current state of the economy in your local area using a scale from 1 to 7,where 7 means a very strong economy today and 1 means a very weak economy. A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 37 The Economic Pulse
  • 38. LATAM Countries Assess the Strength of Their Local Economy 1 % Strong (Top 3 5-6-7) 55% 50% 45% 42% 40% 38% 35% 30% 25% 22% 21% 20% 15% 10% Apr 2010 Nov 2010 Apr 2011 Nov 2011 Apr 2012 Jan 2011 Jan 2012 Mar 2010 May 2010 Aug 2010 Aug 2011 Jun 2010 Feb 2011 Mar 2011 May 2011 Jun 2011 Feb 2012 Mar 2012 May 2012 Aug 2012 Jun 2012 Jul 2010 Jul 2011 Sept 2011 Jul 2012 Sep 2010 Oct 2010 Dec 2010 Oct 2011 Dec 2011 Sep 2012 Oct 2012 Brazil Argentina MexicoRate the current state of the economy in your local area using a scale from 1 to 7,where 7 means a very strong economy today and 1 means a very weak economy. A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 38 The Economic Pulse
  • 39. European Countries Assess the Strength of Their Local Economy 1 % Strong (Top 3 5-6-7) 70% 60% 52% 50% 44% 40% 39% 30% 29% 27% 20% 18% 18% 15% 15% 13% 10% 11% 10% 8% 6% 0% Nov-10 Nov-11 Mar-10 May-10 Jun-10 Feb-11 Mar-11 May-11 Jun-11 Feb-12 Mar-12 May-12 Jun-12 Jul-10 Jul-11 Jul-12 Sept-10 Sept-11 Oct-10 Dec-10 Oct-11 Dec-11 Sep-12 Oct-12 Jan-11 Jan-12 Apr-10 Apr-11 Apr-12 Aug-10 Aug-11 Aug-12 Germany France Spain Sweden Great Britain Belgium Italy Hungary PolandRate the current state of the economy in your local area using a scale from 1 to 7,where 7 means a very strong economy today and 1 means a very weak economy. A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 39 The Economic Pulse
  • 40. APAC Countries Assess the Strength of Their Local Economy N/C % Strong (Top 3 5-6-7) 80% 70% 60% 61% 56% 50% 47% 42% 40% 41% 37% 36% 32% 30% 29% 23% 20% 20% 16% 14% 10% 6% 4% 0% Apr 2010 Nov 2010 Apr 2011 Nov 2011 Jan 2012 Apr 2012 Jan 2011 Mar 2010 May 2010 Aug 2010 Jun 2010 Feb 2011 Mar 2011 May 2011 Aug 2011 Aug 2012 Jun 2011 Feb 2012 Mar 2012 May 2012 Jun 2012 Jul 2010 Sept 2010 Jul 2011 Sept 2011 Jul 2012 Oct 2010 Dec 2010 Oct 2011 Dec 2011 Sep 2012 Oct 2012 Australia China India Japan Russia South Korea Turkey IndonesiaRate the current state of the economy in your local area using a scale from 1 to 7,where 7 means a very strong economy today and 1 means a very weak economy. A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 40 The Economic Pulse
  • 41. G8 Countries Assess the Strength of Their Local Economy 2 % Strong (Top 3 5-6-7) 60% 50% 44% 44% 40% 39% 30% 27% 23% 23% 20% 20% 20% 18% 16% 15% 14% 10% 10% 8% 4% 6% 0% Jul 2010 Sept 2010 Jul 2011 Sept 2011 Jul 2012 Oct 2010 Dec 2010 Oct 2011 Dec 2011 Sep 2012 Oct 2012 Apr 2010 Nov 2010 Apr 2011 Nov 2011 Apr 2012 Jan 2011 Jan 2012 Mar 2010 May 2010 Aug 2010 Jun 2010 Feb 2011 Mar 2011 May 2011 Aug 2011 Aug 2012 Jun 2011 Feb 2012 Mar 2012 May 2012 Jun 2012 Great Britain Canada France Germany Italy Japan Russia United StatesRate the current state of the economy in your local area using a scale from 1 to 7,where 7 means a very strong economy today and 1 means a very weak economy. A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 41 The Economic Pulse
  • 42. BRIC Countries Assess the Strength of Their Local Economy N/C % Strong (Top 3 5-6-7) 80% 70% 60% 61% 50% 47% 42% 40% 38% 41% 30% 20% 20% 10% 0% Jul 2010 Sept 2010 Jul 2011 Sept 2011 Jul 2012 Oct 2010 Dec 2010 Oct 2011 Dec 2011 Sep 2012 Oct 2012 Apr 2010 Nov 2010 Apr 2011 Nov 2011 Apr 2012 Jan 2011 Jan 2012 Mar 2010 May 2010 Aug 2010 Jun 2010 Feb 2011 Mar 2011 May 2011 Aug 2011 Jun 2011 Feb 2012 Mar 2012 May 2012 Aug 2012 Jun 2012 Brazil Russia India ChinaRate the current state of the economy in your local area using a scale from 1 to 7,where 7 means a very strong economy today and 1 means a very weak economy. A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 42 The Economic Pulse
  • 43. Middle East/ African Countries Assess the Strength of Their Local Economy 1 % Strong (Top 3 5-6-7) 80% 70% 60% 53% 50% 49% 40% 32% 30% 29% 26% 24% 20% 10% 0% Sept 2010 Jul 2011 Sept 2011 Jul 2012 Oct 2010 Dec 2010 Oct 2011 Dec 2011 Sep 2012 Oct 2012 Apr 2010 Julo 2010 Nov 2010 Apr 2011 Nov 2011 Apr 2012 Jan 2011 Jan 2012 Mar 2010 May 2010 Aug 2010 Aug 2011 Jun 2010 Feb 2011 Mar 2011 May 2011 Jun 2011 Feb 2012 Mar 2012 May 2012 Aug 2012 Jun 2012 Turkey Saudi Arabia South AfricaRate the current state of the economy in your local area using a scale from 1 to 7,where 7 means a very strong economy today and 1 means a very weak economy. A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 43 The Economic Pulse
  • 44.  Assessing the Strength of The Local Economy……Six Months From NowDetailed Tables B.7 A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 44 The Economic Pulse
  • 45. Citizen Consumers Who Say The Economy in the Local Area to be Stronger in The Next Six Months… % Much Stronger / Somewhat Stronger Total 22% Brazil 74% India 44% Saudi Arabia 44% Indonesia 41% Argentina 40% Mexico 40% China 35% United States 25% Turkey 23% Canada 21% Sweden 19% Australia 17% Russia 14% South Africa 14% South Korea 13% Germany 11% Spain 11% Great Britain 10% Poland 10% Italy 9% Belgium 8% Hungary 7% Japan 5% France 3%Looking ahead 6 months from now, do you expect the economy in your local area to be muchstronger, somewhat stronger, about the same, somewhat weaker, or much weaker than it is now? A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 45 The Economic Pulse
  • 46. Citizen Consumers Who Say The Economy in the Local Area to be Stronger in The Next Six Months 1 Global Total % Much Stronger / Somewhat Stronger 70% 60% 50% 40% 31% 30% 30% 29% 28% 28% 28% 29% 27% 27% 28% 26% 27% 27% 26% 30% 25% 24% 24% 24% 24% 24% 25% 24% 26% 24% 24% 23% 23% 23% 23% 22% 20% 10% 0% Apr 2010 Nov 2010 Apr 2011 Nov 2011 Apr 2012 Jan 2011 Jan 2012 May 2010 Aug 2010 Aug 2011 Jun 2010 Feb 2011 Mar 2011 May 2011 Jun 2011 Feb 2012 Mar 2012 May 2012 Aug 2012 Jun 2012 Jul 2010 Sept 2010 Jul 2011 Sept 2011 Jul 2012 Oct 2010 Dec 2010 Oct 2011 Dec 2011 Sep 2012 Oct 2012Looking ahead six months from now, do you expect the economy in your local area to bemuch stronger, somewhat stronger, about the same, somewhat weaker, or much weaker than it is now? A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 46 The Economic Pulse
  • 47. Citizen Consumers Who Say The Economy in the Local Area to be Stronger in The Next Six Months… % Much Stronger/Somewhat Stronger Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct ‘10 ‘10 ‘10 ‘10 ‘11 ‘11 ‘11 ‘11 ‘11 ‘11 ‘11 ‘11 ‘11 ‘11 ‘11 ‘11 ‘12 ‘12 ‘12 ‘12 ‘12 ‘12 ’12 ’12 ’12 ‘12 Total 28% 28% 29% 27% 27% 28% 26% 27% 27% 26% 25% 24% 24% 24% 24% 24% 25% 24% 26% 24% 24% 23% 23% 23% 23% 22% Argentina 42% 39% 44% 43% 42% 44% 44% 42% 45% 47% 47% 52% 52% 50% 47% 45% 42% 43% 47% 44% 44% 38% 39% 40% 41% 40% Australia 27% 29% 27% 24% 23% 24% 22% 23% 20% 19% 19% 16% 16% 16% 18% 16% 19% 16% 16% 16% 14% 16% 15% 16% 16% 17% Belgium 15% 13% 12% 12% 13% 13% 14% 15% 11% 14% 10% 6% 8% 8% 4% 5% 6% 5% 7% 6% 8% 8% 8% 8% 10% 8% Brazil 75% 78% 76% 78% 73% 73% 67% 72% 71% 64% 71% 71% 65% 74% 72% 71% 74% 69% 71% 75% 67% 69% 66% 65% 70% 74% Canada 27% 26% 27% 27% 31% 29% 28% 28% 26% 25% 24% 18% 15% 19% 19% 19% 21% 20% 22% 20% 21% 18% 19% 17% 18% 21% China 50% 50% 48% 44% 49% 49% 40% 42% 44% 39% 36% 35% 44% 39% 42% 32% 39% 34% 42% 36% 39% 34% 38% 36% 32% 35% France 5% 3% 4% 4% 5% 4% 4% 4% 4% 5% 3% 4% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 4% 6% 5% 9% 6% 5% 4% 4% 3% Germany 26% 31% 35% 27% 30% 28% 26% 24% 26% 22% 22% 18% 16% 12% 15% 13% 18% 20% 17% 17% 20% 14% 13% 16% 14% 11% Great Britain 13% 12% 13% 12% 13% 11% 8% 10% 12% 14% 9% 9% 10% 8% 9% 7% 10% 9% 12% 10% 9% 9% 9% 9% 9% 10% Hungary 18% 23% 13% 10% 12% 15% 10% 11% 7% 8% 10% 8% 6% 5% 6% 3% 5% 6% 8% 7% 7% 6% 7% 6% 5% 7% India 64% 65% 65% 61% 55% 61% 55% 55% 50% 52% 43% 52% 54% 56% 50% 50% 50% 56% 57% 55% 54% 50% 53% 53% 48% 44% Indonesia 35% 35% 34% 30% 26% 26% 29% 28% 32% 29% 29% 28% 29% 28% 32% 37% 32% 28% 26% 26% 31% 31% 32% 32% 31% 41% Italy 16% 17% 16% 15% 18% 16% 17% 15% 15% 15% 13% 14% 10% 11% 21% 12% 15% 19% 19% 14% 12% 10% 12% 12% 13% 9% Japan 6% 6% 8% 8% 8% 9% 8% 9% 10% 9% 10% 7% 7% 10% 6% 7% 8% 8% 12% 9% 7% 7% 8% 7% 7% 5% Mexico 35% 38% 30% 36% 33% 37% 43% 38% 41% 37% 39% 36% 34% 36% 39% 39% 36% 42% 46% 43% 39% 39% 37% 41% 43% 40% Poland 19% 19% 19% 21% 12% 19% 14% 17% 13% 15% 16% 18% 19% 15% 13% 16% 16% 12% 15% 12% 16% 15% 13% 11% 8% 10% Russia 21% 13% 24% 16% 16% 18% 18% 18% 16% 16% 13% 16% 15% 20% 17% 15% 17% 15% 20% 14% 18% 14% 11% 13% 17% 14% Saudi Arabia 46% 48% 45% 47% 45% 52% 56% 60% 59% 60% 62% 64% 57% 53% 54% 60% 63% 57% 59% 57% 57% 52% 59% 47% 46% 44% South Africa 25% 21% 27% 27% 28% 22% 16% 16% 21% 23% 17% 10% 15% 16% 20% 16% 16% 21% 16% 15% 15% 13% 20% 22% 11% 14% South Korea 22% 20% 22% 25% 22% 25% 19% 14% 17% 12% 15% 13% 15% 14% 14% 12% 11% 14% 11% 14% 15% 14% 13% 15% 16% 13% Spain 22% 20% 21% 20% 20% 21% 21% 23% 22% 20% 18% 18% 15% 23% 17% 21% 18% 15% 18% 16% 14% 18% 13% 12% 12% 11% Sweden 19% 21% 19% 20% 16% 21% 17% 18% 17% 16% 15% 14% 14% 11% 16% 12% 16% 12% 17% 15% 10% 15% 10% 14% 16% 19% Turkey 29% 28% 27% 23% 30% 32% 28% 32% 34% 36% 38% 25% 40% 35% 28% 35% 31% 34% 39% 34% 25% 30% 29% 26% 27% 23% United States 22% 24% 29% 25% 27% 27% 21% 24% 25% 22% 22% 17% 17% 16% 20% 23% 26% 26% 26% 25% 25% 24% 28% 28% 30% 25%Looking ahead six months from now, do you expect the economy in your local area to bemuch stronger, somewhat stronger, about the same, somewhat weaker, or much weaker than it is now? A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 47 The Economic Pulse
  • 48. Countries Ranked and Marked By Change In Assessment From Last Month (Left Column): Looking ahead six months from now, do you expect the economy in your local area to be much stronger, somewhat stronger, about the same, somewhat weaker, or much weaker than it is now? Total (-1) 22% Indonesia (+10) 41% Brazil (+4) 74% China (+3) 35% Canada (+3) 21% Sweden (+3) 19%South Africa (+3) 14% Poland (+2) 10% Green marks countries experiencing improvement; Hungary (+2) 7% Blue marks countries with no change from last month; Australia (+1) 17% Red marks countries experiencing a decline.Great Britain (+1) 10% Argentina (-1) 40% Spain (-1) 11% France (-1) 3%Saudi Arabia (-2) 44% Belgium (-2) 8% Japan (-2) 5% Mexico (-3) 40% Russia (-3) 14%South Korea (-3) 13% Germany (-3) 11% India (-4) 44% Turkey (-4) 23% Italy (-4) 9%United States (-5) 25% A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 48 The Economic Pulse
  • 49. Countries Ranked by Net Improvement, Decline or No Change Compared to Last Month: Looking ahead six months from now, do you expect the economy in your local area to be much stronger, somewhat stronger, about the same, somewhat weaker, or much weaker than it is now?-20% -15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% Indonesia (+10) 10% Brazil (+4) 4% China (+3) 3% Canada (+3) 3% Sweden (+3) 3% South Africa (+3) 3% Poland (+2) 2% Hungary (+2) 2% Australia (+1) 1% Great Britain (+1) 1% -1% Argentina (-1) -1% Spain (-1) -1% France (-1) -2% Saudi Arabia (-2) -2% Belgium (-2) -2% Japan (-2) -3% Mexico (-3) -3% Russia (-3) -3% South Korea (-3) -3% Germany (-3) -4% India (-4) -4% Turkey (-4) -4% Italy (-4) -5% United States (-5) A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 49 The Economic Pulse
  • 50. All Regions - Citizen Consumers Who Say The Economy in the Local Area to be Stronger in The Next Six Months % Much Stronger/Somewhat Stronger 60% 55% 48% 52% 50% 38% 42% 40% 34% 30% 27% 20% 24% 20% 23% 19% 12% 10% 10% 0% Apr 2010 Nov 2010 Apr 2011 Nov 2011 Apr 2012 Jan 2011 Jan 2012 Mar 2010 May 2010 Aug 2010 Aug 2012 Jun 2010 Feb 2011 Mar 2011 May 2011 Aug 2011 Jun 2011 Feb 2012 Mar 2012 May 2012 Jun 2012 Jul 2010 Sept 2010 Jul 2011 Sept 2011 Jul 2012 Oct 2010 Dec 2010 Oct 2011 Dec 2011 Sep 2012 Oct 2012 North America LATAM Europe APAC G-8 Countries BRIC Middle East/AfricaLooking ahead six months from now, do you expect the economy in your local area to bemuch stronger, somewhat stronger, about the same, somewhat weaker, or much weaker than it is now? A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 50 The Economic Pulse
  • 51. North American Countries - Citizen Consumers Who Say The Economy in the Local Area to be Stronger in The Next Six Months 1 % Much Stronger/Somewhat Stronger 50% 45% 40% 38% 35% 30% 31% 25% 25% 21% 20% 15% 10% Apr 2010 Nov 2010 Apr 2011 Nov 2011 Apr 2012 Jan 2011 Sept 2011 Jan 2012 Mar 2010 May 2010 Aug 2010 Aug 2011 Aug 2012 Jun 2010 Feb 2011 Mar 2011 May 2011 Jun 2011 Feb 2012 Mar 2012 May 2012 Jun 2012 Jul 2010 Sept 2010 Jul 2011 Jul 2012 Oct 2010 Dec 2010 Oct 2011 Dec 2011 Sep 2012 Oct 2012 United States CanadaLooking ahead six months from now, do you expect the economy in your local area to bemuch stronger, somewhat stronger, about the same, somewhat weaker, or much weaker than it is now? A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 51 The Economic Pulse
  • 52. LATAM Countries - Citizen Consumers Who Say The Economy in the Local Area to be Stronger in The Next Six Months 1 % Much Stronger/Somewhat Stronger 90% 80% 74% 70% 60% 50% 40% 40% 34% 30% 32% 20% 10% 0% Apr 2010 Nov 2010 Apr 2011 Nov 2011 Apr 2012 Jan 2011 Sept 2011 Jan 2012 Mar 2010 May 2010 Aug 2010 Aug 2011 Jun 2010 Feb 2011 Mar 2011 May 2011 Jun 2011 Feb 2012 Mar 2012 May 2012 Aug 2012 Jun 2012 Jul 2010 Sept 2010 Jul 2011 Jul 2012 Oct 2010 Dec 2010 Oct 2011 Dec 2011 Sep 2012 Oct 2012 Brazil Argentina MexicoLooking ahead six months from now, do you expect the economy in your local area to bemuch stronger, somewhat stronger, about the same, somewhat weaker, or much weaker than it is now? A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 52 The Economic Pulse
  • 53. European Countries - Citizen Consumers Who Say The Economy in the Local Area to be Stronger in The Next Six Months N/C % Much Stronger/Somewhat Stronger 40% 35% 30% 28% 25% 23% 22% 20% 20% 19% 19% 18% 15% 11% 10% 10% 9% 8% 5% 5% 7% 3% 0% Jul 2010 Sept 2010 Jul 2011 Sept 2011 Jul 2012 Oct 2010 Dec 2010 Oct 2011 Dec 2011 Sep 2012 Oct 2012 Apr 2010 Nov 2010 Apr 2011 Nov 2011 Apr 2012 Jan 2011 Jan 2012 Mar 2010 May 2010 Aug 2010 Jun 2010 Feb 2011 Mar 2011 May 2011 Aug 2011 Aug 2012 Jun 2011 Feb 2012 Mar 2012 May 2012 Jun 2012 Germany France Spain Sweden Great Britain Belgium Italy Hungary PolandLooking ahead six months from now, do you expect the economy in your local area to bemuch stronger, somewhat stronger, about the same, somewhat weaker, or much weaker than it is now? A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 53 The Economic Pulse
  • 54. APAC Countries - Citizen Consumers Who Say The Economy in the Local Area to be Stronger in The Next Six Months N/C % Much Stronger/Somewhat Stronger 80% 70% 66% 60% 57% 50% 44% 40% 41% 36% 35% 32% 30% 31% 23% 20% 21% 17% 17% 14% 10% 11% 13% 5% 0% Apr 2010 Nov 2010 Apr 2011 Nov 2011 Apr 2012 Jan 2011 Jan 2012 Mar 2010 May 2010 Aug 2010 Jun 2010 Feb 2011 Mar 2011 May 2011 Aug 2011 Aug 2012 Jun 2011 Feb 2012 Mar 2012 May 2012 Jun 2012 Jul 2010 Sept 2010 Jul 2011 Jul 2012 Oct 2010 Dec 2010 Sep 2011 Oct 2011 Dec 2011 Sep 2012 Oct 2012 Australia China India Japan Russia South Korea Turkey IndonesiaLooking ahead six months from now, do you expect the economy in your local area to bemuch stronger, somewhat stronger, about the same, somewhat weaker, or much weaker than it is now? A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 54 The Economic Pulse
  • 55. G8 Countries - Citizen Consumers Who Say The Economy in the Local Area to be Stronger in The Next Six Months 2 % Much Stronger/Somewhat Stronger 40% 38% 35% 30% 25% 25% 23% 21% 20% 20% 18% 17% 15% 14% 11% 11% 10% 10% 9% 5% 5% 5% 3% 0% Apr 2010 Nov 2010 Apr 2011 Nov 2011 Apr 2012 Jan 2011 Jan 2012 Mar 2010 May 2010 Aug 2010 Jun 2010 Feb 2011 Mar 2011 May 2011 Aug 2011 Aug 2012 Jun 2011 Feb 2012 Mar 2012 May 2012 Jun 2012 Jul 2010 Sept 2010 Jul 2011 Sept 2011 Jul 2012 Oct 2010 Dec 2010 Oct 2011 Dec 2011 Sep 2012 Oct 2012 Great Britain Canada France Germany Japan Italy Russia United StatesLooking ahead six months from now, do you expect the economy in your local area to bemuch stronger, somewhat stronger, about the same, somewhat weaker, or much weaker than it is now? A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 55 The Economic Pulse
  • 56. BRIC Countries - Citizen Consumers Who Say The Economy in the Local Area to be Stronger in The Next Six Months N/C % Much Stronger/Somewhat Stronger 90% 80% 79% 74% 70% 66% 60% 50% 44% 40% 35% 30% 20% 17% 14% 10% 0% Jul 2010 Sept 2010 Jul 2011 Sept 2011 Jul 2012 Oct 2010 Dec 2010 Oct 2011 Dec 2011 Sep 2012 Oct 2012 Apr 2010 Nov 2010 Apr 2011 Nov 2011 Apr 2012 Jan 2011 Jan 2012 Mar 2010 May 2010 Aug 2010 Aug 2011 Jun 2010 Feb 2011 Mar 2011 May 2011 Jun 2011 Feb 2012 Mar 2012 May 2012 Aug 2012 Jun 2012 Brazil Russia India ChinaLooking ahead six months from now, do you expect the economy in your local area to bemuch stronger, somewhat stronger, about the same, somewhat weaker, or much weaker than it is now? A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 56 The Economic Pulse
  • 57. 1 Middle East/African Countries - Citizen Consumers Who Say The Economy in the Local Area to be Stronger in The Next Six Months % Much Stronger/Somewhat Stronger 70% 60% 50% 44% 44% 40% 38% 32% 30% 23% 20% 14% 10% 0% Apr 2010 Nov 2010 Apr 2011 Nov 2011 Apr 2012 Jan 2011 Jan 2012 Mar 2010 May 2010 Aug 2010 Aug 2011 Jun 2010 Feb 2011 Mar 2011 May 2011 Jun 2011 Feb 2012 Mar 2012 May 2012 Aug 2012 Jun 2012 Jul 2010 Sept 2010 Jul 2011 Sept 2011 Jul 2012 Oct 2010 Dec 2010 Oct 2011 Dec 2011 Sep 2012 Oct 2012 Turkey Saudi Arabia South AfricaLooking ahead six months from now, do you expect the economy in your local area to bemuch stronger, somewhat stronger, about the same, somewhat weaker, or much weaker than it is now? A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 57 The Economic Pulse
  • 58. About Ipsos Ipsos is an independent market research company controlled and managed by research professionals. Founded in France in 1975, Ipsos has grown into a worldwide research group with a strong presence in all key markets. In October 2011 Ipsos completed the acquisition of Synovate. The combination forms the world’s third largest market research company. With offices in 84 countries, Ipsos delivers insightful expertise across six research specializations: advertising, customer loyalty, marketing, media, public affairs research, and survey management. Ipsos researchers assess market potential and interpret market trends. They develop and build brands. They help clients build long-term relationships with their customers. They test advertising and study audience responses to various media and they measure public opinion around the globe. Ipsos has been listed on the Paris Stock Exchange since 1999 and generated global revenues of €1,363 billion (1.897 billion USD) in 2011. Visit www.ipsos-na.com to learn more about Ipsos’ offerings and capabilities. A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@3858 The Economic Pulse
  • 59. For information about this and other Global @dvisor products contact http://www.ipsosglobaladvisor.com/ or: John Wright Senior Vice President and Managing Director, Global @dvisor Ipsos Public Affairs +1 (416) 324-2002 john.wright@ipsos.com Keren Gottfried Research Manager, Global @dvisor Ipsos Public Affairs +1 (416) 572-4481 keren.gottfried@ipsos.com The Ipsos Global @dvisor Syndicate Study is a monthly, online survey of consumer citizens in 24 countries and produces syndicated reports and studies specifically tailored to the needs of corporations, advertising and PR agencies, and governments. For information contact: Chris Deeney Senior Vice President and Managing Director Ipsos Public Affairs +1 (312) 665-0551 chris.deeny@ipsos.com Visit www.ipsos.com for information about all of our products and services. Copyright Ipsos 2010. All rights reserved. The contents of this publication constitute the sole and exclusive property of Ipsos. A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@3859 The Economic Pulse

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