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Presentation on dgh program to ind ii board 2012 04
 

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    Presentation on dgh program to ind ii board 2012 04 Presentation on dgh program to ind ii board 2012 04 Presentation Transcript

    • Investing in Connectivity: Proposed DGH Support for MP3EIApril 2012
    • Connectivity in the Road SectorFaces Strategic ChallengesLow competitiveness of road infrastructure v. SEAregionCurrent policies are not creating a sustainable modernhighway systemDevelopment of high-capacity expressway network islagging demandRising funding allocation needs to expand even furtherRoad program delivery needs more efficiency andaccountabilityChange in business model needed 2
    • Proposed Support for DGH and BPJTRoad Network Planning (Bipran, BPJT)• - Long-term Masterplan for Road Infrastructure• - Investment pipeline to improve connectivity in MP3EI corridorsImproved delivery of national road programs(Bintek, Wilayah-Balai)• - Longer road life, whole life costing• Asset management devolved to balai 3
    • MP3EI Economic Corridors – 12,000 km National Arterial Roads 1 4 3 6 2 Economic Corridor Mega Hub 5 Hub Potential Area for DevelopmentThe Recommended Six (6) Economic Corridors : Logistics is part of the supply chain (supply chain): 1 Eastern Sumatera-North West Java 4 Western Sulawesi 1. procurement activities 2. storage 2 Northern Java 5 East Java-Bali-NT 3. delivery / transportation and service 3 Kalimantan 6 Papua Source: Coord. Ministry of Economic 4 4
    • Road Connectivity – Estimated Current and Target Service Levels Normalized Trip Times on Economic Corridor Arterial Roads- 2011 Trip time hr/100 km* 0,0 1,0 2,0 3,0 4,0 5,0 6,0 Trans-Sumatra1 Target Service level Trans-Java 1-1.5 hr/100 km2 Kalimantan3 Sulawesi4 Bali-NTT5 Papua-Maluku6 Road Trip Time Nautical Add-on * Corridor distance shorter than Arterial 5 road distance
    • DGH Masterplan for Road Infrastructure 2010-14 Incremental Widening to Minimum Width Standard Road Length, km • Budget IDR 7 trillion/yr - 2.000 4.000 6.000 8.000 10.000 • Covers 47% of network in 5 yr Sumatra 3.690 • Increments to 4.5, 6 or 7 m width Java 1.430 But comes at high cost: Kalimantan • No distance saving, little speed 2.780 improvement Sulawesi 3.160 Total Length • Investment repeated in 5-10 yrs NTT 987 Improved • High cost = 40-60% of full length construction for 20-yr lifeMaluku-Papua 1.905 • Defers achieving modern asset • Compounds land issues 6
    • DGH Support on Road Network PlanningProposed outputs:• Long-term 50-yr strategy to plan optimal road infrastructure for sustaining development• 20-yr pipeline of investment projects in each economic corridor, staged to optimise benefits and spread funding requirements• Journey time used to define connectivity and infrastructure plan outcomes• Expressway network defined as backbone of trans-regional connectivity, with staged implementation• Modernise arterial road network gradually through full renewal of roadway and alignment 7
    • TRANS KALIMANTAN NATIONAL ROAD PROGRAM Improving connectivity: Kalimantan Economic Corridor Simanggaris Nunukan Malinau Corridor plan evaluates options when Tj. Selor generating project pipeline and investment profile for Economic Aruk Corridor: Enttikong Ng Badau Putusibau staged over 5, 10, 15 & 20 year periods Pontianak Tayan Samarinda Balikpapan PalangkarayaStrategic Options Banjarmasin(1) Widen existing road Jalan yang belum terbangun digambarkan dengan garis putus-putus Road standard(2) Realign and rebuild – “road renewal”; Expressway >= 7 m(3) Highway on future expressway location 6m 4.5 – 6 m Not Connected(4) Expressway in new location Sea Port
    • Improving Connectivity: Trans-Sumatra - Corridor Plan for Staged Development of Capacity in Parallel Facilities over long-term 20-yr periodARTERIAL NATIONAL ROAD WIDTHWidth m 14 2019 Road Width 10 2024 2014 7 6 5 2010 101 102 103 104 105 106 107 108 109 110 111 112 113 B Aceh B Aceh Medan Medan Pekanbaru Pekanba Lampung Palembg LampungLength km 644 694 754 443 0Total distance 2536 1892 1198 443 EXPRESSWAY Dual Cway Renstra period color code Baseline 2010-2014 2015-2019 2020-2024 2025-2029 101 102 103 104 105 106 107 108 109 110 111 112 113 B Aceh Medan Pekanba Palembg Lampung 2029 2019 2024 2019 Length km 460 564 610 380 0 Distance km 2014 1554 990 380 9
    • Corridor Plan Output - Trans-Sumatra Example: Linkage of Development Outcomes and Financing Plan – Long-term 20-yr Period Connectivity: 80 Financing Plan 5-Year Spending estimate (IDR T) Travel Time from South to 70 1,5 North 60 7 50 70 60 40 58,6TRAVEL TIME (hr) 50 30 47,9 0 40 20 20,2 30 B Aceh 10 2,6 1,7 3 3,6 3 3 3 0 20 Medan 0 1,8 Pekanb 10 R1 R2 R3 R4 Palem RENSTRA PERIOD 0 Boukh 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 Rd Presv Rd Widening Exwy GOI Exwy PrivSec 10
    • Accelerating Expressway Development• Development expected 3500 3000 to accelerate – but land 2500 Total length, km and private finance risks 2000 will dictate 1500• Need broader financing 1000 500 modality, better use of 0 available public funds 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 Operational Implementing PlannedIndII Support:• Assist delivery of Trans-Sumatra & East Java expressways• Define “expressway” classification in Road Law• Update long-term plan for expressway network• Advice on viability gap funding & PPP modalities• Support project preparation with VGF• Management: Strengthen BPJT, consider expressway authority 11
    • Funding Forecasts to Achieve Connectivity Goals and Modernisation of Road Network• Long range forecasts of Total Highway Expenditure to Meet Connectivity funding requirements built Goals - Long-term Plan to 2029 from the investment pipeline 90 80• Supports scenario planning Annual Expenditure IDR t 70 Plan forecast Exw-PS 60 - pace of development Exw-GOI 50 - public-private share 40 Devel-DGH 30• Modernising whole network 20 Presvn - DGH in 15 yr requires allocations 10 0 Mgt - DGH to double 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 Expanding Level of Service Economic Corridor avg trip time 30000 4,0 Avg Trip Time (hr/100 km) Network length at LoS (km) 3,0 20000 Exway 2,0 10000 LOS-A 1,0 0,0 0 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 12
    • IndII Support for DGH - 1Enhance Planning of National Road Development:- Expedite national connectivity and mobility- Reform road development planning process- Efficient deployment of expanded private and public funds- Accelerate development of expressway network• Build comprehensive process for planning road network development with expenditure forecasts and pipeline of projects• Prepare long-range capacity expansion profiles for six economic corridors, include pipeline of projects and financing plan• Develop an optimal 20-yr strategy for financing development of the expressway and arterial road networks• Assist BPJT to build capacity for processing the enlarged expressway development program, and transactions with viability gap funding
    • DGH Support for Network Planning: Activity packagingPackage 1: Connectivity in Eastern Indonesia • Preparation of 20-yr investment plans for 4 MP3EI corridors (Kalimantan, Sulawesi, NTT, Maluku-Papua) • Prepare 5-year pipeline of capacity expansion projects on arterial road network & budget estimates • Planning procedures upgraded to include strategy on capacity expansion and road renewalPackage 2: Connectivity in Sumatra and Java • Advisory support on expressway package preparation for E Java and Sumatra corridors, including financing • Classification and updating of expressway plan • Capacity & policy support to Bipran and BPJT • Preparation of 20-yr investment plans for MP3EI corridors 14
    • IndII Support for DGH - 2Improve efficiency national road program delivery:- Reduced life-cycle costs, improved performance and life of road assets- Improved design and delivery of projects;- Improved management of road and bridge assets; and- Improved transparency and accountablity for performance• Implement new design guide – longer life pavements• Prepare road renewal project pipeline for heavily trafficked corridors in East Sumatra and Java (Balais 3, 4 and 5)• Build balai capacity for managing national road network - devolved road management process, new system and.• Assist 1-3 Balais with preparation of 3-year programs 2013-15 using new system;• Apply new project design methods, contract preparation and supervision in selected heavy traffic corridors.
    • Approach for Support to DGH and MPW• Facilitate delivery of DGH program: • Working with Directorates to design and implement program • Demonstrating applications and reforms through outputs • Supporting MTEF budget preparations in 2012, 2013 & 2014• Progressive engagement: • Hold-points for review after initial stage and annual stages• Governance: • Building reliable data & information database for shared use • Deploy strategic KPI for travel time, asset age and activity costs • Launch public disclosure – possibly under CoST Initiative • Support MPW administrative reform measures
    • Terima kasih 17