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Chris whittle aviation sector and open skies june 14 2011
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Chris whittle aviation sector and open skies june 14 2011

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  • Strong fundamentals of demand exist: geography + population growth + positive macroeconomic indicators + increased FDI = increasing propensity to fly; Untapped potential in domestic, international passenger and cargo markets; Constrained in some markets by existing Air Service Agreements.
  • to include more gateways and to achieve greater synergy with the strategy for development focussed on six Economic Corridors;
  • Item 1: MILT (Japan) multi-airport study

Chris whittle aviation sector and open skies june 14 2011 Chris whittle aviation sector and open skies june 14 2011 Presentation Transcript

    • Aviation Sector and Open Skies
    • Chris Whittle
    • IndII Wrap-up Conference
    • 14 th June 2011
  • Aceh to Jayapura 5,000km 5 hrs 40 min Los Angeles to New York 3,950km 4 hrs 30 min London to Jeddah 4,730km 5 hrs 25 min
  • Major Player On World Aviation Stage
    • World’s 17 th largest economy with rapidly growing middle class
    • Strong demand growth
    • Jakarta largest and fastest growing airport in ASEAN
    • Indonesian airlines increasing fleets
    • New capacity planned at main international airports
  • Demand Growth + Forecast (Indonesia)
  • Growth of Jakarta
  • Aircraft Orders
  • New Airport Capacity
    • Jakarta Airport: Masterplan in progress
    • Medan: new airport
    • Bali: new international passenger terminal
    • Balikpapan: new international passenger terminal
  • Implementation of ASEAN Open Skies Policy
    • Goal
      • A strategy for implementation of regional (ASEAN) Open Sky policy in 2015 (planned date)
    • Objectives
      • Accommodate ASEAN Open Sky policy in national aviation law
      • Prepare national aviation industry for regional competition
      • Assess the benefits of ASEAN Open Sky policy for Indonesia
    • Deliverables
      • Road map for the development and implementation of the ASEAN Open Sky Policy in Indonesia in 2015 (planned date)
      • Detail steps to be taken by the “implementers”, including the government, carriers and airport operators
    • Description of Activity Components
    • Interdependence of the tasks
  • Open Skies Benefits
    • Benefits significantly outweigh costs:
      • Additional 16.3m international passengers; 99,000 aircraft movements; 291,000 tonnes of air cargo in 2025
      • Baseline impact (2010): 243,000 jobs and GDP IDR 33.7 trillion
      • 2025: 505,000 jobs and IDR and GDP 117.7 trillion
      • Positive net flow of costs and benefits to Indonesian users - Net Present Value of IDR 21.9 trillion and Benefit Cost Ratio of 5.4
    • Most benefits accrue to Jakarta and other larger airports
    • Benefits could be greater by extending scope of Open Skies
    • Strong case for a more liberal approach towards the development of air services with other world regions.
  • Other Aviation Projects
    • Indonesia Air Traffic Management Masterplan
      • A strategic road map for development of future Air Traffic Management requirements
    • Bali Airport Development options
      • Opportunities can be realised in short /medium term from optimumuse of existing terminal and runway infrastructure.
  • Opportunities (1)
    • Implementation of Open Skies
    • Infrastructure bottlenecks:
      • National Airports Masterplan
      • Optimise existing terminal and airside infrastructure (Bali example)
      • Upgrade surface access to airports
    • Development of human resources
    • Align air transport with development of economic corridors
  • Opportunities (2)
    • Reduce impact of peripherality
    • Airline compliance and conformity