Ethernet- The Next 40 Years
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Keynote researched and built by IT Brand Pulse for Jane Li of Huawei to present at the Ethernet Technology Summit.
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Ethernet- The Next 40 Years
- 1. Ethernet: The Next 40 Years Jane Li Huawei Enterprise USA April, 2013
- 2. Huawei Enterprise Confidential Page 2 1973 Memo
- 3. Huawei Enterprise Confidential Page 3 “Lost” Steve Jobs Speech from 1983 “In a few years people will be spending more time interacting with personal computers than with cars.” “When we have portable computers with radio links, people could be walking around anywhere and pick up their e-mail.” “We are about 5 years away from solving networking in the office and 10-15 years from solving networking in the home.”
- 4. Huawei Enterprise Confidential Page 4 Who we reached out to in 2013 Ray Mota PhD ACG Research Michael Howard Infonetics Phil Delansay PhD Aquantia Manoj Wadekar QLogic Guido Appenzeller PhD Big Switch Scott Kipp Brocade Sergis Mushell Gartner Greg Scherer Broadcom Bruce Tolley PhD Solareflare
- 5. Huawei Enterprise Confidential Page 5
- 6. Huawei Enterprise Confidential Page 6 $0 $5 $10 $15 $20 $25 $30 $35 $40 07 08 09 10 11 12 12.6 18.0 21.5 27.6 32.4 38.7 Growing Fast Billions Innovation Leader $3.76 billion R&D in 2011 70,000 R&D employees 15 R&D centers 26,539 patent applications granted (by June 2012). 150,000 employees In over 150 countries 25 Innovation Centers 45 Training Centers Global Company
- 7. Huawei Enterprise Confidential Page 7 ICT Infrastructure Cloud Providers Carriers CT IT 2010 1950’s 2000’s 1990’s 1970’s Client/Processing terminal/Data terminal Mainframe computer/TC Server/Client Mobile narrowband Analog communications Digital communications Mobile broadband Enterprises Mobile Clients Serving the Converging Market for ICT 2020
- 8. Huawei Enterprise Confidential Page 8 Video Conferencing Telco Infrastructure Smart Phones Carrier Switches & Routers
- 9. Huawei Enterprise Confidential Page 9 Leading the Migration from IT to ICT Air Travel Cell Phones ICT 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 $ Billions Fly Drive Compute The Freedom to… Autos Talk Waves of Global Innovation, Higher Quality and Lower Price
- 10. Huawei Enterprise Confidential Page 10 Ethernet: The Next 40 Years
- 11. Huawei Enterprise Confidential Page 11 1Gbs 10Gbs 100Gbs 1Tbs 10Tbs 100Tbs 100Mbs 10Mbs Network Speed Road Map 1Pbs 500Gbs 5Tbs 50Tbs (Petahertz) 50Gbs 5Gbs (Gigahertz) Ethernet Wireless
- 12. Huawei Enterprise Confidential Page 12 2013 – 2033:Video Content Takes Off "The most critical technical element was AV Concepts' proprietary Liquid Scenic server that delivered uncompressed media for 3 stacked 1920 x 1080 images [1Tbs], delivering 54,000 lumens of incredibly clear projected imagery."
- 13. Huawei Enterprise Confidential Page 13 2013-2033: Big Data Explodes
- 14. Huawei Enterprise Confidential Page 14 2013 – 2033: We Break the Light Barrier Silicon Photonics Enable Tb Data Rates
- 15. Huawei Enterprise Confidential Page 15 2013-2033: Edge Switching is Redefined Switches in Processors Enable server fabrics to scale out with lower power, latency & jitter
- 16. Huawei Enterprise Confidential Page 16 2013-2033: Global Bare Metal Networks
- 17. Huawei Enterprise Confidential Page 17 2013-2033: Carriers & Data Centers Merge MicroSprint 1889 1900 1921 1939 1964 1969 1984
- 18. Huawei Enterprise Confidential Page 18 2013-2033: The Cloud Becomes a Utility Grid
- 19. Huawei Enterprise Confidential Page 19 Supercomputer Performance Road Map 1993 2003 2013 2023 2033 2043 2053 GigaFlops TeraFlops PetaFlops ExaFlops ZettaFlops YottaFlops BrontoFlops GeoFlops AMD Promises 10TFlop Notebooks by 2020 2001: #1 on Top500 is LLNL @ 7 TFlops
- 20. Huawei Enterprise Confidential Page 20 2033-2053: Petaflops on the desktop Zettaflop supercomputer performance
- 21. Huawei Enterprise Confidential Page 21 2033 – 2053: 10 Billion Humans Join the Network 100 billion neurons 100 trillion connections 2.5 Petabytes of memory 12W
- 22. Huawei Enterprise Confidential Page 22 2033 – 2053: Brain Computer Interface Defined
- 23. Huawei Enterprise Confidential Page 23 2045 Avatar Project Milestones Avatar D 2040- 2045 A hologram-like avatar Avatar C 2030- 2035 An avatar with an artificial brain in which a human personality is transferred at the end of one’s life Avatar B 2020- 2025 An avatar in which a human brain in transplanted at the end of one’s life Avatar A 2010- 2020 A robotic copy of a human body remotely controlled via BCI
- 24. Huawei Enterprise Confidential Page 24 Beyond 2053: Brain to Brain Interface Defined
- 25. Huawei Enterprise Confidential Page 25 “Never Bet Against Ethernet” - Ray Mota, ACG