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Assessing resilience: Components, relationships, innovation and continuity.

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Presented by Lance W. Robinson at the 5th Africa Drought Adaptation Forum, Arusha, Tanzania, 11-12 February 2013..

Presented by Lance W. Robinson at the 5th Africa Drought Adaptation Forum, Arusha, Tanzania, 11-12 February 2013..

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  • 1. Assessing Resilience: Components Relationships Innovation Continuity 5th African Drought Adaptation Forum Lance W. Robinson
  • 2. Resilience • … is an emergent property of complex social-ecological systems • … results from dynamic, non-linear relationships among variables • … is very difficult to measure until a threshold has been crossed
  • 3. Resilience • … is an emergent property of complex social-ecological systems • … results from dynamic, non-linear relationships among variables • … is very difficult to measure until a threshold has been crossed • … is context specific
  • 4. Influence Diagram Produced by Elders of Yaa Sharbana
  • 5. CRIC Components Relationships • • • • Cattle, sheep and goats Camels Pastures Water points • Herd mobility • Pasture regeneration processes • Commons institutions governing access to water Sources of Innovation • Diversity and flexibility of livestock species mix • Organizational and institutional linkages • Biodiversity embedded in sacred sites and patchy landscape pattern Sources of Continuity • Sacred sites • Oral history
  • 6. Examples of Thresholds Indicators Elements of the Social-Ecological System Components • Camels • Pasture and water points Relationships • Herd mobility • Commons institutions for water Examples of Threshold Indicators • No. of camels/household • Sq. km. of quality pasture within 20 km. of temporary dry season water sources • TLUs in the rainy season based within x km. of permanent water sources • Ratio of private wells operated as commons vs. private property Sources of Innovation • Biodiversity embedded in sacred • α diversity of plant species in sacred sites sites and a patchy landscape pattern Sources of Continuity • Sacred sites • Sq. km. of land respected as a sacred sites or other community-conserved areas
  • 7. Building Resilience: Implications on the Ground • Development of temporary water sources in good pasture areas • Creation and strengthening of organizational/ institutional linkages
  • 8. Next steps: • Both context-specific and generic indicators are needed • ILRI together with Technical Consortium (TC) for Ending Drought Emergencies and Building Resilience to Drought in the Horn of Africa is working toward a resilience measurement framework based on both
  • 9. Thank you L.Robinson@cgiar.org