GBD 2010 press conference

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GBD 2010 press conference

  1. 1. Rapid Health Transitions:Lessons from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, andRisk Factors 2010Dec. 13, 2012
  2. 2. GBD 2010 Team486 authors from 302 institutions in 50 countries 2
  3. 3. Amassing the best evidence on the state of theworld’s health• 291 diseases and injuries• 1,160 disabling sequelae of these diseases and injuries• 67 risk factors• 20 age groups, two sexes• 187 countries• 1990-2010 3
  4. 4. Enhanced scientific rigor for global descriptiveepidemiology• Statistical methods designed for the challenges of global health data developed and applied.• All figures have 95% uncertainty intervals.• Multiple efforts at validation, e.g., deaths by cause must add up to 100%; anemia by cause must add up to total anemia.• Data visualization environments used as quality control tools. 4
  5. 5. Five high-level observations and 650 millionresults• GBD 2010 has 650 million different findings.• Bird’s-eye view provides five main messages, but detailed findings are important for many diseases, injuries, risks and for different regions and countries. 5
  6. 6. 1) Outside of sub-Saharan Africa rapid demographic change 6
  7. 7. 2) Progressive disease transition from communicable to non-communicable causes 7
  8. 8. 3) The disability transition: progressive shift in burden from premature mortality to years lived with disability 1990 2010 8
  9. 9. What ails you is notnecessarily what killsyou: global YLDs bycause and age, 2010 9
  10. 10. 4) The global risk factor transition 10
  11. 11. 5) The majority of burden in sub-Saharan Africa is still from MDGs 4, 5 and 6 11
  12. 12. LeadingcausesofglobalDALYsshiftingInfectious, neonatal, maternalNon-communicableInjuries 12
  13. 13. Interactive tools to explore GBD 2010 13
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