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No	
  Impact	
  Week	
  Training	
  



Transporta3on	
  

    Jay	
  Blazek	
  Crossley	
  
    Houston	
  Tomorrow	
  


 Friday,	
  August	
  13,	
  2010	
  
4	
  
Sustainability:	
  
development	
  that	
  meets	
  the	
  
needs	
  of	
  the	
  present	
  genera3on	
  
without	
  compromising	
  the	
  ability	
  
of	
  future	
  genera3ons	
  to	
  meet	
  
their	
  needs.	
  
The world is changing
30,000

                                             Annual Vehicle Miles/Household
Vehicle Miles/ Household




                           25.000
                                             vs
                           20,000            Household Density
                           15,000


                             10,000



                            5,000


                               0
                                    0   20      40         60        80   100   120
                                                     Household Density
Energy	
  consump3on	
  vs.	
  popula3on	
  density	
  




Source: adapted from Newman, P. and J. Kenworthy (1999) Sustainability and Cities
Percent	
  Growth	
  in	
  Popula1on	
  2000	
  -­‐	
  2008	
  

Waller	
  County	
  

 Montgomery	
  

         Liberty	
  

           Harris	
  

     Galveston	
  

     Fort	
  Bend	
  

     Chambers	
  

        Brazoria	
  
                        0%	
                 10%	
           20%	
           30%	
           40%	
     50%	
     60%	
  
Percent	
  Growth	
  in	
  Popula1on	
  2000	
  -­‐	
  2008	
  

Waller	
  County	
  

 Montgomery	
  

         Liberty	
  

           Harris	
  

     Galveston	
  

     Fort	
  Bend	
  

     Chambers	
  

        Brazoria	
  
                        0%	
                 10%	
           20%	
           30%	
           40%	
     50%	
     60%	
  
Percent	
  Growth	
  in	
  Popula1on	
  2000	
  -­‐	
  2008	
  

Waller	
  County	
  

 Montgomery	
  

         Liberty	
  

           Harris	
  

     Galveston	
  

     Fort	
  Bend	
  

     Chambers	
  

        Brazoria	
  
                        0%	
                 10%	
           20%	
           30%	
           40%	
     50%	
     60%	
  
Absolute	
  Popula1on	
  and	
  Growth	
  2000	
  -­‐	
  2008	
  

Waller	
  County	
  

 Montgomery	
  

         Liberty	
  

           Harris	
  

     Galveston	
  

     Fort	
  Bend	
  
                                                                                                                                                      Total	
  Popula3on:	
  July	
  1,	
  2000	
  
     Chambers	
                                                                                                                                       Pop	
  Growth	
  2000	
  -­‐	
  2008	
  

        Brazoria	
  

                        	
  -­‐	
  	
  	
  	
     	
  500,000	
  	
     	
  1,000,000	
  	
     	
  1,500,000	
  	
     	
  2,000,000	
  	
     	
  2,500,000	
  	
     	
  3,000,000	
  	
     	
  3,500,000	
  	
     	
  4,000,000	
  	
     	
  4,500,000	
  	
  
Percentage	
  of	
  Regional	
  New	
  Units	
  per	
  Building	
  Permits	
  2000	
  -­‐	
  2008	
  

8	
  



7	
  



6	
  



5	
  


                                                                                                                                   Series1	
  
4	
  



3	
  



2	
  



1	
  


        0%	
     10%	
         20%	
          30%	
         40%	
          50%	
         60%	
          70%	
            80%	
  
“It’s	
  3me	
  the	
  federal	
  
government	
  stopped	
  
encouraging	
  sprawl”	
  
	
   	
     	
  Department	
  of	
  Housing	
  and	
  Urban	
  Development	
  Secretary	
  Shaun	
  Donovan	
  
4,000,000	
  
   more	
  people	
  
coming	
  to	
  the	
  region	
  	
  
     by	
  2040	
  
Image courtesy of the Westchase District
Downtown	
  Waller	
  now	
  
Downtown	
  Waller	
  tomorrow	
  
Current	
  and	
  Expected	
  Growth	
  in	
  Popula3on	
  and	
  Jobs	
  by	
  Sectors	
  




                                                                                              Data:	
  H-­‐GAC	
  2035	
  
                                                                                              Regional	
  Forecasts	
  
 1,000,000	
  	
  

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    	
  900,000	
  	
  

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              	
  800,000	
  	
  

                                                                                                                                                                                                                        	
  700,000	
  	
  

                                                                                                                                                                                                  	
  600,000	
  	
  

                                                                                                                                                                            	
  500,000	
  	
  

                                                                                                                                                      	
  400,000	
  	
  

                                                                                                                                	
  300,000	
  	
  

                                                                                              	
  200,000	
  	
  

                                                                       	
  100,000	
  	
  

                                             	
  -­‐	
  	
  	
  	
  
                                  Loop	
  
                                  West	
  
                        SouthWest	
  
                               North	
  
                        SouthEast	
  
                   NorthWest	
  
        FarNorthNorthWest	
  
                               East	
  
                          South	
  
                   FarNorth	
  
                    FarWest	
  
      FarNorthNorthEast	
  
                NorthEast	
  
     FarWestNorthWest	
  
    FarWestSouthWest	
  
      FarEastNorthEast	
  
                 FarEast	
  
   FarSouthSouthEast	
  
        FarNorthWest	
  
        FarSouthEast	
  
      FarSouthWest	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  2035	
  Jobs	
  by	
  Sectors	
  in	
  Houston	
  




FarSouthSouthWest	
  
  FarEastSouthEast	
  
          FarSouth	
  
     FarNorthEast	
  
                                                                                             2005	
  
                                                                                                                    growth05-­‐35	
  
 800,000	
  	
  


                                                                                                                                                                                                                         	
  700,000	
  	
  


                                                                                                                                                                                                   	
  600,000	
  	
  


                                                                                                                                                                             	
  500,000	
  	
  


                                                                                                                                                       	
  400,000	
  	
  


                                                                                                                                 	
  300,000	
  	
  


                                                                                                         	
  200,000	
  	
  


                                                                        	
  100,000	
  	
  


                                              	
  -­‐	
  	
  	
  	
  
                                   Loop	
  
                                  West	
  
                         SouthWest	
  
                               North	
  
                         SouthEast	
  
                    NorthWest	
  
        FarNorthNorthWest	
  
                               East	
  
                           South	
  
                    FarNorth	
  
                    FarWest	
  
       FarNorthNorthEast	
  
                NorthEast	
  
     FarWestNorthWest	
  
     FarWestSouthWest	
  
      FarEastNorthEast	
  
                 FarEast	
  
   FarSouthSouthEast	
  
        FarNorthWest	
  
        FarSouthEast	
  
      FarSouthWest	
  
FarSouthSouthWest	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     2035	
  Popula1on	
  by	
  Sectors	
  of	
  Houston	
  




  FarEastSouthEast	
  
          FarSouth	
  
     FarNorthEast	
  
                                                                                              2005	
  
                                                                                                             growth05-­‐35	
  
The	
  best	
  new	
  light	
  rail	
  system	
  in	
  the	
  county	
  

            Daily Rail Boardings      Rail miles daily rail boardings / mile

Atlanta                    212,838          47.6                              4,471

Dallas                       53,066           79                               672

Denver                       51,110           35                              1,460

Houston                      41,000            7                              5,857

Miami                        71,581           94                               761

San Diego                    96,203         53.5                              1,798

Seattle                       8,266         15.2                               544
55	
  
55	
  
56	
  
56	
  
57	
  
57	
  
58	
  
58	
  
`
1927
Until the 1940s,
Houston was
                   Houston	
  1.0	
  
                                 	
  
transit-oriented
Projected ridership:
       Rail-­‐
                            150,000 boardings
    suppor3ve	
  
                         per day
      areas	
  
                                           Central
                                           Business
                                           District


Uptown/Galleria
                       Greenway


                                                  Universities


             Gulfton

                                  Med
                                  Center
Rail-­‐
      Station areas
suppor3ve	
  
   could absorb
  areas	
        1/2 of City’s
                 population growth
What	
  is	
  it	
  We	
  Want?	
  
Photo:	
  Jim	
  Charlier,	
  Charlier	
  &	
  Associates	
  
Thank	
  you!	
  
         Jay	
  Blazek	
  Crossley	
  
jay.crossley@houstontomorrow.org	
  

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Transportation and Carbon Emissions in Houston

  • 1.
  • 2. No  Impact  Week  Training   Transporta3on   Jay  Blazek  Crossley   Houston  Tomorrow   Friday,  August  13,  2010  
  • 3.
  • 5. Sustainability:   development  that  meets  the   needs  of  the  present  genera3on   without  compromising  the  ability   of  future  genera3ons  to  meet   their  needs.  
  • 6. The world is changing
  • 7.
  • 8.
  • 9.
  • 10.
  • 11.
  • 12.
  • 13.
  • 14.
  • 15.
  • 16.
  • 17.
  • 18.
  • 19.
  • 20.
  • 21. 30,000 Annual Vehicle Miles/Household Vehicle Miles/ Household 25.000 vs 20,000 Household Density 15,000 10,000 5,000 0 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 Household Density
  • 22.
  • 23. Energy  consump3on  vs.  popula3on  density   Source: adapted from Newman, P. and J. Kenworthy (1999) Sustainability and Cities
  • 24.
  • 25.
  • 26.
  • 27. Percent  Growth  in  Popula1on  2000  -­‐  2008   Waller  County   Montgomery   Liberty   Harris   Galveston   Fort  Bend   Chambers   Brazoria   0%   10%   20%   30%   40%   50%   60%  
  • 28. Percent  Growth  in  Popula1on  2000  -­‐  2008   Waller  County   Montgomery   Liberty   Harris   Galveston   Fort  Bend   Chambers   Brazoria   0%   10%   20%   30%   40%   50%   60%  
  • 29. Percent  Growth  in  Popula1on  2000  -­‐  2008   Waller  County   Montgomery   Liberty   Harris   Galveston   Fort  Bend   Chambers   Brazoria   0%   10%   20%   30%   40%   50%   60%  
  • 30. Absolute  Popula1on  and  Growth  2000  -­‐  2008   Waller  County   Montgomery   Liberty   Harris   Galveston   Fort  Bend   Total  Popula3on:  July  1,  2000   Chambers   Pop  Growth  2000  -­‐  2008   Brazoria    -­‐          500,000      1,000,000      1,500,000      2,000,000      2,500,000      3,000,000      3,500,000      4,000,000      4,500,000    
  • 31. Percentage  of  Regional  New  Units  per  Building  Permits  2000  -­‐  2008   8   7   6   5   Series1   4   3   2   1   0%   10%   20%   30%   40%   50%   60%   70%   80%  
  • 32. “It’s  3me  the  federal   government  stopped   encouraging  sprawl”        Department  of  Housing  and  Urban  Development  Secretary  Shaun  Donovan  
  • 33.
  • 34.
  • 35. 4,000,000   more  people   coming  to  the  region     by  2040  
  • 36.
  • 37.
  • 38.
  • 39.
  • 40.
  • 41.
  • 42.
  • 43. Image courtesy of the Westchase District
  • 44.
  • 47. Current  and  Expected  Growth  in  Popula3on  and  Jobs  by  Sectors   Data:  H-­‐GAC  2035   Regional  Forecasts  
  • 48.  1,000,000      900,000      800,000      700,000      600,000      500,000      400,000      300,000      200,000      100,000      -­‐         Loop   West   SouthWest   North   SouthEast   NorthWest   FarNorthNorthWest   East   South   FarNorth   FarWest   FarNorthNorthEast   NorthEast   FarWestNorthWest   FarWestSouthWest   FarEastNorthEast   FarEast   FarSouthSouthEast   FarNorthWest   FarSouthEast   FarSouthWest   2035  Jobs  by  Sectors  in  Houston   FarSouthSouthWest   FarEastSouthEast   FarSouth   FarNorthEast   2005   growth05-­‐35  
  • 49.  800,000      700,000      600,000      500,000      400,000      300,000      200,000      100,000      -­‐         Loop   West   SouthWest   North   SouthEast   NorthWest   FarNorthNorthWest   East   South   FarNorth   FarWest   FarNorthNorthEast   NorthEast   FarWestNorthWest   FarWestSouthWest   FarEastNorthEast   FarEast   FarSouthSouthEast   FarNorthWest   FarSouthEast   FarSouthWest   FarSouthSouthWest   2035  Popula1on  by  Sectors  of  Houston   FarEastSouthEast   FarSouth   FarNorthEast   2005   growth05-­‐35  
  • 50.
  • 51.
  • 52.
  • 53. The  best  new  light  rail  system  in  the  county   Daily Rail Boardings Rail miles daily rail boardings / mile Atlanta 212,838 47.6 4,471 Dallas 53,066 79 672 Denver 51,110 35 1,460 Houston 41,000 7 5,857 Miami 71,581 94 761 San Diego 96,203 53.5 1,798 Seattle 8,266 15.2 544
  • 54.
  • 59. `
  • 60. 1927 Until the 1940s, Houston was Houston  1.0     transit-oriented
  • 61.
  • 62.
  • 63.
  • 64.
  • 65. Projected ridership: Rail-­‐
 150,000 boardings suppor3ve  
 per day areas   Central Business District Uptown/Galleria Greenway Universities Gulfton Med Center
  • 66. Rail-­‐
 Station areas suppor3ve  
 could absorb areas   1/2 of City’s population growth
  • 67. What  is  it  We  Want?  
  • 68.
  • 69.
  • 70.
  • 71.
  • 72.
  • 73.
  • 74.
  • 75. Photo:  Jim  Charlier,  Charlier  &  Associates  
  • 76. Thank  you!   Jay  Blazek  Crossley   jay.crossley@houstontomorrow.org