Your Chance to Shape Our Region’s Future
Heartland 2050 Regional Visioning | April 2014
Heartland 2050 is an unprecedented
regional visioning project that will
help define what kind of region we
want to be in 4...
Gathering
Information
Public
Workshops
Scenarios and
Strategies
Final Vision
2013 2014
In Progress October - November Dece...
More than 650 participants!
22%
46%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
Access to
nature and
outdoor
recreation
Cleaner air Access to
fresh food...
27%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
Bus Rapid
Transit
(BRT)
Streetcar /
Trolley
Light Rail Improve
existing bus
service
Paratran...
24%
38%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
Beautiful
landscapes
Good air
quality
Locally grown
food
Outdoor
recreation
...
All Housing
Total housing placed
OPEN SPACE
At least 2 workshop
tables drew open
space in approximately
the same location.
• Cluster development near existing cities/towns/highways
to preserve agricultural land
• Improve employment accessibility...
Heartland 2050: Omaha-Council
Bluffs Values and Priorities
Quantitative Study
Prepared for Fregonese Associates
January 28...
About three in four see their quality of life in the Omaha-Council Bluffs
Region as positive and increasing. While slightl...
66%
59%
57%
56%
54%
53%
47%
44%
42%
41%
33%
31%
28%
27%
25%
Reducing crime and making neighborhoods safer
Increasing the n...
13% 7%
1%
21%36%25%8%69%
Jones
believes that the region
should begin focusing
new growth and
development across the
region...
Nearly all believe having a plan for regional growth in the
region is important. More than half feel the Omaha-Council
Blu...
Building Types Place Types Scenario
Development
Evaluation
Model a library of building types that are
financially feasible...
Planned Land Use
Infrastructure
Growth Forecast
Current
conditions
and future
forecasts
Test Scenarios
A
B
C
D
What might our region look like in 40 years?
• In Scenario A, we will continue to
grow and decline much the same as
we have in the recent past. Areas
of the urban core...
Abandonment (Scenario A only)
Abandoned Housing Units 17,468
Population Displacement from Abandonment 39,501
Employment Di...
• In scenario B, the highest growth
occurs in central Omaha and
Council Bluffs, and over 40% of
new growth takes place in ...
• In Scenario C, population and
employment growth are focused in
the core, revitalizing North, South
and Midtown Omaha and...
• In Scenario D, new jobs are located
near urban, suburban and rural
communities to reduce long
commutes and revitalize ex...
Distribution of Residential Units Built, 1989-2009
Type Volume Total Share Detached Share
New Units 24.5
Detached 20.7 85%...
Estate Homes
Auto-Oriented
Subdivisions
Apartments
TOWNHOMES
APARTMENTS
LIVE-WORK
SMALLER LOTS
69%
29%
3%
36%
4%
11%
22% 24%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Today Balanced Future
Multifamily
Townhome
Small...
• Focus on new construction of single-
family subdivisions in western
Douglas and Sarpy counties
• Some relatively expensi...
Lower Density Housing Higher Density Housing
31% 21% 4% 10% 34%
Balanced Housing Match:
67%
69%
29%
52%
3%
36%
4%
4%
11%
1...
Lower Density Housing Higher Density Housing
8% 24% 14% 14% 40%
Balanced Housing Match:
81%
• Build a range of affordable ...
Lower Density Housing Higher Density Housing
6% 24% 35% 10% 25%
Balanced Housing Match:
98%
69%
29% 30%
3%
36% 35%
4%
11% ...
41%
29%
48%
52%
45%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
Existing Scenario A Scenario BScenario CScenario D
% Regional jobs accessib...
62,557 67,732
118,663 127,497
294,130
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
350,000
Existing Scenario A Scenari...
33
17
35
48
39
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Today Scenario
A
Scenario
B
Scenario
C
Scenario
D
“Walkability” Score for the Region
• ...
4%
2%
5%
8%
6%
1%
0%
1%
1%
1%
2%
1%
2%
3%
2%
Existing Scenario A Scenario B Scenario C Scenario D
Transit
Biking
Walking
P...
+6%
-3%
-15%
-10%
Scenario A Scenario B Scenario C Scenario D
• Residents spend less
time in the car each
day, taking shor...
• Improved construction and
other measures lower our
consumption
• Efficiency means savings –
better for the environment a...
22% 23%
31%
12%
4%
20%
39%
64%
19%
4%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
Today Scenario A Scenario B Scenario C Scenario D
Per...
Households within 1/4 mi. of parks and trails
56%
45%
62% 60%
75%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
Today Scenario A Scen...
-0.2%
-4.7%
5.6%
14.4%
7.4%
-5.0%
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
Existing Scenario A Scenario B Scenario C Scenario D
Revenue-to-Co...
• Continue support of existing
clusters (agribusiness, finance,
transportation/logistics, etc)
• Retain the region’s compe...
• Attract and retain young people across the Midwest
• Commit to infill development that provides a variety
of housing typ...
• Cultivate research (basic and applied)
in multiple fields of endeavor.
• Promote STEM curricula in K-12
education
• Supp...
• Talent attraction and retention: make
Omaha-Council Bluffs region a draw for
young talent and new business formation
thr...
Enhanced crosswalk
Street Trees
New Main Street Building
Bus Rapid Transit (BRT)
Dedicated Bike Lane
Street TreesLighting
New Mixed-Use
New Housing Options
Street TreesEnhanced crosswalk
New Mixed-Use Building
Street Trees
New storefronts
Our web-based
engagement tool
Interactive Public Choosing The Regional Vision
www.Heartland2050.org
Public choices guide the Vision.
A
B
C
D
People
THE HUMAN ASPECT
How can we maintain and
enhance the quality of life for
the people of our region, who
are our most...
Your input will be knit together with
responses and comments from your fellow
community members to develop the
priorities ...
• By participating in this survey and
providing your email, you will be
entered into an iPad giveaway.
• For more informat...
• Describes commonly held desires
• Does not answer every question
• Explains why we’re in this together
• Shared Values /...
www.heartland2050.org
Regional Open House Presentation-April 2014
Regional Open House Presentation-April 2014
Regional Open House Presentation-April 2014
Regional Open House Presentation-April 2014
Regional Open House Presentation-April 2014
Regional Open House Presentation-April 2014
Regional Open House Presentation-April 2014
Regional Open House Presentation-April 2014
Regional Open House Presentation-April 2014
Regional Open House Presentation-April 2014
Regional Open House Presentation-April 2014
Regional Open House Presentation-April 2014
Regional Open House Presentation-April 2014
Regional Open House Presentation-April 2014
Regional Open House Presentation-April 2014
Regional Open House Presentation-April 2014
Regional Open House Presentation-April 2014
Regional Open House Presentation-April 2014
Regional Open House Presentation-April 2014
Regional Open House Presentation-April 2014
Regional Open House Presentation-April 2014
Regional Open House Presentation-April 2014
Regional Open House Presentation-April 2014
Regional Open House Presentation-April 2014
Regional Open House Presentation-April 2014
Regional Open House Presentation-April 2014
Regional Open House Presentation-April 2014
Regional Open House Presentation-April 2014
Regional Open House Presentation-April 2014
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Regional Open House Presentation-April 2014

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John Fregonese, Principal of Fregonese Associates and lead consultant on the project, provided the public with an update and review of the four scenarios for growth over the next 40 years.

This presentation was also presented at the April 17th Steering Committee meeting.

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Regional Open House Presentation-April 2014

  1. 1. Your Chance to Shape Our Region’s Future Heartland 2050 Regional Visioning | April 2014
  2. 2. Heartland 2050 is an unprecedented regional visioning project that will help define what kind of region we want to be in 40 years.
  3. 3. Gathering Information Public Workshops Scenarios and Strategies Final Vision 2013 2014 In Progress October - November December – May June– December
  4. 4. More than 650 participants!
  5. 5. 22% 46% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50% Access to nature and outdoor recreation Cleaner air Access to fresh food Healthy homes (i.e. lead-free, mold-free, safe wiring) Places within walking distance
  6. 6. 27% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% Bus Rapid Transit (BRT) Streetcar / Trolley Light Rail Improve existing bus service Paratransit and On- Demand Rural Transit No new transit investment Not sure
  7. 7. 24% 38% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% Beautiful landscapes Good air quality Locally grown food Outdoor recreation Strong neighborhoods Low cost of living Convenient transportation system Strong economy
  8. 8. All Housing Total housing placed
  9. 9. OPEN SPACE At least 2 workshop tables drew open space in approximately the same location.
  10. 10. • Cluster development near existing cities/towns/highways to preserve agricultural land • Improve employment accessibility by reinforcing existing infrastructure and investing in transit • Build single-family housing to attract new jobs and residents • Protect/reinforce/improve access to the region’s many recreational amenities • Focus on development of industrial clusters/agribusiness/high-tech related to agriculture • Revitalize downtowns and protect our existing historic/cultural amenities
  11. 11. Heartland 2050: Omaha-Council Bluffs Values and Priorities Quantitative Study Prepared for Fregonese Associates January 28, 2014
  12. 12. About three in four see their quality of life in the Omaha-Council Bluffs Region as positive and increasing. While slightly less, the majority say the region is on the right track. Pg. 13 BASE: ALL QUALIFIED RESPONDENTS (N=400) Q320. Thinking about the quality of life that will be here for you or your friends’ children and grandchildren, do you see their quality of life in the Omaha-Council Bluffs region increasing or decreasing in the future? Q330. On another subject, do you feel things in your own community today are going in the right direction or do you feel things have pretty seriously gotten off on the wrong track? Q335. Thinking of all the positive and negative aspects about the quality of life here in the Omaha-Council Bluffs region, what percentage of things would you classify as positive? What percentage is negative? Quality of Life in the Future Direction of Their Own Community Quality of Life in the Region: Positives vs. Negatives 78% 23% Increasing Decreasing 60%19% 22% Right direction Wrong track Not sure 71% 29% Positive Negative 18-34 yr olds most likely to believe quality will increase. Higher income ($100K+) more optimistic about direction of community and quality of life.
  13. 13. 66% 59% 57% 56% 54% 53% 47% 44% 42% 41% 33% 31% 28% 27% 25% Reducing crime and making neighborhoods safer Increasing the number and quality of jobs Retaining well-educated, well-trained, young adults Improving education Lower property taxes Lower state, local and sales taxes Increasing access to quality health care Addressing the aging infrastructure (i.e. improve roads, bridges… Increasing economic development through business expansion Improving affordability of housing and living Improving social equity and justice Reducing traffic congestion and improving transportation options Increasing the enjoyment and access to culture and the arts Increasing the opportunity for residents to be involved… Increasing civic involvement and engagement Reducing crime is the most important issue to the region with two thirds giving it high priority. Jobs, young adult retention, education and taxes also rise to the top. Pg. 14 BASE: ALL QUALIFIED RESPONDENTS (N=400) Q350 Please rate each of the following issues where 1 means "Not at all important to the future of the region" and 10 means "Extremely important priority for the future of the region": Top 2 Box Importance (Rated 9/10 on 10 pt. scale) Greater Importance To: Jobs: those with high school education or less (71%) Education: those residing in Iowa (73%) Property taxes/State, local & sales taxes: those 55+ (63%) Violent crime per 100,000 people in the Omaha MSA is 407.1, below the MSA average of 409.4. Property crime per 100,000 people in the Omaha MSA is 3,368.8, above the MSA average of 2,949.8. Iowa ranks 24th among the states in terms of state/local tax burden. Nebraska ranks 21st.
  14. 14. 13% 7% 1% 21%36%25%8%69% Jones believes that the region should begin focusing new growth and development across the region into new areas and communities where there hasn’t been much development before. Smith believes that the region should begin focusing new growth and development in the urban center, existing towns, and in parts of the city that need to be revitalized or redeveloped. Pg. 15 Three times as many residents prefer infill of existing areas over new growth in outlying communities. Pg. 15 BASE: ALL QUALIFIED RESPONDENTS (N=400) Q565. Below are the opinions of two hypothetical residents. Please indicate which opinion comes closest to your own. Is your opinion more like Mr. Smith or more like Mr. Jones? Neither: 11% ■ Somewhat ■ Strongly ■ Exactly like Jones like Jones like Jones ■ Exactly ■ Strongly ■ Somewhat like Smith like Smith like Smith 18-34 year olds most likely to agree with Smith and infill strategy (74%)
  15. 15. Nearly all believe having a plan for regional growth in the region is important. More than half feel the Omaha-Council Bluffs region has preformed ‘good’ or ‘excellent’ in this area. Pg. 16 BASE: ALL QUALIFIED RESPONDENTS (N=400) Q800. How important is it that Omaha-Council Bluffs region have a vision or a long range plan for growth in the region? Q805. How would you rate the performance of Omaha-Council Bluffs region when it comes to planning and preparing for growth in the region? Importance of Having a Vision or a Long Range Plan for Growth in the Region – Top 2 Box (Extremely/Very Important) 5% 38% 54% 4% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Poor Fair Good Excellent 80% Performance Rating of Omaha-Council Bluffs Region on Planning and Preparing for Growth 58 %
  16. 16. Building Types Place Types Scenario Development Evaluation Model a library of building types that are financially feasible at the local level.
  17. 17. Planned Land Use Infrastructure Growth Forecast Current conditions and future forecasts Test Scenarios A B C D
  18. 18. What might our region look like in 40 years?
  19. 19. • In Scenario A, we will continue to grow and decline much the same as we have in the recent past. Areas of the urban core will continue to lose population, as westward expansion continues in Douglas and Sarpy counties. SCENARIO A 90,762 58,777 31,766 45,033 713 440 872 1,296 - 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000 70,000 80,000 90,000 100,000 Land Consumed
  20. 20. Abandonment (Scenario A only) Abandoned Housing Units 17,468 Population Displacement from Abandonment 39,501 Employment Displacement from Abandonment 16,269 Approximate Improvement Value Loss from Abandonment $ 1,397,254,051
  21. 21. • In scenario B, the highest growth occurs in central Omaha and Council Bluffs, and over 40% of new growth takes place in existing urban and suburban areas, making efficient use of road and water infrastructure. SCENARIO B 90,762 58,777 31,766 45,033 713 440 872 1,296 - 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000 70,000 80,000 90,000 100,000 Land Consumed
  22. 22. • In Scenario C, population and employment growth are focused in the core, revitalizing North, South and Midtown Omaha and Council Bluffs. Sarpy County and western Douglas County see some moderate growth. The region makes significant transit investment to serve the bustling central city. SCENARIO C 90,762 58,777 31,766 45,033 713 440 872 1,296 - 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000 70,000 80,000 90,000 100,000 Land Consumed
  23. 23. • In Scenario D, new jobs are located near urban, suburban and rural communities to reduce long commutes and revitalize existing neighborhoods and towns. Infill and redevelopment help to build walkable communities and main streets across the region. SCENARIO D 90,762 58,777 31,766 45,033 713 440 872 1,296 - 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000 70,000 80,000 90,000 100,000 Land Consumed
  24. 24. Distribution of Residential Units Built, 1989-2009 Type Volume Total Share Detached Share New Units 24.5 Detached 20.7 85% 2500+ square feet 6.6 27% 32% 0.5-10.0 acres 8.7 35% 42% Source: American Housing Survey 77% 23%0% 10% 16% 74% 1990-2010 2010-2030 US Housing Shift (1990-2010 & 2010-2030) Starter Home vs Peak Home (largest home) vs Downsizing (“Empty Nester”) The Takeaway: The current houses available are too big for the Millennial and Baby Boomers who are both looking for smaller housing options in walkable neighborhoods.
  25. 25. Estate Homes Auto-Oriented Subdivisions Apartments
  26. 26. TOWNHOMES APARTMENTS LIVE-WORK SMALLER LOTS
  27. 27. 69% 29% 3% 36% 4% 11% 22% 24% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Today Balanced Future Multifamily Townhome Small Lot Standard/Large How well does our current housing stock match? 63%
  28. 28. • Focus on new construction of single- family subdivisions in western Douglas and Sarpy counties • Some relatively expensive housing in the CBD/Old Market District SCENARIO A Lower Density Housing Higher Density Housing 41% 38% 0% 8% 13% Balanced Housing Match: 48% 69% 29% 81% 3% 36% 0% 4% 11% 8%22% 24% 13% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Today Target Scenario A
  29. 29. Lower Density Housing Higher Density Housing 31% 21% 4% 10% 34% Balanced Housing Match: 67% 69% 29% 52% 3% 36% 4% 4% 11% 10% 22% 24% 34% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Today Target Scenario B • Provide adequate infrastructure to allow growth in and around rural/small towns. • Create moderate to high density housing in central Douglas, Sarpy and Pottawattamie counties SCENARIO B
  30. 30. Lower Density Housing Higher Density Housing 8% 24% 14% 14% 40% Balanced Housing Match: 81% • Build a range of affordable and higher- end housing in the downtown and areas easily accessible to the urban core to accommodate workers • Townhome/ Apartment/ Mixed Use developments in larger suburban cities as well, near existing downtowns SCENARIO C 69% 29% 25% 3% 36% 21% 4% 11% 14% 22% 24% 40% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Today Target Scenario C
  31. 31. Lower Density Housing Higher Density Housing 6% 24% 35% 10% 25% Balanced Housing Match: 98% 69% 29% 30% 3% 36% 35% 4% 11% 10% 22% 24% 25% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Today Target Scenario D • Balanced mix of housing stock for changing preferences and a range of incomes. • Ensure that housing options exist across the region, not only in the core. • Work force housing in proximity to start up spaces or easily accessed by mass transit SCENARIO D
  32. 32. 41% 29% 48% 52% 45% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% Existing Scenario A Scenario BScenario CScenario D % Regional jobs accessible to disadvantaged residents via a 30 minute transit trip • By locating more jobs within easy travel distance to struggling neighborhoods and expanding job training and employment support, we can create a more equitable economy.
  33. 33. 62,557 67,732 118,663 127,497 294,130 0 50,000 100,000 150,000 200,000 250,000 300,000 350,000 Existing Scenario A Scenario B Scenario C Scenario D All Jobs within 10 Minute Auto Trip • Working and shopping destinations are located near where people live, making it convenient to work, shop and play. • More options available locally, within a 10 minute drive, can make it easier and faster to get where you’re headed
  34. 34. 33 17 35 48 39 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 Today Scenario A Scenario B Scenario C Scenario D “Walkability” Score for the Region • The fabric of our community can influence how physically active we are. • Neighborhoods with a mix of retail, services and employment nearby make it easier and more convenient to walk.
  35. 35. 4% 2% 5% 8% 6% 1% 0% 1% 1% 1% 2% 1% 2% 3% 2% Existing Scenario A Scenario B Scenario C Scenario D Transit Biking Walking Percent of All Trips Made Remainder of trips are made by car
  36. 36. +6% -3% -15% -10% Scenario A Scenario B Scenario C Scenario D • Residents spend less time in the car each day, taking shorter and fewer trips Percent Change in Time Spent Driving
  37. 37. • Improved construction and other measures lower our consumption • Efficiency means savings – better for the environment and lower utility bills for residents 72.6 109.6 98.1 89.0 96.8 251.7 165.5 143.8 130.9 148.2 0.0 50.0 100.0 150.0 200.0 250.0 300.0 Today Scenario A Scenario B Scenario C Scenario D Household Energy Use (million BTU/year) Household Internal Water Consumption (gallons per day)
  38. 38. 22% 23% 31% 12% 4% 20% 39% 64% 19% 4% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% Today Scenario A Scenario B Scenario C Scenario D Percent of housing units in floodways or stream setbacks Percent of jobs in floodways or stream setbacks • If we choose to limit new development in sensitive areas such as floodplains and stream ways, we can reduce potential damage from flooding.
  39. 39. Households within 1/4 mi. of parks and trails 56% 45% 62% 60% 75% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% Today Scenario A Scenario B Scenario C Scenario D
  40. 40. -0.2% -4.7% 5.6% 14.4% 7.4% -5.0% 0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% Existing Scenario A Scenario B Scenario C Scenario D Revenue-to-Cost Ratio 27.8 22.9 23.3 22.5 26.5 24.1 26.7 24.2 Scenario A Scenario B Scenario C Scenario D Total Expenditures (billions) Total Revenues (billions) • Local tax revenues should be used efficiently to maintain today’s level of public services, infrastructure and roads.
  41. 41. • Continue support of existing clusters (agribusiness, finance, transportation/logistics, etc) • Retain the region’s competitive and comparative advantage for these types of jobs through innovation and growth in those clusters Scenario A: EXPAND TRADITIONAL CLUSTERS
  42. 42. • Attract and retain young people across the Midwest • Commit to infill development that provides a variety of housing types across economic spectrum • Focus on housing in close proximity to city and neighborhood centers • Attract foreign investment and businesses Scenario B: MAGNETIC CITY
  43. 43. • Cultivate research (basic and applied) in multiple fields of endeavor. • Promote STEM curricula in K-12 education • Support growth of research universities • Promote medical sciences through university and hospital research Scenario C: SCIENCE CITY
  44. 44. • Talent attraction and retention: make Omaha-Council Bluffs region a draw for young talent and new business formation throughout the Midwest • Capitalize on existing assets • Increase support mechanisms to incent and support new business creation and success Scenario D: START UP CITY
  45. 45. Enhanced crosswalk Street Trees
  46. 46. New Main Street Building
  47. 47. Bus Rapid Transit (BRT) Dedicated Bike Lane Street TreesLighting
  48. 48. New Mixed-Use New Housing Options
  49. 49. Street TreesEnhanced crosswalk
  50. 50. New Mixed-Use Building
  51. 51. Street Trees
  52. 52. New storefronts
  53. 53. Our web-based engagement tool
  54. 54. Interactive Public Choosing The Regional Vision www.Heartland2050.org Public choices guide the Vision. A B C D
  55. 55. People THE HUMAN ASPECT How can we maintain and enhance the quality of life for the people of our region, who are our most important asset? Places OUR PHYSICAL STRUCTURES The “stuff” from which our towns and cities are made – homes and buildings, streets and sidewalks, bridges, power and water utilities – all make up the built environment of our region. Resources THE NATURAL ENVIRONMENT The air we breathe, the land, and fresh water sources affect our overall health and the physical landscape.
  56. 56. Your input will be knit together with responses and comments from your fellow community members to develop the priorities and strategies for action and cooperation to ensure our region not only grows but grows stronger! • Take the Survey • Tell your friends, family members and coworkers about Heartland 2050 and the survey • Stay involved in crafting the vision
  57. 57. • By participating in this survey and providing your email, you will be entered into an iPad giveaway. • For more information, visit: www.heartland2050.org
  58. 58. • Describes commonly held desires • Does not answer every question • Explains why we’re in this together • Shared Values / Ideals / Expectations • Describes what we want to get • “This is our common ground” • Includes Regional Policies • Relies on Action Steps for Implementation
  59. 59. www.heartland2050.org
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