Red: Macroeconomic Trends; Blue: Social & environmental trends; Yellow: Business & industry trends
As a believer and a clergyman, Malthus held that God had created an inexorable tendency to human population growth for a moral purpose, with the constant harsh threat of poverty and starvation designed to teach the virtues of hard work and virtuous behaviour.  The issue has occurred to many believers: why should an omnipotent and caring God permit the existence of wickedness and suffering in the world? Malthus's theodicy answers that evil energizes mankind in the struggle for good. &quot;Had population and food increased in the same ratio, it is probable that man might never have emerged from the savage state&quot; [ cite this quote ] . The principle of population represented more than the difference between an arithmetic and a geometric series; it provided the spur for constructive activity:&quot;Evil exists in the world not to create despair, but activity.&quot;
increasing wealth and technology make more resources available; although supplies may be limited physically they may be viewed as economically indefinite as old resources are recycled and new alternatives are developed by the market. Simon challenged the notion of an impending Malthusian catastrophe 葉 h at an increase in population has negative economic consequences; that population is a drain on natural resources; and that we stand at risk of running out of resources through over-consumption . Simon argues that population is the solution to resource scarcities and environmental problems, since people and markets innovate.
“If you don’t like the world the way it is, you change it. You have an obligation to change it. You just do it one step at a time.” --Marian Wright Edelman
“ Are our current predictions about the future any smarter?” Maybe those concerns about the health implications of nano-materials or genetically-engineered food aren’t quite as unwarranted as the manufacturers would have us think. And perhaps the grand expectations of how genetic technology will improve humankind and extend our lives by decades aren’t nearly as imminent — or likely — as popular books and articles predict. Michael Rogers, The Practical Futurist, MSNBC, 10/11/2006
“ In other words, each generation seems to inherit not only new knowledge but also new ignorance. Thus far, our generation has been supremely confident about our new knowledge. The really interesting question that remains is the exact nature of our ignorance.”
Vita Radium Suppositories…bombards tissues with health-giving atoms.
The Ford Nucleon (1958)…a reactor in every trunk.
Even the World’s Richest Man Gets It Wrong Once In A While
“ Spam will be a thing of the past in two years' time.” BBC News (24 January 2004)
“ There are no significant bugs in our released software that any significant number of users want fixed.” Focus Magazine No. 43 (23 October 1995)
“ What's a network?” Question by Gates in the early 80s, as quoted by Hermann Hauser of Acorn Computers in speech at the University of Southampton (1 May 1996)
“ It's not manufacturers trying to rip anybody off or anything like that. There's nobody getting rich writing software that I know of.” Interview with Dennis Bathory-Kitsz in 80 Microcomputing (1980)
Lack of money is no longer the major hindrance to solving many of the world's most intractable social problems. Philanthropists such as Bill Gates, Warren Buffett, Richard Branson, and Joan Kroc now make gifts in the billions. Charitable giving overall has jumped 23% in the past four years. And there's growing interest among investors eager to fund for-profit businesses that have both social and economic impact. Rather, there's a paucity of creative ideas. "It's all about innovation," says CEO Tim Brown of Ideo, who advises Acumen. "The money is there, but the solutions aren't. Designers can contribute. We're pretty good at taking a bunch of disparate components and figuring out the solution." Beyond the success of Acumen companies, Novogratz is creating a laboratory to design new business models…drawn from University of Michigan economics professor C.K. Prahalad, whose bottom-of-the-pyramid theory holds that there's great untapped market potential among the 4 billion people, more than half the world's population, who make less than $2 a day. Business Week 11/10/2006
“ It’s hard to make predictions, especially about the future.” --Yogi Berra
Things are different today, (Sachs) writes, because of four trends: human pressure on the earth, a dangerous rise in population, extreme poverty and a political climate characterized by c y nicism, defeatism and outdated institutions. These pressures will increase as the developing world inexorably catches up to the developed world. (NY Times Review of “Common Wealth)