CMHC
April 1st, 2014
Guy
Guy
Metamorphosis…
We have come a long way from this….
To this….
Guy
Guy
Guy
Guy
Guy
but…
Guy Smithore Dreamstime.com
We have also come to this…
Guy
GDP =
Gross
Depletion
of the
Planet
Gross Depletion of the Planet
+ Yield
- Costs
= Profit
Guy
Gross Depletion of the Planet
Guy
And this…
The last time the world was 3C warmer
the sea-level was up to
25 metres
higher
2 metres
10 metres
18 metres
25 metres
1 metre sea-level rise http://flood.firetree.net
3 metres sea-level rise http://flood.firetree.net
20 metres sea-level rise http://flood.firetree.net
We have also come to this…
Guy
And this…
And this…
Guy
The power
of our vision
must be stronger than
the power
of our fears
“The future belongs to those who
believe in the beauty of their dreams.”
― Eleanor Roosevelt
"Dreams are extremely important.
You can't do it unless you can imagine it.”
- George Lucas
Istanbul,
Turkey
So what is our vision of
a beautiful, desirable future?
What are the Values
on which we shall build our future city?
THE OLD THE NEW
Moving Cars Moving People
Individualism Commu...
Guy
Guy
Guy
Eight Themes
1: A New Green Economy
2: Poverty & Inequality
3: Affordable Housing
4: The Downtown Eastside
5: Transportati...
Guy
Moving from a
CAPITALIST
to a
COOPERATIVE
Economy
1: The New Green Economy
Guy
A COOPERATIVE
Economy
Businesses flourish in harmony with
other businesses, workers,
community and nature.
The
Community
Economy
in 2032
Neighbourhoods across Vancouver have set
up Urban Village Business Networks
Businesses pay a 0.4% levy on sales for
financ...
Emilia Romagna, Italy
• Population 4.4 million
• $$$, top ten European regions
• 32% self-employed
• 76% work in small
• B...
Emilia Romagna, Italy
There are half a million businesses and coops in
the region, which pay a 0.4% levy on sales to
local...
Vancouver Cooperatives have
their own Mutual Support Network
Local Businesses
are making
Wage Differentials
Reduction Pledges
from 30:1 to 10:1
Guy
Many Vancouver businesses are
becoming Benefit Corporations
Guy
Guy
Most Vancouver businesses have
Women Directors on the Board
“Companies with more Women Board Directors
experience high...
Guy
All Vancouver businesses are
incentivized to acquire
Green Business Certification
Guy
Youth Enterprise Initiatives
are flourishing
Guy
The Local Food Economy
is flourishing
www.solefoodfarms.com
Guy
There is a big New City Market
and Food Hub
Guy
There are community gardens and micro-markets everywhere
Guy
All of Vancouver‟s banks
and credit unions have embraced
Values-Based Banking
Guy
A publicly-owned
State Bank of BC
has been established
Creates new credit
Holds public taxes and fees
Targets strategi...
Guy
WIR Inter-Business Banking gives
businesses credit when they need it
Guy
Micro-Lending is flourishing
Guy
Many people have joined an
interest-free JAK Bank
Guy
Community Currencies are flourishing
Guy
Time-banking is flourishing
VANCOUVER
All banks and credit unions provide
Debt Circles
Guy
2: Poverty and Inequality
Guy
Basic Income for all
has been established
A Basic Income is an income unconditionally
guaranteed to all on an individu...
Guy
www.livableincome.org
Guy
It is being financed through:
• Reallocation of pensions
and unemployment benefit,
social security and welfare
payment...
Guy
Student Debt problems have been solved
Guy
The Oregon Solution: Pay It Forward
The Sharing Economy is thriving
Guy
A Good Minimum Wage is Normal…
Guy
Debt Circles
Fair Taxation
Basic Income
Co-operatives
Profit-sharing
Affordable Housing
Student Debt Solution
The Shar...
Guy
3: Affordable Housing
Guy
Two-storey house: $1,151,250
Vancouver
Average House Prices, July 2013
Guy
Detached bungalow: $1,052,500
Vancouver
Average House Prices, July 2013
Guy
Condo: $490,475
Vancouver
Average House Prices, July 2013
Guy
Existing City Initiatives
Vancouver Rent Bank
Inclusionary Zoning
Density Bonusing
Secondary Suites
Infill Development...
Guy
$$ GATHERING THE MONEY $$
•There‟s a progressively increasing tax on real
estate sales over $2 million
•15% sales tax ...
Guy
$$ SPENDING THE MONEY $$
•Vancouver Affordable Housing Trust Fund
•There‟s a Community Housing Circle in each
neighbou...
There‟s a Community Land Trust
which buys land for affordable housing
Hannah Wittman/Michelle Colussi
Guy
In rental apartments
there are Tenants‟ Stewardship Councils
which also have the first right of purchase
Guy
The new funds are being used to buy out
the Downtown Eastside Rooming Hotels,
and to restore or demolish and rebuild
Communal Renting has been legalized
for more than five people
Communal ownership has become common
8-Bedroom house in North Van: $1.5 million
= $250k each for 8 owners
Car-Free Laneway Micro-Housing
has become common
www.loftcube.net
There‟s a special Rooftop Homes Zone
Rooftop Housing
is the new cool
thing.
Micro-homes
502 Alexander St
Vancouver
280 sq ft
12 units, base cost
$85,000 each
CMHC
There are Micro-Homes Villages
on temporarily vacant land
Guy Claire Martin
4: The Downtown
Eastside
Guy
1. There is Basic Income for all
Already in place in our imagined 2032:
Guy
1. There is Basic Income for all
2. The Bank of BC creates low-
interest credit and supports local
community economies...
Guy
1. There is Basic Income for all
2. The Bank of BC creates low-
interest credit and supports local
community economies...
Guy
4: There is funding
to restore or
rebuild the old
rooming hotels
In addition….
Guy
5. There is funding to convert the old motels
along Kingsway into single-room
housing coops
6. BC has adopted the Nordic model,
decriminalizing prostituted women,
while criminalizing pimps and johns
7: There has been a change in Canada‟s
prisons policy, with more restorative justice
and less jail time. It costs $114,000...
8: Recreational soft drugs have been
legalized. There are safe legal injection sites,
detox and treatment on demand,
and r...
9: A team of “Judy‟s Angels” provide
one-to-one support to help people
get off the street and into a home.
10: Vancouver‟s Food
Banks (which fed 15,000
people a day in 2014)
have been transformed
into Community Food
Centres where...
Hastings Street from Cordova to Main
has been made car-free.
There is a green Trail of Power
with a big sculpture at each ...
Guy
5:
Transportation
without Oil
Guy
How most traffic engineer see the city
How cities should be designed
Who needs to own a car,
when walking is so pleasa...
Many more people enjoy walking
Neighbourhoods have organized
local Walkability Audits
www.walklive.org
MANY more people are cycling:
40% of our trips in 2032
Guy
All bike lanes are safe separated bike lanes
Guy
Electric Bicycles
are everywhere
The Copenhagen Wheel
Tony‟s Trailers www.tonystrailers.com
Guy
Many people are using Transit
= 25% of our trips
There are luxury commuter buses
There are many creative Bus Shelters,
designed by community volunteers
100% Electric Buses
On-Line Recharge Electric Buses
Guy
Cars are only being used for 15% of our trips
Vehicle owners are earning
up to $300 a month
through peer-to-peer carsharing
Affordable small electric vehicles:
Renault Twizy
$9,700 + $60/month battery lease
100 km = 15 kWh
10,000 km = 1,500 kWh
1,500 kwh @ 10 cents = $13 a month
Gas 10 litres @ $1.30 litre = $130 a month
Grid P...
Top
Hiroko EV
Top
Cargohopper
 3 tonnes max
 60 km range
 20 kph top speed
 Urban deliveries
 Holland
www.cargohopper.com
There is no more air pollution
And at night, because smart street lights are user-controlled
and office lights are turned out, we can see the stars
Guy
6: Our Homes
Guy
Every house with
a south-facing
roof is a
Solar House
Solar Economics in Vancouver
4 kW, 5% finance, 3% year hydro inflation
2013 2020 2032
Cost per kW $4,000 $3,000 $2,000
4 k...
Guy
Every house
with a south-
facing roof
has solar
hot water
Guy Dauncey 2011
www.earthfuture.com
Neolithic Era
Ancient Egypt
Roman Empire
Islamic Golden Age
10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0
Th...
Guy Dauncey 2011
www.earthfuture.com
The last 10,000 years
..................................................
What happens...
Guy Dauncey 2011
www.earthfuture.com
A billion years
The Sun does not begin to turn
into a Red Giant for more than a billi...
90%
HEAT ENERGY
REDUCTION
IN NEW HOMES
Guy
Victoria, BC www.bernhardtpassive.com
16" foam insulation.
8” studs, 24” OC with
plywood and OSB
EuroLine Windows
fiberglass/UPVC triple-glazed
U= 0.73
Heat rec...
Solar Heat Pumps
Air-Source Solar Heat Pumps
Ductless Mini-Split Solar Heat Pumps
The Octopus Ice-Stick
www.octopus.tm
Air Moisture Solar Heat Pumps
Since 1991
In Sweden, Norway, Denmark, Finland,
Estonia, Lithuania, Ukraine, Poland,
Germany, Holland, Italy, Romania, Ire...
• Saves 50-75% on heating costs
• Uses air moisture, quiet air collector
• Operates down to -25o C
The cross is
an Ice-Stick
heat pump
Ground Source Solar Heat Pumps
Ground-Source Heat
Intelligent geothermal heat extraction
geothermic.tracto-technik.com
District Heat
Insulated Pipes
Hot water at 200o C
delivered to customers
25 km away
only a few degrees of
heat loss.
Vancouver False Creek Sewage-Based District Heat
Drake Landing, Okotoks, Alberta
Solar Thermal District Heat
800
solar hot water
panels
on the garages
90% of residential space
heating needs met by solar
thermal energy (40-50o C)
Sa...
The Energy Centre
Solar Thermal Heating 12 months a year
Community solar
heat panels
Solar hot water
panels
Collective solar thermal system
on a residential building, Germany www.wagner-solar.com
LED Lighting
Smart Thermostats: NEST
Single „House-off‟ Switch
Li-fi instead of Wi-fi
Electronic Art
Guy
Legal Composting Toilets
Guy
Rainwater
Storage
Many people are growing their own food
Guy Dauncey 2013
www.earthfuture.c
Guy
Boulevards are being vegetablized
Guy
Guy
7: Our Neighbourhoods
Bioswale captures rainwater
SEA Street, Seattle
Guy
SEA Street, Seattle
Guy
Porous
Pavement
Guy
Crown Street Sustainable Streetscape
Natural Stormwater management
Guy
Lost Creeks are being restored
Guy
Still Creek, Vancouver.
Chum Salmon restored after 80 years
Streets are being re-imagined
and redesigned
www.cityrepair.org
Guy
www.cityrepair.org
Guy
Guy
Most Streets Hold an Annual Block Party
Guy www.restreets.org
Downtown streets are being calmed and claimed
Guy www.restreets.org
…and cultured
Guy
Suburban streets are being calmed and claimed
Guywww.restreets.org
Fast, dangerous streets are being slowed
Guywww.restreets.org
Fast, boring streets are being slowed and humanized
There are many local Farmers Markets
Guy
All Schools are Growing Their Own Food
Guy
Concrete school yards are being transformed
Guy
Semiahmoo Transit Station
Surrey
www.greenovergrey.com
Boring buildings are being greened…
Guy
Guy
Musee du quai Branly in Paris
designed by Patrick Blanc Le Mur Vegetal
Guy
Many neighbours are participating
in the sharing economy
www.streetbank.com
Guy www.collaborativeconsumption.com
Guy Neighbourhood Tool-Sharing
Guy
There‟s lots of
community art
Guy
Guy
Guy
Guy Many people are celebrating
Guy
Guy
The Sustainable
City
The Happy,
Affordable City
More walking, biking, bus, carsharing = Lower transport costs
More urban f...
Guy
8: How Do We Get There?
Community engagement x 500
Guy
Design the Future
Community Meetings
Engage Young People
www.leadingchangenetwork.com
Guy
Electronic ballots
Electronic ballots
Voting aged reduced to 16
Electronic ballots
Voting aged reduced to 16
Transferable Voting at municipal elections
Electronic ballots
Voting aged reduced to 16
Transferable Voting at municipal elections
$100 voting tax credit (revenue ne...
This whole presentation is available on
www.slideshare.net/GuyDauncey
Special Price
$5
Special Price
$5
Special Price
$5
Special Price
$5
Guy Dauncey 2013
www.earthfuture.com
D'où venons-nous? Que sommes-nous? Où allons-nous?
Where Do We Come From?
What Are We...
Voyager 1 photo of
Earth from 6 billion
kilometers.
Guy Dauncey 2013
www.earthfuture.com
The Universe has taken
13 billion years
to create us
Guy Dauncey 2013
www.earthfuture.com
Number of stars in the Universe
1024: 1 trillion trillion
Guy Dauncey 2013
www.earthfuture.com
Number of
atoms in your
body:
1027: 1000 trillion
trillion
All self-organized
into on...
Guy Dauncey 2013
www.earthfuture.com
Number of stars in our galaxy
100 trillion
Guy Dauncey 2013
www.earthfuture.com
Number of synapses in your brain
100 trillion
All self-organized into one amazing who...
Guy Dauncey 2013
www.earthfuture.com
100 trillion synapses 100 trillion stars
Guy Dauncey 2013
www.earthfuture.com
We are amazing…
and we are all conscious
Guy Dauncey 2013
www.earthfuture.com
We have free will
We can make a difference
Guy Dauncey 2013
www.earthfuture.com
This is about us, our planet,
our future.
It‟s Our World – So LETS CHANGE IT
Guy Dauncey
www.earthfuture.com
Imagining a Beautiful Green Future: Vancouver 2032
Imagining a Beautiful Green Future: Vancouver 2032
Imagining a Beautiful Green Future: Vancouver 2032
Imagining a Beautiful Green Future: Vancouver 2032
Imagining a Beautiful Green Future: Vancouver 2032
Imagining a Beautiful Green Future: Vancouver 2032
Imagining a Beautiful Green Future: Vancouver 2032
Imagining a Beautiful Green Future: Vancouver 2032
Imagining a Beautiful Green Future: Vancouver 2032
Imagining a Beautiful Green Future: Vancouver 2032
Imagining a Beautiful Green Future: Vancouver 2032
Imagining a Beautiful Green Future: Vancouver 2032
Imagining a Beautiful Green Future: Vancouver 2032
Imagining a Beautiful Green Future: Vancouver 2032
Imagining a Beautiful Green Future: Vancouver 2032
Imagining a Beautiful Green Future: Vancouver 2032
Imagining a Beautiful Green Future: Vancouver 2032
Imagining a Beautiful Green Future: Vancouver 2032
Imagining a Beautiful Green Future: Vancouver 2032
Imagining a Beautiful Green Future: Vancouver 2032
Imagining a Beautiful Green Future: Vancouver 2032
Imagining a Beautiful Green Future: Vancouver 2032
Imagining a Beautiful Green Future: Vancouver 2032
Imagining a Beautiful Green Future: Vancouver 2032
Imagining a Beautiful Green Future: Vancouver 2032
Imagining a Beautiful Green Future: Vancouver 2032
Imagining a Beautiful Green Future: Vancouver 2032
Imagining a Beautiful Green Future: Vancouver 2032
Imagining a Beautiful Green Future: Vancouver 2032
Imagining a Beautiful Green Future: Vancouver 2032
Imagining a Beautiful Green Future: Vancouver 2032
Imagining a Beautiful Green Future: Vancouver 2032
Imagining a Beautiful Green Future: Vancouver 2032
Imagining a Beautiful Green Future: Vancouver 2032
Imagining a Beautiful Green Future: Vancouver 2032
Imagining a Beautiful Green Future: Vancouver 2032
Imagining a Beautiful Green Future: Vancouver 2032
Imagining a Beautiful Green Future: Vancouver 2032
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Imagining a Beautiful Green Future: Vancouver 2032

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By Guy Dauncey. First presented as a Langara College Metamorphosis Lecture Series, Feb 12, 2014. This larger version presented to CMHC on April 1st, 2014.

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Imagining a Beautiful Green Future: Vancouver 2032

  1. 1. CMHC April 1st, 2014
  2. 2. Guy
  3. 3. Guy Metamorphosis…
  4. 4. We have come a long way from this….
  5. 5. To this….
  6. 6. Guy
  7. 7. Guy
  8. 8. Guy
  9. 9. Guy
  10. 10. Guy but…
  11. 11. Guy Smithore Dreamstime.com We have also come to this…
  12. 12. Guy
  13. 13. GDP = Gross Depletion of the Planet
  14. 14. Gross Depletion of the Planet + Yield - Costs = Profit
  15. 15. Guy
  16. 16. Gross Depletion of the Planet
  17. 17. Guy And this…
  18. 18. The last time the world was 3C warmer the sea-level was up to 25 metres higher
  19. 19. 2 metres 10 metres 18 metres 25 metres
  20. 20. 1 metre sea-level rise http://flood.firetree.net
  21. 21. 3 metres sea-level rise http://flood.firetree.net
  22. 22. 20 metres sea-level rise http://flood.firetree.net
  23. 23. We have also come to this…
  24. 24. Guy And this… And this…
  25. 25. Guy
  26. 26. The power of our vision must be stronger than the power of our fears
  27. 27. “The future belongs to those who believe in the beauty of their dreams.” ― Eleanor Roosevelt
  28. 28. "Dreams are extremely important. You can't do it unless you can imagine it.” - George Lucas
  29. 29. Istanbul, Turkey
  30. 30. So what is our vision of a beautiful, desirable future?
  31. 31. What are the Values on which we shall build our future city? THE OLD THE NEW Moving Cars Moving People Individualism Community The Functional City The Happy City A Private Capitalist Economy A Sharing Co-operative Economy Domination over Nature Harmony with Nature
  32. 32. Guy
  33. 33. Guy
  34. 34. Guy
  35. 35. Eight Themes 1: A New Green Economy 2: Poverty & Inequality 3: Affordable Housing 4: The Downtown Eastside 5: Transportation without Oil 6: Our Homes 7: Our Neighbourhoods 8: How Do We Get There?
  36. 36. Guy Moving from a CAPITALIST to a COOPERATIVE Economy 1: The New Green Economy
  37. 37. Guy A COOPERATIVE Economy Businesses flourish in harmony with other businesses, workers, community and nature.
  38. 38. The Community Economy in 2032
  39. 39. Neighbourhoods across Vancouver have set up Urban Village Business Networks Businesses pay a 0.4% levy on sales for financial mutual support and cooperation.
  40. 40. Emilia Romagna, Italy • Population 4.4 million • $$$, top ten European regions • 32% self-employed • 76% work in small • Business with 4-5 workers • Italy’s 4th largest exporter • 400,000 enterprises • 15,000 cooperatives • Strong tradition of reciprocity, regional economy mutual support system, financed by a 0.4% levy on sales • High density of banks • Regional credit system with close ties to local enterprises • Lowest unemployment • Highest rate of citizen satisfaction in Italy
  41. 41. Emilia Romagna, Italy There are half a million businesses and coops in the region, which pay a 0.4% levy on sales to local inter-business organizations. In return, they receive support with financing, training, research, development strategies and export efforts.
  42. 42. Vancouver Cooperatives have their own Mutual Support Network
  43. 43. Local Businesses are making Wage Differentials Reduction Pledges from 30:1 to 10:1
  44. 44. Guy Many Vancouver businesses are becoming Benefit Corporations
  45. 45. Guy
  46. 46. Guy Most Vancouver businesses have Women Directors on the Board “Companies with more Women Board Directors experience higher financial performance, according to latest Catalyst Bottom Line Report.”
  47. 47. Guy All Vancouver businesses are incentivized to acquire Green Business Certification
  48. 48. Guy Youth Enterprise Initiatives are flourishing
  49. 49. Guy The Local Food Economy is flourishing www.solefoodfarms.com
  50. 50. Guy There is a big New City Market and Food Hub
  51. 51. Guy There are community gardens and micro-markets everywhere
  52. 52. Guy All of Vancouver‟s banks and credit unions have embraced Values-Based Banking
  53. 53. Guy A publicly-owned State Bank of BC has been established Creates new credit Holds public taxes and fees Targets strategic investments Clearing bank for other banks Profits recycled, public benefit Modeled on The Bank of North Dakota
  54. 54. Guy WIR Inter-Business Banking gives businesses credit when they need it
  55. 55. Guy Micro-Lending is flourishing
  56. 56. Guy Many people have joined an interest-free JAK Bank
  57. 57. Guy Community Currencies are flourishing
  58. 58. Guy Time-banking is flourishing VANCOUVER
  59. 59. All banks and credit unions provide Debt Circles
  60. 60. Guy 2: Poverty and Inequality
  61. 61. Guy Basic Income for all has been established A Basic Income is an income unconditionally guaranteed to all on an individual basis, without means test or work requirement.
  62. 62. Guy www.livableincome.org
  63. 63. Guy It is being financed through: • Reallocation of pensions and unemployment benefit, social security and welfare payments • Direct taxation • Indirect taxation on consumption (GST) • The Financial Transactions Tax
  64. 64. Guy Student Debt problems have been solved
  65. 65. Guy The Oregon Solution: Pay It Forward
  66. 66. The Sharing Economy is thriving
  67. 67. Guy A Good Minimum Wage is Normal…
  68. 68. Guy Debt Circles Fair Taxation Basic Income Co-operatives Profit-sharing Affordable Housing Student Debt Solution The Sharing Economy Increased Minimum Wage Ability to grow your own food
  69. 69. Guy 3: Affordable Housing
  70. 70. Guy Two-storey house: $1,151,250 Vancouver Average House Prices, July 2013
  71. 71. Guy Detached bungalow: $1,052,500 Vancouver Average House Prices, July 2013
  72. 72. Guy Condo: $490,475 Vancouver Average House Prices, July 2013
  73. 73. Guy Existing City Initiatives Vancouver Rent Bank Inclusionary Zoning Density Bonusing Secondary Suites Infill Development Demolition Control Further Initiatives…
  74. 74. Guy $$ GATHERING THE MONEY $$ •There‟s a progressively increasing tax on real estate sales over $2 million •15% sales tax on properties bought through offshore companies •Annual levy on properties registered offshore for tax reasons •Escalating tax on empty properties to stop developers from sitting on them
  75. 75. Guy $$ SPENDING THE MONEY $$ •Vancouver Affordable Housing Trust Fund •There‟s a Community Housing Circle in each neighbourhood which plans and builds affordable projects.
  76. 76. There‟s a Community Land Trust which buys land for affordable housing Hannah Wittman/Michelle Colussi
  77. 77. Guy In rental apartments there are Tenants‟ Stewardship Councils which also have the first right of purchase
  78. 78. Guy The new funds are being used to buy out the Downtown Eastside Rooming Hotels, and to restore or demolish and rebuild
  79. 79. Communal Renting has been legalized for more than five people
  80. 80. Communal ownership has become common 8-Bedroom house in North Van: $1.5 million = $250k each for 8 owners
  81. 81. Car-Free Laneway Micro-Housing has become common
  82. 82. www.loftcube.net There‟s a special Rooftop Homes Zone
  83. 83. Rooftop Housing is the new cool thing.
  84. 84. Micro-homes 502 Alexander St Vancouver 280 sq ft 12 units, base cost $85,000 each CMHC
  85. 85. There are Micro-Homes Villages on temporarily vacant land
  86. 86. Guy Claire Martin 4: The Downtown Eastside
  87. 87. Guy 1. There is Basic Income for all Already in place in our imagined 2032:
  88. 88. Guy 1. There is Basic Income for all 2. The Bank of BC creates low- interest credit and supports local community economies, including microloans Already in place in our imagined 2032:
  89. 89. Guy 1. There is Basic Income for all 2. The Bank of BC creates low- interest credit and supports local community economies, including microloans 3. There are many new affordable housing initiatives Already in place in our imagined 2032:
  90. 90. Guy 4: There is funding to restore or rebuild the old rooming hotels In addition….
  91. 91. Guy 5. There is funding to convert the old motels along Kingsway into single-room housing coops
  92. 92. 6. BC has adopted the Nordic model, decriminalizing prostituted women, while criminalizing pimps and johns
  93. 93. 7: There has been a change in Canada‟s prisons policy, with more restorative justice and less jail time. It costs $114,000 a year to keep someone in jail.
  94. 94. 8: Recreational soft drugs have been legalized. There are safe legal injection sites, detox and treatment on demand, and recovery coaching to help ex-addicts remain in their homes.
  95. 95. 9: A team of “Judy‟s Angels” provide one-to-one support to help people get off the street and into a home.
  96. 96. 10: Vancouver‟s Food Banks (which fed 15,000 people a day in 2014) have been transformed into Community Food Centres where people learn how to cook together, eat together, grow their own food, and join a Community Food Coop.
  97. 97. Hastings Street from Cordova to Main has been made car-free. There is a green Trail of Power with a big sculpture at each intersection that tells the story of Canada‟s First Nations
  98. 98. Guy 5: Transportation without Oil
  99. 99. Guy How most traffic engineer see the city How cities should be designed Who needs to own a car, when walking is so pleasant, Cycling such fun, public transit so efficient and carsharing so easy?  20% of our trips in 2032 are on foot  40% are by bike  25% are by transit  only 15% are by car or light truck
  100. 100. Many more people enjoy walking
  101. 101. Neighbourhoods have organized local Walkability Audits www.walklive.org
  102. 102. MANY more people are cycling: 40% of our trips in 2032
  103. 103. Guy
  104. 104. All bike lanes are safe separated bike lanes
  105. 105. Guy Electric Bicycles are everywhere
  106. 106. The Copenhagen Wheel
  107. 107. Tony‟s Trailers www.tonystrailers.com
  108. 108. Guy
  109. 109. Many people are using Transit = 25% of our trips
  110. 110. There are luxury commuter buses
  111. 111. There are many creative Bus Shelters, designed by community volunteers
  112. 112. 100% Electric Buses
  113. 113. On-Line Recharge Electric Buses
  114. 114. Guy Cars are only being used for 15% of our trips
  115. 115. Vehicle owners are earning up to $300 a month through peer-to-peer carsharing
  116. 116. Affordable small electric vehicles: Renault Twizy $9,700 + $60/month battery lease
  117. 117. 100 km = 15 kWh 10,000 km = 1,500 kWh 1,500 kwh @ 10 cents = $13 a month Gas 10 litres @ $1.30 litre = $130 a month Grid Power for EV EV Bargain!! 10 times cheaper to run!
  118. 118. Top Hiroko EV
  119. 119. Top
  120. 120. Cargohopper  3 tonnes max  60 km range  20 kph top speed  Urban deliveries  Holland www.cargohopper.com
  121. 121. There is no more air pollution
  122. 122. And at night, because smart street lights are user-controlled and office lights are turned out, we can see the stars
  123. 123. Guy 6: Our Homes
  124. 124. Guy Every house with a south-facing roof is a Solar House
  125. 125. Solar Economics in Vancouver 4 kW, 5% finance, 3% year hydro inflation 2013 2020 2032 Cost per kW $4,000 $3,000 $2,000 4 kW system $16,800 $12,600 $8,400 Cost + $ @ 5% $29,300 $22,000 $14,700 kWh per year 4,400 4,400 4,400 25 year Income $21,900 $26,300 $61,500 Profit -$7,400 +$4,300 +$46,800 Guy
  126. 126. Guy Every house with a south- facing roof has solar hot water
  127. 127. Guy Dauncey 2011 www.earthfuture.com Neolithic Era Ancient Egypt Roman Empire Islamic Golden Age 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 The Age of Fossil Fuels ………………………………………. The last 10,000 years
  128. 128. Guy Dauncey 2011 www.earthfuture.com The last 10,000 years .................................................. What happens here, when we stop burning fossil fuels? The Age of Fossil Fuels
  129. 129. Guy Dauncey 2011 www.earthfuture.com A billion years The Sun does not begin to turn into a Red Giant for more than a billion years. And with every passing year, solar technology will improve and get cheaper.
  130. 130. 90% HEAT ENERGY REDUCTION IN NEW HOMES
  131. 131. Guy Victoria, BC www.bernhardtpassive.com
  132. 132. 16" foam insulation. 8” studs, 24” OC with plywood and OSB EuroLine Windows fiberglass/UPVC triple-glazed U= 0.73 Heat recovery ventilation: 90% exhaust heat transferred to incoming fresh air Building cost only 4.3% more,
  133. 133. Solar Heat Pumps
  134. 134. Air-Source Solar Heat Pumps
  135. 135. Ductless Mini-Split Solar Heat Pumps
  136. 136. The Octopus Ice-Stick www.octopus.tm Air Moisture Solar Heat Pumps
  137. 137. Since 1991 In Sweden, Norway, Denmark, Finland, Estonia, Lithuania, Ukraine, Poland, Germany, Holland, Italy, Romania, Ireland.
  138. 138. • Saves 50-75% on heating costs • Uses air moisture, quiet air collector • Operates down to -25o C
  139. 139. The cross is an Ice-Stick heat pump
  140. 140. Ground Source Solar Heat Pumps
  141. 141. Ground-Source Heat Intelligent geothermal heat extraction
  142. 142. geothermic.tracto-technik.com
  143. 143. District Heat
  144. 144. Insulated Pipes Hot water at 200o C delivered to customers 25 km away only a few degrees of heat loss.
  145. 145. Vancouver False Creek Sewage-Based District Heat
  146. 146. Drake Landing, Okotoks, Alberta Solar Thermal District Heat
  147. 147. 800 solar hot water panels on the garages 90% of residential space heating needs met by solar thermal energy (40-50o C) Saves 5 tonnes GHG emissions per home per year.
  148. 148. The Energy Centre Solar Thermal Heating 12 months a year Community solar heat panels Solar hot water panels
  149. 149. Collective solar thermal system on a residential building, Germany www.wagner-solar.com
  150. 150. LED Lighting
  151. 151. Smart Thermostats: NEST
  152. 152. Single „House-off‟ Switch
  153. 153. Li-fi instead of Wi-fi
  154. 154. Electronic Art
  155. 155. Guy Legal Composting Toilets
  156. 156. Guy Rainwater Storage
  157. 157. Many people are growing their own food
  158. 158. Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.c
  159. 159. Guy Boulevards are being vegetablized
  160. 160. Guy
  161. 161. Guy
  162. 162. 7: Our Neighbourhoods
  163. 163. Bioswale captures rainwater SEA Street, Seattle
  164. 164. Guy SEA Street, Seattle
  165. 165. Guy Porous Pavement
  166. 166. Guy Crown Street Sustainable Streetscape Natural Stormwater management
  167. 167. Guy Lost Creeks are being restored
  168. 168. Guy Still Creek, Vancouver. Chum Salmon restored after 80 years
  169. 169. Streets are being re-imagined and redesigned
  170. 170. www.cityrepair.org
  171. 171. Guy www.cityrepair.org
  172. 172. Guy
  173. 173. Guy Most Streets Hold an Annual Block Party
  174. 174. Guy www.restreets.org Downtown streets are being calmed and claimed
  175. 175. Guy www.restreets.org …and cultured
  176. 176. Guy Suburban streets are being calmed and claimed
  177. 177. Guywww.restreets.org Fast, dangerous streets are being slowed
  178. 178. Guywww.restreets.org Fast, boring streets are being slowed and humanized
  179. 179. There are many local Farmers Markets
  180. 180. Guy All Schools are Growing Their Own Food
  181. 181. Guy Concrete school yards are being transformed
  182. 182. Guy Semiahmoo Transit Station Surrey www.greenovergrey.com Boring buildings are being greened…
  183. 183. Guy
  184. 184. Guy Musee du quai Branly in Paris designed by Patrick Blanc Le Mur Vegetal
  185. 185. Guy Many neighbours are participating in the sharing economy www.streetbank.com
  186. 186. Guy www.collaborativeconsumption.com
  187. 187. Guy Neighbourhood Tool-Sharing
  188. 188. Guy There‟s lots of community art
  189. 189. Guy
  190. 190. Guy
  191. 191. Guy
  192. 192. Guy Many people are celebrating
  193. 193. Guy
  194. 194. Guy
  195. 195. The Sustainable City The Happy, Affordable City More walking, biking, bus, carsharing = Lower transport costs More urban food gardens = Lower food costs Innovative affordable housing = Lower housing costs Green, solar, energy-efficient homes = Lower energy costs The Sharing Economy = Lower cash costs Stronger community economies = More financial security Basic Income, debt solutions = More financial security More urban greenery = More peace, more beauty No more fossil fuels = Clean air, clear sky, quiet city More civic engagement = Healthier political realm Stronger neighbourhoods = More friends, more real community More arts, music, celebration = More friends, more happiness,
  196. 196. Guy 8: How Do We Get There?
  197. 197. Community engagement x 500
  198. 198. Guy
  199. 199. Design the Future Community Meetings
  200. 200. Engage Young People www.leadingchangenetwork.com
  201. 201. Guy Electronic ballots
  202. 202. Electronic ballots Voting aged reduced to 16
  203. 203. Electronic ballots Voting aged reduced to 16 Transferable Voting at municipal elections
  204. 204. Electronic ballots Voting aged reduced to 16 Transferable Voting at municipal elections $100 voting tax credit (revenue neutral)
  205. 205. This whole presentation is available on www.slideshare.net/GuyDauncey
  206. 206. Special Price $5
  207. 207. Special Price $5
  208. 208. Special Price $5
  209. 209. Special Price $5
  210. 210. Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com D'où venons-nous? Que sommes-nous? Où allons-nous? Where Do We Come From? What Are We? Where Are We Going??
  211. 211. Voyager 1 photo of Earth from 6 billion kilometers.
  212. 212. Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com The Universe has taken 13 billion years to create us
  213. 213. Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com Number of stars in the Universe 1024: 1 trillion trillion
  214. 214. Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com Number of atoms in your body: 1027: 1000 trillion trillion All self-organized into one amazing whole
  215. 215. Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com Number of stars in our galaxy 100 trillion
  216. 216. Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com Number of synapses in your brain 100 trillion All self-organized into one amazing whole
  217. 217. Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com 100 trillion synapses 100 trillion stars
  218. 218. Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com We are amazing… and we are all conscious
  219. 219. Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com We have free will We can make a difference
  220. 220. Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com This is about us, our planet, our future.
  221. 221. It‟s Our World – So LETS CHANGE IT
  222. 222. Guy Dauncey www.earthfuture.com

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