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Beyond Oil: Imagining the Future

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A Public Lecture by Guy Dauncey, given in Kelowna and Kamloops, Sept 10/11th, 2013

A Public Lecture by Guy Dauncey, given in Kelowna and Kamloops, Sept 10/11th, 2013

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  • Is the Relay Rides $715 a month number excessive?Globe & Mail http://www.theglobeandmail.com/globe-drive/new-cars/auto-news/the-real-cost-of-car-ownership/article1692912/ says $711 to $906 a month
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    • 1. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com Beyond Oil Imagining the Future
    • 2. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com Question: Climate Change: A: It’s a very serious looming crisis B: Confused; not sure what to make of it C: It’s overblown. Earth’s climate has always been variable
    • 3. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com Question: Transportation without Oil: A: Yes, I believe it’s possible B: I don’t know if it’s possible C: No, it’s not possible.
    • 4. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com Before Oil… Remembering the Past Four million years of walking
    • 5. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com Walking = 4,000,000 years Vancouver to Kelowna/Kamloops = 400 km 10,000 years = 1 kilometre The last 100 years = 10 metres
    • 6. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com Petrolia, Ontario 1858
    • 7. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com
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    • 23. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com
    • 24. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com Guy Dauncey 2011 www.earthfuture.com As we burn the fossil fuels… Guy Dauncey 2007 www.earthfuture.co CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 100 million tonnes a day = 4 million tonnes an hour = 67,000 tonnes a minute = 1,000 tonnes a second
    • 25. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com
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    • 27. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com
    • 28. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com Guy Dauncey 2011 www.earthfuture.com + 2˚C rise
    • 29. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com The last time the world was 3°C warmer the sea level was 25 metres higher
    • 30. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com
    • 31. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com 2 metres 10 metres 18 metres 25 metres
    • 32. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com 1 metre sea-level rise http://flood.firetree.net
    • 33. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com 3 metres sea-level rise http://flood.firetree.net
    • 34. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com 20 metres sea-level rise http://flood.firetree.net
    • 35. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com
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    • 39. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
    • 40. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com
    • 41. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
    • 42. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com German Institute for Economic Research and Watkiss et al. 2005
    • 43. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com
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    • 47. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com
    • 48. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com Guy Dauncey 2011 www.earthfuture.com Tar Sands: 1.2 million barrels a day The world is consuming 89 million barrels a day
    • 49. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com
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    • 54. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com
    • 55. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com
    • 56. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com Total carbon in the world’s fossil fuel reserves
    • 57. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com
    • 58. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com
    • 59. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com
    • 60. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com
    • 61. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com Guy Dauncey 2011 www.earthfuture.com The Teeny-Weeny, Ever-So-Brief Age of Oil
    • 62. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com Guy Dauncey 2011 www.earthfuture.com 10,000 years past 10,000 years future The Teeny-Witzy, Ever-So-Brief Age of Oil Neolithic Era: 8,000 years Ancient Egypt: 3,000 years Roman Empire: 1,000 years Islamic Golden Age: 600 years Era of Oil: 100 years
    • 63. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com Guy Dauncey 2011 www.earthfuture.com 10,000 years past 10,000 years future The Teeny-Witzy, Ever-So-Brief Age of Oil Neolithic Era: 8,000 years Ancient Egypt: 3,000 years Roman Empire: 1,000 years Islamic Golden Age: 600 years Age of Oil: 100 years What happens here?
    • 64. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com Guy Dauncey 2011 www.earthfuture.com A billion years future Neolithic Era: 8,000 years Ancient Egypt: 3,000 years Roman Empire: 1,000 years Islamic Golden Age: 600 years Age of Oil: 100 years The Sun does not begin to turn into a Red Giant for a billion years. That’s 100,000 periods of 10,000 years
    • 65. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com
    • 66. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com
    • 67. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com Beyond Oil Awakening the Future
    • 68. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com BCSEA 2012 www.bcsea.org BCSEA vision is a sustainable future in which all of BC’s energy is green and renewable.
    • 69. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com How Are We Using the Oil? Cars & light trucks 40% Heavy trucks 13% Flying 8% Shipping 2.5% Asphalt 3% Rail freight 1% Recreational 1% Military 1.5% TOTAL TRANSPORT 71% Non-transport uses 29%
    • 70. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com 1 5% shift to walking
    • 71. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com
    • 72. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com Neighbourhood Walkability Audit www.walklive.org
    • 73. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com
    • 74. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com
    • 75. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com
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    • 77. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com
    • 78. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com
    • 79. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com Toronto Walking School Bus
    • 80. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com IS IT POSSIBLE? YES NO MAYBE A 5% shift to walking
    • 81. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com The Journey Beyond Oil Cars & light trucks 5% shift to walking = 95% of oil demand
    • 82. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com 2 15% shift to cycling
    • 83. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com In Holland, 40% of all traffic movement is by bicycle
    • 84. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com  Safe bike lanes and routes  Good bike parking  Cycling education in schools
    • 85. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com Vancouver, Howe Street
    • 86. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com
    • 87. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com
    • 88. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com
    • 89. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com City Bike Sharing
    • 90. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com Electric Bicycles
    • 91. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
    • 92. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
    • 93. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
    • 94. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com
    • 95. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com www.emcyclellc.com
    • 96. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com A fun cycling culture
    • 97. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com
    • 98. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com
    • 99. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com School at Assen, Holland
    • 100. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com
    • 101. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com IS IT POSSIBLE? YES NO MAYBE 15% shift to cycling
    • 102. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com The Journey Beyond Oil Cars & light trucks 5% shift to walking = 95% of oil demand 15% shift to cycling = 80% …
    • 103. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com 3 v15% shift to transit and LRT
    • 104. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com Hasselt, Belgium Free transit, included in city taxes 1996-2006 13-fold increase in ridership
    • 105. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com Real-time electronic displays
    • 106. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com Bus shelter in Taiwan
    • 107. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com Stockholm – 200 buses run on biogas from sewage treatment
    • 108. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com Umea, Sweden Fast-Charging Electric Bus, 18 hours/day 1 – 2 euros for 10-20 kWh electricity to go 10 km www.opbrid.com
    • 109. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com OLEV On-Line Electric Vehicle, South Korea
    • 110. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com
    • 111. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com Japan’s Future Electric Bus
    • 112. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com IS IT POSSIBLE? YES NO MAYBE 15% shift to Transit & LRT
    • 113. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com LRT in Portland, Oregon
    • 114. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com
    • 115. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com Electric train + green electricity = no climate impact
    • 116. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com The Journey Beyond Oil Cars & light trucks 5% shift to walking = 95% of oil demand 15% shift to cycling = 80% … 15% shift to transit/LRT = 65% …
    • 117. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com 4 5% shift to Telework
    • 118. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com
    • 119. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com
    • 120. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com Cisco Systems
    • 121. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com IS IT POSSIBLE? YES NO MAYBE 5% shift to Telework
    • 122. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com The Journey Beyond Oil Cars & light trucks 5% shift to walking = 95% of oil demand 15% shift to cycling = 80% … 15% shift to transit/LRT = 65% … 5% shift to telework = 60% …
    • 123. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com 5 v5% shift to Ride-Sharing
    • 124. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com Kijiji Craigslist Shareyourride.net
    • 125. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com
    • 126. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com Real-time Ride-sharing www.car.ma
    • 127. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com Guaranteed emergency ride home Cash-out parking – paid for not using employee parking space Rideshare Plus Rewards Book
    • 128. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com IS IT POSSIBLE? YES NO MAYBE 5% shift to Ridesharing
    • 129. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com The Journey Beyond Oil Cars & light trucks 5% shift to walking = 95% of oil demand 15% shift to cycling = 80% … 15% shift to transit/LRT = 65% … 5% shift to telework = 60% … 5% shift to ride-sharing = 55% …
    • 130. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com See 650 members share 23 vehicles www.victoriacarshare.ca 6 5% shift to Car Sharing
    • 131. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com Car-sharing forecast North America 2016: 4.4 million users David Zhao, automotive research analyst with Frost & Sullivan,
    • 132. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com Peer-to-Peer Car-Sharing Vehicles owners earn up to $300 a month
    • 133. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com
    • 134. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com
    • 135. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com IS IT POSSIBLE? YES NO MAYBE 5% shift to Car-sharing
    • 136. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com The Journey Beyond Oil Cars & light trucks 5% shift to walking = 95% of oil demand 15% shift to cycling = 80% … 15% shift to transit/LRT = 65% … 5% shift to telework = 60% … 5% shift to ride-sharing = 55% … 5% shift to car-sharing = 50% …
    • 137. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com 7 Better Inter-Modal Connections Single Smart Card for transit, LRT, car-share, ride-share, ferries, rail Good transit-ferry connections Good bike-parking at every transit station
    • 138. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com Transport London’s Oyster Card
    • 139. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com Walk Bike Food Help Taxi Skype ParkRide share Ski-lift Maps Ferry Fly Car share LRTTransit Rail
    • 140. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com IS IT POSSIBLE? YES NO MAYBE Better Inter-Modal Connections
    • 141. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com 8 Smart Growth
    • 142. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com
    • 143. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com
    • 144. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com
    • 145. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com Jamestown Mall Area Plan, St. Louis County, Missouri
    • 146. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com Metro do Porto, Portugal
    • 147. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com IS IT POSSIBLE? YES NO MAYBE Smart Growth
    • 148. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com 9 50% shift to Hybrid EVs 80% of average mileage on electric drive
    • 149. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com Chevy Volt 2,500 km on one tank of gas
    • 150. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com Volkswagen XL1 (1-litre) 2012 Diesel plug-in hybrid 795 kg 75km battery range 0.9 litres/100 km (260 mpg US)
    • 151. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com IS IT POSSIBLE? YES NO MAYBE 50% shift to Hybrid EVs
    • 152. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com The Journey Beyond Oil Cars & light trucks 5% shift to walking = 95% of oil demand 15% shift to cycling = 80% … 15% shift to transit/LRT = 65% … 5% shift to telework = 60% … 5% shift to ride-sharing = 55% … 5% shift to car-sharing = 50% … 50% of vehicles hybrid electric = 30% 80% of mileage electric
    • 153. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com 10 v50% shift to Electric Vehicles
    • 154. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com
    • 155. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com Low Price: Renault Twizy EV  2 seats, 100 km range, made in Spain  80 kph top speed, 3.5 hours recharge  $9,700 + $60/month battery lease
    • 156. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com In UK: $10,600 + $65 monthly battery lease charge Top
    • 157. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com Mid-price: Mitsubishi MiEV  5 seats  Top speed 130 kph  150 km range  $25,000 after rebates
    • 158. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com Nissan Leaf Electric - 120 km range
    • 159. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com Smart Electric – 135 km range
    • 160. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com Toyota RAV4 EV 148 km range
    • 161. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com Top price: Tesla EV Model-X  7 seats. Spacious luggage capacity front & rear  0-90 kph in 4.4 seconds  300-400 kilomertes range  $67,000 plus incentives  Delivery in 2014
    • 162. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com Top The KIA Pop: yet to be released
    • 163. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com
    • 164. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com STELLA
    • 165. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com
    • 166. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com Made by Dutch students, Eindhoven University Family size, 4-seater Roadworthy, legal in Holland Weight: 380 kg (1120 kg for normal EV) Range: 400 km no sunshine, 600 km full sunshine Solar PV cost $4,000 10 months a year it produces more energy than it uses Excess power back into the grid
    • 167. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com Electric cars, running on green electricity = no climate impact
    • 168. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com Honda solar electric car charging
    • 169. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com Electric car fast charging
    • 170. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com
    • 171. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com 50% fuel reduction Mercedes Biome concept car Ultra-lights
    • 172. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com Average car 2,000 kg Toyota Prius V 1,485 kg Evonik Elise EV 950 kg
    • 173. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com 1.5 kW of solar PV = 1,500 kWh a year Electric car: 15 kWh = 100 km 10,000 km = 1,500 kWh PV for EV
    • 174. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com 1.5 kW solar PV $7,500 3.5% 25 year mortgage on $7.5k = $37/month Gas @ $1.30 litre = $80/month
    • 175. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com IS IT POSSIBLE? YES NO MAYBE 50% shift to Electric Vehicles
    • 176. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com The Journey Beyond Oil Cars & light trucks 5% shift to walking = 95% of oil demand 15% shift to cycling = 80% … 15% shift to transit/LRT = 65% … 5% shift to telework = 60% … 5% shift to ride-sharing = 55% … 5% shift to car-sharing = 50% … 50% vehicles hybrid EV 80% = 30% … 50% of vehicles are electric = 5% … Lightweight design saves 50% = 2.5% … If all vehicles EVs = 0.0% … = Beyond Oil
    • 177. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com IS IT POSSIBLE? YES NO MAYBE 100% shift to Beyond Oil for cars & light trucks
    • 178. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com Integrated Governance Cycling Transit Highways Rail
    • 179. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com Integrated Cost Analysis $ Cycling Transit Highways Rail $
    • 180. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com Cost of a new traffic lane $300,000 to $500,000 per km 800 vehicles per hour
    • 181. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com Cost of a new traffic lane $300,000 to $500,000 per km 800 vehicles per hour Cost of a 1.5 metre bike lane $5,000 to $10,000 per km for re-striping 2,000 trips per hour = 75 to 250 times more cost-effective
    • 182. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com Cost of a new traffic lane $300,000 to $500,000 per km 800 vehicles per hour Cost of a 1.5 metre bike lane $5,000 to $10,000 per km for re-striping 2,000 trips per hour = 75 to 250 times more cost-effective $35,000 to $150,000 per km when road widening required = 5 to 35 times more cost-effective Ministry of Transportation of Ontario, Ontario Bikeways Planning and Design Guidelines, pg. 8-34, March 1996.
    • 183. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com Cost of a new traffic lane $300,000 to $500,000 per km 800 vehicles per hour Cost of a 1.5 metre bike lane $5,000 to $10,000 per km for re-striping 2,000 trips per hour = 75 to 250 times more cost-effective $35,000 to $150,000 per km when road widening required = 5 to 35 times more cost-effective Ministry of Transportation of Ontario, Ontario Bikeways Planning and Design Guidelines, pg. 8-34, March 1996. Cost of a new separated bike lane $100,000 per km = 7 to 12 times more cost-effective
    • 184. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com  Carbon Taxes  Feebates  Road tolls  Utility Public Service Charges How can we pay for it all?
    • 185. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com Electronic Road Pricing
    • 186. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com Road-pricing on the Malahat
    • 187. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com 30,000 vehicles a day $2 one-way toll = $60,000 a day = 250 luxury coaches = up to 10,000 passengers a day
    • 188. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com Electric Freight Renault Radiance Dutch concept electric truck  Average 18-wheeler 6.5 mpg  Super-efficient designs 9 mpg
    • 189. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com Cargohopper  3 tonnes max  60 km range  20 kph top speed  Urban deliveries  Holland www.cargohopper.com
    • 190. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com Freight Solutions - Trucking  Super-efficient designs save 35%  Electric plug-in to eliminate idling saves 8%  Slower driving saves 8%  ‘Empty miles’ shipping saves 5-15%  Combined innovations could save 60% But 60% increased demand would wipe out all the gains.
    • 191. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com Solar Electric Freight Tube Vancouver – San Diego 5 hours 1994 US Federal Highway Administration study
    • 192. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com
    • 193. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com
    • 194. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com
    • 195. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com Shipping Solutions 2.5% of global oil use
    • 196. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com Solar Sailor www.solarsailor.com
    • 197. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com
    • 198. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com The Maltese Falcon: Advanced Square Rigger Sail Design
    • 199. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com B9 Shipping: 100% renewably powered commercially and technically viable sailing hybrid cargo ships. www.b9energy.com
    • 200. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com 9 MW of solar panels Retractable sails between each cargo bay Self-unloading cargo bays Superconducting power link Modular LNG hydrogen fuel cells Sleek, low wind resistance design
    • 201. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com  Slowing from 25 to 20 knots – saves 50%  Slowing from 23.5 to 20 knots - saves 25%  Skysails on slow boats (10 knots) - saves 20%  Ecospeed coating and underwater cleaning – saves 20%  Underwater propellor polishing – saves 2%  Black carbon elimination through cleaner fuel But 50% increased demand would wipe out all the gains.
    • 202. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com Flying Solutions 8% of global oil use Latest designs save 20% But a 20% increased demand would wipe out all the gains.
    • 203. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com Proposed EADS VoltAir lithium-air battery aircraft Superconducting electric motors Paris Airshow, 2011 Up to Mach 4, Paris – Tokyo in 2.5 hours
    • 204. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com Renewable Electricity
    • 205. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com Renewable Fuel Biofuel made from…  Farm and forest wastes  Sewage and urban organic wastes  Cultivated algae using waste CO2  Cultivated seaweed Renewable fuel made from…  Carbon monoxide and industrial wastes  Green hydrogen  Green methanol (hydrogen and waste CO2)
    • 206. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com Renewable Fuel Will there be enough? Rocky Mountain Institute: with 84% fuel-saving potential US demand = 3.1 million barrels a day USDA-DOE analysis: US farmland could sustainably provide dry collectable biomass wastes = 3 million barrels a day.
    • 207. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com Stronger Local Economies
    • 208. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com
    • 209. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com So what’s The Secret to make it all happen?
    • 210. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com Community engagement
    • 211. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com Special Discount $20 Signed copies
    • 212. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com BCSEA 2012 www.bcsea.org Together, we can change the world. To become a BCSEA Member www.bcsea.org/join
    • 213. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com This whole presentation is available on www.slideshare.net/GuyDauncey
    • 214. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com How can we make it happen? Questions Discussion
    • 215. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com D'où venons-nous? Que sommes-nous? Où allons-nous? Where Do We Come From? What Are We? Where Are We Going??
    • 216. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com Voyager 1 photo of Earth from 6 billion kilometers.
    • 217. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com
    • 218. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com The Universe has taken 13 billion years to create us
    • 219. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com Number of stars in the Universe 1024: 1 trillion trillion
    • 220. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com Number of atoms in your body: 1027: 1000 trillion trillion All self-organized into one amazing whole
    • 221. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com Every atom in your body was either made in the Big Bang or in a later Supernova explosion
    • 222. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com Number of stars in our galaxy 100 trillion
    • 223. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com Number of synapses in your brain 100 trillion All self-organized into one amazing whole
    • 224. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com 100 trillion synapses 100 trillion stars
    • 225. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com We are all conscious
    • 226. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com Do you have free will to choose your future? Or is everything predetermined?
    • 227. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com You have free will We can make a difference
    • 228. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com
    • 229. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com
    • 230. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com It’s Our World – Let’s Change ItGuy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
    • 231. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com This is about us, our planet, and our future.
    • 232. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com Taken together, our efforts to make a better world are like drops of dew that slowly accumulate in the soul of the world. They hasten the day when the whole Earth, With all its peoples and all its many creatures, will enjoy harmony, fulfillment and peace.
    • 233. Guy Dauncey 2013 Earthfuture.com Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com Guy Dauncey www.earthfuture.com

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