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A Better World is Possible. Global Future Day. Pearson College, Metchosin, Victoria, BC.
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A Better World is Possible. Global Future Day. Pearson College, Metchosin, Victoria, BC.

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What future is probable? What future is possible? What knowledge and skills do we need to make our finest contribution to the future? Keynote presentation at Pearson College's Global Future Day, Feb …

What future is probable? What future is possible? What knowledge and skills do we need to make our finest contribution to the future? Keynote presentation at Pearson College's Global Future Day, Feb 20, 2014.

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  • 1. Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
  • 2. Guy Dauncey 2007 www.earthfuture.com
  • 3. We have come an incredible long way from this…. Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
  • 4. Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com to this….
  • 5. To this…. Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
  • 6. To this … Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
  • 7. but… Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
  • 8. We have also come to this… Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com ©Smithore Dreamstime.com
  • 9. Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
  • 10. Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
  • 11. If everyone lived the way wealthy people do, we'd need many more planets to provide the resources. Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
  • 12. GDP = ‘Gross Domestic Product’ Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
  • 13. GDP = Gross Depletion of the Planet Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
  • 14. Gross Depletion of the Planet Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
  • 15. Gross Depletion of the Planet Why? Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com To make shark fin soup
  • 16. Gross Depletion of the Planet Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
  • 17. Why? Gross Depletion of the Planet To raise cattle, to make hamburgers Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
  • 18. Gross Depletion of the Planet Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
  • 19. Why? To make Palm Oil, to make Pizza Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
  • 20. Guy Dauncey 2007 www.earthfuture.com
  • 21. CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 100 million tonnes a day = 4 million tonnes an hour = 67,000 tonnes a minute As we burn the fossil fuels… = 1,000 tonnes a second Guy Dauncey 2013 2007 www.earthfuture.com
  • 22. And this… Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
  • 23. Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
  • 24. And this… And this… Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
  • 25. And this…
  • 26. Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
  • 27. Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
  • 28. Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
  • 29. Crisis limate C Oceans Cri si Financial Crisis u n g er H Po v e Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com rt y W a nd ar s nce i ol e V xtinction Species E sness meles Ho
  • 30. Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
  • 31. Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
  • 32. What is the probable future of our world?
  • 33. What is the probable future of our world? A LOT OF REALLY BAD THINGS
  • 34. What is the possible future of our world?
  • 35. What is the possible future of our world? A LOT OF REALLY GOOD THINGS
  • 36. What makes the difference?
  • 37. What makes the difference? YOU DO
  • 38. What makes the difference? YOU DO I DO
  • 39. What makes the difference? YOU DO I DO WE DO
  • 40. When you think about the future of our world, what do you feel? Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
  • 41. Excitement Hope Worry Despair Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
  • 42. Are you conscious? Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
  • 43. Do you have free will to choose your future? Or is everything predetermined? Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
  • 44. Is there purpose and direction in the Universe? Or is it just all just random? Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
  • 45. What story do you use to make sense of it all? Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
  • 46. A: There is Spiritual purpose in our life Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
  • 47. B: Who knows? But it’s amazing Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
  • 48. C: Nature is good, Humans are bad Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
  • 49. D: Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
  • 50. What story do you use to make sense of it all? A: Spiritual purpose B: Who knows? But it’s amazing D: C: Nature good, humans bad Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
  • 51. Humans are motivated by dreams of life and wholeness, not by nightmares of death and collapse. Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
  • 52. We Have The Freedom to Choose… Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
  • 53. Which path will you take? Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
  • 54. A QUICK HISTORY LESSON Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
  • 55. Go back 100 years, to the time of your great grandparents Facebook, Twitter, YouTube, Mobile phones, Internet, credit cards, space travel, computers, TV, recorded music airplanes, antibiotics, relativity theory, women voting… ALL GONE
  • 56. Go back 500 years, 20 generations ago Radio, telephones, light bulbs, the periodic table, electricity, railways, Darwin’s evolutionary theory, democracy, freedom from child labour, the industrial age, freedom from slavery, the idea of tolerance and equality, telescopes, muskets, microscopes, the idea of science - ALL GONE
  • 57. Go back 5,000 years, 200 generations ago The printing press, algebra, geometry, maths, numbers, ancient Greece, philosophy, paper, the alphabet, literature, writing… ALL GONE
  • 58. Go back 50,000 years, 2,000 generations ago Agriculture, cities, towns, metal working, pottery, boats, constructed shelter, musical instruments… ALL GONE
  • 59. These are our ancestors. It was their quest for knowledge that led the way to the Neolithic Age
  • 60. Their Neolithic quest led the way …
  • 61. To Babylonian thought, which led the way… Wikimedia
  • 62. To Egyptian thought, which led the way…
  • 63. To Greek science and philosophy, which led the way… Wikimedia
  • 64. To Islamic science and philosophy, which led the way …
  • 65. To the Renaissance, which led the way… Wikimedia
  • 66. To the Scientific Revolution, which led the way…
  • 67. To the Industrial Age, which led the way…
  • 68. To more Industrial Age, which led the way…
  • 69. To today’s world …
  • 70. And to this. ©Smithore Dreamstime.com
  • 71. The Journey of Civilization has seven threads, in which we learn: 1. 1. 1. 1. 2. 3. 4. How to communicate How to relate to Spirit How to think scientifically How to create technologies How to make social progress How to live in harmony with Nature How to end war
  • 72. 1: We learn how to communicate… Speech Radio TV Writing Telephone Satellite Alphabet Manuscripts Books Printing Internet
  • 73. 2: We learn how to relate to Spirit …
  • 74. 3: We learn how to think scientifically… Copernicus Islamic scientists Aristotle Galileo Stephen Hawking
  • 75. 4: We learn how to create technologies …
  • 76. 5: We learn how to make social progress … 18th Century Campaign to Abolish Slavery Wikimedia
  • 77. 6: We learn how to live in harmony with Nature
  • 78. 7: We learn how to end violence and war
  • 79. 19th Century: Struggles to build Democracy Wikimedia
  • 80. 19th Century – Struggles for Workers’ Rights Wikimedia
  • 81. 19th Century Campaigns to End Child Labour Wikimedia
  • 82. 19th Century Women’s Suffrage Movement, to win the vote for women Wikimedia
  • 83. 20th Century: Struggle against Nazism Wikimedia
  • 84. 20th Century: The Struggles for Independence and the Power of Non-Violence Wikimedia
  • 85. 20th Century Civil Rights Movement Wikimedia
  • 86. South Africa’s Struggle to End Apartheid
  • 87. 21st Century Struggle for Harmony with Nature ©Dreamstime.com
  • 88. 21st Century Continuing Struggle for Women’s Rights
  • 89. 21st Century Continuing Struggle for Democracy
  • 90. 21st Century: Continuing Struggle for Economic Justice
  • 91. Crisis limate C Oceans Cri si Financial Crisis u n g er H Po v e Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com rt y W a nd ar s nce i ol e V xtinction Species E sness meles Ho
  • 92. Climate Crisis Financial Crisis Hunger Climate Activism New Economy Activism Food and Farming Activism Poverty War and Violence New Economy Activism Peace Activism Species Extinction Nature Activism Oceans Crisis Marine Activism Homelessness Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com Housing Activism
  • 93. Artists and Poets Engineers and Planners Farmers and Chefs Economists and Bankers Teachers and Youth Workers Foresters and Biologists Business People and Investors Scientists Doctors and Nurses Social Workers and Change-Agents Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
  • 94. The power of our vision must be stronger than the power of our fears
  • 95. Guy Dauncey 2007 www.earthfuture.com
  • 96. Guy Dauncey 2007 www.earthfuture.com
  • 97. CLIMATE ACTION N W NOT BY 2015 … NOT BY 2020 … BUT NOW
  • 98. Metamorphosis… Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
  • 99. If you are searching for the ONE PERSON who can change your life take a look in a mirror Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
  • 100. Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
  • 101. William Kamkwamba built a windmill in his tiny rural farming village in Malawi when he was 14 years old. Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
  • 102. 18-year-old Boyan Slat from Holland Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
  • 103. 18-year-old Boyan Slat from Holland THE SOLUTION Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
  • 104. Istanbul, Turkey
  • 105. Guy Dauncey 2013 Guy Dauncey 2007 www.earthfuture.c www.earthfuture.com
  • 106. Guy Dauncey 2007 www.earthfuture.com
  • 107. Freiburg, Germany
  • 108. Crescent Park, Richmond, California Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
  • 109. Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
  • 110. Taiwan Solar Stadium Guy Dauncey 2007 www.earthfuture.com
  • 111. Kagoshima Nanatsujima 70 MW Solar Power Plant, Japan Kyocera, 79,000 MWh a year Guy Dauncey 2007 www.earthfuture.com
  • 112. New solar bridge across the River Thames, London Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
  • 113. Siemens AG
  • 114. Guy Dauncey 2007 www.earthfuture.com
  • 115. Streets being re-imagined and redesigned Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
  • 116. Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com www.cityrepair.org
  • 117. www.cityrepair.org Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
  • 118. Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
  • 119. Musee du Quai Branly, Paris Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com Patrick Blanc, Le Mur Vegetal
  • 120. Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com The Gherkin, London
  • 121. Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
  • 122. Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
  • 123. Vincent Callebaut Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
  • 124. Vincent Callebaut: Asian Cairns, Sustainable Megaliths for Guy Dauncey 2013 Guy Dauncey 2007 Rural Urbanity, Shenzhen, China, 2013 www.earthfuture.c www.earthfuture.com
  • 125. Solar Thermal District Heat Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com Drake Landing, Okotoks, Alberta.
  • 126. 800 solar hot water panels on the garages 90% of residential space heating needs met by solar thermal energy (40-50o C) Reduction - 5 tonnes of greenhouse gas emissions per home per year. Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
  • 127. Solar Thermal Heating 12 months a year The Energy Centre Solar hot water panels Guy Dauncey 2013 2007 www.earthfuture.com Community solar heat panels
  • 128. Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
  • 129. Sorce: Solvis Solar Thermal Housing, Rostock, Germany Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
  • 130. In Sweden, Stockholm sends heat from treated sewage effluent to 80,000 apartments Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
  • 131. Proyecto Urbano Integral, Medellin, Colombia Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
  • 132. Pedestrian Plaza In Buenos Aires, Argentina Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
  • 133. Cheonggyecheon, Seoul, South Korea Before and After Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
  • 134. Cheonggyecheon, Seoul, South Korea Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
  • 135. Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
  • 136. Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com The Highline Converted Railway, New York
  • 137. Brooklyn Bridge Remix/Redux Terreform and Michael Sorkin Studio Guy Dauncey 2007 www.earthfuture.com
  • 138. London: a Garden Bridge across the Thames Thomas Heatherwick Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
  • 139. Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
  • 140. Proposed green covered highway In Hamburg, Germany Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
  • 141. Rua Gonçalo de Carvalho, Porto Allegro, Brazil Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
  • 142. Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
  • 143. Local Food Economies flourishing www.solefoodfarms.com Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
  • 144. Community gardens everywhere Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
  • 145. Many people growing their own food Guy Dauncey 2007 www.earthfuture.com
  • 146. Many people growing their own food Guy Dauncey 2007 www.earthfuture.com
  • 147. Boulevards filled with vegetables Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
  • 148. Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
  • 149. Guy Dauncey 2007 www.earthfuture.com
  • 150. Guy Dauncey 2013 Guy Dauncey 2007 www.earthfuture.c www.earthfuture.com
  • 151. Local Farmers Markets
  • 152. Schools Growing Their Own Food Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
  • 153. Concrete school yards being transformed Guy Dauncey 2011 www.earthfuture.com
  • 154. Suburban streets being calmed and claimed Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
  • 155. Fast, dangerous streets being slowed Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com www.restreets.org
  • 156. Fast, boring streets being slowed and humanized www.restreets.org Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
  • 157. Streets Holding Annual Block Parties Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
  • 158. There’s lots of community art Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
  • 159. Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
  • 160. Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
  • 161. Lost Creeks are being restored Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
  • 162. Still Creek, Vancouver. Chum Salmon restored after 80 years Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
  • 163. Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com Semiahmoo Transit Station, Surrey www.greenovergrey.com
  • 164. Downtown streets are being calmed and claimed Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com www.restreets.org
  • 165. Many more people enjoying walking
  • 166. Many more people cycling
  • 167. Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
  • 168. All bike lanes are safe separated bike lanes
  • 169. Electric Bicycles Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
  • 170. Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
  • 171. Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
  • 172. Many people using Transit
  • 173. 100% Electric Buses
  • 174. On-Line Electric Bus
  • 175. Many creative bus shelters
  • 176. Vehicle owners earning up to $300 a month through peer-to-peer carsharing
  • 177. Affordable small electric vehicles: Renault Twizy $9,700 + $60/month battery lease
  • 178. Honda solar electric car charging Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
  • 179. Electric car fast charging Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
  • 180. www.cargohopper.com Cargohopper 3 tonnes max 60 km range 20 kph top speed Urban deliveries Holland
  • 181. No more air pollution
  • 182. Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
  • 183. Moving from a CAPITALIST to a COOPERATIVE Economy Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
  • 184. Close down the offshore tax havens Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
  • 185. Establish Public Banks Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
  • 186. Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
  • 187. A Financial Transactions Tax Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
  • 188. Turn businesses into Benefit Corporations Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
  • 189. More Women Directors on the Board “Companies with more Women Board Directors experience higher financial performance, according to latest Catalyst Bottom Line Report.” Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
  • 190. Green Business Certification Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
  • 191. Basic Income for all A Basic Income is an income unconditionally guaranteed to all on an individual basis, without means test or work requirement. Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
  • 192. Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com Neighbours participating in the sharing economy www.streetbank.com
  • 193. Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com www.collaborativeconsumption.com
  • 194. Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com Neighbourhood Tool-Sharing
  • 195. Youth Enterprise Initiatives Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
  • 196. Micro-Lending Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
  • 197. Student Debt problems solved in Oregon Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
  • 198. The Oregon Solution: Pay It Forward Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
  • 199. What Skills Do You Need? Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
  • 200. What Skills Do You Need? 1. Passion Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
  • 201. What Skills Do You Need? 1. Passion 2. Commitment Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
  • 202. What Skills Do You Need? 1. Passion 2. Commitment 3. Research: always thinking, learning and asking questions Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
  • 203. What Skills Do You Need? 1. Passion 2. Commitment 3. Research: always thinking, learning and asking questions 4. Hard work, learning from mistakes Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
  • 204. What Skills Do You Need? 1. Passion 2. Commitment 3. Research: always thinking, learning and asking questions 4. Hard work, learning from mistakes 5. Team work Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
  • 205. What Skills Do You Need? 1. Passion 2. Commitment 3. Research: always thinking, learning and asking questions 4. Hard work, learning from mistakes 5. Team work 6. Persistence in the face of difficulty Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
  • 206. What Skills Do You Need? 1. Passion 2. Commitment 3. Research: always thinking, learning and asking questions 4. Hard work, learning from mistakes 5. Team work 6. Persistence in the face of difficulty 7. Faith Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
  • 207. www.slideshare.net/GuyDauncey Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
  • 208. Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
  • 209. Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
  • 210. Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
  • 211. Metamorphosis… Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
  • 212. Guy Dauncey 2007 www.earthfuture.com
  • 213. Guy Dauncey 2007 www.earthfuture.com
  • 214. Guy Dauncey 2007 www.earthfuture.com
  • 215. Guy Dauncey 2007 www.earthfuture.com
  • 216. Guy Dauncey 2007 www.earthfuture.com
  • 217. Dream it Wish it Do it Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
  • 218. Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
  • 219. Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
  • 220. Guy Dauncey www.earthfuture.com Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

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