Halifax Index 2012 Presentation

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The Halifax Index tells Halifax, Nova Scotia's story - the strength of the economy, the health of the community, the sustainability of the environment and the progress of the Economic Strategy. It’s a new and smarter way to measure progress that reaches beyond traditional economic indicators like GDP and jobs. It provides deeper insight and the most comprehensive look at what’s happening in Halifax than anything currently available, and could be used as a model for other Canadian cities.

The 1st Halifax Index was presented at the Halifax State of the Economy Conference www.agreaterhalifax.com

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Halifax Index 2012 Presentation

  1. 1. THE HALIFAX INDEXAN ECONOMIC GUT CHECK AND IMPETUS FOR ACTION FRED MORLEYCHIEF ECONOMIST AND EXECUTIVE VP, GREATER HALIFAX PARTNERSHIP MAY 24TH, 2012
  2. 2. S UC C E S S : WE ’L L K NOW IT WHE N WE G E T IT
  3. 3. T HE HA L IFA X S C OR E C A R D
  4. 4. T HE HA L IFA X INDE X• A gut check on our performance• Share timely and relevant information in narrative form• Affirm actions and suggest course corrections to our Economic Strategy• Create a dialogue that allows us to ask the right questions ? ? ? ?
  5. 5. T HE HA L IFA X INDE X A P P R OA C H• Broadening the definition of economic progress• Working with research capable organizations to find the most accurate measures of success• Benchmarking our progress against others• Don’t point fingers, build partnerships
  6. 6. INDE X OUT C OME S• A strategy progress report• An economic gut check for Halifax• Business Climate Review• Quality of Place Report• Action inventory of Challenges and Opportunities• Insight for action & alignment• Special reports – Immigration – Business Confidence – Regional Centre Demographics
  7. 7. T HE HA L IFA X INDE X WOR DL E
  8. 8. Quality of LifePeople Economic Economic Progress Growth Sustainability
  9. 9. Labour Education Force WorkforcePopulation Quality People
  10. 10. P OP UL AT ION G R OWT HCensus Metropolitan 2006 Population 2011 Actual % Growth Area Population Growth St. John’s 181,113 196,966 15,853 8.8% Regina 194,971 210,566 15,595 8.0% Quebec 719,153 765,706 46,553 6.5% Halifax 372,858 390,328 17,470 4.7% Victoria 330,088 344,615 14,527 4.4% London 457,720 474,786 17,066 3.7%
  11. 11. A WE A K E NING MIG R AT ION OUT L OOK Annual migration estimates, Halifax Source: Statistics Canada2,000 1,8961,500 1,2311,000 500 0 International Interprovincial Intraprovincial -500-1,000 -852 2006-07 2010-11
  12. 12. S MA L L E R C IT IE S OF F E R ING C OMP E T IT ION International Immigrants to Atlantic Canadian Cities Source: Citizenship and Immigration Canada3,0002,5002,0001,5001,000 500 0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
  13. 13. INT ’L S T UDE NT S A S A N OP P OR T UNIT Y International Students Present and Transitions from Temporary Student to Permanent Resident, 2005-09 Source: Citizenship and Immigration Canada 13,546 6,504 2,770 1,291 823 856 296 373Newfoundland and Labrador Prince Edward Island Nova Scotia New Brunswick International Students Present Transitions from Temporary Student to Permanent Resident
  14. 14. Construction Consumer Commercial Behaviour Space Gateway Sectors Movement Gross BusinessDomestic Economy Confidence Product
  15. 15. E C ONOMIC S IZE
  16. 16. G DP P E R P E R S ON
  17. 17. A S TA R T-UP B OOM % Change in the # of Business Establishments (2003–2010)* Edmundston -8.5% Fredericton -1.3% Miramichi -12.3% Moncton -1.0% Saint John 1.8% New Brunswick -5.9% Cape Breton -6.0% Truro 8.7% Halifax 13.3% Lunenburg 15.6% Digby -7.6% Nova Scotia 3.7% Summerside -1.2% Charlottetown 10.0% Prince Edward Island -1.9% Corner Brook -15.7% St. Johns 1.6%Newfoundland and Labrador 0.0%*CSDs only (i.e. the City of Moncton – not the Moncton region.Source: Canadian Business Patterns (2011). Statistics Canada
  18. 18. C ONS UME R S
  19. 19. OF F IC E C ONS T R UC T ION
  20. 20. G AT E WAY R E C OV E R ING R A P IDLY Activity at Halifax International Airport Source: Halifax International Airport Authority 29,753 29,263 3,594,164 Growth of Port of Halifax indicators, indexed to 2007 3,469,062 Source: Port of Halifax 1.38 1.33 2007 2011 Air Passengers (En/Deplaned) Air Cargo (Tonnes) 0.84 0.77 Cruise Passengers Cruise Ships Port Cargo TEUs 2007 2011
  21. 21. B US INE S S C ONF IDE NC E HOL DING S T E A DY Halifax Business Confidence Index Source: GHP Business Confidence Survey100 80 60 38.5 40 29.9 25.6 26.1 20.2 20.2 20 0 Overall Halifax Dartmouth Other HRM New Business Established Business -20 (<10 years) (10+ years) -40 -60 -80-100 Aug-11 Apr-12
  22. 22. FA C TOR S IN B US INE S S C ONF IDE NC E
  23. 23. Health Affordability Community Quality Arts,Safety Culture, and of Place Recreation
  24. 24. A S A F E R C IT Y, P E OP L E F E E L ING S A F E R Total crime index, Canada and benchmark cities Source: Statistics Canada 131.4 96.8 101.9 82.7 82.4 83.7 56.1 Share of Halifax residents who feel safe... Source: Halifax Regional Police Survey Canada Halifax St. Johns Quebec London Regina Victoria 87% 90% 89% 87% 86% 86% City 2006 2010 ...In your neighborhood ...Where you work and shop Satisfaction with peace and order 2007 2011
  25. 25. HA L IFA X INT E R NAT IONA L LY C OMP E T IT IV E Cost-of-living and quality-of-living indices Source: fDi intelligence 110.14 109.42 110.84 110.05 107.87 102.31 104.44 101.78 104.44 99.33 96.58 96.68 83.02 Boston Seattle Victoria Raleigh Toronto Montreal Vancouver Saskatoon Quebec Regina Halifax (NS) London St. Johns (MA) (WA) (NC) (ON) Cost Quality
  26. 26. HOUS ING C OS T S
  27. 27. HA L IFA X A S A N A C T IV E C IT Y Activity levels during leisure time, active or moderately active Source: Statistics Canada 64.0% 57.7% 56.6% 53.9% 52.1% 50.2% 44.5% Canada Halifax St. Johns Quebec City London Regina Victoria 2005 2010
  28. 28. A G R OWING A R T S A ND C ULT UR E S E C TOR Employment in arts, culture and recreation, 000s Source: Statistics Canada 13.8 11.7 8.0 7.6 3.4 3.7 Halifax St. Johns Quebec City London Regina Victoria 2006 2011
  29. 29. B US INE S S E NG A G E ME NT
  30. 30. B UT A R E WE HA P P Y ?
  31. 31. Transportation Environment Municipal Density Fiscal Sustainability SustainabilityS P E C IA L TOP IC : DE MOG R A P HIC S OF T HER E G IONA L C E NT R E
  32. 32. DE NS IT Y IS C R IT IC A L TO S US TA INA B IL IT Y
  33. 33. Source: Canadian Urban Institute
  34. 34. A NE E D F OR R E NE WE D F OC US ON T HER E G IONA L C E NT R E
  35. 35. MOV ING P E OP L E
  36. 36. G OOD E NV IR ONME NTA L P E R F OR MA NC E Water Quality by Province Source: Waterproof - Canadas Drinking Water Report Card A A- B+ B+ B B B B- B- C+ C D Air quality measures, 2011 (# of test sites in parentheses) Source: Environment Canada 34.37 30.27Nova Scotia Newfoundland Quebec Ontario Saskatchewan British 20.44 Columbia 15.52 2006 2011 13.12 8.77 7.18 3.13 2.27 1.36 1.05 0.00 Halifax (4) St. Johns (1) Quebec City (6) London (3) Regina (1) Victoria (7) Ozone (parts per billion) Fine Particulate Matter (µg/m3)
  37. 37. F IS C A L S TA B IL IT Y
  38. 38. So what have we learned?
  39. 39. WE DON’T K NOW A L L T HE A NS WE R S• But we know the questions to ask
  40. 40. Population HealthyGrowth? Heart? Business Climate?
  41. 41. Major SustainProjects? Quality of Halifax? Life?
  42. 42. HOW DO WE DO A L L T HIS ?
  43. 43. HA L IFA X NE E DS A C ULT UR E OFPA R T NE R S HIP & INNOVAT ION.
  44. 44. Questions

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