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Public opinion landscape the economy - sept 8 Presentation Transcript

  • 1. The Public Opinion Landscape – The Economy
  • 2. 1
    TABLE OF CONTENTS
    Slide
    3
    10
    20
    23
    28
    Perceptions of Economic Conditions / Views of the Future
    Perceptions of Obama & Congress
    Creating Jobs
    Budget Battle
    Lowering the Deficit and Making Sacrifices
  • 3. 2
    SUMMARY
    Americans growing gloomier and more pessimistic about the economy.
    Obama’s overall job ratings at their lowest levels.
    The President’s weak approval on the economy and budget deficit are driving his negative numbers.
    While the President isn’t blamed for causing the current economic conditions, voters are increasingly frustrated that his policies haven’t gotten the economy going again.
    Americans want government to keep budget deficit down, but opinions differ on how best to lower the deficit.
  • 4. 3
    Perceptions of Economic Conditions / Views of the Future
  • 5. 4
    VIEW THAT COUNTRY IS ON WRONG TRACK HAS SHARPLY INCREASED RECENTLY
    Wrong Track
    74.6%
    Right Direction
    15.4%
    Source: Pollster.com composite measure as of September 1, 2011
  • 6. 5
    VOTERS BELIEVE THE ECONOMY IS IN A RECESSION & YET TO BEGIN TO RECOVER
    Do you think the United States economy is in a recession now?
    Do you think the economy is beginning to recover or not?
    Yes
    76%
    No
    68%
    Yes
    28%
    No
    20%
    DK/NA
    4%
    DK/NA
    4%
    Note: Results are among registered voters
    Source: Quinnipiac University Poll, August 16-27, 2011
  • 7. 6
    ECONOMIC RECOVERY SEEN THROUGH POLITICAL LENSE
    Do you think the economy is beginning to recover or not?
    Note: Results are among registered voters. “DK/NA” results not shown.
    Source: Quinnipiac University Poll, August 16-27, 2011
  • 8. 7
    STRONG SENSE THAT ECONOMY HAS GOTTEN WORSE AS SUMMER COMES TO AN END
    In the past month, do you think the economy got better, got worse, or stayed about the same?
    Source: AP-GfK Poll, August 18-22, 2011
  • 9. CONSUMER CONFIDENCE INDEX PLUMMETS IN AUGUST; AT LOWEST LEVEL IN MORE THAN TWO YEARS
    8
    2009
    2010
    2011
    Source: Consumer Confidence Index, The Conference Board
  • 10. ECONOMIC CONCERNS TOP MOST IMPORTANT PROBLEMS: Mentions of Unemployment And Deficits Trending Up
    9
    Economy
    Unemploy.
    Deficit
    Healthcare
    What do you think is the most important problem facing this country today?
    Source: Gallup Poll, August 11-14, 2011
  • 11. RISE IN NUMBERS THAT BELIEVE NOW IS A BAD TIME TO INVEST IN STOCK MARKET
    10
    STOCK MARKET
    REAL ESTATE
    Would you say now is a good time or bad time to invest in the stock market?
    And would you say that now is a good or bad time to invest in real estate?
    Note: “DK/REF” results not shown
    Source: AP-GfK Poll, August 18-22, 2011.
  • 12. 11
    Perceptions of Obama & Congress
    On the Economy
  • 13. OBAMA’S OVERALL APPROVAL RATING SEES SLIGHT DROP; STRONGEST ON FOREIGN AFFAIRS, WEAKER ON DOMESTIC PRIORITIES
    12
    Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling [ITEM]?
    OVERALL JOB APPROVAL
    DISAPPROVE 53.7%
    APPROVE 41.8%
    Source: Pollster.com Aggregate Data (as of September 7, 2011)
    Source: Gallup Poll, August 11-14, 2011
  • 14. 13
    CURRENT ECONOMIC CONDITIONS STILL SEEN AS SITUATION OBAMA HAS INHERITED
    When you think about the current economic conditions, do you feel that this is a situation that Barack Obama has inherited or is this a situation his policies are mostly responsible for?
    Note: “Some of both (VOL)” and “Not sure” results not shown
    Source: NBC/WSJ Survey, August 27-31, 2011
  • 15. 14
    LACK OF POLITICAL COMPROMISE, WALL ST., BUSH, AND VOTERS GET MORE BLAME THAN OBAMA
    I’m going to read you a list of items and for each one I’d like you to tell me how much you think it is responsible for the condition of the nation’s economy. How much do you think [INSERT ITEM] [are/is] responsible for the current condition of the economy?
    Note: “Don’t know” results not shown
    Source: Fox News Poll, August 29-31, 2011
  • 16. 15
    BUT GROWING DISSASTISFACTION WITH PRESIDENT OBAMA’S HANDLING OF THE ECONOMY
    Disapprove
    61.4%
    Approve
    34.1%
    Source: Pollster.com composite measure as of September 1, 2011
  • 17. GROWING SENSE THAT OBAMA’S POLICIES NOT IMPROVING THE ECONOMY
    16
    Would you say you, yourself are better off financially than you were in when Obama became president, not as well off, or in about the same shape as then financially?
    Do you think Obama’s economic program is making the economy (better), making it (worse) or having no real effect?
    Source: ABC News/Washington Post Poll, August 29-September 1, 2011
  • 18. OBAMA GIVEN SLIGHT EDGE OVER GOP IN TRUST TO HANDLE ECONOMY
    17
    Note: “Both (vol.)”, “Neither (vol.) and “No opinion” results are not shown.
    Who do you trust to do a better job handling the economy - Obama or the Republicans in Congress?
    Source: ABC News/Washington Post Poll, August 29-September 1, 2011
  • 19. 18
    AMERICANS LACK CONFIDENCE THAT GOV’T CAN SOLVE ECONOMIC PROBLEMS
    In general, when the government decides to solve economic problems, how much confidence do you have that the problem actually will be solved: A lot, some, just a little, or none at all?
    Note: “No opinion” results not shown
    Source: Washington Post Poll, August 9, 2011
  • 20. 19
    LITTLE CONFIDENCE IN OBAMA OR REPUBLICANS IN CONGRESS TO MAKE RIGHT ECONOMIC DECISIONS
    How much confidence do you have in [Obama / Republicans in Congress] when it comes to making the right decisions about the country’s economic future?
    Note: “No opinion” results not shown
    Source: Washington Post Poll, August 9, 2011
  • 21. 20
    Creating Jobs
  • 22. 21
    FEW SEE JOB PROPOSALS HAVING MUCH EFFECT
    Thinking specifically about the job situation in the country, please tell me how much each of the following would do to help improve it. First, do you think... [INSERT ITEM would help improve the job situation a lot, a little, or would it not help at all?
    A LOT
    A LITTLE
    NOT AT ALL
    Source: Pew Research Center / Washington Post Poll, September 1-4, 2011
  • 23. 22
    SLIGHT MAJORITY WOULD FAVOR FEDERALLY SUSIDIZED NATIONWIDE CONSTRUCTION PROGRAM; MANY UNDECIDED
    As you may have heard, President Obama is planning to propose measures aimed at creating jobs. One of these proposals may be a large scale federally subsidized nationwide construction program putting Americans back to work building roads, bridges, schools, and hospitals.
    With this in mind, would you favor or oppose this proposal, or are you undecided?
    51%
    21%
    Source: Politico/GW Battleground Poll, August 28 – September 1, 2011
  • 24. 23
    Budget Battle
  • 25. 24
    VOTERS DIVIDED ON REACTION TO DEBT CEILING AGREEMENT
    Disapprove
    44%
    Approve
    45%
    DK/NA
    10%
    As you may know, President Obama and Congress reached a deal to raise the government's debt ceiling while cutting spending by about $2.4 trillion. Do you approve or disapprove of this deal?
    Note: Results are among registered voters
    Source: Quinnipiac University Poll, August 16-27, 2011
  • 26. 25
    PLURALITY SAY SPENDING CUTS IN DEBT CEILING AGREEMENT DIDN’T GO FAR ENOUGH
    Do you think the spending cuts included in the debt ceiling agreement went too far, didn’t go far enough, or are they about right?
    Note: “DK/NA” results not shown
    Source: CBS News / NY Times Poll, August 2-3, 2011
  • 27. 26
    A QUARTER THINK DEBT CEILING AGREEMENT WILL MAKE ECONOMY WORSE; MOST SAY IT WILL HAVE NO IMPACT
    In general, do you think the debt ceiling agreement will make the economy better, make the economy worse, or have no impact on the economy?
    Note: “DK/NA” results not shown
    Source: CBS News / NY Times Poll, August 2-3, 2011
  • 28. 27
    VOTERS SPLIT ON MOST IMPORTANT ITEM FOR SUPERCOMMITTEE TO CONSIDER
    As you may already know, President Obama and the US Congress recently agreed on a law to increase the national debt ceiling. One of the key parts of this law was the creation of a bipartisan committee which will examine ways to balance the federal budget.
    This committee will likely consider several proposals to accomplish this goal. Which of the following do you think is most important item for the committee to consider? Would you say it is:
    Note: “Combination”, “Other”, “Unsure” results not shown
    Source: Politico/GW Battleground Poll, August 28 – September 1, 2011
  • 29. 28
    Lowering the Deficit and Making Sacrifices
  • 30. 29
    Information Flow About Charter Schools
    BUSH ADMINISTARTION BLAMED FOR CURRENT FEDERAL BUDGET DEFICIT
    Who do you think is mostly to blame for most of the current federal budget deficit – (1) the Bush Administration, (2) the Obama Administration, (3) Congress, or (4) someone else?
    Note: “DK/NA” results not shown
    Source: CBS News /NY Times Poll, August 2-3, 2011
  • 31. 30
    NO MATTER HOW YOU FRAME IT, REDUCING UNEMPLOYMENT SEEN AS MORE IMPORTANT
    What do you think is more important - reducing the federal budget deficit, or reducing unemployment?
    What do you think is more important - reducing the federal government spending, or reducing unemployment?
    Reducing unemployment
    61%
    Reducing unemployment
    51%
    Reducing spending
    42%
    Reducing deficit
    31%
    DK/NA
    7%
    DK/NA
    7%
    Note: Results are among registered voters
    Source: Quinnipiac University Poll, August 16-27, 2011
  • 32. YET AMERICANS WANT GOVERNMENT TO KEEP BUDGET DEFICIT DOWN
    31
    Which of the following two statements comes closer to your point of view?
    Statement A: The President and Congress should worry more about boosting the economy even though it may mean larger budget deficits now and in the future.
    Statement B: The President and Congress should worry more about keeping the budget deficit down, even though it may mean it will take longer for the economy to recover.
    Source: NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey, August 27-31, 2011
  • 33. 32
    MAJORITY THINK TAXES SHOULD BE INCREASED FOR THE WEALTHY IN ORDER TO LOWER THE DEFICIT
    In order to lower the nation’s budget deficit, do you think taxes should be increased on households earning $250,000 a year or should the government address the budget deficit without increasing taxes in those households?
    Note: “DK/NA” results not shown
    Source: CBS News / NY Times Poll, August 2-3, 2011
  • 34. 33
    GPG Research
    GPG has a full-scale internal research team offering the full complement of qualitative and quantitative public opinion research services. We use research to inform message development and communication strategy, as well as to help clients assess and monitor critical issues and track the effectiveness of strategic communication campaigns.
    GPG has a deep experience conducting research about complex economic topics with diverse audiences. We go beyond the standard Q&A, using innovative, projective techniques to uncover key insights. The result is actionable research that helps shape our clients’ messaging and strategy.
    For more information about this presentation
    or to find out more about GPG’s research capabilities contact:
    David Cantor (dcantor@gpgdc.com)