Public Opinion Landscape – The Economy

  • 330 views
Uploaded on

GPG takes a look at publicly-released polls on a wide range of key economic issues on everything from how the public views the current state of the economy to views on taxes.

GPG takes a look at publicly-released polls on a wide range of key economic issues on everything from how the public views the current state of the economy to views on taxes.

  • Full Name Full Name Comment goes here.
    Are you sure you want to
    Your message goes here
    Be the first to comment
    Be the first to like this
No Downloads

Views

Total Views
330
On Slideshare
0
From Embeds
0
Number of Embeds
4

Actions

Shares
Downloads
1
Comments
0
Likes
0

Embeds 0

No embeds

Report content

Flagged as inappropriate Flag as inappropriate
Flag as inappropriate

Select your reason for flagging this presentation as inappropriate.

Cancel
    No notes for slide

Transcript

  • 1. The  Economy  –   American  Public  Opinion  Landscape   April,  2014  
  • 2. TABLE  OF  CONTENTS   1 1.  Current  Economic  Indicators…………………………………………….....2   2.  Percep<ons  of  Economic  Condi<ons  /  Views  of  the   Future…………………………………………………………………………………..3   3.  President  Obama,  Congress  and  the  Economy…………….……..10   4.  Views  on  Job  Situa<on.….....…….……………………………..……….…15   5.  Views  on  Personal  Financial  Situa<on…………………………………21   6.  Views  on  Taxes………………………………………………...………………..27   Slide  
  • 3. CURRENT  ECONOMIC  INDICATORS  SHOW   IMPROVEMENT  OVER  ONE  YEAR  AGO   2 INDICATOR   A  YEAR  AGO   April  2013   NOW     April  2014   Unemployment  Rate   7.6%   6.7%   Infla<on  Rate   1.5%   1.5%   Stock  Market  (DJIA)   14,839.80   16,173.24   Consumer  Confidence   Index   78.6   82.6   U.S.  Interest  Rates   .25%   .25%   Consumer  Price  Index   (CPI)   231.485   235.17   Sources:  U.S.  Bureau  of  Labor  Sta<s<cs,  Trading  Economics  
  • 4. 3 Perceptions  of  Economic  Conditions  /     Views  of  the  Future
  • 5. MAJORITY  OF  AMERICANS  CONTINUE  TO  FEEL  THE   NATION  IS  ON  THE  WRONG  TRACK   4 Source:  Huffpost  Pollster  Aggregate  Data,  as  of  April  14,  2014   RIGHT  DIRECTION  29.5%   WRONG  TRACK  60.4%  
  • 6. REPUBLICANS  ARE  LESS  SATISFIED  WITH  THE  WAY   THINGS  ARE  GOING   5 In  general,  how  sa<sfied  are  you  with  the  way  things  are  going  in  the  na<on  today;  are  you   very  sa<sfied,  somewhat  sa<sfied,  somewhat  dissa<sfied,  or  very  dissa<sfied?   Source:  Quinnipiac  University  Poll,  January  15-­‐19,  2014   0%   10%   29%   59%   Very   sa<sfied   Somewhat   sa<sfied   Somewhat   dissa<sfied   Very   dissa<sfied   4%   43%   36%   18%   Very   sa<sfied   Somewhat   sa<sfied   Somewhat   dissa<sfied   Very   dissa<sfied   REPUBLICANS   DEMOCRATS   Note:  “Don’t  know”  results  are  not  shown.  
  • 7. A  MAJORITY  CONTINUES  TO  RATE  THE  CONDITION   OF  THE  ECONOMY  AS  BAD   6 Source:  CBS  News  Poll,  March  20-­‐23,  2014   How  would  you  rate  the  condi<on  of  the  na<onal  economy  these  days?  Is  it  very  good,   fairly  good,  fairly  bad,  or  very  bad?   19%   32%   37%   37%   37%   80%   66%   61%   62%   61%   Jan  2012   Jan  2013   Dec  2013   Feb  2014   Apr  2014   Bad   Good  
  • 8. 7 During  the  next  twelve  months,  do  you  think  that  the  na<on’s  economy  will  get  beier,  get   worse,  or  stay  about  the  same?   Will  stay   the  same   Will  get   worse   Will  get   beMer   Source:  NBC/WSJ  Survey,  March  5-­‐9,  2014   AND,  INCREASING  NUMBERS  OF  AMERICANS   THINK  THAT  THE  ECONOMY  WILL  CONTINUE  TO   STAY  THE  SAME  IN  THE  NEXT  YEAR   37%   40%   38%   33%   35%   27%   36%   42%   44%   45%   38%   32%   31%   27%   17%   23%   29%   26%   17%   23%   19%   19%   20%   25%   18%   18%   13%   9%   28%   18%   21%   24%   42%   34%   24%   25%   44%   35%   42%   46%   41%   45%   38%   32%   35%   34%   33%   49%   47%   48%   38%   42%   46%   48%   Jan   2012   Mar   2012   Apr   2012   May   2012   Jun   2012   Jul   2012   Aug   2012   Sept   2012   Sept   2012   Oct   2012   Dec   2012   Jun   2013   Jul   2013   Sept   2013   Oct   2013   Oct   2013   Dec   2013   Mar   2014   Note:  “Unsure/Refused”  results  are  not  shown.  
  • 9. YET,  A  MAJORITY  OF  AMERICANS  FEELS  THE   ECONOMY  IS  RECOVERING   8 Source:  ABC  News/Washington  Post  Poll,  February  27  -­‐  March  2,  2014   Regardless  of  whether  or  not  the  recession  is  over,  in  terms  of  your  own  personal   experience,  do  you  feel  the  economy  has  or  has  not  begun  to  recover?   Has  begun  to   recover     Has  not  begun  to   recover  44%   50%   45%   34%   41%   46%   42%   36%   45%   49%   53%   53%   56%   59%   56%  54%   49%   53%   63%   57%   53%   57%   63%   54%   49%   45%   46%   43%   39%   42%   Nov  09  Dec  09  Feb  10  Oct  10  Dec  10  Mar  11  Jun  11  Nov  11  Jan  12  Mar  12  Dec  12  Mar  13    May  13  Dec  13  Mar  14   Note:  “Unsure/Refused”  results  are  not  shown.  
  • 10. PESSIMISM  SURROUNDING  THE  NATIONAL  DEBT   AND  HEALTH  CARE  COSTS  FOR  THE  COMING  YEAR   9 Source:  Bloomberg  Poll,  March  7-­‐10,  2014   I’m  going  to  men<on  some  aspects  of  the  na<onal  economic  situa<on.  For  each,  please  tell   me  if  you  expect  things  to  be  beier  in  the  next  12  months,  worse,  or  about  the  same  as  the   last  12  months.   BeMer   Worse   About   the  same   Not  sure   The  housing  market   42%   16%   37%   5%   America’s  economic  standing  in  the   world   19%   37%   42%   2%   The  size  of  the  na<onal  debt   13%   59%   25%   3%   Health  care  costs   21%   52%   24%   3%  
  • 11. 10 Obama,  Congress,  and  the  Economy  
  • 12. OBAMA  ENTERING  THE  SPRING  WITH  AN  OVERALL     JOB  APPROVAL  IN  THE  MID  40S   11 DISAPPROVE  51.5%   APPROVE  44.2%   Source:  Huffpost  Pollster,  Aggregate  Data  as  of  April  14,  2014  
  • 13. A  MAJORITY  OF  AMERICANS  DISSAPROVE  OF   OBAMA’S  HANDLING  OF  THE  ECONOMY   12 Approve   Disapprove   Terrorism   53%   38%   Afghanistan   40%   45%   Health  Care   40%   56%   Economy   39%   56%   Foreign  Policy   36%   49%   Immigra<on   35%   56%   Source:  CBS  News  Poll,  March  20-­‐23,  2014  
  • 14. ONE  IN  THREE  AMERICANS  PLACE  MOST   RESPONSIBILITY  ON  OBAMA  FOR  THE  STATE  OF  THE   NATIONAL  ECONOMY   13 Who  do  you  think  is  most  responsible  for  the  current  state  of  the  na<onal  economy?  Would   you  say  it  is:   Source:  Baileground  Poll,  March  16-­‐20,  2014   Note:  “Unsure/Refused”  results  are  not  shown.   3%   18%   4%   4%   9%   12%   13%   32%   None  (VOL)   Combina<on/Other  (VOL)   Big  Labor  Unions   Wealthy  People   Big  Companies   Republicans  in  Congress   Democrats  in  Congress   President  Obama  
  • 15. AMERICANS  SLIGHTLY  MORE  CONFIDENT  WITH  GOP   ON  ECONOMIC  ISSUES     14 I  am  going  to  read  you  a  list  of  issues.  Please  listen  as  I  read  the  list  and  tell  me,  for  each  one,  whether   you  have  more  confidence  in  the  Republican  Party  or  the  Democra<c  Party  to  deal  with  this  issue.   Source:  Baileground  Poll,  March  16-­‐20,  2014   39%   36%   37%   39%   47%   47%   45%   48%   35%   47%   52%   54%   51%   49%   42%   44%   45%   41%   43%   43%   Represen<ng  the  middle  class   Standing  up  for  the  middle  class   Medicare   Social  Security   Foreign  Policy   Taxes   Jobs   The  federal  budget  and  spending   Solving  problems   The  Economy   Republican  Party     DemocraTc  Party   Note:  “Both  Equal”,  “Neither”  and  “Unsure”  results  are  not  shown.  
  • 16. 15 Views  on  Job  Situation  
  • 17. UNEMPLOYMENT/JOBS  SEEN  AS  THE  MOST   IMPORTANT  PROBLEM  FACING  THE  COUNTRY   16 Source:  Gallup  Poll,    March  6-­‐9,  2014   What  do  you  think  is  the  most  important  problem  facing  this  country  today?  
  • 18. A  PLURALITY  THINKS  THAT  THE  NATION’S  JOB   SITUATION  IS  CURRENTLY  GETTING  WORSE   17 Source:  Fox  News  Poll,  March  23-­‐25,  2014   36%   28%   46%   42%   44%   39%   48%   56%   46%   44%   39%   48%   11%   13%   6%   10%   13%   9%   May  -­‐10   Jul-­‐10   Oct-­‐12   Apr-­‐13   Jul-­‐13   Mar-­‐14   Genng  beier   Genng  worse   Staying  the  same   Do  you  think  the  na<on’s  job  situa<on  is  genng  beier  or  genng  worse?  
  • 19. HOWEVER,  A  MAJORITY  THINKS  THAT  IT  WILL  BE   BETTER  OR  ABOUT  THE  SAME  IN  A  YEAR   18 I’m  going  to  men<on  some  aspects  of  the  na<onal  economic  situa<on.  For  each,  please  tell  me  if  you   expect  things  to  be  beier  in  the  next  12  months,  worse,  or  about  the  same  as  the  last  12  months.   38%   37%   24%   Beier   About  the  same   Worse   Source:  Bloomberg  Poll,  March  7-­‐10,  2014   75%  of  Americans  think   that  job  growth  will  be   beier  or  about  the  same   in  the  next  year.   Note:  “Not  sure”  results  are  not  shown.
  • 20. FEW  AMERICANS  RATE  THE  CURRENT  JOB  MARKET   IN  THEIR  REGION  AS  GOOD   19 Source:  Harris  Poll,  March  12  -­‐  17,  2014   Good   20%   Neither  good   nor  bad   32%   Bad   47%   How  would  you  rate  the  current  job  market  of  your  region  of  the  na<on?    
  • 21. AND  MOST  AMERICANS  BELIEVE  THAT  THE  JOB   MARKET  IN  THEIR  REGION  WILL  STAY  THE  SAME     20 Source:  Harris  Poll,  March  12  -­‐  17,  2014   7%   16%   55%   21%   2%   Will  be  much  worse   Will  be  somewhat  worse   Will  remain  the  same   Will  be  somewhat  beier   Will  be  much  beier   How  do  you  think  that  the  job  market  in  your  region  of  the  na<on  will  change  over  the  next  6  months?  
  • 22. 21 Views  on  Personal  Financial  Situation
  • 23. A  PLURALITY  OF  AMERICANS  SAYS  THEY  ARE   BETTER  OFF  THAN  THEY  WERE  AT  THE  BEGINNING   OF  2009   22 Are  you  personally  beier  off  or  worse  off  than  you  were  at  the  beginning  of  2009?   Source:  Bloomberg  Poll,  March  7-­‐10,  2014   About  the  same   Worse  off   Beier  off     17%   36%   46%   Note:  “Not  Sure”  results  are  not  shown.  
  • 24. BUT  A  PLURALITY  SAYS  THAT  THEIR  HOUSEHOLD   INCOME  IS  JUST  ENOUGH  TO  PAY  THE  BILLS   23 Source:  CBS  News  Poll,  March  20  -­‐  23,  2014   Thinking  about  your  household  income,  would  you  say  that  it  is  more  than  enough  so  that  you   can  save  money  or  buy  some  extras,  just  enough  to  meet  your  bills  and  obliga<ons,  or  is  it  not   enough  to  meet  your  bills  and  obliga<ons?   Don't   know/No   answer   2%   Not  enough   to  pay  bills   23%   Just  enough   to  pay  bills   45%   Can  save   and  buy   extras   30%  
  • 25. A  SLIM  MAJORITY  SAYS  THEIR  STANDARD  OF  LIVING   IS  HIGHER  THAN  WHEN  THEY  WERE  A  CHILD   24 Source:  Bloomberg  Poll,  March  7-­‐10,  2014   Is  your  current  standard  of  living  higher,  lower  or  about  the  same  as  your  parents’   standard  of  living  when  you  were  a  child?   Note:  “Not  Sure”  results  are  not  shown.   54%   23%   21%   Higher   About  the  same   Lower  
  • 26. BUT  A  MAJORITY  THINK  THEIR  FAMILY’S  INCOME  IS   FALLING  BEHIND  THE  COST  OF  LIVING   25 Source:  Pew  Research  Center  Poll,  January  15  -­‐  19,  2014   Do  you  think  your  family’s  income  is  going  up  faster  than  the  cost  of  living,  staying  about  even   with  the  cost  of  living,  or  falling  behind  the  cost  of  living?   Going  up   faster   7%   Staying   about  even   34%   Falling   behind   57%   Don't  know/ Refused   2%  
  • 27. MOST  AMERICANS  SAY  THE  RECENT  GROWTH  IN   THE  STOCK  MARKET  HAS  HAD  LITTLE  OR  NO   EFFECT  ON  THEM   26 Would  you  say  the  recent  growth  in  the  U.S.  stock  market  has  made  you  feel  more  financially   secure,  or  has  it  had  liile  or  no  effect  on  your  personal  financial  situa<on?   More   financially   secure   21%   Liile  or  no   effect   77%   Not  sure   2%   Source:  Bloomberg  Poll,  March  7-­‐10,  2014  
  • 28. 27 Views  on  Taxes
  • 29. ONE  IN  TWO  AMERICANS  SAY  THAT  THEIR  TAXES   ARE  TOO  HIGH   28 Too  high   About  right   Too  low   52%   42%   3%   Do  you  consider  the  amount  of  federal  income  taxes  you  have  to  pay  as  too  high,   about  right,  or  too  low?     Note:  “Refused/Not  answered”  results  are  not  shown.   Source:  Gallup  Poll,  April  3-­‐6,  2014  
  • 30. YET,  WHEN  ASKED  ABOUT  THEIR  “FAIR  SHARE,”   MOST  AMERICANS  SAY  THE  AMOUNT  THEY  PAY  IN   INCOME  TAXES  IS  ABOUT  RIGHT   29 42%   56%   1%   More  than  your  fair  share   About  right   Less  than  your  fair  share   Do  you  feel  you  pay  more  than  your  fair  share  in  federal  income  taxes,  less  than  your  fair   share,  or  is  the  amount  you  pay  about  right?   Note:  “Refused/Not  answered”  results  are  not  shown.   Source:  McClatchy-­‐Marist  Poll,  April  7-­‐10,  2014  
  • 31. 30 GPG  Research     GPG  has  a  full-­‐scale  internal  research  team  offering  the  full  complement  of  qualita<ve  and   quan<ta<ve  public  opinion  research  services.    We  use  research  to  inform  message   development  and  communica<on  strategy,  as  well  as  to  help  clients  assess  and  monitor   cri<cal  issues  and  track  the  effec<veness  of  strategic  communica<on  campaigns.     GPG  has  a  deep  experience  conduc<ng  research  about  complex  economic  and  poli<cal  topics   with  diverse  audiences.  We  go  beyond  the  standard  Q&A,  using  innova<ve,  projec<ve   techniques  to  uncover  key  insights.  The  result  is  ac<onable  research  that  helps  shape  our   clients’  messaging  and  strategy.     For  more  informaTon  about  this  presentaTon     or  to  find  out  more  about  GPG’s  research  capabiliTes  contact:               Jason  Boxt  (jboxt@gpgdc.com)